Weekly structural research ยท NASDAQ ยท Technology

RIME Stage Analysis

Algorhythm Holdings, Inc.

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close USD 0.1355Tenure EstablishedBenchmark QQQ
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Downward Expansion ยท Established contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: wide and expanding.
Direction -78โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 84/100directional strength
Maturity 75/100lifecycle context
Confidence 96/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Wideexpanding separation
Price acceptance -100.0%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -99.8%USD 64.60 ยท weakening
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-090.13550.6073-89.066047411Downward Expansion-7884
2026-10-020.16380.6561-87.285893825Downward Expansion-7577
2026-09-250.15080.7063-88.7520131539Downward Expansion-8387
2026-09-180.2150.7599-84.1610298208Downward Expansion-7584
2026-09-110.24070.8231-82.722015054Downward Expansion-7486
2026-09-040.2150.9311-85.135690601Downward Expansion-8591
2026-08-280.26080.9559-82.4312070501Downward Expansion-8491
2026-08-210.34440.9772-77.4418830558Downward Expansion-7685
2026-08-140.37510.9984-76.693676179Downward Expansion-7583
2026-08-070.4261.01-74.031118743Downward Expansion-7080
2026-07-310.40111.03-75.05773749Downward Expansion-7574
2026-07-240.46431.05-71.77585961Downward Expansion-7177
2026-07-170.4761.07-72.33865525Downward Expansion-7480
2026-07-100.51251.10-72.222260814Downward Expansion-7574
2026-07-030.58331.15-68.68682365Downward Expansion-7069
2026-06-260.591.19-68.901116033Downward Expansion-7164
2026-06-190.73271.22-64.061381481Downward Expansion-6264
2026-06-120.65871.24-67.741573837Downward Expansion-6876
2026-06-050.6671.28-67.571536358Downward Expansion-6978
2026-05-290.77581.33-64.853569465Downward Expansion-6678
2026-05-220.74061.37-66.305236633Downward Expansion-6674
2026-05-150.6611.42-70.245084861Downward Expansion-6862
2026-05-080.61271.47-73.205450169Balance-6647
2026-05-011.021.52-54.191406076Balance-5640
2026-04-241.021.58-54.523202680Balance-5742
2026-04-171.081.64-51.762944359Balance-5444
2026-04-101.061.68-50.723971257Balance-4634
2026-04-031.261.71-39.964981765Balance-3926
2026-03-271.101.73-46.592963610Balance-4226
2026-03-201.281.77-40.923391828Balance-3518
2026-03-131.601.80-28.2212921585Balance910
2026-03-061.671.82-26.797104930Rotation Up1426
2026-02-271.761.84-24.4153732702Rotation Up1425
2026-02-202.111.86-10.45118979177Rotation Up1424
2026-02-133.481.8748.05222092380Rotation Up517
2026-02-060.96021.83-59.533698989Downward Expansion-6149
2026-01-300.901.88-63.701293255Downward Expansion-6558
2026-01-230.981.94-62.066697579Downward Expansion-6571
2026-01-160.86361.99-68.3612273502Downward Expansion-7281
2026-01-090.88782.05-69.7018397497Downward Expansion-7682
2026-01-021.042.11-70.11251841Downward Expansion-7671
2025-12-261.132.16-72.02444827Downward Expansion-7752
2025-12-191.352.20-68.97521091Downward Expansion-7248
2025-12-121.842.24-60.431135103Downward Expansion-5958
2025-12-051.902.27-62.442308164Downward Expansion-6368
2025-11-281.432.29-73.47571715Downward Expansion-7980
2025-11-211.342.33-78.016794093Downward Expansion-8576
2025-11-141.942.37-73.93614243Downward Expansion-6356
2025-11-072.052.38-75.8683447Balance-5748
2025-10-312.112.39-79.6591015Balance-5233
2025-10-242.152.41-81.42104725Balance-4820
2025-10-172.182.41-83.35111949Balance-3320
2025-10-102.212.41-84.94321513Balance-1216
2025-10-032.732.42-84.40228261Balance1217
2025-09-262.672.40-86.25670955Downward Expansion-168
2025-09-192.282.39-89.57246511Downward Expansion-5337
2025-09-122.092.40-91.36243558Downward Expansion-5754
2025-09-051.992.43-92.40375262Downward Expansion-6350
2025-08-292.222.47-92.4911836342Downward Expansion-5031
2025-08-222.032.57-93.861248702Downward Expansion-6439
2025-08-152.322.75-93.47234279Downward Expansion-5232
2025-08-082.372.95-93.71466486Downward Expansion-5235
2025-08-012.243.77-94.24249481Downward Expansion-6242
2025-07-252.454.44-94.18370670Downward Expansion-5541
2025-07-182.384.92-94.64421569Downward Expansion-5245
2025-07-112.415.35-94.95310408Downward Expansion-5447
2025-07-042.525.79-95.14157356Downward Expansion-5048
2025-06-272.466.32-95.63251990Downward Expansion-4652
2025-06-202.657.70-95.50253840Downward Expansion-4557
2025-06-132.839.30-95.55703468Downward Expansion-4760
2025-06-062.5010.71-96.394054417Downward Expansion-6668
2025-05-302.5112.96-96.69334454Downward Expansion-5664
2025-05-232.3814.84-97.04257236Downward Expansion-6166
2025-05-162.6917.31-96.96410238Downward Expansion-5464
2025-05-092.6520.02-96.98544267Downward Expansion-5484
2025-05-022.6423.50-97.12381725Downward Expansion-5684
2025-04-252.4026.49-97.41293619Downward Expansion-5785
2025-04-182.3329.78-97.44522023Downward Expansion-6688
2025-04-112.3833.72-97.53588789Downward Expansion-6687
2025-04-042.5137.18-97.29754122Downward Expansion-6462
2025-03-282.1642.03-97.98592839Downward Expansion-6766
2025-03-212.2146.96-98.05496330Downward Expansion-6775
2025-03-142.5150.03-97.861451620Downward Expansion-6667
2025-03-072.1453.34-98.291119789Downward Expansion-6979
2025-02-282.4156.93-98.20905045Downward Expansion-6974
2025-02-212.7760.08-98.072722439Downward Expansion-7081
2025-02-142.7163.92-98.194587526Downward Expansion-7083
2025-02-073.4069.50-97.72961698523Downward Expansion-7177
2025-01-315.1275.55-96.63840939727Downward Expansion-7366
2025-01-247.5683.58-95.18822708290Downward Expansion-7365
2025-01-178.3291.06-94.73878617197Downward Expansion-7666
2025-01-1026.9698.12-82.80878626431Downward Expansion-6562
2025-01-0322.30105.48-86.43214072297Downward Expansion-6777
2024-12-2716.78117.21-90.14222215030Downward Expansion-7186
2024-12-2015.28125.91-91.181323112652Downward Expansion-7689
2024-12-1315.56134.74-91.47428258410Downward Expansion-8190
2024-12-0618.40142.09-90.14115495667Downward Expansion-8488
2024-11-2944.00147.79-76.311385866Downward Expansion-7279
2024-11-2250.60152.72-73.325856538Downward Expansion-6970
2024-11-1545.04157.77-76.482737841Downward Expansion-7473
2024-11-0869.98161.20-65.341225362Downward Expansion-6567
2024-11-0158.96164.50-69.632726806Downward Expansion-7465
2024-10-2576.60168.90-61.819123339Downward Expansion-6865
2024-10-1884.00172.41-58.7614881434Downward Expansion-6758
2024-10-11107.06176.68-47.93198269191Downward Expansion-5750
2024-10-0492.40180.85-55.08394140Downward Expansion-6662
2024-09-27101.04184.77-51.65448424Downward Expansion-5439
2024-09-20120.54188.20-42.65527630Downward Expansion-4428
2024-09-13106.00188.96-49.56312173Downward Expansion-5536
2024-09-06148.00189.91-26.63507154Downward Expansion-4733
2024-08-30150.10189.64-30.631724313Downward Expansion-6048
2024-08-2394.32189.04-57.331005540Rotation Down-6873
2024-08-16101.74190.43-54.47225681Rotation Down-4164
2024-08-09109.93192.04-49.36456686Rotation Down-3960
2024-08-0297.06194.66-56.35455297Rotation Down-3754
2024-07-26117.80198.09-50.142780497Balance-3234
2024-07-19170.00200.89-31.422286252Balance-916
2024-07-12185.00202.36-29.891921403Balance1516
2024-07-05246.00204.00-8.6020497179Upward Expansion3419
2024-06-28232.00203.00-12.07448576Upward Expansion4228
2024-06-21220.00203.53-17.36287797Upward Expansion5745
2024-06-14248.00204.60-7.537535240Upward Expansion6269
2024-06-07374.00202.2243.06258125Upward Expansion8984
2024-05-31278.00195.089.26283924Upward Expansion7269
2024-05-24280.00191.487.70505758Balance7259
2024-05-17236.00188.12-8.82238228Balance3323
2024-05-10189.46185.18-26.0555574Balance-54
2024-05-03192.00184.87-24.5580119Balance-99
2024-04-26202.00185.27-20.64243357Balance-59
2024-04-19147.98185.27-40.2732749Balance-4729
2024-04-12169.02187.27-36.6443081Balance-137
2024-04-05190.98189.17-29.9624033Rotation Up1318
2024-03-29182.00189.90-35.2493447Rotation Up1525
2024-03-22212.00191.77-26.24248804Rotation Up1932
2024-03-15232.00193.30-18.93111807Downward Expansion2029
2024-03-08210.00195.24-29.49157463Downward Expansion-1215
2024-03-01204.00199.77-34.84680488Downward Expansion-2923
2024-02-23143.38205.10-54.85128088Downward Expansion-6467
2024-02-16134.40210.99-59.1129188Downward Expansion-6773
2024-02-09140.00218.51-60.3829031Downward Expansion-6573
2024-02-02132.00224.51-64.0663988Downward Expansion-7272
2024-01-26136.20231.31-64.4474279Downward Expansion-7368
2024-01-19150.00235.64-62.76103651Balance-5746
2024-01-12188.38239.44-54.4444587Balance-4125
2024-01-05200.00242.62-52.4860118Balance-3116
2023-12-29202.00245.36-55.88115994Balance-179
2023-12-22214.12247.79-55.27105863Balance-914
2023-12-15234.00250.85-53.1474821Balance-620
2023-12-08216.02252.72-57.24159450Downward Expansion-2423
2023-12-01248.00252.79-52.611323202Downward Expansion-2119
2023-11-24252.00252.72-53.71644774Downward Expansion-3024
2023-11-17176.60253.19-68.591182129Downward Expansion-6150
2023-11-10159.98257.10-72.1288998Downward Expansion-6976
2023-11-03170.00261.56-70.72254713Downward Expansion-6677
2023-10-27179.02268.03-68.632239739Downward Expansion-6575
2023-10-20148.00272.46-75.7295614Downward Expansion-8283
Price vs TrendBelow-77.7%
Trend directionFalling-41.0%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-99.8%
Fair Value directionMoving away-0.4%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-89.1%
Relative strength directionWeakening-16.8%
Price momentumNegative-87.2%
Volume balanceSupply-led0.11ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-78 / ยฑ100

-4.1 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

84 /100

-2.7 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance2
Rotation Up26
Upward Expansion18
Deceleration40
Rotation Down68
Downward Expansion96

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 20%Rotation Up 5%Upward Expansion 4%Rotation Down 3%Downward Expansion 69%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Downward Expansion2026-05-152026-10-09Established-79.5%
Balance2026-03-132026-05-08Developing-61.7%
Rotation Up2026-02-132026-03-06New-52.0%
Downward Expansion2025-11-142026-02-06Established-50.5%
Balance2025-10-032025-11-07Developing-25.0%
Downward Expansion2024-08-302025-09-26Extended-98.2%
Rotation Down2024-08-022024-08-23New-2.8%
Balance2024-07-122024-07-26New-36.3%
Upward Expansion2024-05-312024-07-05Developing-11.5%
Balance2024-04-122024-05-24Developing+65.7%
Rotation Up2024-03-222024-04-05New-9.9%
Downward Expansion2024-01-262024-03-15Developing+70.3%
Balance2023-12-152024-01-19Developing-35.9%
Downward Expansion2023-09-152023-12-08Established-4.4%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing61
Stage 2 ยท Advancing0
Stage 3 ยท Distribution9
Stage 4 ยท Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4B ยท Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus QQQ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
100/100
Current Relative Strength
-89.06
Relative Strength direction
Weakening
Price momentum
-87.2%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-110.2%
Technology regime cohort
98th percentile170 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume1.21ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.11ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 6

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity USD 0.1637falling
Slow Activity USD 0.4257falling
Trend Reference USD 0.6073-77.7% close margin
Current Fair Value USD 64.60-99.8% close margin
Structural low USD 0.1351shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +57.4%
Annualized volatility +108.0%
From structural high -97.0%
From structural low +0.3%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs QQQ Regime survived Read
Near term49-7.4%-69.8% to +171.8%+28.6%+69.4%-8.8%+85.7%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate16-13.6%-94.5% to +48.3%+37.5%+62.5%-17.4%+62.5%Usable descriptive sample
Extended8-19.2%-98.4% to +22.0%+25.0%+75.0%-28.6%+62.5%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle4-78.0%-97.4% to -21.4%+0.0%+100.0%-111.7%+75.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context