Weekly structural research ยท NASDAQ ยท Healthcare

LIVN Stage Analysis

LivaNova PLC

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close USD 76.63Tenure DevelopingBenchmark QQQ
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Deceleration ยท Recompressing

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down.

  • The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: compressed and contracting.
Direction 18โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 10/100directional strength
Maturity 44/100lifecycle context
Confidence 76/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Upstructural direction
Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation
Price acceptance +16.7%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context +37.9%USD 55.56 ยท weakening
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-09-2576.6373.53-0.713514341Deceleration1810
2026-09-1878.0173.334.663839058Deceleration2717
2026-09-1178.1873.016.182125744Deceleration4928
2026-09-0481.9272.6010.902977041Deceleration5837
2026-08-2880.3272.089.383196790Deceleration4227
2026-08-2178.7471.607.942419856Deceleration3926
2026-08-1482.2271.0810.143362612Deceleration5031
2026-08-0776.2270.413.615485486Upward Expansion4228
2026-07-3180.1470.0114.922685745Upward Expansion4838
2026-07-2478.1969.3613.652600555Upward Expansion6149
2026-07-1780.7068.8516.243094603Upward Expansion6570
2026-07-1082.5668.2614.882777629Upward Expansion6880
2026-07-0383.6267.6019.242707844Upward Expansion7684
2026-06-2683.4366.9220.804743588Upward Expansion8182
2026-06-1978.5066.279.283721783Upward Expansion7276
2026-06-1279.3965.4913.914329804Upward Expansion8077
2026-06-0572.3664.696.713314051Upward Expansion5967
2026-05-2973.8063.964.262954214Upward Expansion6670
2026-05-2273.8363.267.673062384Balance6861
2026-05-1570.0062.623.753833399Balance5745
2026-05-0871.8662.086.456921099Balance6337
2026-05-0161.0061.38-4.474251411Balance169
2026-04-2464.2061.122.413025621Balance3119
2026-04-1767.1260.769.823792210Balance4220
2026-04-1062.7860.369.593525737Balance1211
2026-04-0363.7960.1416.983075941Balance1117
2026-03-2761.8559.9518.513462822Upward Expansion2022
2026-03-2062.1959.7615.954587136Upward Expansion3119
2026-03-1358.4659.557.405098171Upward Expansion2319
2026-03-0663.8459.4016.504650784Upward Expansion6147
2026-02-2770.6058.9027.956685605Upward Expansion8182
2026-02-2068.4257.9124.583767870Upward Expansion7675
2026-02-1365.8057.0921.752967548Upward Expansion6660
2026-02-0666.5656.3022.123750626Upward Expansion7052
2026-01-3065.7155.5518.633069080Upward Expansion6950
2026-01-2363.1654.9014.112329001Upward Expansion5942
2026-01-1662.1154.3212.723003575Upward Expansion5845
2026-01-0964.4153.7716.062584930Upward Expansion7154
2026-01-0260.6453.1511.931994679Upward Expansion6253
2025-12-2662.8752.6614.231428084Upward Expansion6679
2025-12-1962.8252.0015.833575068Upward Expansion6983
2025-12-1262.7551.3016.593214787Upward Expansion7182
2025-12-0563.3650.6915.613076369Upward Expansion8082
2025-11-2863.8150.0517.772831131Deceleration8365
2025-11-2155.2949.157.082390036Deceleration5530
2025-11-1455.3648.553.723784398Deceleration5830
2025-11-0750.4547.89-5.924122456Deceleration3119
2025-10-3152.6347.34-5.252566778Deceleration3723
2025-10-2454.8946.780.262065563Deceleration4528
2025-10-1753.7346.26-0.121909981Deceleration3824
2025-10-1050.6945.78-3.881740396Deceleration4129
2025-10-0353.3745.40-1.532809130Upward Expansion4943
2025-09-2653.4444.93-0.692810243Upward Expansion6359
2025-09-1955.0044.531.343114807Upward Expansion6682
2025-09-1256.2244.285.522320214Upward Expansion6888
2025-09-0557.9744.0010.642936890Upward Expansion8193
2025-08-2956.3743.668.543031943Upward Expansion8293
2025-08-2255.9043.447.172850116Upward Expansion8690
2025-08-1553.7243.192.043980171Deceleration8172
2025-08-0848.8443.01-6.875621808Deceleration3016
2025-08-0141.1342.93-18.873987405Deceleration-1216
2025-07-2543.6743.14-16.303299362Deceleration910
2025-07-1841.9843.23-19.472702120Rotation Up912
2025-07-1144.3343.42-14.542859024Rotation Up3229
2025-07-0446.1343.66-11.831857371Rotation Up2939
2025-06-2745.7543.78-11.682268500Rotation Up2748
2025-06-2045.5144.00-9.092462178Rotation Up2749
2025-06-1345.7644.20-9.183348532Rotation Up3142
2025-06-0645.9544.41-9.753243051Downward Expansion1530
2025-05-3043.2544.60-13.792496258Downward Expansion-024
2025-05-2341.8844.86-15.793151564Downward Expansion-2225
2025-05-1644.4045.23-13.654386052Downward Expansion-1722
2025-05-0944.0645.54-9.369162323Downward Expansion-3327
2025-05-0236.7845.82-25.203284796Downward Expansion-6460
2025-04-2537.2646.39-22.702391229Downward Expansion-6663
2025-04-1835.5846.90-22.202353358Downward Expansion-7171
2025-04-1133.9647.40-28.055965788Downward Expansion-8587
2025-04-0435.9547.89-18.823757280Downward Expansion-8491
2025-03-2839.1348.26-20.912234931Downward Expansion-7188
2025-03-2139.4848.63-22.684336574Downward Expansion-7590
2025-03-1439.2448.87-23.574583705Downward Expansion-8389
2025-03-0739.1749.10-26.064017604Downward Expansion-8683
2025-02-2841.6349.26-24.537378945Downward Expansion-8067
2025-02-2147.4449.44-17.551988432Downward Expansion-4223
2025-02-1447.6849.64-19.581858643Downward Expansion-4020
2025-02-0747.8249.82-17.391794162Downward Expansion-4020
2025-01-3149.9549.94-13.982476300Downward Expansion-3721
2025-01-2448.1550.02-18.502052209Downward Expansion-5536
2025-01-1748.3050.24-17.392967870Downward Expansion-5857
2025-01-1046.6650.50-18.291545915Downward Expansion-6567
2025-01-0347.2750.70-19.511258314Downward Expansion-5157
2024-12-2746.5650.91-21.751269818Balance-5752
2024-12-2047.5951.39-19.803684490Balance-5030
2024-12-1351.5051.79-15.663577525Balance-1911
2024-12-0649.7152.14-18.342293279Balance-2814
2024-11-2952.5052.55-11.291657880Balance-2010
2024-11-2251.3252.94-12.832239578Balance-2414
2024-11-1552.1053.08-10.052387425Balance-2011
2024-11-0851.6353.09-14.153084082Balance-1712
2024-11-0151.1353.14-10.643793289Balance-413
2024-10-2553.0053.23-9.321698761Balance-019
2024-10-1853.5753.33-8.641450464Balance321
2024-10-1152.5353.41-10.681438055Balance-619
2024-10-0453.8353.34-7.712324465Downward Expansion-1018
2024-09-2752.5253.34-10.401764638Downward Expansion-2818
2024-09-2050.7553.43-13.093048930Downward Expansion-3923
2024-09-1348.5353.64-16.292194867Downward Expansion-4634
2024-09-0647.0653.69-14.741746286Downward Expansion-6347
2024-08-3050.3953.80-14.533537182Downward Expansion-6062
2024-08-2346.6053.76-22.102145514Downward Expansion-6377
2024-08-1646.0453.85-22.913022200Rotation Down-7077
2024-08-0943.9553.99-23.044730949Rotation Down-5668
2024-08-0246.9854.24-18.086694682Rotation Down-5154
2024-07-2653.6154.30-10.072650107Rotation Down-1728
2024-07-1952.9154.23-14.002562982Rotation Down-1830
2024-07-1251.4354.20-20.085292634Balance-2832
2024-07-0552.4754.15-19.111978177Balance-2426
2024-06-2854.8253.95-12.933490226Balance1424
2024-06-2156.1653.65-11.192877416Upward Expansion2222
2024-06-1452.6853.25-16.743666761Upward Expansion1416
2024-06-0753.3853.05-13.015445811Upward Expansion3124
2024-05-3161.0752.801.941414114Upward Expansion6370
2024-05-2459.6052.43-2.051956583Upward Expansion6478
2024-05-1761.9652.023.272094975Upward Expansion6979
2024-05-1062.1051.605.782615060Upward Expansion7474
2024-05-0364.1551.1310.846465523Upward Expansion8260
2024-04-2655.5350.78-3.063462289Upward Expansion4724
2024-04-1952.3350.69-5.332667563Upward Expansion3621
2024-04-1252.9950.77-9.723002256Upward Expansion5033
2024-04-0553.9450.93-8.742474636Upward Expansion5132
2024-03-2955.9450.92-6.302031082Upward Expansion6239
2024-03-2255.9850.92-6.875154064Rotation Up6448
2024-03-1550.6050.91-13.413227035Rotation Up2747
2024-03-0853.7351.03-9.447451365Rotation Up2951
2024-03-0155.2451.06-8.553134734Rotation Up3853
2024-02-2357.1251.12-3.953922452Balance3740
2024-02-1649.8851.15-15.362023691Balance-2412
2024-02-0950.5251.26-16.381895842Balance-2211
2024-02-0248.9651.32-18.231597954Balance-2712
2024-01-2649.5451.40-17.131958028Balance-138
2024-01-1950.2551.46-16.231715228Balance-1113
2024-01-1251.1951.41-13.211799461Balance-616
2024-01-0548.8051.36-15.511961770Balance-2222
2023-12-2951.7451.31-14.222950430Downward Expansion-1619
2023-12-2251.7851.15-14.801917927Downward Expansion-2517
2023-12-1550.0750.89-17.633672173Downward Expansion-4531
2023-12-0846.4350.74-21.793370825Downward Expansion-5946
2023-12-0145.9250.76-22.944120051Rotation Down-6259
2023-11-2444.1250.82-26.563067516Rotation Down-4851
2023-11-1746.7750.94-22.182215241Rotation Down-4055
2023-11-1045.8051.04-22.891860565Rotation Down-3860
2023-11-0349.9650.94-14.083390008Rotation Down-2349
2023-10-2747.1950.71-14.061424579Deceleration-3752
2023-10-2049.4150.59-12.732057118Deceleration-523
2023-10-1347.9450.33-18.082570185Deceleration-1118
2023-10-0653.6650.16-8.581921815Deceleration3722
Price vs TrendAbove+4.2%
Trend directionRising+6.8%
Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+37.9%
Fair Value directionMoving away-18.1%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-0.7%
Relative strength directionWeakening-21.5%
Price momentumPositive+23.9%
Volume balanceSupply-led0.58ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

18 / ยฑ100

-24.1 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

10 /100

-16.4 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance59
Rotation Up26
Upward Expansion50
Deceleration80
Rotation Down26
Downward Expansion25

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-09-25 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 20%Rotation Up 6%Upward Expansion 31%Deceleration 15%Rotation Down 6%Downward Expansion 22%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Deceleration2026-08-142026-09-25Developing-6.8%
Upward Expansion2026-05-292026-08-07Developing+3.3%
Balance2026-04-032026-05-22Developing+15.7%
Upward Expansion2025-12-052026-03-27Established-2.4%
Deceleration2025-10-102025-11-28Developing+25.9%
Upward Expansion2025-08-222025-10-03Developing-4.5%
Deceleration2025-07-252025-08-15New+23.0%
Rotation Up2025-06-132025-07-18Developing-8.3%
Downward Expansion2025-01-032025-06-06Established-2.8%
Balance2024-10-112024-12-27Developing-11.4%
Downward Expansion2024-08-232024-10-04Developing+15.5%
Rotation Down2024-07-192024-08-16Developing-13.0%
Balance2024-06-282024-07-12New-6.2%
Upward Expansion2024-03-292024-06-21Established+0.4%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing5
Stage 2 ยท Advancing85
Stage 3 ยท Distribution76
Stage 4 ยท Declining15

Legacy result: Stage 2 ยท Stage 2B ยท Advancing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus QQQ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
37/100
Current Relative Strength
-0.71
Relative Strength direction
Weakening
Price momentum
+23.9%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-8.4%
Healthcare regime cohort
29th percentile91 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume1.05ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.58ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 3

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+50.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+37.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity USD 78.26falling
Slow Activity USD 77.19rising
Trend Reference USD 73.53+4.2% close margin
Current Fair Value USD 55.56+37.9% close margin
Structural low USD 56.44shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Renewed positive order and expanding width produce re-acceleration; fast/slow failure with downside acceptance produces Rotation Down.

Range context +7.0%
Annualized volatility +36.7%
From structural high -10.6%
From structural low +57.0%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs QQQ Regime survived Read
Near term7+0.7%-6.9% to +28.0%+57.1%+57.1%-2.6%+42.9%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate4+6.5%-9.1% to +25.7%+50.0%+50.0%+5.9%+25.0%Too little matched history
Extended3+2.0%+0.5% to +44.6%+100.0%+100.0%-3.5%+0.0%Too little matched history
Full cycle3+0.3%-24.2% to +79.0%+66.7%+66.7%-6.5%+0.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context