Weekly structural research · JPX · Industrials

1879 Stage Analysis

Shinnihon Corporation

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close JPY 2,338.00Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^N225

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Upward Expansion · Re-accelerating

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: wide and contracting.

Direction 70−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 51/100directional strength

Maturity 43/100lifecycle context

Confidence 68/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Widecontracting separation

Price acceptance +66.7%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +43.1%JPY 1,633.99 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-09-25	2,338.00	2,129.63	-0.36	468200	Upward Expansion	70	51
2026-09-18	2,317.00	2,123.71	0.52	905100	Upward Expansion	68	51
2026-09-11	2,236.00	2,113.87	-1.68	1033900	Upward Expansion	63	69
2026-09-04	2,273.00	2,106.90	-1.96	1373400	Upward Expansion	66	82
2026-08-28	2,340.00	2,098.92	-1.61	923100	Upward Expansion	78	88
2026-08-21	2,319.00	2,086.18	-2.31	124100	Upward Expansion	78	82
2026-08-14	2,293.00	2,077.72	-7.59	138900	Deceleration	75	64
2026-08-07	2,243.00	2,071.33	-5.73	227700	Deceleration	49	20
2026-07-31	2,112.00	2,064.09	-9.95	179200	Deceleration	12	16
2026-07-24	2,061.00	2,060.27	-12.92	69900	Deceleration	17	21
2026-07-17	2,034.00	2,057.78	-13.81	65600	Deceleration	12	20
2026-07-10	2,094.00	2,056.33	-17.38	104500	Deceleration	32	22
2026-07-03	2,119.00	2,050.17	-18.28	79700	Deceleration	39	24
2026-06-26	2,097.00	2,041.27	-19.06	49600	Upward Expansion	54	36
2026-06-19	2,199.00	2,035.72	-17.79	92300	Upward Expansion	61	66
2026-06-12	2,241.00	2,024.06	-10.05	121000	Upward Expansion	62	77
2026-06-05	2,210.00	2,008.87	-12.34	75500	Upward Expansion	60	77
2026-05-29	2,262.00	1,994.29	-10.29	548300	Upward Expansion	68	75
2026-05-22	2,280.00	1,976.89	-5.66	560400	Rotation Up	70	65
2026-05-15	2,256.00	1,960.93	-4.03	1085000	Rotation Up	65	38
2026-05-08	1,928.00	1,945.24	-19.86	227300	Balance	-14	20
2026-05-01	1,934.00	1,939.33	-15.83	326500	Balance	6	8
2026-04-24	1,924.00	1,933.82	-16.98	492200	Balance	4	6
2026-04-17	1,953.00	1,930.15	-14.42	519500	Balance	8	6
2026-04-10	2,019.00	1,924.57	-9.59	1362900	Balance	16	11
2026-04-03	1,963.00	1,919.60	-6.15	803900	Balance	10	14
2026-03-27	1,961.00	1,915.91	-6.87	577800	Balance	11	15
2026-03-20	1,937.44	1,911.33	-8.21	595800	Upward Expansion	25	13
2026-03-13	1,958.06	1,907.91	-8.18	726800	Upward Expansion	38	24
2026-03-06	1,987.50	1,902.59	-9.94	573100	Upward Expansion	54	35
2026-02-27	2,160.24	1,896.57	-7.63	410900	Upward Expansion	78	51
2026-02-20	2,021.85	1,882.90	-10.54	367200	Upward Expansion	45	30
2026-02-13	2,026.76	1,870.94	-10.44	588800	Upward Expansion	59	40
2026-02-06	2,033.63	1,857.73	-5.75	338700	Upward Expansion	64	50
2026-01-30	1,958.06	1,844.57	-7.73	380000	Upward Expansion	64	54
2026-01-23	2,065.04	1,831.87	-3.72	349900	Upward Expansion	71	79
2026-01-16	2,101.35	1,816.58	-2.09	291100	Upward Expansion	85	88
2026-01-09	2,025.78	1,798.98	-1.92	321600	Upward Expansion	74	82
2026-01-02	1,997.31	1,782.51	-0.13	102600	Upward Expansion	73	79
2025-12-26	1,986.52	1,767.60	-1.36	284600	Upward Expansion	74	74
2025-12-19	1,990.44	1,753.76	1.46	381700	Upward Expansion	80	78
2025-12-12	1,908.98	1,739.95	-5.06	407200	Upward Expansion	66	66
2025-12-05	1,852.06	1,728.15	-7.15	383200	Upward Expansion	56	56
2025-11-28	1,930.57	1,720.76	-2.76	378400	Upward Expansion	76	60
2025-11-21	1,849.11	1,709.21	-3.69	442200	Deceleration	51	27
2025-11-14	1,785.31	1,699.37	-10.22	570000	Deceleration	24	14
2025-11-07	1,772.56	1,690.82	-10.79	198300	Deceleration	23	14
2025-10-31	1,740.17	1,679.70	-16.08	296200	Deceleration	32	17
2025-10-24	1,801.02	1,667.77	-7.88	208000	Deceleration	37	20
2025-10-17	1,785.31	1,659.40	-5.45	185600	Deceleration	36	21
2025-10-10	1,750.96	1,650.59	-8.31	344400	Deceleration	40	24
2025-10-03	1,768.63	1,640.37	-2.79	308500	Upward Expansion	47	38
2025-09-26	1,813.78	1,629.62	0.58	454700	Upward Expansion	62	53
2025-09-19	1,785.77	1,616.52	-0.24	281200	Upward Expansion	65	59
2025-09-12	1,869.79	1,601.22	5.10	275900	Upward Expansion	76	75
2025-09-05	1,852.41	1,587.16	8.43	309400	Upward Expansion	76	86
2025-08-29	1,823.44	1,575.64	7.60	220500	Upward Expansion	72	88
2025-08-22	1,835.03	1,565.56	8.65	239000	Upward Expansion	82	93
2025-08-15	1,798.32	1,552.76	4.89	263800	Upward Expansion	80	91
2025-08-08	1,807.02	1,541.08	9.53	408100	Upward Expansion	88	88
2025-08-01	1,750.03	1,529.31	8.95	307500	Upward Expansion	87	84
2025-07-25	1,663.11	1,520.38	2.12	225900	Upward Expansion	73	71
2025-07-18	1,630.28	1,513.56	4.23	330700	Upward Expansion	66	64
2025-07-11	1,638.97	1,506.25	5.53	332500	Upward Expansion	70	58
2025-07-04	1,577.16	1,497.68	1.10	294500	Deceleration	51	30
2025-06-27	1,606.13	1,493.00	2.23	293800	Deceleration	57	30
2025-06-20	1,573.29	1,487.10	4.77	498500	Deceleration	39	21
2025-06-13	1,531.76	1,482.35	3.63	329400	Deceleration	37	21
2025-06-06	1,550.11	1,480.13	5.20	404400	Upward Expansion	50	30
2025-05-30	1,571.36	1,477.74	6.29	269800	Upward Expansion	55	48
2025-05-23	1,576.19	1,473.66	9.18	313800	Upward Expansion	58	59
2025-05-16	1,554.94	1,468.92	6.28	403200	Upward Expansion	57	62
2025-05-09	1,630.28	1,467.85	12.34	189400	Upward Expansion	69	69
2025-05-02	1,583.92	1,464.37	11.39	331800	Balance	64	55
2025-04-25	1,553.98	1,461.96	12.98	366800	Balance	57	26
2025-04-18	1,528.87	1,461.62	14.56	349300	Balance	26	18
2025-04-11	1,439.05	1,460.59	11.79	916900	Balance	-28	15
2025-04-04	1,382.06	1,461.94	7.01	511000	Balance	-11	12
2025-03-28	1,550.11	1,465.40	9.39	605400	Balance	36	32
2025-03-21	1,521.05	1,464.91	5.97	393300	Balance	1	5
2025-03-14	1,444.29	1,463.18	2.54	783100	Balance	-46	32
2025-03-07	1,446.18	1,462.92	3.23	707400	Balance	-46	32
2025-02-28	1,420.59	1,460.18	0.98	2734900	Balance	-45	36
2025-02-21	1,326.77	1,459.03	-9.25	1038200	Balance	-57	33
2025-02-14	1,448.08	1,464.80	-1.68	579400	Balance	4	12
2025-02-07	1,506.83	1,469.08	3.68	299500	Balance	19	23
2025-01-31	1,521.05	1,471.15	3.01	295100	Balance	23	16
2025-01-24	1,450.92	1,470.48	-2.23	303600	Balance	-27	15
2025-01-17	1,448.08	1,473.02	1.64	251400	Downward Expansion	-28	18
2025-01-10	1,453.76	1,475.18	0.51	439900	Downward Expansion	-31	17
2025-01-03	1,482.19	1,477.28	1.02	36500	Downward Expansion	-31	18
2024-12-27	1,458.50	1,474.02	-1.25	235300	Downward Expansion	-55	38
2024-12-20	1,411.12	1,472.54	-0.28	331000	Downward Expansion	-58	54
2024-12-13	1,381.74	1,473.66	-3.89	305600	Downward Expansion	-70	61
2024-12-06	1,436.70	1,476.83	1.18	250900	Balance	-54	45
2024-11-29	1,429.12	1,478.62	3.37	239100	Balance	-57	45
2024-11-22	1,431.02	1,480.11	3.69	251300	Balance	-27	32
2024-11-15	1,465.14	1,481.26	5.58	331200	Balance	-16	18
2024-11-08	1,478.40	1,480.46	4.63	168700	Balance	5	11
2024-11-01	1,449.02	1,481.06	6.71	263500	Balance	3	6
2024-10-25	1,433.86	1,481.98	6.17	229600	Balance	22	9
2024-10-18	1,522.94	1,484.99	9.79	147100	Balance	50	33
2024-10-11	1,525.79	1,483.33	8.51	227500	Balance	51	32
2024-10-04	1,511.57	1,480.45	10.47	335000	Balance	48	30
2024-09-27	1,543.79	1,473.85	9.68	286000	Balance	53	32
2024-09-20	1,498.09	1,462.22	12.59	205900	Balance	36	21
2024-09-13	1,479.43	1,451.27	15.01	445900	Balance	32	18
2024-09-06	1,485.96	1,439.45	16.52	343300	Balance	30	15
2024-08-30	1,535.40	1,427.59	13.79	492000	Balance	26	13
2024-08-23	1,469.17	1,413.45	10.02	577600	Balance	8	17
2024-08-16	1,436.52	1,400.85	8.72	497500	Balance	10	18
2024-08-09	1,363.76	1,389.04	12.38	983200	Balance	-1	10
2024-08-02	1,386.15	1,379.52	11.65	510700	Upward Expansion	20	16
2024-07-26	1,499.95	1,368.26	15.43	474000	Upward Expansion	58	43
2024-07-19	1,576.44	1,352.78	14.39	544200	Upward Expansion	71	66
2024-07-12	1,568.98	1,332.41	11.05	540300	Upward Expansion	72	68
2024-07-05	1,500.88	1,312.87	7.25	439900	Upward Expansion	59	58
2024-06-28	1,527.00	1,294.65	12.94	584600	Deceleration	66	48
2024-06-21	1,513.01	1,277.69	15.04	878800	Deceleration	63	40
2024-06-14	1,516.74	1,260.98	15.04	1176100	Deceleration	56	32
2024-06-07	1,384.28	1,244.82	5.82	700000	Deceleration	39	25
2024-05-31	1,414.13	1,234.29	8.89	1394600	Deceleration	44	34
2024-05-24	1,444.92	1,224.25	11.07	602000	Upward Expansion	48	42
2024-05-17	1,476.63	1,213.22	13.40	1010100	Upward Expansion	51	48
2024-05-10	1,490.62	1,200.28	16.42	525600	Upward Expansion	66	56
2024-05-03	1,473.83	1,187.14	15.48	187600	Upward Expansion	65	59
2024-04-26	1,465.44	1,174.45	16.13	562800	Upward Expansion	65	63
2024-04-19	1,441.19	1,162.91	17.27	524000	Upward Expansion	68	67
2024-04-12	1,496.22	1,151.83	14.73	385000	Upward Expansion	72	84
2024-04-05	1,476.63	1,140.15	15.28	1064500	Upward Expansion	71	89
2024-03-29	1,524.20	1,127.98	15.44	1042400	Upward Expansion	91	97
2024-03-22	1,473.07	1,114.37	10.65	859900	Upward Expansion	94	97
2024-03-15	1,439.34	1,100.58	14.66	918700	Upward Expansion	98	99
2024-03-08	1,313.55	1,088.54	2.53	1171800	Rotation Up	96	96
2024-03-01	1,195.05	1,082.64	-7.12	347800	Rotation Up	56	74
2024-02-23	1,169.52	1,080.10	-7.24	400600	Rotation Up	45	66
2024-02-16	1,124.86	1,078.91	-9.34	549900	Rotation Up	32	57
2024-02-09	1,130.33	1,078.32	-4.90	676000	Rotation Up	37	54
2024-02-02	1,111.19	1,076.49	-4.44	419200	Rotation Up	30	36
2024-01-26	1,091.13	1,076.23	-4.84	577300	Downward Expansion	11	25
2024-01-19	1,082.02	1,077.93	-5.92	437300	Downward Expansion	-13	22
2024-01-12	1,078.37	1,078.49	-4.96	582300	Downward Expansion	-26	19
2024-01-05	1,048.29	1,077.61	-1.25	146800	Downward Expansion	-47	33
2023-12-29	1,035.53	1,077.14	-2.35	461200	Downward Expansion	-62	56
2023-12-22	965.34	1,076.79	-7.84	513200	Downward Expansion	-72	78
2023-12-15	982.66	1,078.21	-5.36	476600	Downward Expansion	-69	77
2023-12-08	954.40	1,080.31	-5.85	706100	Rotation Down	-80	80
2023-12-01	1,018.21	1,080.89	-2.55	461500	Rotation Down	-37	58
2023-11-24	1,011.83	1,078.78	-3.29	518900	Balance	-40	49
2023-11-17	1,031.88	1,076.66	-0.90	656600	Balance	-24	23
2023-11-10	1,068.34	1,071.48	6.27	470700	Balance	7	5
2023-11-03	1,113.01	1,064.57	13.54	230600	Balance	34	15
2023-10-27	1,113.92	1,055.34	18.04	347400	Balance	24	12
2023-10-20	1,088.40	1,046.31	15.25	338800	Balance	20	11
2023-10-13	1,096.60	1,036.82	13.14	224500	Upward Expansion	34	18
2023-10-06	1,092.95	1,027.03	18.41	496800	Upward Expansion	49	30

Price vs TrendAbove+9.8%

Trend directionRising+3.5%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+43.1%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+7.1%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-0.4%

Relative strength directionImproving+18.7%

Price momentumPositive+19.2%

Volume balanceDemand-led1.21×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

70 / ±100

-8.0 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

51 /100

-37.7 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

1879 Directional State ↗ 1879 Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance14

Rotation Up57

Upward Expansion81

Deceleration68

Rotation Down21

Downward Expansion7

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-09-25 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 30%Rotation Up 5%Upward Expansion 41%Deceleration 15%Rotation Down 1%Downward Expansion 8%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Upward Expansion	2026-08-21	2026-09-25	Developing	+0.8%
Deceleration	2026-07-03	2026-08-14	Developing	+8.2%
Upward Expansion	2026-05-29	2026-06-26	Developing	-7.3%
Rotation Up	2026-05-15	2026-05-22	New	+1.1%
Balance	2026-03-27	2026-05-08	Developing	-1.7%
Upward Expansion	2025-11-28	2026-03-20	Established	+0.4%
Deceleration	2025-10-10	2025-11-21	Developing	+5.6%
Upward Expansion	2025-07-11	2025-10-03	Established	+7.9%
Deceleration	2025-06-13	2025-07-04	New	+3.0%
Upward Expansion	2025-05-09	2025-06-06	Developing	-4.9%
Balance	2025-01-24	2025-05-02	Established	+9.2%
Downward Expansion	2024-12-13	2025-01-17	Developing	+4.8%
Balance	2024-08-09	2024-12-06	Established	+5.3%
Upward Expansion	2024-07-05	2024-08-02	Developing	-7.6%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing23

Stage 2 · Advancing93

Stage 3 · Distribution59

Stage 4 · Declining7

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2A · Early advance. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^N225

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 52/100
Current Relative Strength: -0.36
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +19.2%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -5.1%
Industrials regime cohort: 28th percentile306 in cohort

Test 1879 trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume1.14×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.21×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution3 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore 1879 Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity JPY 2,303.47rising

Slow Activity JPY 2,192.06rising

Trend Reference JPY 2,129.63+9.8% close margin

Current Fair Value JPY 1,633.99+43.1% close margin

Structural low JPY 1,876.00shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +3.6%

Annualized volatility +27.5%

From structural high -2.2%

From structural low +37.1%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^N225	Regime survived	Read
Near term	31	+0.8%-7.6% to +13.4%	+51.6%	+51.6%	+1.7%	+71.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	12	+4.9%-12.0% to +24.7%	+75.0%	+75.0%	+1.1%	+58.3%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	6	+5.8%-17.9% to +46.7%	+83.3%	+83.3%	-9.7%	+33.3%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	4	+9.3%-20.5% to +47.3%	+75.0%	+75.0%	-2.9%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

1879 Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map