Weekly structural research · TAI · Consumer Defensive

1817 Stage Analysis

Sanitar Co., Ltd.

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close TWD 39.70Tenure EstablishedBenchmark ^TWII

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Upward Expansion · Established expansion

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: wide and contracting.

Direction 52−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 51/100directional strength

Maturity 82/100lifecycle context

Confidence 49/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Widecontracting separation

Price acceptance +50.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +9.1%TWD 36.39 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	39.70	38.25	-22.66	113126	Upward Expansion	52	51
2026-10-02	39.85	38.15	-21.85	105001	Upward Expansion	65	73
2026-09-25	40.15	38.04	-21.43	124123	Upward Expansion	67	83
2026-09-18	40.45	37.93	-20.35	102010	Upward Expansion	74	89
2026-09-11	40.45	37.80	-19.47	255200	Upward Expansion	76	90
2026-09-04	40.05	37.67	-21.80	18168	Upward Expansion	71	88
2026-08-28	40.45	37.55	-21.58	36000	Upward Expansion	86	91
2026-08-21	40.05	37.42	-21.37	62000	Upward Expansion	85	82
2026-08-14	39.35	37.30	-24.55	92000	Upward Expansion	73	48
2026-08-07	38.30	37.19	-24.76	20000	Upward Expansion	56	38
2026-07-31	38.65	37.13	-23.00	35051	Upward Expansion	60	48
2026-07-24	38.45	37.05	-25.16	53000	Upward Expansion	61	61
2026-07-17	38.60	36.98	-23.99	27000	Upward Expansion	63	63
2026-07-10	38.75	36.91	-29.05	0	Upward Expansion	70	69
2026-07-03	38.90	36.83	-31.84	466245	Upward Expansion	76	66
2026-06-26	37.62	36.75	-31.74	236070	Upward Expansion	58	54
2026-06-19	38.38	36.70	-34.08	332257	Upward Expansion	76	64
2026-06-12	37.43	36.66	-33.27	226544	Upward Expansion	57	51
2026-06-05	37.43	36.61	-35.55	139428	Balance	58	55
2026-05-29	37.10	36.57	-36.59	197234	Balance	46	41
2026-05-22	37.19	36.55	-33.68	628213	Balance	48	34
2026-05-15	37.48	36.53	-32.31	627210	Balance	61	30
2026-05-08	36.39	36.50	-35.90	278645	Balance	9	9
2026-05-01	36.48	36.51	-32.34	77140	Balance	26	11
2026-04-24	36.53	36.54	-33.24	213000	Balance	32	15
2026-04-17	36.58	36.58	-30.39	277002	Balance	18	13
2026-04-10	36.86	36.58	-28.17	63000	Balance	27	20
2026-04-03	36.67	36.60	-23.28	118151	Balance	10	6
2026-03-27	36.63	36.62	-25.49	137211	Balance	17	9
2026-03-20	36.63	36.63	-27.27	163205	Balance	8	10
2026-03-13	36.53	36.64	-27.98	310156	Balance	7	14
2026-03-06	36.63	36.63	-28.95	271046	Balance	9	18
2026-02-27	36.86	36.62	-32.86	233017	Balance	19	23
2026-02-13	36.72	36.61	-30.24	99108	Balance	-7	8
2026-02-06	36.44	36.61	-27.53	152036	Downward Expansion	-30	13
2026-01-30	36.39	36.63	-28.69	214092	Downward Expansion	-34	15
2026-01-23	36.58	36.68	-28.51	234099	Downward Expansion	-33	15
2026-01-16	36.44	36.73	-27.99	160055	Downward Expansion	-47	24
2026-01-09	36.20	36.76	-26.24	176226	Downward Expansion	-52	27
2026-01-02	36.34	36.82	-23.95	85000	Downward Expansion	-49	25
2025-12-26	36.30	36.92	-22.26	70000	Downward Expansion	-51	25
2025-12-19	36.39	37.01	-19.97	111073	Downward Expansion	-46	23
2025-12-12	36.48	37.11	-21.46	122000	Downward Expansion	-37	22
2025-12-05	36.44	37.21	-21.30	179000	Downward Expansion	-38	20
2025-11-28	36.39	37.35	-20.78	397168	Downward Expansion	-51	28
2025-11-21	36.20	37.49	-18.01	224017	Downward Expansion	-57	34
2025-11-14	37.05	37.60	-19.30	353187	Downward Expansion	-52	35
2025-11-07	36.06	37.72	-22.38	222264	Downward Expansion	-64	56
2025-10-31	36.06	37.89	-24.22	207116	Downward Expansion	-65	53
2025-10-24	36.44	38.11	-21.72	114076	Downward Expansion	-58	40
2025-10-17	36.58	38.34	-20.96	197126	Downward Expansion	-56	34
2025-10-10	36.72	38.59	-20.90	82000	Downward Expansion	-52	28
2025-10-03	36.77	38.82	-19.50	165102	Downward Expansion	-44	25
2025-09-26	37.24	39.03	-14.98	137631	Downward Expansion	-34	18
2025-09-19	37.67	39.27	-14.21	119045	Downward Expansion	-35	19
2025-09-12	36.67	39.50	-16.38	185150	Downward Expansion	-44	27
2025-09-05	37.57	39.74	-11.17	222340	Downward Expansion	-40	25
2025-08-29	37.29	39.78	-10.99	176376	Downward Expansion	-45	34
2025-08-22	36.91	39.81	-10.26	260128	Downward Expansion	-59	45
2025-08-15	36.82	39.86	-12.68	640395	Downward Expansion	-63	51
2025-08-08	36.30	39.90	-12.92	233227	Downward Expansion	-69	70
2025-08-01	36.39	39.92	-10.71	416311	Downward Expansion	-71	77
2025-07-25	36.34	39.93	-10.61	575000	Downward Expansion	-76	78
2025-07-18	36.77	39.94	-9.65	761125	Downward Expansion	-74	74
2025-07-11	37.24	39.95	-5.84	332071	Rotation Down	-70	71
2025-07-04	37.71	40.00	-3.60	505394	Rotation Down	-38	52
2025-06-27	38.09	40.02	-2.57	476423	Rotation Down	-36	52
2025-06-20	37.42	40.05	-1.71	594019	Rotation Down	-46	55
2025-06-13	37.91	40.07	-0.33	1430089	Rotation Down	-35	44
2025-06-06	39.30	40.04	5.46	367025	Rotation Down	-22	39
2025-05-30	39.21	39.93	7.03	174026	Rotation Down	-22	35
2025-05-23	39.34	39.83	6.23	264073	Deceleration	-22	29
2025-05-16	39.52	39.74	6.06	406136	Deceleration	-4	19
2025-05-09	40.50	39.65	13.72	437216	Deceleration	7	18
2025-05-02	40.59	39.55	15.07	233539	Deceleration	18	22
2025-04-25	39.65	39.46	18.13	245070	Deceleration	13	20
2025-04-18	40.54	39.37	24.31	474221	Deceleration	32	22
2025-04-11	41.08	39.28	25.90	1420126	Deceleration	41	29
2025-04-04	42.60	39.13	20.45	314093	Upward Expansion	49	44
2025-03-28	43.36	38.92	21.46	836087	Upward Expansion	62	56
2025-03-21	44.16	38.70	20.91	535045	Upward Expansion	69	68
2025-03-14	43.71	38.45	21.52	758043	Upward Expansion	66	84
2025-03-07	43.04	38.18	16.97	3677437	Upward Expansion	68	88
2025-02-28	44.47	37.98	18.63	1506102	Upward Expansion	87	95
2025-02-21	44.38	37.68	15.37	2347701	Upward Expansion	93	94
2025-02-14	43.98	37.39	17.44	7901975	Upward Expansion	90	83
2025-02-07	38.81	37.10	2.41	534134	Upward Expansion	58	46
2025-01-24	38.05	36.96	0.13	191050	Upward Expansion	46	29
2025-01-17	38.58	36.83	3.05	562287	Upward Expansion	54	25
2025-01-10	37.96	36.67	1.88	886599	Upward Expansion	32	18
2025-01-03	36.80	36.53	-0.96	209160	Upward Expansion	18	19
2024-12-27	36.84	36.44	-2.61	286085	Upward Expansion	25	15
2024-12-20	36.66	36.34	0.01	549144	Upward Expansion	32	20
2024-12-13	37.11	36.22	-1.20	1716600	Upward Expansion	57	52
2024-12-06	38.63	36.11	1.86	712005	Upward Expansion	64	69
2024-11-29	38.45	35.96	5.46	706211	Upward Expansion	63	63
2024-11-22	38.94	35.79	3.75	1819756	Upward Expansion	71	51
2024-11-15	37.82	35.53	1.40	1680363	Upward Expansion	48	23
2024-11-08	37.02	35.31	-4.31	539337	Upward Expansion	32	18
2024-11-01	35.95	35.13	-4.21	434290	Upward Expansion	26	18
2024-10-25	36.31	34.99	-5.88	553505	Upward Expansion	36	20
2024-10-18	36.58	34.85	-6.07	739142	Upward Expansion	43	30
2024-10-11	36.84	34.71	-3.26	740112	Upward Expansion	56	39
2024-10-04	37.47	34.54	0.78	300090	Upward Expansion	59	46
2024-09-27	37.96	34.35	-0.38	977328	Upward Expansion	69	49
2024-09-20	37.16	34.16	0.22	1112242	Upward Expansion	61	45
2024-09-13	37.69	33.98	3.29	1677470	Upward Expansion	72	51
2024-09-06	36.66	33.76	1.89	1007473	Upward Expansion	63	48
2024-08-30	36.35	33.58	-2.92	301068	Upward Expansion	60	48
2024-08-23	36.53	33.40	-2.21	850320	Upward Expansion	67	58
2024-08-16	36.75	33.22	-2.70	1416201	Upward Expansion	73	64
2024-08-09	35.46	33.03	-2.55	1481256	Upward Expansion	65	68
2024-08-02	37.07	32.89	0.81	1005704	Upward Expansion	86	86
2024-07-26	35.59	32.70	-5.49	350243	Upward Expansion	70	68
2024-07-19	35.68	32.56	-8.60	1209569	Upward Expansion	77	69
2024-07-12	35.33	32.42	-13.79	1282137	Upward Expansion	77	60
2024-07-05	34.48	32.30	-14.92	1643320	Upward Expansion	68	47
2024-06-28	34.15	32.19	-14.25	1440840	Upward Expansion	64	46
2024-06-21	33.90	32.09	-16.09	779019	Upward Expansion	62	46
2024-06-14	33.85	31.98	-13.76	612263	Upward Expansion	62	46
2024-06-07	34.07	31.88	-10.96	1110033	Upward Expansion	68	62
2024-05-31	33.60	31.76	-9.64	1223168	Upward Expansion	60	69
2024-05-24	33.34	31.64	-12.22	2104823	Upward Expansion	58	70
2024-05-17	33.68	31.53	-10.37	1795691	Upward Expansion	67	70
2024-05-10	34.11	31.40	-7.16	3078471	Balance	75	59
2024-05-03	33.22	31.28	-8.26	4258585	Balance	66	31
2024-04-26	31.17	31.17	-13.35	1675220	Balance	15	14
2024-04-19	31.34	31.14	-10.64	1853781	Upward Expansion	29	15
2024-04-12	31.73	31.12	-15.16	1268100	Upward Expansion	50	30
2024-04-05	31.77	31.09	-13.78	608350	Upward Expansion	55	39
2024-03-29	31.98	31.06	-13.43	539166	Upward Expansion	59	44
2024-03-22	32.24	31.03	-12.82	487736	Upward Expansion	71	72
2024-03-15	31.98	30.98	-11.46	210081	Upward Expansion	66	70
2024-03-08	31.68	30.94	-13.01	833707	Upward Expansion	59	66
2024-03-01	32.32	30.93	-7.67	659028	Upward Expansion	81	70
2024-02-23	31.55	30.91	-9.91	313290	Deceleration	61	32
2024-02-16	31.34	30.92	-9.48	82000	Deceleration	43	21
2024-02-09	31.04	30.94	-8.15	23000	Deceleration	4	11
2024-02-02	31.04	30.97	-8.28	81000	Deceleration	7	9
2024-01-26	31.09	31.01	-8.15	85401	Rotation Up	11	11
2024-01-19	31.09	31.04	-6.85	177055	Rotation Up	16	18
2024-01-12	31.38	31.06	-5.38	224132	Rotation Up	30	30
2024-01-05	31.26	31.06	-6.17	160099	Rotation Up	23	42
2023-12-29	31.43	31.06	-8.16	110000	Rotation Up	26	54
2023-12-22	31.47	31.04	-6.64	267260	Rotation Up	29	50
2023-12-15	31.55	31.03	-7.12	422504	Rotation Up	34	44
2023-12-08	31.43	31.01	-6.11	536048	Downward Expansion	30	31
2023-12-01	30.92	31.00	-8.05	229000	Downward Expansion	-16	21
2023-11-24	30.79	31.01	-7.76	467020	Downward Expansion	-31	22
2023-11-17	30.75	31.01	-7.62	877035	Downward Expansion	-40	25
2023-11-10	30.58	31.01	-5.46	688000	Downward Expansion	-56	40
2023-11-03	30.06	31.03	-6.37	786006	Downward Expansion	-60	51
2023-10-27	29.81	31.10	-5.38	460000	Downward Expansion	-71	69
2023-10-20	30.02	31.15	-6.78	198019	Downward Expansion	-69	69
2023-10-13	30.41	31.19	-7.77	102000	Downward Expansion	-62	62
2023-10-06	29.98	31.16	-7.84	292080	Downward Expansion	-77	68

Price vs TrendAbove+3.8%

Trend directionRising+3.0%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+9.1%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+0.5%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-22.7%

Relative strength directionImproving+6.4%

Price momentumPositive+7.7%

Volume balanceDemand-led1.04×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

52 / ±100

-24.2 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

51 /100

-38.9 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

1817 Directional State ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance17

Rotation Up45

Upward Expansion71

Deceleration64

Rotation Down28

Downward Expansion21

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 12%Rotation Up 5%Upward Expansion 46%Deceleration 7%Rotation Down 5%Downward Expansion 26%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Upward Expansion	2026-06-12	2026-10-09	Established	+6.1%
Balance	2026-02-13	2026-06-05	Established	+1.9%
Downward Expansion	2025-07-18	2026-02-06	Extended	-0.9%
Rotation Down	2025-05-30	2025-07-11	Developing	-5.0%
Deceleration	2025-04-11	2025-05-23	Developing	-4.2%
Upward Expansion	2024-05-17	2025-04-04	Extended	+26.5%
Balance	2024-04-26	2024-05-10	New	+9.4%
Upward Expansion	2024-03-01	2024-04-19	Developing	-3.0%
Deceleration	2024-02-02	2024-02-23	New	+1.6%
Rotation Up	2023-12-15	2024-01-26	Developing	-1.5%
Downward Expansion	2023-10-06	2023-12-08	Developing	+4.8%
Rotation Down	2023-09-15	2023-09-29	New	-1.7%
Balance	2023-08-25	2023-09-08	New	+0.0%
Upward Expansion	2023-07-07	2023-08-18	Developing	-3.8%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing43

Stage 2 · Advancing44

Stage 3 · Distribution50

Stage 4 · Declining34

Legacy result: Stage 3 · Stage 3A · Churning. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^TWII

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 16/100
Current Relative Strength: -22.66
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +7.7%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -31.5%
Consumer Defensive regime cohort: 40th percentile5 in cohort

Test 1817 trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.86×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.04×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 0

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+75.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore 1817 Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity TWD 39.98falling

Slow Activity TWD 38.98rising

Trend Reference TWD 38.25+3.8% close margin

Current Fair Value TWD 36.39+9.1% close margin

Structural low TWD 35.97shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +1.3%

Annualized volatility +9.6%

From structural high -2.1%

From structural low +10.5%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^TWII	Regime survived	Read
Near term	30	-0.2%-8.5% to +16.9%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-0.6%	+76.7%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	11	+3.1%-8.7% to +11.9%	+54.5%	+54.5%	-0.0%	+54.5%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	7	+0.5%-12.7% to +18.4%	+57.1%	+57.1%	-2.9%	+42.9%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	4	+1.6%-15.1% to +33.2%	+50.0%	+50.0%	+1.8%	+25.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

1817 Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map