Weekly structural research ยท JPX ยท Industrials

142A Stage Analysis

JINJIB CO LTD

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close JPY 971.00Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^N225
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Upward Expansion ยท Re-accelerating

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

  • The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: wide and expanding.
Direction 65โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 68/100directional strength
Maturity 34/100lifecycle context
Confidence 75/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Upstructural direction
Activity structure Wideexpanding separation
Price acceptance +50.0%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context +12.5%JPY 863.38 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 133 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-09971.00789.0010.2491100Upward Expansion6568
2026-10-021,070.00779.3022.19373200Upward Expansion9491
2026-09-25925.00762.808.3587500Upward Expansion8993
2026-09-18915.00749.908.4568300Upward Expansion9295
2026-09-11829.00738.47-1.1717200Upward Expansion6686
2026-09-04828.00730.50-3.634900Upward Expansion6784
2026-08-28855.00726.57-3.6414400Upward Expansion8387
2026-08-21861.00720.40-3.5328500Upward Expansion8678
2026-08-14793.00714.10-15.1626200Deceleration6038
2026-08-07772.00710.70-14.011900Deceleration4224
2026-07-31761.00708.63-14.125100Deceleration3622
2026-07-24756.00707.43-15.51900Deceleration4526
2026-07-17760.00704.90-14.8815200Deceleration3520
2026-07-10764.00701.43-20.513100Deceleration3321
2026-07-03769.00697.20-21.875300Deceleration3328
2026-06-26729.00694.13-25.895300Upward Expansion3426
2026-06-19716.00694.07-29.4940700Upward Expansion4430
2026-06-12714.00694.03-24.5531600Upward Expansion6265
2026-06-05810.00694.60-15.6135200Upward Expansion6680
2026-05-29859.00693.33-10.6368700Upward Expansion7985
2026-05-22863.00691.23-6.47367500Balance8681
2026-05-15800.00690.33-10.95165600Balance5355
2026-05-08733.00691.43-20.2237000Balance2722
2026-05-01699.00694.53-20.0210100Balance-211
2026-04-24675.00698.67-23.2022200Balance-514
2026-04-17694.00706.03-19.6422300Balance-415
2026-04-10702.00714.03-16.8121800Balance-318
2026-04-03698.00718.50-11.6522200Downward Expansion-1422
2026-03-27654.00724.53-17.81126800Downward Expansion-3321
2026-03-20695.00732.70-12.9850700Downward Expansion-3726
2026-03-13680.00734.20-15.76101100Downward Expansion-6053
2026-03-06575.00734.37-31.3150500Downward Expansion-6680
2026-02-27538.00737.60-39.69386400Downward Expansion-8283
2026-02-20572.00741.50-34.17158600Downward Expansion-8074
2026-02-13590.00743.80-32.72115700Downward Expansion-7857
2026-02-06710.00746.63-15.7753900Downward Expansion-4329
2026-01-30670.00744.03-19.4932500Downward Expansion-5936
2026-01-23672.00741.13-20.4049700Rotation Down-4726
2026-01-16691.00737.73-18.5625800Rotation Down-1515
2026-01-09710.00733.00-13.3924500Rotation Down-1719
2026-01-02725.00728.30-8.8627700Rotation Down-3240
2025-12-26680.00724.40-15.2486900Rotation Down-2753
2025-12-19656.00723.17-16.3053100Rotation Down-3156
2025-12-12637.00722.13-21.03279400Rotation Down-3756
2025-12-05677.00718.67-15.7281000Deceleration-2733
2025-11-28727.00713.00-9.30128600Deceleration217
2025-11-21715.00705.33-8.09185500Deceleration213
2025-11-14731.00698.00-9.5693300Deceleration1915
2025-11-07772.00690.73-5.0537700Deceleration3217
2025-10-31796.00681.57-7.4880100Deceleration3722
2025-10-24836.00671.971.7040300Deceleration4227
2025-10-17833.00662.833.90128600Upward Expansion4534
2025-10-10826.00653.770.9475800Upward Expansion5947
2025-10-03823.00645.174.39242400Upward Expansion6253
2025-09-26896.00โ€”โ€”646300Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-09-19934.00โ€”โ€”148400Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-09-12836.00โ€”โ€”522400Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-09-05879.00โ€”โ€”144300Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-08-29899.00โ€”โ€”241300Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-08-22740.00โ€”โ€”57200Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-08-15685.00โ€”โ€”102100Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-08-08672.00โ€”โ€”51900Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-08-01655.00โ€”โ€”18700Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-07-25641.00โ€”โ€”25600Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-07-18675.00โ€”โ€”132700Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-07-11632.00โ€”โ€”46000Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-07-04583.00โ€”โ€”41900Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-06-27570.00โ€”โ€”86500Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-06-20549.00โ€”โ€”44600Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-06-13569.00โ€”โ€”79900Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-06-06608.00โ€”โ€”58100Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-05-30643.00โ€”โ€”265800Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-05-23625.00โ€”โ€”301300Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-05-16533.00โ€”โ€”87700Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-05-09507.00โ€”โ€”14100Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-05-02497.00โ€”โ€”22900Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-04-25495.00โ€”โ€”815400Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-04-18513.00โ€”โ€”14600Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-04-11497.00โ€”โ€”83200Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-04-04508.00โ€”โ€”60100Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-03-28562.00โ€”โ€”182600Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-03-21561.00โ€”โ€”501300Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-03-14568.00โ€”โ€”31200Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-03-07588.00โ€”โ€”24300Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-02-28594.00โ€”โ€”58500Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-02-21614.00โ€”โ€”112500Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-02-14680.00โ€”โ€”85400Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-02-07650.00โ€”โ€”45500Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-01-31643.00โ€”โ€”54500Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-01-24610.00โ€”โ€”23000Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-01-17596.00โ€”โ€”78900Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-01-10575.00โ€”โ€”26200Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-01-03587.00โ€”โ€”5800Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-12-27586.00โ€”โ€”81100Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-12-20585.00โ€”โ€”199700Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-12-13581.00โ€”โ€”169600Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-12-06610.00โ€”โ€”61200Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-11-29648.00โ€”โ€”90300Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-11-22655.00โ€”โ€”662300Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-11-15815.00โ€”โ€”57500Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-11-081,109.00โ€”โ€”32800Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-11-011,089.00โ€”โ€”67300Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-10-25988.00โ€”โ€”149400Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-10-181,020.00โ€”โ€”80200Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-10-111,112.00โ€”โ€”94000Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-10-041,129.00โ€”โ€”91000Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-09-271,120.00โ€”โ€”101900Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-09-201,098.00โ€”โ€”175800Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-09-131,145.00โ€”โ€”174200Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-09-061,268.50โ€”โ€”141200Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-08-301,483.00โ€”โ€”83000Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-08-231,435.50โ€”โ€”84600Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-08-161,552.50โ€”โ€”209000Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-08-091,227.50โ€”โ€”304000Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-08-021,413.50โ€”โ€”160600Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-07-261,520.00โ€”โ€”151400Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-07-191,580.00โ€”โ€”229000Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-07-121,692.50โ€”โ€”136400Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-07-051,725.00โ€”โ€”285000Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-06-281,810.00โ€”โ€”432600Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-06-211,777.50โ€”โ€”675000Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-06-141,442.00โ€”โ€”110600Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-06-071,375.00โ€”โ€”162400Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-05-311,500.00โ€”โ€”121600Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-05-241,602.50โ€”โ€”366200Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-05-171,670.00โ€”โ€”618800Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-05-101,262.50โ€”โ€”73000Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-05-031,211.00โ€”โ€”47000Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-04-261,261.00โ€”โ€”90800Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-04-191,226.50โ€”โ€”210000Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-04-121,415.00โ€”โ€”153600Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-04-051,431.50โ€”โ€”552600Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-03-291,475.50โ€”โ€”3964800Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
Price vs TrendAbove+23.1%
Trend directionRising+11.3%
Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+12.5%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+24.1%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+10.2%
Relative strength directionImproving+30.7%
Price momentumPositive+38.3%
Volume balanceDemand-led4.81ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

65 / ยฑ100

-1.4 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

68 /100

-18.7 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance14
Rotation Up74
Upward Expansion84
Deceleration58
Rotation Down8
Downward Expansion13

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2024-03-29 to 2026-10-09 ยท 54 classified observations out of 133 shown.

Balance 13%Upward Expansion 30%Deceleration 26%Rotation Down 13%Downward Expansion 19%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Upward Expansion2026-08-212026-10-09Developing+12.8%
Deceleration2026-07-032026-08-14Developing+3.1%
Upward Expansion2026-05-292026-06-26Developing-15.1%
Balance2026-04-102026-05-22Developing+22.9%
Downward Expansion2026-01-302026-04-03Developing+4.2%
Rotation Down2025-12-122026-01-23Developing+5.5%
Deceleration2025-10-242025-12-05Developing-19.0%
Upward Expansion2025-10-032025-10-17New+1.2%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing33
Stage 2 ยท Advancing100
Stage 3 ยท Distribution37
Stage 4 ยท Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 ยท Stage 2A ยท Early advance. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^N225

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation
95/100
Current Relative Strength
10.24
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
+38.3%
Excess performance vs benchmark
+17.1%
Industrials regime cohort
52th percentile267 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume1.97ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume4.81ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution3 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity JPY 971.27rising
Slow Activity JPY 830.06rising
Trend Reference JPY 789.00+23.1% close margin
Current Fair Value JPY 863.38+12.5% close margin
Structural low JPY 655.00shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +6.7%
Annualized volatility +41.4%
From structural high -23.1%
From structural low +89.3%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs ^N225 Regime survived Read
Near term4+0.2%-15.1% to +6.3%+50.0%+50.0%-5.0%+50.0%Too little matched history
Intermediate2-6.2%-11.9% to -0.5%+0.0%+0.0%-11.2%+50.0%Too little matched history
Extended1-15.2%-15.2% to -15.2%+0.0%+0.0%-31.3%+0.0%Too little matched history
Full cycle1+30.0%+30.0% to +30.0%+100.0%+100.0%-19.2%+100.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context