Weekly structural research · LSE · Technology

GHH Stage Analysis

Gooch & Housego PLC

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close GBP 1,225.00Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^FTSE

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Upward Expansion · Re-accelerating

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: wide and contracting.

Direction 65−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 61/100directional strength

Maturity 69/100lifecycle context

Confidence 79/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Widecontracting separation

Price acceptance +33.3%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +96.4%GBP 623.60 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-02	1,225.00	1,019.73	42.25	577504	Upward Expansion	65	61
2026-09-25	1,225.00	1,004.63	40.91	9267733	Upward Expansion	65	61
2026-09-18	1,205.00	991.79	40.84	1004161	Upward Expansion	50	56
2026-09-11	1,205.00	976.62	42.77	1683388	Upward Expansion	61	61
2026-09-04	1,205.00	961.52	42.25	1982332	Upward Expansion	63	68
2026-08-28	1,210.00	946.35	44.83	220377	Upward Expansion	65	80
2026-08-21	1,205.00	929.35	46.45	85849	Upward Expansion	66	86
2026-08-14	1,210.00	911.45	50.16	34206	Upward Expansion	65	87
2026-08-07	1,220.00	891.78	51.56	319008	Upward Expansion	71	89
2026-07-31	1,220.00	871.64	53.94	101117	Upward Expansion	79	89
2026-07-24	1,220.00	851.57	57.66	149981	Deceleration	81	72
2026-07-17	1,210.00	831.17	60.40	173362	Deceleration	75	41
2026-07-10	848.00	810.83	14.88	71535	Deceleration	15	21
2026-07-03	860.00	802.56	14.91	115639	Deceleration	30	20
2026-06-26	936.00	793.49	27.50	31510	Upward Expansion	44	32
2026-06-19	936.00	779.09	29.95	45913	Upward Expansion	60	49
2026-06-12	987.08	764.09	36.52	63528	Upward Expansion	64	57
2026-06-05	951.26	748.85	34.00	104640	Upward Expansion	66	65
2026-05-29	1,079.95	734.94	52.81	500374	Upward Expansion	87	88
2026-05-22	1,009.95	718.07	43.90	274807	Upward Expansion	81	77
2026-05-15	947.95	703.20	40.15	341936	Upward Expansion	74	72
2026-05-08	925.95	689.47	37.73	266203	Upward Expansion	73	75
2026-05-01	899.96	678.13	33.70	357497	Upward Expansion	70	73
2026-04-24	869.96	668.26	30.57	562169	Upward Expansion	66	64
2026-04-17	875.96	658.39	29.43	279704	Deceleration	70	53
2026-04-10	885.96	647.59	33.22	409250	Deceleration	75	50
2026-04-03	761.96	636.39	17.62	1320855	Deceleration	43	32
2026-03-27	751.96	628.79	22.53	344036	Upward Expansion	55	40
2026-03-20	763.96	620.22	25.96	659297	Upward Expansion	61	51
2026-03-13	739.96	611.35	18.81	317983	Upward Expansion	64	58
2026-03-06	771.96	603.35	24.50	347907	Upward Expansion	67	81
2026-02-27	839.96	597.02	28.59	494226	Upward Expansion	89	94
2026-02-20	749.96	589.68	18.19	378247	Upward Expansion	73	85
2026-02-13	751.96	584.81	21.99	486619	Upward Expansion	80	87
2026-02-06	749.96	580.81	23.49	668447	Upward Expansion	86	84
2026-01-30	699.97	576.14	17.77	856401	Upward Expansion	81	75
2026-01-23	667.89	573.14	13.93	406874	Rotation Up	78	69
2026-01-16	619.90	571.54	5.25	389189	Rotation Up	36	52
2026-01-09	615.90	570.34	5.83	204401	Rotation Up	35	53
2026-01-02	617.90	568.80	8.24	122836	Rotation Up	35	51
2025-12-26	607.90	566.40	7.40	110351	Balance	23	30
2025-12-19	599.90	563.73	5.68	173656	Balance	18	20
2025-12-12	599.90	561.00	8.35	258689	Balance	-14	6
2025-12-05	587.90	558.20	5.95	371644	Balance	-33	31
2025-11-28	503.92	553.27	-9.63	130449	Balance	-57	56
2025-11-21	485.92	550.17	-11.31	179060	Balance	-38	42
2025-11-14	529.91	546.53	-5.01	160792	Balance	-11	10
2025-11-07	533.91	541.36	-4.36	256289	Deceleration	9	8
2025-10-31	573.90	536.56	2.36	139514	Deceleration	45	19
2025-10-24	563.91	530.06	1.34	190811	Deceleration	34	19
2025-10-17	535.91	526.73	-0.38	222928	Deceleration	28	20
2025-10-10	585.90	524.26	8.45	829771	Deceleration	42	31
2025-10-03	603.90	519.40	11.45	287103	Deceleration	48	31
2025-09-26	573.90	514.68	8.88	630325	Deceleration	33	19
2025-09-19	551.91	510.61	5.95	311172	Deceleration	9	10
2025-09-12	549.91	506.91	5.03	115711	Deceleration	4	18
2025-09-05	533.91	502.84	2.91	277771	Deceleration	3	24
2025-08-29	494.92	499.54	-4.27	146907	Deceleration	-4	24
2025-08-22	497.92	497.69	-5.12	169643	Deceleration	12	20
2025-08-15	499.92	496.06	-2.90	244111	Upward Expansion	25	19
2025-08-08	581.90	495.65	13.56	244402	Upward Expansion	51	43
2025-08-01	619.90	491.38	21.53	318081	Upward Expansion	66	55
2025-07-25	603.90	487.38	18.13	469644	Upward Expansion	65	58
2025-07-18	631.89	484.18	25.82	160290	Upward Expansion	75	81
2025-07-11	609.90	479.79	22.67	174363	Upward Expansion	70	82
2025-07-04	609.90	476.92	24.78	195983	Upward Expansion	73	83
2025-06-27	619.90	472.91	27.69	575434	Upward Expansion	82	85
2025-06-20	583.90	467.54	21.12	144015	Upward Expansion	77	82
2025-06-13	569.86	463.36	17.36	387185	Rotation Up	77	80
2025-06-06	545.86	460.99	12.56	600044	Rotation Up	46	65
2025-05-30	527.87	458.25	9.48	125435	Rotation Up	34	42
2025-05-23	517.87	456.58	7.78	217300	Downward Expansion	32	35
2025-05-16	515.87	452.78	7.35	465795	Downward Expansion	-1	11
2025-05-09	439.89	448.68	-7.30	424097	Downward Expansion	-51	33
2025-05-02	410.90	448.01	-14.28	126816	Downward Expansion	-59	64
2025-04-25	376.91	447.28	-20.24	130540	Downward Expansion	-64	74
2025-04-18	374.91	448.24	-19.95	120086	Downward Expansion	-69	69
2025-04-11	389.90	450.47	-14.18	381122	Balance	-64	55
2025-04-04	378.91	452.97	-18.05	262410	Balance	-42	33
2025-03-28	463.88	455.18	-7.38	104543	Balance	3	6
2025-03-21	461.88	455.11	-8.01	329931	Balance	6	7
2025-03-14	439.89	455.11	-12.67	282255	Balance	-5	7
2025-03-07	462.38	455.61	-9.13	136940	Rotation Down	-3	9
2025-02-28	451.89	456.32	-12.79	265133	Rotation Down	-17	28
2025-02-21	440.89	457.15	-13.73	185142	Rotation Down	-19	39
2025-02-14	427.89	457.81	-17.32	142263	Balance	-26	36
2025-02-07	434.89	459.21	-16.53	171410	Balance	-20	21
2025-01-31	439.39	460.51	-16.31	253793	Balance	-8	16
2025-01-24	448.89	461.59	-13.72	124435	Balance	20	15
2025-01-17	487.79	462.48	-7.13	203306	Balance	36	18
2025-01-10	453.80	463.35	-11.51	176044	Rotation Up	35	21
2025-01-03	499.78	465.88	-3.01	47289	Rotation Up	30	43
2024-12-27	507.78	467.48	-1.05	22895	Rotation Up	33	45
2024-12-20	500.28	469.34	-2.16	123113	Rotation Up	30	35
2024-12-13	523.77	472.32	-0.67	155530	Balance	33	35
2024-12-06	489.79	473.45	-7.63	213386	Balance	23	23
2024-11-29	458.80	475.92	-13.68	205320	Balance	-5	17
2024-11-22	458.30	479.28	-13.83	103071	Balance	-5	21
2024-11-15	498.79	482.33	-4.27	252575	Downward Expansion	-1	17
2024-11-08	463.80	483.83	-11.21	254157	Downward Expansion	-27	16
2024-11-01	477.79	486.36	-9.99	292281	Downward Expansion	-30	24
2024-10-25	403.83	488.89	-24.73	737913	Downward Expansion	-62	60
2024-10-18	392.83	492.75	-28.16	115250	Downward Expansion	-70	76
2024-10-11	419.82	497.65	-22.75	250941	Downward Expansion	-63	72
2024-10-04	388.83	500.44	-29.05	208040	Downward Expansion	-81	78
2024-09-27	405.83	503.64	-26.79	171196	Downward Expansion	-78	68
2024-09-20	441.81	505.90	-19.79	149922	Downward Expansion	-65	44
2024-09-13	464.80	507.57	-16.34	130774	Downward Expansion	-56	38
2024-09-06	445.31	512.93	-19.16	110590	Downward Expansion	-65	46
2024-08-30	461.80	519.21	-18.46	143203	Downward Expansion	-58	38
2024-08-23	461.80	525.34	-18.30	633029	Downward Expansion	-59	39
2024-08-16	454.80	530.87	-19.73	1029833	Downward Expansion	-66	43
2024-08-09	483.79	535.43	-13.60	125028	Downward Expansion	-59	42
2024-08-02	476.79	539.62	-15.27	265652	Downward Expansion	-62	54
2024-07-26	460.80	543.45	-19.55	722796	Downward Expansion	-70	74
2024-07-19	469.80	547.91	-17.12	104833	Downward Expansion	-68	75
2024-07-12	473.80	551.90	-17.84	226271	Downward Expansion	-70	75
2024-07-05	471.80	555.83	-18.22	189958	Downward Expansion	-74	74
2024-06-28	475.80	559.09	-17.69	96173	Balance	-73	62
2024-06-21	513.78	560.22	-12.48	267029	Balance	-48	30
2024-06-14	529.72	560.15	-9.26	747348	Balance	-35	14
2024-06-07	547.71	559.15	-7.74	1048692	Balance	8	15
2024-05-31	563.70	557.61	-5.70	68175	Balance	14	26
2024-05-24	589.69	554.88	-2.01	234989	Balance	34	29
2024-05-17	557.71	551.95	-8.48	112693	Balance	17	13
2024-05-10	563.70	550.38	-7.83	174173	Balance	8	9
2024-05-03	559.71	548.91	-6.19	166154	Balance	4	7
2024-04-26	549.71	547.64	-7.17	621412	Balance	-2	7
2024-04-19	543.71	545.81	-5.30	211841	Balance	-4	7
2024-04-12	539.72	544.40	-7.07	122228	Balance	3	6
2024-04-05	553.71	543.27	-3.58	188281	Upward Expansion	-1	7
2024-03-29	519.73	541.93	-9.72	217370	Upward Expansion	-17	28
2024-03-22	539.72	541.80	-5.82	205855	Upward Expansion	-21	43
2024-03-15	503.74	541.16	-9.57	201242	Upward Expansion	-22	38
2024-03-08	484.75	542.36	-12.16	552812	Upward Expansion	-29	38
2024-03-01	473.75	544.82	-14.39	236125	Upward Expansion	-20	24
2024-02-23	491.74	547.55	-11.50	1002812	Upward Expansion	13	11
2024-02-16	625.67	550.38	12.56	470331	Upward Expansion	62	57
2024-02-09	633.67	549.18	16.39	407917	Upward Expansion	66	57
2024-02-02	645.66	548.04	18.29	178801	Upward Expansion	76	63
2024-01-26	627.67	546.47	15.03	165257	Rotation Up	74	56
2024-01-19	591.69	546.27	11.24	189092	Rotation Up	35	46
2024-01-12	609.59	547.10	12.37	175132	Rotation Up	46	66
2024-01-05	591.60	547.90	8.38	1618898	Rotation Up	38	66
2023-12-29	594.60	548.03	8.51	33940	Rotation Up	34	62
2023-12-22	589.61	546.96	8.23	221318	Rotation Up	33	51
2023-12-15	591.60	545.63	10.51	199118	Downward Expansion	35	33
2023-12-08	569.62	545.03	6.98	305629	Downward Expansion	7	12
2023-12-01	509.66	544.96	-3.66	125987	Downward Expansion	-37	22
2023-11-24	511.66	547.09	-2.58	280677	Downward Expansion	-51	32
2023-11-17	499.67	547.22	-4.89	308070	Downward Expansion	-54	37
2023-11-10	501.67	547.69	-2.51	274430	Downward Expansion	-54	38
2023-11-03	481.68	548.09	-7.02	156549	Downward Expansion	-67	41
2023-10-27	501.67	547.35	-1.48	112155	Downward Expansion	-49	29
2023-10-20	510.66	545.57	-1.18	154257	Rotation Down	-46	31
2023-10-13	519.65	543.10	-2.07	187821	Rotation Down	-29	28

Price vs TrendAbove+20.1%

Trend directionRising+19.7%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+96.4%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+45.5%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+42.3%

Relative strength directionImproving+27.3%

Price momentumPositive+60.8%

Volume balanceDemand-led4.51×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

65 / ±100

+2.5 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

61 /100

-7.2 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

GHH Directional State ↗ GHH Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance22

Rotation Up46

Upward Expansion81

Deceleration69

Rotation Down30

Downward Expansion12

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-13 to 2026-10-02 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 21%Rotation Up 11%Upward Expansion 31%Deceleration 12%Rotation Down 3%Downward Expansion 22%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Upward Expansion	2026-07-31	2026-10-02	Developing	+0.4%
Deceleration	2026-07-03	2026-07-24	New	+41.9%
Upward Expansion	2026-04-24	2026-06-26	Developing	+7.6%
Deceleration	2026-04-03	2026-04-17	New	+15.0%
Upward Expansion	2026-01-30	2026-03-27	Developing	+7.4%
Rotation Up	2026-01-02	2026-01-23	New	+8.1%
Balance	2025-11-14	2025-12-26	Developing	+14.7%
Deceleration	2025-08-22	2025-11-07	Developing	+7.2%
Upward Expansion	2025-06-20	2025-08-15	Developing	-14.4%
Rotation Up	2025-05-30	2025-06-13	New	+8.0%
Downward Expansion	2025-04-18	2025-05-23	Developing	+38.1%
Balance	2025-03-14	2025-04-11	Developing	-11.4%
Rotation Down	2025-02-21	2025-03-07	New	+4.9%
Balance	2025-01-17	2025-02-14	Developing	-12.3%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing18

Stage 2 · Advancing100

Stage 3 · Distribution52

Stage 4 · Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2B · Advancing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^FTSE

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 100/100
Current Relative Strength: 42.25
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +60.8%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +60.5%
Technology regime cohort: 33th percentile33 in cohort

Test GHH trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.69×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume4.51×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore GHH Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity GBP 1,217.00rising

Slow Activity GBP 1,105.90rising

Trend Reference GBP 1,019.73+20.1% close margin

Current Fair Value GBP 623.60+96.4% close margin

Structural low GBP 739.96shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +3.9%

Annualized volatility +60.0%

From structural high -2.0%

From structural low +164.6%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^FTSE	Regime survived	Read
Near term	21	+1.2%-26.6% to +29.3%	+52.4%	+52.4%	+2.4%	+71.4%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	7	-5.3%-18.0% to +35.6%	+28.6%	+28.6%	-8.2%	+42.9%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	5	-6.9%-26.2% to +74.3%	+40.0%	+40.0%	-10.1%	+20.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	3	+7.3%-39.2% to +60.3%	+66.7%	+66.7%	-1.8%	+33.3%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

GHH Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map