Weekly structural research ยท SHH ยท Industrials

603507 Stage Analysis

JiangSu Zhenjiang New Energy Equipment Co., Ltd.

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close CNY 27.71Tenure DevelopingBenchmark 000001.SS
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Downward Expansion ยท Early contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: moderate and contracting.
Direction 2โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 15/100directional strength
Maturity 68/100lifecycle context
Confidence 45/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Moderatecontracting separation
Price acceptance +0.0%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context +41.1%CNY 19.64 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-0227.7127.8916.3146671678Downward Expansion215
2026-09-2526.7527.8011.5475827424Downward Expansion-3225
2026-09-1824.2027.740.7366511285Downward Expansion-5846
2026-09-1122.1727.72-6.8418468338Downward Expansion-6967
2026-09-0422.4127.81-6.7423179805Downward Expansion-6849
2026-08-2823.8027.79-1.436703956Downward Expansion-4637
2026-08-2123.0427.74-3.374337118Downward Expansion-5641
2026-08-1425.2427.685.3211728541Rotation Down-5945
2026-08-0724.4827.601.987382814Rotation Down-3757
2026-07-3123.4327.450.677165331Rotation Down-3967
2026-07-2422.3727.29-3.1010682170Rotation Down-4469
2026-07-1721.8427.16-3.9546131458Rotation Down-4468
2026-07-1023.5127.07-2.4337218211Rotation Down-4263
2026-07-0325.4626.904.5837766667Deceleration-3147
2026-06-2625.5426.665.6336510715Deceleration-1430
2026-06-1928.7726.3717.5136101435Deceleration723
2026-06-1227.7526.0415.6036111293Deceleration1223
2026-06-0527.7325.7616.1435190966Deceleration2421
2026-05-2929.5825.4523.1350071115Upward Expansion4328
2026-05-2232.3025.0833.6260069650Upward Expansion5145
2026-05-1534.4624.6042.5867563953Upward Expansion6558
2026-05-0833.1724.1336.6261409678Upward Expansion6661
2026-05-0136.3123.7052.9977607154Upward Expansion7876
2026-04-2434.1823.1946.9086931221Upward Expansion7077
2026-04-1734.2522.7649.9378538396Upward Expansion7687
2026-04-1035.9022.2761.4978805359Upward Expansion9092
2026-04-0330.8521.7643.7797326565Upward Expansion7584
2026-03-2732.1221.4349.68120003098Upward Expansion9090
2026-03-2028.8821.1034.27132141396Upward Expansion8385
2026-03-1328.5520.8528.91128856515Upward Expansion8782
2026-03-0624.9420.6112.1945651358Upward Expansion7281
2026-02-2724.9020.4011.1540088684Upward Expansion7780
2026-02-1323.7620.188.5071887624Upward Expansion7174
2026-02-0624.8520.0014.2274149562Upward Expansion8681
2026-01-3021.6119.79-1.6264406704Upward Expansion6271
2026-01-2322.3119.690.9750472675Rotation Up6573
2026-01-1621.3219.57-2.8167133383Rotation Up3856
2026-01-0922.7519.453.16147042203Rotation Up5145
2026-01-0220.0019.30-5.9143148140Downward Expansion-1313
2025-12-2618.7019.27-11.9931965574Downward Expansion-3617
2025-12-1918.6519.27-10.6634141925Downward Expansion-3922
2025-12-1218.8619.31-9.8044250078Downward Expansion-5238
2025-12-0518.5419.37-11.8828066780Downward Expansion-5546
2025-11-2818.1619.46-13.6133835961Downward Expansion-5644
2025-11-2116.9619.52-18.6034147887Downward Expansion-7253
2025-11-1418.8419.53-13.5536286457Deceleration-1530
2025-11-0719.4519.46-11.2361911326Deceleration-1728
2025-10-3118.4519.37-15.1434688056Deceleration-1928
2025-10-2418.5119.49-15.2133361316Deceleration-1720
2025-10-1717.9019.49-16.0470135817Deceleration610
2025-10-1020.3719.53-6.0829848545Deceleration3720
2025-10-0320.2519.52-6.3644664059Deceleration3719
2025-09-2621.0119.53-1.5964381682Deceleration4323
2025-09-1921.0719.44-1.0681353201Upward Expansion5630
2025-09-1219.7419.33-8.5547074762Upward Expansion5436
2025-09-0520.5219.24-3.7861022791Upward Expansion5863
2025-08-2921.0519.13-2.5195210679Upward Expansion5971
2025-08-2222.2319.033.8187862908Upward Expansion7676
2025-08-1521.2418.912.94116918376Balance6760
2025-08-0821.4718.805.95178092479Balance6636
2025-08-0118.5318.67-6.4665387961Balance-1510
2025-07-2518.1718.62-9.2554390783Balance-2112
2025-07-1818.5418.59-6.1788736728Balance-66
2025-07-1118.5518.57-5.5339528812Balance-915
2025-07-0418.5518.58-4.6267400148Balance-1012
2025-06-2718.7318.60-2.4748497761Balance-1012
2025-06-2017.8018.64-5.7956829461Balance-1515
2025-06-1318.3218.69-3.80135040334Balance1912
2025-06-0618.8318.72-1.5150298491Balance4121
2025-05-3018.8418.75-0.4076849285Balance4639
2025-05-2319.6818.793.94119590279Balance4941
2025-05-1620.8618.809.48133184551Balance5443
2025-05-0921.3118.6812.89229927174Balance3214
2025-05-0219.8918.567.6899852992Balance614
2025-04-2517.1518.51-7.3296765058Balance-4326
2025-04-1816.6918.51-9.15132046855Balance-2817
2025-04-1116.9418.47-6.46173906194Upward Expansion2614
2025-04-0421.8818.4317.24127890511Upward Expansion7967
2025-03-2818.6518.220.2533498686Upward Expansion4548
2025-03-2119.1518.112.7556364958Upward Expansion5452
2025-03-1420.0717.956.3051389400Balance6351
2025-03-0720.4417.8010.2977797820Balance6533
2025-02-2818.3617.631.2181746562Balance1712
2025-02-2117.6117.56-4.1526158716Balance-1018
2025-02-1417.0217.55-6.1024465920Deceleration-17
2025-02-0717.3917.52-2.4720937788Deceleration148
2025-01-3118.0517.513.284116242Deceleration2412
2025-01-2418.5717.466.6830694407Deceleration1513
2025-01-1717.8017.462.9419202014Deceleration717
2025-01-1017.7417.495.1627233804Deceleration718
2025-01-0316.9517.49-0.5628278488Deceleration115
2024-12-2717.2617.50-4.2219971269Deceleration1817
2024-12-2018.0417.531.1922593704Deceleration3619
2024-12-1318.6817.554.3820955395Upward Expansion4227
2024-12-0619.2017.537.2539367360Upward Expansion5536
2024-11-2919.8617.4813.9419883710Upward Expansion6244
2024-11-2219.4517.3514.0839478895Upward Expansion5951
2024-11-1519.0917.1910.2534169136Upward Expansion6267
2024-11-0819.9917.0011.7348556320Upward Expansion7274
2024-11-0119.7916.8117.1146880501Upward Expansion7473
2024-10-2520.0516.6518.2678887870Upward Expansion7069
2024-10-1817.4416.474.6126681581Upward Expansion4442
2024-10-1117.4716.386.4251645024Deceleration4435
2024-10-0418.6216.269.6410988458Deceleration5035
2024-09-2716.9916.088.4924015700Deceleration79
2024-09-2015.4115.9311.319084552Deceleration-2417
2024-09-1315.9315.8416.7822565023Rotation Down-1720
2024-09-0615.4615.7011.2921502824Rotation Down-2142
2024-08-3015.4515.558.5817484304Rotation Down-2246
2024-08-2314.3315.460.4714167127Deceleration-3647
2024-08-1615.4215.437.1613510862Deceleration-316
2024-08-0915.3915.407.6516903536Deceleration-314
2024-08-0216.3015.3512.4432879352Deceleration2619
2024-07-2617.2315.3019.5833887388Deceleration3222
2024-07-1916.3715.1710.2025275730Deceleration3620
2024-07-1216.8415.0713.4861734980Upward Expansion4230
2024-07-0516.6714.9612.8835156725Upward Expansion4838
2024-06-2818.6314.8824.9735477824Upward Expansion6753
2024-06-2118.6214.7523.5142355415Upward Expansion7155
2024-06-1417.7114.6316.1120447707Upward Expansion6456
2024-06-0717.3914.5312.9243553454Upward Expansion6679
2024-05-3118.0814.4415.6828702078Upward Expansion7087
2024-05-2418.6714.3119.0932390000Upward Expansion8291
2024-05-1717.9814.1612.2039178556Upward Expansion8286
2024-05-1017.6614.0510.0247649966Rotation Up8372
2024-05-0316.0013.971.1529962320Rotation Up4330
2024-04-2614.6613.92-7.0440359513Rotation Up1917
2024-04-1913.2813.93-15.5326511544Rotation Up817
2024-04-1214.5213.99-6.9326620263Rotation Up2138
2024-04-0514.8914.01-6.5822480254Rotation Up2633
2024-03-2914.7914.00-6.6630435390Downward Expansion2427
2024-03-2214.6914.02-7.9936102958Downward Expansion-615
2024-03-1513.7214.06-14.9233697094Downward Expansion-3117
2024-03-0813.2314.17-18.5133737496Downward Expansion-5334
2024-03-0112.6914.30-22.1126587660Downward Expansion-6057
2024-02-2312.5614.44-22.9427058614Downward Expansion-6372
2024-02-0911.7114.65-25.3840842360Downward Expansion-7278
2024-02-0211.1414.90-26.0745803285Downward Expansion-8474
2024-01-2612.6815.22-21.4372589780Downward Expansion-7346
2024-01-1913.3815.49-15.2328077118Downward Expansion-5530
2024-01-1214.3715.75-10.8434596957Downward Expansion-4025
2024-01-0513.9815.95-14.8423650157Downward Expansion-5741
2023-12-2914.7116.21-11.8345362409Downward Expansion-6148
2023-12-2213.5216.42-17.4517352826Downward Expansion-6969
2023-12-1513.3716.68-19.4918806612Downward Expansion-7764
2023-12-0813.6316.92-19.2514550215Downward Expansion-7656
2023-12-0114.1217.15-18.5214853674Downward Expansion-6947
2023-11-2414.6517.34-16.2812776863Downward Expansion-4839
2023-11-1715.0117.48-15.1917005601Downward Expansion-4945
2023-11-1014.9017.64-15.8517710977Downward Expansion-6155
2023-11-0314.6417.83-17.5232885212Downward Expansion-6462
2023-10-2714.2318.03-19.9424227805Downward Expansion-7265
2023-10-2014.1818.19-19.6625357599Downward Expansion-7566
2023-10-1314.6318.39-20.2220193662Downward Expansion-7065
2023-09-2915.2418.64-17.8021599890Downward Expansion-6563
2023-09-2214.6118.93-22.0111832069Downward Expansion-7273
Price vs TrendBelow-0.7%
Trend directionRising+2.2%
Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+41.1%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+7.6%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+16.3%
Relative strength directionImproving+11.7%
Price momentumNegative-10.2%
Volume balanceDemand-led1.80ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

2 / ยฑ100

+69.5 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

15 /100

-33.7 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance57
Rotation Up38
Upward Expansion29
Deceleration47
Rotation Down20
Downward Expansion51

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-09-22 to 2026-10-02 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 14%Rotation Up 6%Upward Expansion 28%Deceleration 21%Rotation Down 6%Downward Expansion 26%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Downward Expansion2026-08-212026-10-02Developing+20.3%
Rotation Down2026-07-102026-08-14Developing+7.3%
Deceleration2026-06-052026-07-03Developing-8.2%
Upward Expansion2026-01-302026-05-29Established+36.8%
Rotation Up2026-01-092026-01-23New-2.0%
Downward Expansion2025-11-212026-01-02Developing+17.9%
Deceleration2025-09-262025-11-14Developing-10.3%
Upward Expansion2025-08-222025-09-19Developing-5.2%
Balance2025-04-182025-08-15Established+27.2%
Upward Expansion2025-03-212025-04-11New-11.5%
Balance2025-02-212025-03-14New+14.0%
Deceleration2024-12-202025-02-14Developing-5.6%
Upward Expansion2024-10-182024-12-13Developing+7.1%
Deceleration2024-09-202024-10-11New+13.4%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing59
Stage 2 ยท Advancing71
Stage 3 ยท Distribution51
Stage 4 ยท Declining29

Legacy result: Stage 1 ยท Stage 1B ยท Basing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus 000001.SS

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation
12/100
Current Relative Strength
16.31
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
-10.2%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-9.2%
Industrials regime cohort
2th percentile330 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume1.43ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.80ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution3 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+50.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+50.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity CNY 25.66rising
Slow Activity CNY 26.04falling
Trend Reference CNY 27.89-0.7% close margin
Current Fair Value CNY 19.64+41.1% close margin
Structural low CNY 21.46shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +7.9%
Annualized volatility +48.8%
From structural high -26.7%
From structural low +63.7%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs 000001.SS Regime survived Read
Near term16+2.5%-21.6% to +31.2%+62.5%+37.5%+3.2%+81.2%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate5+24.5%-21.4% to +53.6%+60.0%+40.0%+21.3%+40.0%Usable descriptive sample
Extended4+27.9%-31.8% to +74.5%+75.0%+25.0%+31.6%+25.0%Too little matched history
Full cycle2+13.3%-10.2% to +36.9%+50.0%+50.0%+18.7%+0.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context