Weekly structural research · ASX · Industrials

SKS Stage Analysis

SKS Technologies Group Limited

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close AUD 8.75Tenure NewBenchmark ^AXJO

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Upward Expansion · Re-accelerating

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: moderate and expanding.

Direction 54−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 58/100directional strength

Maturity 14/100lifecycle context

Confidence 83/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Moderateexpanding separation

Price acceptance +16.7%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +192.7%AUD 2.99 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	8.75	7.80	43.21	16579435	Upward Expansion	54	58
2026-10-02	10.88	7.66	81.33	3229633	Upward Expansion	78	75
2026-09-25	10.16	7.44	73.52	3903486	Deceleration	70	42
2026-09-18	9.19	7.25	59.09	7512891	Deceleration	49	23
2026-09-11	7.74	7.10	36.51	1319412	Deceleration	11	11
2026-09-04	7.69	6.97	33.79	395208	Deceleration	29	22
2026-08-28	8.45	6.85	47.86	255856	Deceleration	39	31
2026-08-21	8.14	6.68	45.75	283131	Deceleration	46	28
2026-08-14	9.42	6.54	70.80	313163	Deceleration	68	38
2026-08-07	8.27	6.36	51.17	415810	Deceleration	34	21
2026-07-31	7.30	6.21	40.52	598757	Deceleration	36	23
2026-07-24	8.29	6.10	66.37	225321	Deceleration	44	34
2026-07-17	8.36	5.95	71.32	708598	Upward Expansion	48	43
2026-07-10	8.34	5.81	74.98	237138	Upward Expansion	61	54
2026-07-03	8.51	5.66	82.38	465925	Upward Expansion	63	57
2026-06-26	9.27	5.52	105.95	278435	Upward Expansion	74	66
2026-06-19	9.30	5.35	111.81	230075	Upward Expansion	80	70
2026-06-12	7.91	5.15	86.84	375190	Upward Expansion	67	66
2026-06-05	8.60	5.00	113.39	1910373	Upward Expansion	71	82
2026-05-29	9.10	4.83	130.68	660903	Upward Expansion	88	95
2026-05-22	7.95	4.65	110.77	1940560	Upward Expansion	74	90
2026-05-15	8.30	4.51	127.91	3405521	Upward Expansion	88	95
2026-05-08	8.04	4.37	125.88	2986088	Upward Expansion	93	97
2026-05-01	6.45	4.24	88.00	1295207	Upward Expansion	77	88
2026-04-24	6.90	4.17	104.95	2440536	Upward Expansion	88	87
2026-04-17	5.67	4.06	70.26	3301343	Upward Expansion	78	63
2026-04-10	4.90	3.99	50.21	1104358	Upward Expansion	63	28
2026-04-03	4.20	3.93	36.87	706391	Upward Expansion	32	15
2026-03-27	3.90	3.88	30.07	1155349	Upward Expansion	29	15
2026-03-20	3.89	3.85	32.71	1225879	Upward Expansion	47	29
2026-03-13	4.55	3.81	53.75	1798593	Upward Expansion	65	65
2026-03-06	4.39	3.74	46.87	1522522	Upward Expansion	59	62
2026-02-27	4.40	3.68	43.97	2282304	Upward Expansion	62	59
2026-02-20	4.67	3.60	57.07	2454171	Deceleration	72	39
2026-02-13	4.04	3.52	40.81	1337743	Deceleration	40	18
2026-02-06	3.89	3.46	40.32	1649293	Deceleration	21	11
2026-01-30	3.50	3.40	25.65	1433831	Deceleration	16	11
2026-01-23	3.75	3.35	35.88	775963	Deceleration	35	20
2026-01-16	4.06	3.28	48.25	1337551	Deceleration	46	28
2026-01-09	3.83	3.20	44.33	946580	Upward Expansion	41	28
2026-01-02	3.92	3.13	49.17	494570	Upward Expansion	55	41
2025-12-26	3.90	3.05	49.92	567926	Upward Expansion	59	50
2025-12-19	4.06	2.98	61.24	707539	Upward Expansion	61	55
2025-12-12	4.06	2.90	62.84	869507	Upward Expansion	64	52
2025-12-05	4.25	2.82	74.45	838028	Deceleration	75	50
2025-11-28	4.11	2.73	72.29	1723739	Deceleration	59	33
2025-11-21	3.44	2.66	50.01	2087558	Deceleration	35	29
2025-11-14	3.25	2.60	39.92	1691514	Deceleration	42	33
2025-11-07	3.42	2.54	46.52	2141100	Upward Expansion	50	50
2025-10-31	3.77	2.49	61.57	1642422	Upward Expansion	65	65
2025-10-24	3.91	2.41	67.85	1445095	Upward Expansion	67	68
2025-10-17	3.89	2.34	70.84	2415870	Upward Expansion	69	87
2025-10-10	4.38	2.28	97.47	3238109	Upward Expansion	93	97
2025-10-03	4.09	2.19	88.57	3245608	Upward Expansion	94	98
2025-09-26	3.85	2.11	85.44	2650669	Upward Expansion	96	97
2025-09-19	3.42	2.04	68.76	2348658	Upward Expansion	92	94
2025-09-12	3.09	1.99	53.60	1645310	Upward Expansion	87	94
2025-09-05	2.86	1.96	44.81	1040851	Upward Expansion	81	92
2025-08-29	2.81	1.93	42.74	6492971	Upward Expansion	86	94
2025-08-22	2.69	1.91	38.10	1240313	Upward Expansion	86	93
2025-08-15	2.54	1.89	32.41	1545682	Upward Expansion	83	87
2025-08-08	2.44	1.88	30.31	1557309	Rotation Up	83	85
2025-08-01	2.23	1.87	21.70	1778320	Rotation Up	45	68
2025-07-25	2.21	1.86	21.26	1374155	Rotation Up	47	68
2025-07-18	2.18	1.85	19.02	1155540	Rotation Up	38	58
2025-07-11	2.02	1.83	13.34	1308273	Balance	26	39
2025-07-04	2.02	1.82	13.80	1614277	Balance	6	13
2025-06-27	1.81	1.82	3.85	1218049	Balance	-26	12
2025-06-20	1.68	1.82	-2.54	856869	Balance	-36	19
2025-06-13	1.63	1.83	-4.99	443015	Balance	-51	24
2025-06-06	1.64	1.84	-3.16	762731	Balance	-49	26
2025-05-30	1.74	1.84	4.61	985881	Balance	-47	28
2025-05-23	1.69	1.83	3.98	1992745	Rotation Down	-48	26
2025-05-16	1.56	1.82	-2.85	943259	Rotation Down	-58	30
2025-05-09	1.56	1.81	-0.99	1025489	Rotation Down	-33	21
2025-05-02	1.87	1.81	19.62	826892	Rotation Down	-18	15
2025-04-25	1.72	1.79	15.78	448777	Rotation Down	-28	39
2025-04-18	1.63	1.78	13.17	899583	Rotation Down	-32	40
2025-04-11	1.64	1.77	18.04	1278357	Rotation Down	-23	31
2025-04-04	1.53	1.76	11.68	888086	Balance	-33	34
2025-03-28	1.86	1.75	32.24	1011906	Balance	7	14
2025-03-21	1.88	1.73	36.88	866009	Balance	6	17
2025-03-14	1.79	1.72	36.05	672896	Balance	6	15
2025-03-07	1.72	1.71	30.99	889562	Upward Expansion	13	15
2025-02-28	1.77	1.70	33.66	2252852	Upward Expansion	27	16
2025-02-21	2.01	1.70	52.47	1070674	Upward Expansion	43	30
2025-02-14	2.05	1.68	54.47	1180726	Upward Expansion	56	39
2025-02-07	2.03	1.67	57.75	1071083	Upward Expansion	61	47
2025-01-31	2.15	1.64	70.81	730718	Upward Expansion	67	66
2025-01-24	2.09	1.60	73.49	955150	Upward Expansion	62	64
2025-01-17	2.16	1.56	86.59	1981915	Upward Expansion	71	61
2025-01-10	2.20	1.52	96.41	2253441	Upward Expansion	77	49
2025-01-03	1.89	1.47	76.18	636786	Upward Expansion	50	33
2024-12-27	1.88	1.43	79.68	631837	Upward Expansion	53	36
2024-12-20	1.54	1.39	55.20	1641334	Upward Expansion	55	43
2024-12-13	1.87	1.37	87.37	1408998	Upward Expansion	65	74
2024-12-06	1.90	1.33	94.48	1219053	Upward Expansion	67	84
2024-11-29	1.94	1.29	104.72	1236395	Upward Expansion	76	87
2024-11-22	1.98	1.25	117.21	2401452	Upward Expansion	86	89
2024-11-15	1.85	1.21	112.73	1206125	Upward Expansion	84	80
2024-11-08	1.65	1.16	97.24	910249	Upward Expansion	73	59
2024-11-01	1.54	1.13	94.72	1093736	Deceleration	66	40
2024-10-25	1.36	1.09	75.15	447778	Deceleration	38	25
2024-10-18	1.35	1.06	77.37	400755	Deceleration	49	33
2024-10-11	1.41	1.03	92.06	1039210	Deceleration	54	35
2024-10-04	1.36	0.9908	92.92	306822	Deceleration	37	23
2024-09-27	1.44	0.9572	109.60	572752	Deceleration	44	25
2024-09-20	1.37	0.9204	106.89	1688893	Deceleration	36	24
2024-09-13	1.18	0.885	86.43	1096233	Deceleration	39	26
2024-09-06	1.27	0.8553	109.24	1056211	Upward Expansion	48	44
2024-08-30	1.39	0.8219	134.17	449836	Upward Expansion	63	61
2024-08-23	1.44	0.7849	154.32	1456515	Upward Expansion	66	66
2024-08-16	1.52	0.7461	182.67	1019519	Upward Expansion	68	70
2024-08-09	1.54	0.7043	209.11	876970	Upward Expansion	71	89
2024-08-02	1.55	0.6613	220.55	695185	Upward Expansion	80	93
2024-07-26	1.58	0.619	246.59	1058246	Upward Expansion	93	97
2024-07-19	1.54	0.5762	258.70	2694047	Upward Expansion	97	99
2024-07-12	1.30	0.5336	223.40	3417315	Upward Expansion	95	94
2024-07-05	0.9635	0.498	157.94	666205	Upward Expansion	81	71
2024-06-28	0.9635	0.4731	171.06	783714	Upward Expansion	86	70
2024-06-21	0.8093	0.4487	137.25	630789	Upward Expansion	75	63
2024-06-14	0.7178	0.4286	120.41	74715	Upward Expansion	61	60
2024-06-07	0.7226	0.4108	125.59	95114	Upward Expansion	65	65
2024-05-31	0.7419	0.3939	144.67	162174	Upward Expansion	67	67
2024-05-24	0.7082	0.3754	141.37	297843	Upward Expansion	68	69
2024-05-17	0.7949	0.3581	177.62	484018	Upward Expansion	88	75
2024-05-10	0.7274	0.3377	167.27	824642	Upward Expansion	83	74
2024-05-03	0.7563	0.3197	193.66	535490	Upward Expansion	98	98
2024-04-26	0.6407	0.3008	161.86	484724	Upward Expansion	96	93
2024-04-19	0.5781	0.2855	145.86	642595	Upward Expansion	97	97
2024-04-12	0.5685	0.2718	142.87	1251474	Upward Expansion	100	99
2024-04-05	0.4288	0.2589	89.56	1283650	Upward Expansion	94	97
2024-03-29	0.3854	0.2498	71.28	268152	Upward Expansion	84	94
2024-03-22	0.3758	0.2424	72.62	623130	Upward Expansion	85	94
2024-03-15	0.3661	0.2353	73.38	94183	Upward Expansion	86	94
2024-03-08	0.3517	0.2284	65.47	439479	Upward Expansion	88	94
2024-03-01	0.3372	0.2221	63.15	685043	Upward Expansion	88	90
2024-02-23	0.3131	0.2158	55.77	1490306	Upward Expansion	84	73
2024-02-16	0.289	0.21	45.44	396845	Upward Expansion	73	60
2024-02-09	0.2698	0.2046	37.45	20069	Upward Expansion	61	53
2024-02-02	0.2794	0.2002	42.73	60701	Upward Expansion	70	55
2024-01-26	0.2698	0.1955	41.86	55107	Upward Expansion	66	59
2024-01-19	0.265	0.1913	42.97	9090	Upward Expansion	65	64
2024-01-12	0.2505	0.1874	34.83	143854	Upward Expansion	68	83
2024-01-05	0.2794	0.1838	51.45	84039	Upward Expansion	81	92
2023-12-29	0.289	0.1792	56.18	456961	Upward Expansion	94	96
2023-12-22	0.265	0.1752	46.53	415973	Upward Expansion	91	93
2023-12-15	0.2312	0.1717	30.26	359371	Upward Expansion	79	78
2023-12-08	0.2168	0.1696	27.26	114779	Upward Expansion	68	58
2023-12-01	0.2312	0.1679	38.95	332118	Upward Expansion	88	68
2023-11-24	0.2072	0.1658	25.86	296252	Upward Expansion	73	56
2023-11-17	0.1831	0.1639	11.44	106215	Upward Expansion	62	53
2023-11-10	0.2168	0.1635	33.35	93007	Upward Expansion	93	85
2023-11-03	0.1879	0.162	16.10	0	Upward Expansion	68	73
2023-10-27	0.1879	0.1615	18.26	1026334	Upward Expansion	68	76
2023-10-20	0.1831	0.1609	13.61	29152	Upward Expansion	65	81

Price vs TrendAbove+12.2%

Trend directionRising+25.6%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+192.7%

Fair Value directionMoving away-72.9%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+43.2%

Relative strength directionWeakening-31.8%

Price momentumPositive+78.6%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.98×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

54 / ±100

+43.6 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

58 /100

+46.9 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

SKS Directional State ↗ SKS Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance33

Rotation Up65

Upward Expansion83

Deceleration50

Rotation Down15

Downward Expansion16

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 7%Rotation Up 3%Upward Expansion 68%Deceleration 18%Rotation Down 5%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Upward Expansion	2026-10-02	2026-10-09	New	-19.6%
Deceleration	2026-07-24	2026-09-25	Developing	+22.6%
Upward Expansion	2026-02-27	2026-07-17	Established	+90.0%
Deceleration	2026-01-16	2026-02-20	Developing	+14.9%
Upward Expansion	2025-12-12	2026-01-09	Developing	-5.9%
Deceleration	2025-11-14	2025-12-05	New	+30.8%
Upward Expansion	2025-08-15	2025-11-07	Established	+34.6%
Rotation Up	2025-07-18	2025-08-08	New	+12.1%
Balance	2025-05-30	2025-07-11	Developing	+16.3%
Rotation Down	2025-04-11	2025-05-23	Developing	+3.3%
Balance	2025-03-14	2025-04-04	New	-14.4%
Upward Expansion	2024-11-08	2025-03-07	Established	+4.4%
Deceleration	2024-09-13	2024-11-01	Developing	+30.9%
Upward Expansion	2023-10-20	2024-09-06	Extended	+594.7%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing2

Stage 2 · Advancing100

Stage 3 · Distribution69

Stage 4 · Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2B · Advancing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^AXJO

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 84/100
Current Relative Strength: 43.21
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: +78.6%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +81.3%
Industrials regime cohort: 48th percentile31 in cohort

Test SKS trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume8.31×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.98×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution3 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+50.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore SKS Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity AUD 9.59rising

Slow Activity AUD 8.52rising

Trend Reference AUD 7.80+12.2% close margin

Current Fair Value AUD 2.99+192.7% close margin

Structural low AUD 4.74shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +15.0%

Annualized volatility +82.1%

From structural high -24.2%

From structural low +182.0%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^AXJO	Regime survived	Read
Near term	33	+7.7%-21.9% to +76.9%	+57.6%	+57.6%	+7.3%	+75.8%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	13	+12.0%-23.9% to +166.7%	+53.8%	+53.8%	+12.9%	+46.2%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	8	+42.2%-30.8% to +215.8%	+62.5%	+62.5%	+47.4%	+25.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	4	+45.3%-19.1% to +637.7%	+50.0%	+50.0%	+44.1%	+25.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

SKS Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map