Weekly structural research · ASX · Consumer Cyclical

DMP Stage Analysis

Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close AUD 22.20Tenure NewBenchmark ^AXJO

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Upward Expansion · Early expansion

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: moderate and contracting.

Direction 84−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 57/100directional strength

Maturity 33/100lifecycle context

Confidence 81/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Moderatecontracting separation

Price acceptance +50.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -18.7%AUD 27.30 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	22.20	17.74	18.33	1875727	Upward Expansion	84	57
2026-10-02	19.76	17.62	6.63	1569508	Upward Expansion	62	39
2026-09-25	19.20	17.60	4.56	1586195	Upward Expansion	57	44
2026-09-18	18.87	17.63	2.64	2763311	Upward Expansion	61	56
2026-09-11	18.93	17.72	3.40	1208410	Rotation Up	63	70
2026-09-04	20.56	17.80	9.59	463638	Rotation Up	58	79
2026-08-28	19.78	17.84	5.05	661860	Rotation Up	49	70
2026-08-21	18.64	17.93	-0.15	732943	Rotation Up	27	58
2026-08-14	19.11	18.11	1.71	220602	Rotation Up	35	54
2026-08-07	19.27	18.26	0.92	274490	Balance	18	30
2026-07-31	18.28	18.36	-1.18	721792	Balance	3	12
2026-07-24	16.60	18.47	-8.19	238781	Downward Expansion	-34	19
2026-07-17	17.62	18.61	-2.95	540932	Downward Expansion	-34	25
2026-07-10	16.09	18.75	-11.49	143485	Downward Expansion	-57	42
2026-07-03	15.86	18.97	-13.33	224956	Downward Expansion	-62	46
2026-06-26	16.03	19.15	-11.77	327428	Downward Expansion	-61	44
2026-06-19	16.69	19.32	-9.11	523862	Downward Expansion	-54	36
2026-06-12	15.90	19.42	-13.42	413118	Downward Expansion	-65	41
2026-06-05	16.01	19.61	-11.43	2297656	Downward Expansion	-67	43
2026-05-29	17.99	19.70	-2.21	787556	Downward Expansion	-56	41
2026-05-22	17.04	19.70	-7.12	2237588	Downward Expansion	-59	52
2026-05-15	15.72	19.64	-14.70	2787347	Downward Expansion	-68	57
2026-05-08	16.08	19.61	-14.74	1803450	Downward Expansion	-68	47
2026-05-01	16.31	19.56	-14.25	3215284	Rotation Down	-68	44
2026-04-24	17.87	19.46	-7.57	1053704	Rotation Down	-31	34
2026-04-17	17.93	19.30	-9.77	1382725	Rotation Down	-35	46
2026-04-10	17.80	19.17	-11.48	1678931	Rotation Down	-38	63
2026-04-03	15.98	19.04	-18.03	1771008	Rotation Down	-44	71
2026-03-27	16.87	18.99	-13.79	1455139	Rotation Down	-41	66
2026-03-20	17.22	18.92	-12.03	2305372	Deceleration	-42	47
2026-03-13	18.60	18.97	-8.00	1477833	Deceleration	-12	28
2026-03-06	19.07	18.97	-8.97	3360826	Deceleration	-7	19
2026-02-27	20.07	18.95	-8.66	5578320	Deceleration	24	22
2026-02-20	21.77	18.87	-0.51	1886632	Upward Expansion	41	27
2026-02-13	21.16	18.73	-2.51	2041951	Upward Expansion	47	38
2026-02-06	21.83	18.62	1.92	2141159	Upward Expansion	62	52
2026-01-30	22.55	18.48	2.17	1781419	Upward Expansion	63	65
2026-01-23	24.03	18.31	8.30	2520219	Upward Expansion	76	62
2026-01-16	23.66	18.12	5.51	2286590	Upward Expansion	77	57
2026-01-09	22.26	17.96	0.85	2067280	Upward Expansion	69	52
2026-01-02	21.54	17.88	-3.11	1400601	Upward Expansion	64	53
2025-12-26	20.81	17.85	-7.42	1292484	Upward Expansion	65	57
2025-12-19	21.81	17.92	-2.13	2644739	Rotation Up	69	77
2025-12-12	22.60	17.97	-0.15	3823624	Rotation Up	54	76
2025-12-05	21.33	18.04	-5.64	2804257	Rotation Up	49	76
2025-11-28	21.10	18.14	-7.24	4399536	Rotation Up	42	71
2025-11-21	19.75	18.26	-11.94	5876671	Rotation Up	31	47
2025-11-14	21.50	18.43	-7.28	6289673	Rotation Up	50	52
2025-11-07	18.63	18.55	-21.42	7649498	Downward Expansion	4	25
2025-10-31	18.08	18.81	-25.41	10548966	Downward Expansion	-16	22
2025-10-24	15.16	19.02	-39.22	3693833	Downward Expansion	-51	50
2025-10-17	14.92	19.38	-41.02	5513159	Downward Expansion	-65	64
2025-10-10	14.44	19.75	-43.68	4777342	Downward Expansion	-68	83
2025-10-03	13.33	20.11	-49.09	4730564	Downward Expansion	-75	91
2025-09-26	13.33	20.53	-48.78	5601630	Downward Expansion	-76	90
2025-09-19	13.83	20.99	-47.64	4363216	Downward Expansion	-76	90
2025-09-12	13.99	21.54	-48.33	3158937	Downward Expansion	-81	88
2025-09-05	14.46	22.13	-47.33	6132879	Downward Expansion	-82	68
2025-08-29	14.67	22.79	-47.82	12375134	Downward Expansion	-83	59
2025-08-22	18.79	23.26	-33.87	2481449	Downward Expansion	-48	43
2025-08-15	18.64	23.59	-34.82	2854499	Downward Expansion	-51	50
2025-08-08	18.35	23.90	-35.60	3419077	Downward Expansion	-64	60
2025-08-01	17.74	24.21	-37.32	2860770	Downward Expansion	-67	65
2025-07-25	17.67	24.55	-38.12	2865029	Downward Expansion	-70	67
2025-07-18	17.77	24.91	-39.08	3620174	Downward Expansion	-70	75
2025-07-11	17.75	25.24	-38.58	6016426	Downward Expansion	-74	87
2025-07-04	17.25	25.59	-41.19	19422862	Downward Expansion	-84	92
2025-06-27	18.57	26.04	-36.82	8875713	Downward Expansion	-82	93
2025-06-20	18.80	26.46	-36.72	3991824	Downward Expansion	-89	95
2025-06-13	19.77	26.79	-34.56	3525034	Downward Expansion	-90	95
2025-06-06	20.71	27.07	-32.01	3204742	Downward Expansion	-90	90
2025-05-30	22.80	27.35	-25.36	2374835	Downward Expansion	-79	79
2025-05-23	23.46	27.65	-23.34	3606518	Downward Expansion	-73	64
2025-05-16	24.51	28.00	-20.44	1980866	Downward Expansion	-63	57
2025-05-09	24.53	28.35	-19.93	1462858	Downward Expansion	-65	55
2025-05-02	24.72	28.68	-20.03	1502300	Downward Expansion	-60	42
2025-04-25	24.78	28.98	-17.85	1180362	Downward Expansion	-63	45
2025-04-18	25.00	29.24	-16.21	898085	Downward Expansion	-63	45
2025-04-11	26.38	29.45	-10.26	2799952	Downward Expansion	-59	45
2025-04-04	24.43	29.58	-17.69	2168587	Downward Expansion	-74	77
2025-03-28	26.05	29.72	-16.44	1189887	Downward Expansion	-63	74
2025-03-21	26.00	29.81	-16.86	2286997	Downward Expansion	-64	74
2025-03-14	25.17	29.93	-18.83	2659621	Balance	-73	71
2025-03-07	26.03	30.14	-18.56	2074134	Balance	-66	40
2025-02-28	27.01	30.24	-18.64	3750391	Rotation Up	-32	23
2025-02-21	30.33	30.27	-10.90	2568063	Rotation Up	14	26
2025-02-14	31.70	30.28	-10.38	3224640	Rotation Up	18	28
2025-02-07	34.26	30.28	-3.14	4133207	Rotation Up	21	22
2025-01-31	28.69	30.27	-19.38	1635926	Downward Expansion	-54	32
2025-01-24	28.81	30.40	-18.44	1626198	Downward Expansion	-57	37
2025-01-17	27.82	30.56	-20.83	1866068	Downward Expansion	-62	54
2025-01-10	27.68	30.77	-22.43	1449371	Downward Expansion	-65	63
2025-01-03	28.06	31.02	-22.28	724906	Downward Expansion	-63	62
2024-12-27	28.39	31.31	-22.68	568491	Downward Expansion	-61	47
2024-12-20	27.78	31.58	-23.73	1885531	Downward Expansion	-67	40
2024-12-13	28.08	31.80	-26.19	1758717	Downward Expansion	-68	44
2024-12-06	30.97	32.03	-21.00	1413483	Downward Expansion	-54	47
2024-11-29	31.08	32.19	-21.92	1885026	Downward Expansion	-57	47
2024-11-22	28.58	32.35	-28.79	2074668	Balance	-65	51
2024-11-15	28.23	32.59	-29.69	2719357	Balance	-58	40
2024-11-08	29.08	32.82	-28.65	5372903	Rotation Up	-45	21
2024-11-01	31.89	33.10	-21.14	2233821	Rotation Up	18	34
2024-10-25	34.07	33.34	-17.65	2178201	Rotation Up	23	43
2024-10-18	34.80	33.57	-17.44	2909695	Balance	31	39
2024-10-11	34.55	33.77	-18.18	2054971	Balance	9	25
2024-10-04	33.63	33.97	-20.62	2019191	Downward Expansion	-10	18
2024-09-27	32.75	34.28	-24.00	1834960	Downward Expansion	-32	19
2024-09-20	31.24	34.59	-28.29	4935444	Downward Expansion	-47	37
2024-09-13	30.34	34.89	-30.20	2186651	Downward Expansion	-60	48
2024-09-06	28.55	35.11	-34.33	1845515	Downward Expansion	-71	55
2024-08-30	28.62	35.38	-35.56	2316074	Downward Expansion	-74	59
2024-08-23	29.81	35.70	-33.11	3346601	Downward Expansion	-67	61
2024-08-16	31.43	35.93	-29.72	1553495	Downward Expansion	-66	73
2024-08-09	29.00	36.65	-34.08	2764230	Downward Expansion	-76	88
2024-08-02	27.74	37.48	-38.81	3268103	Downward Expansion	-92	93
2024-07-26	30.82	38.28	-32.48	2596087	Downward Expansion	-82	87
2024-07-19	31.65	39.07	-31.59	3079817	Downward Expansion	-81	79
2024-07-12	33.85	39.79	-27.27	1599369	Downward Expansion	-64	67
2024-07-05	32.57	40.40	-29.24	2234477	Downward Expansion	-78	66
2024-06-28	33.68	40.99	-26.72	2541561	Downward Expansion	-73	54
2024-06-21	34.23	41.49	-26.17	4891600	Downward Expansion	-72	51
2024-06-14	35.14	41.96	-23.81	735720	Downward Expansion	-58	48
2024-06-07	36.80	42.40	-21.84	1060761	Downward Expansion	-52	49
2024-05-31	36.32	42.81	-21.59	2559957	Downward Expansion	-65	60
2024-05-24	34.58	43.20	-25.95	2002768	Downward Expansion	-74	70
2024-05-17	35.01	43.59	-26.23	1256320	Downward Expansion	-72	84
2024-05-10	35.61	44.01	-24.74	1105871	Downward Expansion	-70	87
2024-05-03	35.92	44.51	-23.34	1494360	Downward Expansion	-69	87
2024-04-26	35.77	44.87	-23.56	1344487	Downward Expansion	-75	88
2024-04-19	34.99	45.32	-25.52	4231263	Downward Expansion	-78	64
2024-04-12	37.69	45.80	-22.49	1904487	Downward Expansion	-68	48
2024-04-05	39.13	46.19	-19.83	704378	Downward Expansion	-63	43
2024-03-29	40.72	46.53	-18.26	767382	Downward Expansion	-43	32
2024-03-22	40.84	46.86	-16.99	1269888	Downward Expansion	-43	30
2024-03-15	40.69	47.08	-16.52	2181853	Downward Expansion	-46	34
2024-03-08	42.81	47.21	-14.32	2117721	Downward Expansion	-59	47
2024-03-01	42.10	47.35	-14.77	1950615	Downward Expansion	-65	74
2024-02-23	40.31	47.51	-17.51	6442876	Downward Expansion	-66	86
2024-02-16	36.82	47.65	-25.09	1474232	Downward Expansion	-74	90
2024-02-09	36.83	47.93	-25.82	2686113	Rotation Down	-82	88
2024-02-02	38.15	48.22	-24.59	6292209	Rotation Down	-54	55
2024-01-26	36.60	48.32	-27.08	3671273	Rotation Down	-27	26
2024-01-19	53.14	48.52	6.53	578181	Upward Expansion	61	57
2024-01-12	53.97	48.08	6.56	727987	Upward Expansion	69	71
2024-01-05	51.64	47.62	1.59	558500	Upward Expansion	62	69
2023-12-29	54.60	47.32	5.45	231676	Upward Expansion	77	77
2023-12-22	53.20	46.97	3.58	799554	Upward Expansion	73	67
2023-12-15	52.08	46.63	1.86	1230545	Upward Expansion	70	55
2023-12-08	50.18	46.40	1.12	759926	Upward Expansion	58	36
2023-12-01	48.80	46.29	-0.31	1140951	Upward Expansion	47	25
2023-11-24	48.20	46.24	-1.46	1841842	Upward Expansion	43	22
2023-11-17	48.38	46.18	-1.59	3359524	Upward Expansion	34	15
2023-11-10	49.13	46.15	0.63	1003907	Upward Expansion	38	17
2023-11-03	48.13	46.15	-1.63	1754758	Upward Expansion	31	16
2023-10-27	46.36	46.11	-3.21	1188363	Upward Expansion	29	16
2023-10-20	47.63	46.09	-2.03	1005346	Upward Expansion	39	22

Price vs TrendAbove+25.1%

Trend directionFalling-3.4%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-18.7%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+27.1%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+18.3%

Relative strength directionImproving+29.8%

Price momentumPositive+24.7%

Volume balanceDemand-led1.49×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

84 / ±100

+20.8 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

57 /100

-12.9 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

DMP Directional State ↗ DMP Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance24

Rotation Up62

Upward Expansion79

Deceleration64

Rotation Down18

Downward Expansion8

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 5%Rotation Up 12%Upward Expansion 17%Deceleration 3%Rotation Down 6%Downward Expansion 58%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Upward Expansion	2026-09-18	2026-10-09	New	+17.6%
Rotation Up	2026-08-14	2026-09-11	Developing	-0.9%
Balance	2026-07-31	2026-08-07	New	+5.4%
Downward Expansion	2026-05-08	2026-07-24	Developing	+3.2%
Rotation Down	2026-03-27	2026-05-01	Developing	-3.3%
Deceleration	2026-02-27	2026-03-20	New	-14.2%
Upward Expansion	2025-12-26	2026-02-20	Developing	+4.6%
Rotation Up	2025-11-14	2025-12-19	Developing	+1.5%
Downward Expansion	2025-03-21	2025-11-07	Extended	-28.4%
Balance	2025-03-07	2025-03-14	New	-3.3%
Rotation Up	2025-02-07	2025-02-28	New	-21.2%
Downward Expansion	2024-11-29	2025-01-31	Developing	-7.7%
Balance	2024-11-15	2024-11-22	New	+1.2%
Rotation Up	2024-10-25	2024-11-08	New	-14.6%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing52

Stage 2 · Advancing44

Stage 3 · Distribution29

Stage 4 · Declining19

Legacy result: Stage 1 · Stage 1C · Breakout watch. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^AXJO

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 92/100
Current Relative Strength: 18.33
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +24.7%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +27.4%
Consumer Cyclical regime cohort: 100th percentile12 in cohort

Test DMP trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume2.13×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.49×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution3 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore DMP Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity AUD 20.29rising

Slow Activity AUD 18.36rising

Trend Reference AUD 17.74+25.1% close margin

Current Fair Value AUD 27.30-18.7% close margin

Structural low AUD 14.83shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +6.3%

Annualized volatility +41.4%

From structural high -8.5%

From structural low +56.5%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^AXJO	Regime survived	Read
Near term	13	-3.5%-31.8% to +28.8%	+46.2%	+46.2%	-0.6%	+69.2%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	6	-18.8%-28.7% to +24.7%	+33.3%	+33.3%	-18.3%	+33.3%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	4	-20.1%-29.0% to +1.3%	+25.0%	+25.0%	-24.4%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	2	-37.7%-42.3% to -33.0%	+0.0%	+0.0%	-34.6%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

DMP Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map