Weekly structural research · SHH · Consumer Cyclical

603130 Stage Analysis

Zhejiang Yunzhongma Co.,Ltd.

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close CNY 39.63Tenure EstablishedBenchmark 000001.SS

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Downward Expansion · Established contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: compressed and contracting.

Direction -49−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 31/100directional strength

Maturity 39/100lifecycle context

Confidence 80/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Downstructural direction

Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation

Price acceptance -33.3%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +32.2%CNY 29.97 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-02	39.63	41.02	-5.74	4353528	Downward Expansion	-49	31
2026-09-25	38.68	41.15	-9.16	3244485	Downward Expansion	-53	42
2026-09-18	38.38	41.42	-10.53	5632834	Downward Expansion	-52	42
2026-09-11	36.47	41.76	-14.52	4524729	Downward Expansion	-67	41
2026-09-04	38.18	42.22	-11.62	4413200	Downward Expansion	-43	22
2026-08-28	39.75	42.85	-8.55	735900	Downward Expansion	-32	23
2026-08-21	40.07	43.64	-6.81	659262	Downward Expansion	-36	21
2026-08-14	41.98	44.40	-3.14	1248400	Downward Expansion	-42	30
2026-08-07	40.30	44.84	-7.42	1564600	Downward Expansion	-61	57
2026-07-31	37.93	45.37	-10.28	1742400	Downward Expansion	-65	75
2026-07-24	35.91	45.82	-14.52	1546950	Downward Expansion	-76	82
2026-07-17	35.82	46.27	-13.63	2431800	Downward Expansion	-79	77
2026-07-10	38.59	46.62	-12.41	2062900	Downward Expansion	-69	67
2026-07-03	40.32	46.79	-9.54	1747300	Downward Expansion	-64	59
2026-06-26	39.75	46.81	-10.30	2165400	Balance	-57	50
2026-06-19	43.35	46.65	-3.33	7829284	Balance	-39	26
2026-06-12	43.68	46.42	-0.67	1206800	Balance	-34	20
2026-06-05	45.03	46.31	2.98	2076700	Balance	-17	9
2026-05-29	42.40	46.20	-3.52	9518480	Balance	-35	20
2026-05-22	46.70	46.11	5.50	7635900	Deceleration	11	20
2026-05-15	47.67	46.04	7.66	13204833	Deceleration	14	26
2026-05-08	47.26	45.90	6.26	4586500	Deceleration	6	18
2026-05-01	45.66	45.74	5.08	9075440	Deceleration	-10	11
2026-04-24	48.68	45.59	13.74	27884844	Rotation Down	-8	19
2026-04-17	40.25	45.34	-4.40	10228708	Rotation Down	-36	54
2026-04-10	38.28	45.31	-7.06	6246357	Rotation Down	-31	57
2026-04-03	36.20	45.35	-9.34	9233400	Rotation Down	-42	62
2026-03-27	39.44	45.44	-1.72	15533082	Rotation Down	-34	48
2026-03-20	43.00	45.49	6.37	11998609	Deceleration	-23	34
2026-03-13	41.13	45.48	-1.06	5863110	Deceleration	-30	36
2026-03-06	43.73	45.48	4.89	7793817	Deceleration	6	25
2026-02-27	46.72	45.14	11.68	6882000	Deceleration	26	25
2026-02-13	48.55	44.65	18.84	8864600	Upward Expansion	45	31
2026-02-06	50.21	44.17	24.45	16369940	Upward Expansion	62	51
2026-01-30	57.08	43.65	41.22	13650456	Upward Expansion	67	76
2026-01-23	63.62	42.85	59.07	19030162	Upward Expansion	82	91
2026-01-16	62.85	41.76	61.37	17513500	Upward Expansion	88	92
2026-01-09	55.03	40.53	43.30	22270342	Upward Expansion	74	83
2026-01-02	56.38	39.57	54.68	19264229	Upward Expansion	85	86
2025-12-26	51.38	38.61	43.52	19807741	Upward Expansion	75	76
2025-12-19	49.26	37.82	42.16	19225073	Upward Expansion	72	66
2025-12-12	46.56	37.12	36.13	18560280	Deceleration	64	35
2025-12-05	43.64	36.52	28.69	15413938	Deceleration	32	17
2025-11-28	40.82	35.96	22.11	21577418	Deceleration	15	16
2025-11-21	34.82	35.42	6.51	9426574	Deceleration	-3	14
2025-11-14	36.58	35.04	8.12	16718864	Deceleration	21	16
2025-11-07	40.28	34.56	19.62	23353653	Upward Expansion	41	26
2025-10-31	41.71	33.96	26.49	28268132	Upward Expansion	54	35
2025-10-24	39.92	33.39	22.53	19691954	Upward Expansion	58	41
2025-10-17	44.45	32.89	41.75	37154172	Upward Expansion	68	50
2025-10-10	43.57	32.33	38.86	10476240	Upward Expansion	68	52
2025-10-03	42.48	31.72	37.72	13003140	Upward Expansion	65	47
2025-09-26	41.13	31.19	36.93	30394301	Upward Expansion	61	44
2025-09-19	41.13	30.66	38.86	16116036	Upward Expansion	63	46
2025-09-12	39.35	30.30	32.63	16360415	Upward Expansion	59	48
2025-09-05	39.62	29.83	36.92	17030111	Upward Expansion	62	57
2025-08-29	38.70	29.25	33.60	25296071	Upward Expansion	63	70
2025-08-22	40.95	28.64	43.99	25459185	Upward Expansion	71	76
2025-08-15	42.78	27.95	57.61	52491810	Upward Expansion	84	73
2025-08-08	41.19	27.21	56.37	40964805	Upward Expansion	86	67
2025-08-01	33.30	26.49	30.74	18721311	Upward Expansion	63	67
2025-07-25	32.21	26.06	26.27	16583639	Upward Expansion	64	76
2025-07-18	33.95	25.72	36.29	27822449	Upward Expansion	71	81
2025-07-11	34.83	25.34	42.15	46017475	Upward Expansion	81	80
2025-07-04	33.12	24.92	38.15	40970249	Upward Expansion	77	51
2025-06-27	30.78	24.54	31.58	28052665	Upward Expansion	72	40
2025-06-20	25.93	24.27	13.99	10634100	Upward Expansion	40	24
2025-06-13	26.12	24.13	14.84	25033560	Upward Expansion	55	43
2025-06-06	27.66	23.95	21.92	35182824	Upward Expansion	61	66
2025-05-30	27.85	23.68	24.97	30326748	Upward Expansion	62	69
2025-05-23	28.21	23.39	27.48	28242106	Upward Expansion	64	64
2025-05-16	28.52	23.10	29.07	32035996	Deceleration	63	45
2025-05-09	26.90	22.76	23.56	30265823	Deceleration	53	21
2025-05-02	24.49	22.47	15.30	7450500	Deceleration	15	15
2025-04-25	23.51	22.30	10.60	12889180	Deceleration	21	19
2025-04-18	22.06	22.12	4.69	9291440	Deceleration	15	17
2025-04-11	22.29	21.95	7.28	17037548	Deceleration	27	15
2025-04-04	24.77	21.77	15.70	8868950	Upward Expansion	43	29
2025-03-28	24.96	21.52	16.63	18720629	Upward Expansion	56	39
2025-03-21	27.44	21.26	28.18	37293133	Upward Expansion	67	49
2025-03-14	25.47	20.92	17.72	20846951	Upward Expansion	63	70
2025-03-07	26.57	20.70	24.91	31662840	Upward Expansion	65	78
2025-02-28	25.11	20.44	20.39	46710432	Upward Expansion	62	76
2025-02-21	30.33	20.23	43.44	54509696	Upward Expansion	90	86
2025-02-14	25.14	19.82	21.06	32558384	Deceleration	74	54
2025-02-07	22.40	19.59	9.95	6628741	Deceleration	47	22
2025-01-31	20.36	19.44	1.66	524900	Deceleration	23	19
2025-01-24	20.36	19.32	1.45	2504700	Deceleration	25	22
2025-01-17	20.33	19.22	1.21	2942600	Deceleration	31	22
2025-01-10	19.72	19.13	0.11	3002884	Upward Expansion	35	21
2025-01-03	20.42	19.07	2.04	4313369	Upward Expansion	47	34
2024-12-27	21.95	18.99	3.37	5862540	Upward Expansion	62	49
2024-12-20	22.65	18.86	7.47	8066720	Upward Expansion	71	59
2024-12-13	22.14	18.72	4.11	7004999	Upward Expansion	69	76
2024-12-06	21.86	18.62	2.27	18949285	Upward Expansion	69	79
2024-11-29	22.51	18.52	7.56	19178416	Upward Expansion	84	86
2024-11-22	21.89	18.41	6.39	19737491	Upward Expansion	85	82
2024-11-15	20.67	18.30	-1.52	8886624	Upward Expansion	77	73
2024-11-08	19.61	18.22	-10.06	5619598	Rotation Up	65	59
2024-11-01	19.04	18.22	-8.17	5890008	Rotation Up	29	41
2024-10-25	19.39	18.23	-7.69	6460355	Rotation Up	36	34
2024-10-18	18.42	18.21	-11.46	3959899	Balance	10	20
2024-10-11	18.14	18.24	-11.80	8527450	Balance	-5	12
2024-10-04	19.48	18.29	-8.98	2953034	Downward Expansion	-4	6
2024-09-27	18.21	18.30	-8.32	3203085	Downward Expansion	-46	41
2024-09-20	16.88	18.34	-4.39	905602	Downward Expansion	-61	66
2024-09-13	16.83	18.40	-3.75	999931	Downward Expansion	-63	60
2024-09-06	17.19	18.37	-4.11	1302000	Downward Expansion	-55	44
2024-08-30	17.39	18.38	-5.72	1426900	Downward Expansion	-49	24
2024-08-23	17.02	18.46	-8.50	4487599	Downward Expansion	-34	17
2024-08-16	18.89	18.61	0.35	5689458	Downward Expansion	16	19
2024-08-09	18.76	18.68	0.16	2302283	Downward Expansion	-15	18
2024-08-02	18.87	18.74	-1.04	3044434	Downward Expansion	-18	15
2024-07-26	18.04	18.81	-5.09	1920257	Downward Expansion	-40	24
2024-07-19	18.32	18.90	-6.76	1794714	Downward Expansion	-55	35
2024-07-12	17.74	19.01	-9.56	2226147	Downward Expansion	-60	46
2024-07-05	17.02	19.11	-12.82	1385200	Downward Expansion	-72	65
2024-06-28	17.35	19.27	-11.86	1754701	Downward Expansion	-69	66
2024-06-21	17.64	19.40	-11.53	1741928	Downward Expansion	-65	63
2024-06-14	17.88	19.52	-11.52	1307154	Downward Expansion	-63	62
2024-06-07	17.81	—	—	3461896	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-05-31	18.24	—	—	2195707	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-05-24	18.35	—	—	1856867	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-05-17	19.15	—	—	2112494	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-05-10	19.01	—	—	2358120	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-05-03	19.19	—	—	1654801	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-04-26	18.49	—	—	2248083	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-04-19	18.24	—	—	6174972	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-04-12	19.51	—	—	5054323	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-04-05	19.46	—	—	2260292	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-03-29	18.83	—	—	3187781	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-03-22	19.17	—	—	5163461	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-03-15	19.64	—	—	7352230	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-03-08	19.85	—	—	8141208	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-03-01	19.41	—	—	13828825	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-02-23	18.65	—	—	6219970	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-02-09	15.97	—	—	7637345	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-02-02	17.63	—	—	8453373	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-01-26	19.59	—	—	15614772	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-01-19	21.56	—	—	14139920	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-01-12	20.98	—	—	6061700	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-01-05	20.65	—	—	5601360	Not yet classified	—	—
2023-12-29	20.90	—	—	8670980	Not yet classified	—	—
2023-12-22	20.86	—	—	5655400	Not yet classified	—	—
2023-12-15	21.38	—	—	4738480	Not yet classified	—	—
2023-12-08	20.98	—	—	7232063	Not yet classified	—	—
2023-12-01	21.59	—	—	8139830	Not yet classified	—	—
2023-11-24	21.31	—	—	12306312	Not yet classified	—	—
2023-11-17	21.17	—	—	11500402	Not yet classified	—	—
2023-11-10	21.05	—	—	9263144	Not yet classified	—	—
2023-11-03	20.79	—	—	13243100	Not yet classified	—	—
2023-10-27	21.98	—	—	16109781	Not yet classified	—	—
2023-10-20	19.46	—	—	6491828	Not yet classified	—	—
2023-10-13	19.65	—	—	5853240	Not yet classified	—	—
2023-09-29	21.06	—	—	4172930	Not yet classified	—	—
2023-09-22	21.43	—	—	5597257	Not yet classified	—	—

Price vs TrendBelow-3.4%

Trend directionFalling-10.5%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+32.2%

Fair Value directionMoving away-8.7%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-5.7%

Relative strength directionImproving+3.8%

Price momentumPositive+9.5%

Volume balanceDemand-led1.30×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-49 / ±100

-5.4 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

31 /100

+9.2 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

603130 Directional State ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance40

Rotation Up22

Upward Expansion3

Deceleration53

Rotation Down42

Downward Expansion72

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-09-22 to 2026-10-02 · 120 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 6%Rotation Up 3%Upward Expansion 42%Deceleration 20%Rotation Down 4%Downward Expansion 26%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Downward Expansion	2026-07-03	2026-10-02	Established	-1.7%
Balance	2026-05-29	2026-06-26	Developing	-6.2%
Deceleration	2026-05-01	2026-05-22	New	+2.3%
Rotation Down	2026-03-27	2026-04-24	Developing	+23.4%
Deceleration	2026-02-27	2026-03-20	New	-8.0%
Upward Expansion	2025-12-19	2026-02-13	Developing	-1.5%
Deceleration	2025-11-14	2025-12-12	Developing	+27.3%
Upward Expansion	2025-05-23	2025-11-07	Established	+42.8%
Deceleration	2025-04-11	2025-05-16	Developing	+28.0%
Upward Expansion	2025-02-21	2025-04-04	Developing	-18.3%
Deceleration	2025-01-17	2025-02-14	Developing	+23.6%
Upward Expansion	2024-11-15	2025-01-10	Developing	-4.6%
Rotation Up	2024-10-25	2024-11-08	New	+1.1%
Balance	2024-10-11	2024-10-18	New	+1.5%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing33

Stage 2 · Advancing17

Stage 3 · Distribution49

Stage 4 · Declining83

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4B · Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus 000001.SS

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 66/100
Current Relative Strength: -5.74
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +9.5%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +10.5%
Consumer Cyclical regime cohort: 31th percentile157 in cohort

Test 603130 trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume1.31×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.30×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution2 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore 603130 Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity CNY 38.61falling

Slow Activity CNY 40.18falling

Trend Reference CNY 41.02-3.4% close margin

Current Fair Value CNY 29.97+32.2% close margin

Structural low CNY 34.90shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +7.0%

Annualized volatility +43.4%

From structural high -38.3%

From structural low +16.7%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs 000001.SS	Regime survived	Read
Near term	8	-1.5%-8.4% to +13.4%	+37.5%	+62.5%	-0.5%	+87.5%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	3	-1.7%-5.9% to +31.5%	+33.3%	+66.7%	+4.9%	+66.7%	Too little matched history
Extended	1	+23.8%+23.8% to +23.8%	+100.0%	+0.0%	+11.9%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	1	+46.1%+46.1% to +46.1%	+100.0%	+0.0%	+34.7%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

603130 Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map