Weekly structural research · JPX · Consumer Defensive

2597 Stage Analysis

Unicafe Inc.

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close JPY 1,280.00Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^N225

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Upward Expansion · Established expansion

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: wide and contracting.

Direction 78−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 71/100directional strength

Maturity 42/100lifecycle context

Confidence 61/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Widecontracting separation

Price acceptance +100.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +31.6%JPY 972.85 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-09-25	1,280.00	1,127.20	1.45	18400	Upward Expansion	78	71
2026-09-18	1,276.00	1,120.20	2.97	30800	Upward Expansion	83	73
2026-09-11	1,247.00	1,112.67	2.02	75300	Upward Expansion	77	72
2026-09-04	1,280.00	1,106.00	2.88	47200	Upward Expansion	98	95
2026-08-28	1,217.00	1,097.57	-4.50	40100	Upward Expansion	93	90
2026-08-21	1,192.00	1,091.57	-6.28	7200	Upward Expansion	88	91
2026-08-14	1,164.00	1,085.93	-12.44	9100	Upward Expansion	73	85
2026-08-07	1,178.00	1,081.57	-7.63	6400	Upward Expansion	91	92
2026-07-31	1,155.00	1,076.47	-8.07	4300	Upward Expansion	84	93
2026-07-24	1,138.00	1,073.13	-10.19	2500	Upward Expansion	71	89
2026-07-17	1,127.00	1,074.27	-10.82	1800	Upward Expansion	66	87
2026-07-10	1,159.00	1,074.38	-14.64	9700	Upward Expansion	96	97
2026-07-03	1,120.00	1,072.40	-19.40	8600	Balance	91	91
2026-06-26	1,106.00	1,072.45	-20.49	3800	Balance	56	65
2026-06-19	1,078.00	1,072.27	-25.04	4200	Balance	25	39
2026-06-12	1,085.00	1,071.67	-19.24	2200	Balance	31	36
2026-06-05	1,078.00	1,069.77	-21.02	2200	Balance	20	14
2026-05-29	1,079.00	1,067.39	-21.22	15500	Balance	34	16
2026-05-22	1,073.00	1,064.97	-18.53	23800	Balance	25	18
2026-05-15	1,065.00	1,062.62	-17.16	12300	Balance	15	16
2026-05-08	1,060.00	1,060.53	-19.74	6100	Upward Expansion	18	10
2026-05-01	1,066.00	1,058.31	-15.49	24900	Upward Expansion	52	32
2026-04-24	1,072.00	1,056.00	-15.80	21000	Upward Expansion	60	60
2026-04-17	1,093.00	1,053.08	-12.89	24200	Upward Expansion	68	72
2026-04-10	1,094.00	1,049.01	-11.00	17200	Upward Expansion	72	70
2026-04-03	1,086.00	1,044.67	-5.93	22700	Deceleration	66	51
2026-03-27	1,076.00	1,040.82	-7.71	29000	Deceleration	45	27
2026-03-20	1,073.00	1,036.69	-8.28	27000	Deceleration	43	26
2026-03-13	1,048.00	1,032.48	-11.44	26500	Deceleration	28	19
2026-03-06	1,051.00	1,029.02	-14.42	46400	Deceleration	28	20
2026-02-27	1,070.00	1,024.89	-18.03	20200	Deceleration	33	18
2026-02-20	1,050.00	1,020.12	-17.12	44300	Deceleration	8	11
2026-02-13	1,047.00	1,015.86	-17.85	33500	Deceleration	4	16
2026-02-06	1,027.00	1,011.47	-15.75	29700	Deceleration	0	21
2026-01-30	1,037.00	1,007.67	-13.74	36300	Deceleration	15	30
2026-01-23	1,023.00	1,003.45	-15.93	32600	Deceleration	12	31
2026-01-16	1,033.00	999.69	-15.49	48200	Upward Expansion	36	26
2026-01-09	1,025.00	995.60	-13.22	128700	Upward Expansion	45	43
2026-01-02	1,055.00	991.84	-8.08	133000	Upward Expansion	67	65
2025-12-26	1,172.00	986.95	1.15	151200	Upward Expansion	94	95
2025-12-19	1,130.36	977.99	0.06	70500	Upward Expansion	86	94
2025-12-12	1,099.62	970.39	-5.31	95500	Upward Expansion	74	90
2025-12-05	1,121.43	963.81	-2.94	77200	Upward Expansion	97	99
2025-11-28	1,100.61	956.37	-4.41	86200	Upward Expansion	98	92
2025-11-21	1,059.96	949.53	-5.06	76700	Upward Expansion	96	77
2025-11-14	1,028.23	944.18	-11.30	38900	Upward Expansion	90	75
2025-11-07	1,006.41	939.65	-13.26	22700	Upward Expansion	73	69
2025-10-31	1,006.41	935.72	-17.02	26200	Upward Expansion	76	70
2025-10-24	1,002.45	931.82	-12.50	28500	Upward Expansion	76	71
2025-10-17	1,002.45	928.15	-9.64	27000	Upward Expansion	82	73
2025-10-10	993.52	924.51	-11.58	40900	Upward Expansion	79	72
2025-10-03	996.50	921.21	-7.03	71100	Upward Expansion	91	76
2025-09-26	984.60	917.77	-7.47	34500	Upward Expansion	91	76
2025-09-19	970.72	914.70	-8.25	25500	Upward Expansion	83	74
2025-09-12	963.78	912.15	-8.54	38700	Upward Expansion	80	74
2025-09-05	970.72	909.84	-4.39	73000	Upward Expansion	97	89
2025-08-29	951.88	907.16	-5.79	43400	Upward Expansion	92	96
2025-08-22	946.92	904.81	-6.22	65500	Upward Expansion	95	98
2025-08-15	943.95	902.96	-8.24	100100	Upward Expansion	98	99
2025-08-08	927.09	901.18	-6.69	25300	Upward Expansion	85	94
2025-08-01	927.09	900.09	-4.63	24300	Upward Expansion	94	97
2025-07-25	922.13	899.26	-6.81	20800	Upward Expansion	92	95
2025-07-18	915.19	898.67	-3.86	18500	Upward Expansion	77	84
2025-07-11	913.21	899.23	-3.44	19600	Upward Expansion	69	61
2025-07-04	910.23	899.92	-4.26	19200	Rotation Up	63	65
2025-06-27	910.23	900.56	-5.03	12800	Rotation Up	39	61
2025-06-20	910.23	901.25	-0.72	11200	Rotation Up	42	62
2025-06-13	912.22	902.14	1.02	18600	Rotation Up	51	63
2025-06-06	908.25	902.48	0.89	15700	Rotation Up	36	50
2025-05-30	903.29	902.91	-0.19	16100	Balance	8	28
2025-05-23	902.30	903.55	1.90	21800	Balance	5	21
2025-05-16	902.30	904.21	0.38	21500	Balance	4	17
2025-05-09	898.34	905.01	0.67	5500	Downward Expansion	-15	15
2025-05-02	895.36	905.87	2.20	10100	Downward Expansion	-25	16
2025-04-25	899.33	906.97	5.95	42300	Downward Expansion	-37	25
2025-04-18	892.39	907.60	8.24	127000	Downward Expansion	-55	40
2025-04-11	888.42	908.24	11.58	42500	Downward Expansion	-68	67
2025-04-04	889.41	908.87	11.39	36300	Downward Expansion	-66	57
2025-03-28	892.39	909.90	1.97	25300	Downward Expansion	-47	43
2025-03-21	893.38	911.00	0.73	20900	Downward Expansion	-42	32
2025-03-14	894.37	911.67	2.68	24700	Downward Expansion	-42	34
2025-03-07	893.38	912.24	3.10	22900	Downward Expansion	-45	37
2025-02-28	892.39	912.51	2.39	30300	Downward Expansion	-48	43
2025-02-21	894.37	912.62	-1.54	36400	Downward Expansion	-61	53
2025-02-14	894.37	913.19	-2.46	46700	Downward Expansion	-64	64
2025-02-07	890.40	913.73	-1.98	35200	Downward Expansion	-67	83
2025-01-31	881.48	914.36	-4.97	194800	Rotation Down	-84	92
2025-01-24	891.39	915.30	-4.97	42100	Rotation Down	-46	76
2025-01-17	890.40	915.80	-1.64	60500	Rotation Down	-52	73
2025-01-10	894.37	916.18	-3.19	60000	Upward Expansion	-43	51
2025-01-03	902.30	916.45	-4.27	23200	Upward Expansion	-32	30
2024-12-27	904.28	916.43	-5.33	200800	Upward Expansion	7	7
2024-12-20	932.11	916.28	1.18	60400	Upward Expansion	56	51
2024-12-13	934.07	915.16	-0.94	69500	Upward Expansion	64	64
2024-12-06	929.16	913.95	-0.89	59700	Upward Expansion	54	48
2024-11-29	931.12	912.93	1.19	64600	Upward Expansion	57	44
2024-11-22	937.02	911.95	1.33	47400	Upward Expansion	69	41
2024-11-15	922.27	910.31	-1.47	35100	Upward Expansion	48	26
2024-11-08	921.29	909.39	-4.03	21400	Upward Expansion	52	32
2024-11-01	922.27	908.70	-0.68	114300	Upward Expansion	55	36
2024-10-25	922.27	907.95	-0.67	34900	Upward Expansion	57	51
2024-10-18	926.21	907.13	-3.39	23100	Upward Expansion	62	55
2024-10-11	924.24	906.31	-5.53	42800	Upward Expansion	61	40
2024-10-04	928.17	905.43	-3.14	40100	Upward Expansion	69	38
2024-09-27	918.34	904.31	-7.44	27000	Upward Expansion	58	32
2024-09-20	911.46	903.36	-3.47	21300	Upward Expansion	54	38
2024-09-13	907.52	902.81	-1.22	81100	Upward Expansion	57	55
2024-09-06	920.31	901.82	0.47	27700	Upward Expansion	67	74
2024-08-30	925.22	900.64	-5.09	30200	Upward Expansion	82	68
2024-08-23	913.42	899.76	-5.93	25000	Upward Expansion	63	29
2024-08-16	911.46	899.13	-5.72	27800	Upward Expansion	51	23
2024-08-09	901.63	898.51	1.01	64400	Upward Expansion	36	17
2024-08-02	895.73	898.68	-2.25	114500	Upward Expansion	27	24
2024-07-26	911.46	899.07	-5.36	36000	Upward Expansion	71	76
2024-07-19	910.47	898.94	-11.31	20300	Rotation Up	71	74
2024-07-12	909.49	900.21	-14.14	30200	Rotation Up	44	60
2024-07-05	909.49	901.20	-13.90	36100	Rotation Up	48	59
2024-06-28	906.54	902.09	-11.65	29000	Balance	41	45
2024-06-21	901.63	903.17	-10.15	17800	Balance	-2	13
2024-06-14	902.61	904.58	-10.79	24800	Balance	0	11
2024-06-07	901.63	905.79	-10.78	17400	Balance	-5	8
2024-05-31	899.66	906.65	-10.79	23300	Balance	-15	10
2024-05-24	898.68	907.38	-11.55	15600	Balance	-20	14
2024-05-17	897.69	908.14	-12.31	22600	Deceleration	-34	22
2024-05-10	898.68	908.87	-11.31	18300	Deceleration	-36	25
2024-05-03	901.63	909.66	-11.47	16300	Deceleration	-37	25
2024-04-26	887.86	910.26	-12.56	61900	Downward Expansion	-55	35
2024-04-19	894.74	911.64	-10.29	33400	Downward Expansion	-41	23
2024-04-12	900.64	912.69	-15.72	30100	Downward Expansion	-31	20
2024-04-05	899.66	913.65	-15.16	27600	Downward Expansion	-33	23
2024-03-29	897.69	914.24	-18.73	27300	Downward Expansion	-36	24
2024-03-22	901.63	915.33	-19.93	39800	Downward Expansion	-38	24
2024-03-15	897.69	915.28	-16.35	43700	Downward Expansion	-43	30
2024-03-08	894.74	915.09	-19.18	48500	Downward Expansion	-57	45
2024-03-01	889.83	914.95	-20.54	40700	Downward Expansion	-61	56
2024-02-23	894.74	914.90	-18.95	43100	Downward Expansion	-63	58
2024-02-16	878.03	914.65	-19.68	133800	Rotation Down	-79	81
2024-02-09	884.91	915.09	-16.06	127800	Rotation Down	-51	71
2024-02-02	898.68	915.20	-13.45	132900	Rotation Down	-38	66
2024-01-26	894.74	914.99	-13.25	78100	Rotation Down	-35	65
2024-01-19	892.78	914.84	-14.36	107800	Upward Expansion	-41	47
2024-01-12	906.54	914.53	-12.56	73500	Upward Expansion	-10	27
2024-01-05	907.52	913.76	-7.18	45000	Upward Expansion	4	14
2023-12-29	907.52	912.93	-7.82	285100	Upward Expansion	19	15
2023-12-22	948.79	912.03	-3.23	107900	Upward Expansion	74	62
2023-12-15	939.04	909.91	-4.09	81700	Upward Expansion	63	66
2023-12-08	936.11	908.39	-2.81	123000	Upward Expansion	62	69
2023-12-01	939.04	906.79	-6.09	85900	Upward Expansion	64	69
2023-11-24	943.91	905.07	-6.50	47800	Upward Expansion	71	59
2023-11-17	939.04	903.15	-7.23	55700	Deceleration	69	45
2023-11-10	927.34	901.36	-5.89	43700	Deceleration	47	31
2023-11-03	921.48	899.84	-4.92	115300	Deceleration	41	29
2023-10-27	921.48	898.18	-2.24	32200	Upward Expansion	44	32
2023-10-20	919.53	896.85	-3.48	33700	Upward Expansion	48	38
2023-10-13	922.46	895.25	-6.59	39100	Upward Expansion	61	50
2023-10-06	919.53	893.60	-3.22	91200	Upward Expansion	65	56

Price vs TrendAbove+13.6%

Trend directionRising+4.9%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+31.6%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+15.0%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+1.4%

Relative strength directionImproving+21.9%

Price momentumPositive+19.0%

Volume balanceDemand-led2.03×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

78 / ±100

-14.9 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

71 /100

-18.9 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

2597 Directional State ↗ 2597 Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance4

Rotation Up85

Upward Expansion90

Deceleration57

Rotation Down9

Downward Expansion12

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-09-25 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 11%Rotation Up 5%Upward Expansion 53%Deceleration 11%Rotation Down 5%Downward Expansion 15%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Upward Expansion	2026-07-10	2026-09-25	Developing	+10.4%
Balance	2026-05-15	2026-07-03	Developing	+5.2%
Upward Expansion	2026-04-10	2026-05-08	Developing	-3.1%
Deceleration	2026-01-23	2026-04-03	Developing	+6.2%
Upward Expansion	2025-07-11	2026-01-16	Extended	+13.1%
Rotation Up	2025-06-06	2025-07-04	Developing	+0.2%
Balance	2025-05-16	2025-05-30	New	+0.1%
Downward Expansion	2025-02-07	2025-05-09	Established	+0.9%
Rotation Down	2025-01-17	2025-01-31	New	-1.0%
Upward Expansion	2024-07-26	2025-01-10	Established	-1.9%
Rotation Up	2024-07-05	2024-07-19	New	+0.1%
Balance	2024-05-24	2024-06-28	Developing	+0.9%
Deceleration	2024-05-03	2024-05-17	New	-0.4%
Downward Expansion	2024-02-23	2024-04-26	Developing	-0.8%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing25

Stage 2 · Advancing100

Stage 3 · Distribution50

Stage 4 · Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2A · Early advance. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^N225

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 68/100
Current Relative Strength: 1.45
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +19.0%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -5.4%
Consumer Defensive regime cohort: 39th percentile97 in cohort

Test 2597 trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume1.13×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume2.03×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution4 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore 2597 Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity JPY 1,268.13rising

Slow Activity JPY 1,162.37rising

Trend Reference JPY 1,127.20+13.6% close margin

Current Fair Value JPY 972.85+31.6% close margin

Structural low JPY 1,051.00shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +2.8%

Annualized volatility +12.6%

From structural high -3.9%

From structural low +29.9%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^N225	Regime survived	Read
Near term	31	+0.4%-12.7% to +9.4%	+61.3%	+61.3%	-0.9%	+77.4%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	12	+1.1%-8.5% to +8.8%	+66.7%	+66.7%	-5.4%	+66.7%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	7	+0.2%-7.2% to +13.1%	+57.1%	+57.1%	-11.2%	+42.9%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	4	-0.8%-13.8% to +13.1%	+25.0%	+25.0%	-14.2%	+50.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

2597 Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map