Weekly structural research · TLV · Utilities

SNFL Stage Analysis

Sunflower Sustainable Investments Ltd

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close ILA 94,030.00Tenure NewBenchmark TA35.TA

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Balance · Balance after decline

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base.

The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: moderate and expanding.

Direction -62−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 44/100directional strength

Maturity 9/100lifecycle context

Confidence 64/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Downstructural direction

Activity structure Moderateexpanding separation

Price acceptance -16.7%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +29.7%ILA 72,489.87 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	94,030.00	100,933.67	-5.41	45544	Balance	-62	44
2026-10-02	103,100.00	101,222.67	-0.42	222353	Balance	-2	16
2026-09-25	95,030.00	101,406.00	-8.91	235756	Rotation Down	-50	35
2026-09-18	91,970.00	102,135.00	-13.23	118092	Rotation Down	-24	13
2026-09-11	104,800.00	103,089.33	-0.03	205006	Balance	25	34
2026-09-04	106,100.00	103,509.33	0.03	16949	Balance	28	40
2026-08-28	107,600.00	103,672.67	3.42	7907	Balance	23	32
2026-08-21	103,300.00	103,586.00	-0.82	1844	Balance	-9	15
2026-08-14	105,500.00	103,464.67	0.37	1557	Balance	-3	9
2026-08-07	103,500.00	103,174.67	-0.72	4488	Balance	-10	7
2026-07-31	100,500.00	103,188.00	-3.01	11447	Balance	-27	13
2026-07-24	102,200.00	102,933.33	-3.62	23684	Balance	-28	13
2026-07-17	99,800.00	102,389.33	-3.13	2508	Balance	-42	22
2026-07-10	101,100.00	101,907.33	0.55	71636	Balance	-17	19
2026-07-03	101,200.00	101,284.67	-0.50	94694	Balance	-16	20
2026-06-26	95,130.00	100,709.33	-3.77	30565	Balance	-25	22
2026-06-19	95,120.00	100,271.00	-6.12	56238	Balance	-6	5
2026-06-12	101,800.00	99,921.67	-3.91	83959	Deceleration	25	12
2026-06-05	102,300.00	99,352.67	-1.58	75258	Deceleration	24	12
2026-05-29	110,000.00	98,632.00	1.59	91370	Deceleration	36	15
2026-05-22	95,010.00	97,697.67	-10.71	88821	Deceleration	3	13
2026-05-15	93,520.00	97,280.33	-11.94	108201	Deceleration	0	5
2026-05-08	104,500.00	97,093.33	-4.50	97230	Deceleration	27	12
2026-05-01	104,700.00	96,534.00	-2.28	44705	Deceleration	17	9
2026-04-24	100,200.00	95,920.33	-5.10	11887	Deceleration	13	10
2026-04-17	101,400.00	95,448.67	-4.94	38561	Deceleration	16	13
2026-04-10	100,200.00	94,890.33	-6.94	12941	Deceleration	25	19
2026-04-03	101,900.00	94,364.00	0.24	56835	Deceleration	28	22
2026-03-27	100,800.00	93,793.67	1.33	22921	Deceleration	33	23
2026-03-20	101,700.00	93,229.33	-2.84	38473	Upward Expansion	40	23
2026-03-13	102,700.00	92,544.00	1.22	35794	Upward Expansion	58	42
2026-03-06	108,600.00	91,588.33	2.61	79078	Upward Expansion	64	55
2026-02-27	116,900.00	90,211.33	16.58	106120	Upward Expansion	69	72
2026-02-20	120,600.00	88,549.33	17.70	73111	Upward Expansion	82	86
2026-02-13	117,400.00	86,703.67	16.75	59189	Upward Expansion	86	86
2026-02-06	111,000.00	84,730.67	14.02	79564	Upward Expansion	82	78
2026-01-30	105,000.00	82,888.67	9.52	78444	Upward Expansion	79	82
2026-01-23	99,660.00	81,222.00	4.59	55664	Upward Expansion	72	78
2026-01-16	96,800.00	79,724.00	2.04	44521	Upward Expansion	67	72
2026-01-09	103,900.00	78,381.67	12.72	53903	Upward Expansion	88	79
2026-01-02	92,860.00	76,855.00	5.27	117666	Upward Expansion	73	46
2025-12-26	85,880.00	75,693.00	-0.13	20762	Deceleration	47	30
2025-12-19	85,340.00	74,672.33	-2.39	191203	Deceleration	47	28
2025-12-12	82,420.00	73,717.67	-4.84	17899	Deceleration	30	22
2025-12-05	83,940.00	72,906.33	0.47	22316	Deceleration	43	30
2025-11-28	81,980.00	72,023.67	1.49	14334	Deceleration	40	27
2025-11-21	84,640.00	71,234.33	5.69	11083	Deceleration	45	31
2025-11-14	84,730.00	70,350.33	3.58	56388	Deceleration	46	31
2025-11-07	80,680.00	69,542.67	1.83	52058	Upward Expansion	45	35
2025-10-31	81,970.00	68,804.33	5.61	31056	Upward Expansion	52	48
2025-10-24	82,490.00	68,046.00	8.98	7534	Upward Expansion	65	62
2025-10-17	87,910.00	67,322.67	15.88	12415	Upward Expansion	72	67
2025-10-10	87,720.00	66,459.00	13.67	2366	Upward Expansion	74	68
2025-10-03	86,290.00	65,621.00	14.66	3886	Upward Expansion	72	68
2025-09-26	86,050.00	64,773.00	20.74	775	Upward Expansion	74	69
2025-09-19	84,650.00	63,897.67	19.61	50782	Upward Expansion	71	79
2025-09-12	84,410.00	63,043.33	16.69	27175	Upward Expansion	75	91
2025-09-05	84,790.00	62,193.00	19.13	141076	Upward Expansion	86	95
2025-08-29	83,870.00	61,310.33	17.10	136180	Upward Expansion	94	97
2025-08-22	81,140.00	60,466.67	16.20	216719	Upward Expansion	96	98
2025-08-15	74,030.00	59,783.00	7.18	347313	Rotation Up	92	95
2025-08-08	67,290.00	59,407.33	-1.74	111057	Rotation Up	52	71
2025-08-01	67,040.00	59,276.00	-4.97	147332	Rotation Up	47	60
2025-07-25	65,230.00	59,028.33	-8.53	208391	Rotation Up	35	27
2025-07-18	58,210.00	58,798.67	-17.98	238512	Downward Expansion	-48	33
2025-07-11	55,740.00	58,579.67	-23.18	250155	Downward Expansion	-58	62
2025-07-04	55,000.00	58,398.33	-24.03	17434	Downward Expansion	-64	53
2025-06-27	54,720.00	58,404.33	-21.79	53073	Downward Expansion	-66	40
2025-06-20	56,530.00	58,463.33	-17.75	10499	Deceleration	-29	22
2025-06-13	58,100.00	58,399.33	-11.61	2918	Rotation Down	-25	25
2025-06-06	58,000.00	58,060.00	-13.44	26529	Rotation Down	-27	31
2025-05-30	55,260.00	57,765.00	-16.98	45252	Rotation Down	-42	45
2025-05-23	56,700.00	57,572.00	-11.89	7827	Deceleration	-22	28
2025-05-16	58,080.00	57,408.67	-11.26	14093	Deceleration	6	13
2025-05-09	57,460.00	57,177.33	-12.69	31748	Deceleration	4	10
2025-05-02	58,300.00	56,985.67	-7.68	4554	Deceleration	10	11
2025-04-25	58,120.00	56,789.67	-7.87	121457	Deceleration	23	16
2025-04-18	60,500.00	56,600.67	-3.95	24171	Deceleration	36	18
2025-04-11	58,530.00	56,337.67	-4.65	79822	Upward Expansion	37	20
2025-04-04	59,220.00	56,141.67	-5.19	25964	Upward Expansion	54	35
2025-03-28	60,790.00	55,941.67	-3.54	38869	Upward Expansion	57	51
2025-03-21	62,000.00	55,713.33	-3.60	50945	Upward Expansion	61	52
2025-03-14	62,580.00	55,469.33	-3.48	60614	Upward Expansion	66	49
2025-03-07	60,850.00	55,271.33	-4.92	60223	Deceleration	48	30
2025-02-28	59,790.00	55,027.67	-7.10	53824	Deceleration	39	24
2025-02-21	59,020.00	54,834.67	-10.44	59999	Deceleration	38	22
2025-02-14	58,900.00	54,688.00	-10.75	44896	Upward Expansion	41	26
2025-02-07	58,310.00	54,558.67	-12.53	42321	Upward Expansion	56	40
2025-01-31	58,560.00	54,483.33	-10.64	49699	Upward Expansion	62	66
2025-01-24	60,630.00	54,367.67	-10.49	67499	Upward Expansion	62	75
2025-01-17	62,760.00	54,136.00	-8.17	26528	Upward Expansion	72	80
2025-01-10	63,350.00	53,862.67	-5.04	47513	Balance	81	78
2025-01-03	59,610.00	53,536.00	-9.83	72284	Balance	36	38
2024-12-27	58,340.00	53,398.67	-11.03	340794	Balance	33	27
2024-12-20	51,640.00	53,415.00	-21.22	108344	Balance	-18	16
2024-12-13	50,300.00	53,406.33	-22.87	61260	Downward Expansion	-33	29
2024-12-06	55,180.00	53,446.33	-15.66	47528	Downward Expansion	20	25
2024-11-29	56,490.00	53,460.33	-11.82	57956	Downward Expansion	-3	8
2024-11-22	54,610.00	53,360.33	-15.17	77167	Downward Expansion	-37	32
2024-11-15	47,920.00	53,443.67	-26.30	81724	Downward Expansion	-80	81
2024-11-08	49,150.00	53,725.00	-23.77	89435	Downward Expansion	-73	69
2024-11-01	49,470.00	54,056.67	-22.84	56882	Downward Expansion	-75	64
2024-10-25	51,800.00	54,292.33	-17.84	1232	Downward Expansion	-57	45
2024-10-18	51,140.00	54,561.67	-18.65	11877	Downward Expansion	-65	50
2024-10-11	51,710.00	54,886.67	-16.54	37822	Downward Expansion	-62	49
2024-10-04	52,420.00	55,113.67	-15.86	6367	Downward Expansion	-58	50
2024-09-27	52,450.00	55,360.33	-16.25	25418	Downward Expansion	-59	52
2024-09-20	52,610.00	55,687.67	-11.79	2363	Balance	-57	49
2024-09-13	52,650.00	56,085.00	-14.68	3714	Balance	-58	42
2024-09-06	53,220.00	56,353.33	-14.70	4152	Balance	-54	24
2024-08-30	53,940.00	56,584.67	-14.63	15715	Balance	-41	19
2024-08-23	54,680.00	56,679.00	-11.82	10254	Balance	-25	13
2024-08-16	56,640.00	56,821.67	-8.91	30955	Balance	-17	11
2024-08-09	53,540.00	56,987.00	-11.81	19538	Downward Expansion	-52	28
2024-08-02	54,000.00	57,303.00	-10.08	69499	Downward Expansion	-50	22
2024-07-26	54,620.00	57,614.33	-11.78	80323	Downward Expansion	-37	17
2024-07-19	55,020.00	57,844.67	-11.14	9119	Downward Expansion	-36	19
2024-07-12	56,050.00	58,127.33	-10.65	12982	Downward Expansion	-38	21
2024-07-05	55,090.00	58,258.67	-9.92	9177	Downward Expansion	-49	30
2024-06-28	53,680.00	58,342.67	-10.46	13055	Downward Expansion	-47	29
2024-06-21	54,560.00	58,520.00	-8.67	14461	Downward Expansion	-39	20
2024-06-14	53,550.00	58,697.67	-11.35	15984	Downward Expansion	-59	33
2024-06-07	55,490.00	58,845.00	-7.37	11251	Downward Expansion	-54	36
2024-05-31	58,830.00	58,768.67	-3.65	15554	Downward Expansion	-52	39
2024-05-24	51,380.00	58,534.33	-14.65	17140	Downward Expansion	-78	82
2024-05-17	51,500.00	58,561.33	-15.32	29663	Rotation Down	-80	77
2024-05-10	55,600.00	58,707.00	-9.74	8217	Rotation Down	-35	56
2024-05-03	53,490.00	58,748.00	-10.38	43944	Rotation Down	-48	57
2024-04-26	57,110.00	58,886.33	-3.61	1929	Rotation Down	-20	42
2024-04-19	56,360.00	58,828.00	-4.13	14370	Balance	-26	37
2024-04-12	59,100.00	58,777.33	-0.44	12003	Balance	-8	19
2024-04-05	56,540.00	58,624.67	-5.12	66307	Balance	-6	16
2024-03-29	59,880.00	58,535.33	-1.78	12012	Balance	18	14
2024-03-22	60,890.00	58,266.67	0.97	54973	Upward Expansion	25	12
2024-03-15	58,520.00	57,950.33	2.35	14552	Upward Expansion	28	18
2024-03-08	59,820.00	57,710.33	2.04	6156	Upward Expansion	48	31
2024-03-01	62,270.00	57,435.67	6.34	31737	Deceleration	52	35
2024-02-23	64,530.00	56,976.67	12.48	15712	Deceleration	62	30
2024-02-16	60,700.00	56,586.67	9.18	100727	Deceleration	32	21
2024-02-09	60,160.00	56,313.00	10.37	9156	Deceleration	31	20
2024-02-02	56,770.00	55,955.33	5.15	66048	Upward Expansion	29	16
2024-01-26	58,960.00	55,730.33	8.77	56424	Upward Expansion	46	33
2024-01-19	61,600.00	55,387.33	13.16	35681	Upward Expansion	61	46
2024-01-12	63,020.00	55,115.00	14.74	6487	Upward Expansion	65	60
2024-01-05	63,340.00	54,917.67	14.76	46349	Upward Expansion	70	62
2023-12-29	61,530.00	54,669.00	13.19	23820	Upward Expansion	64	57
2023-12-22	63,500.00	54,463.67	17.47	135340	Upward Expansion	78	71
2023-12-15	59,990.00	54,176.00	13.14	24714	Upward Expansion	66	69
2023-12-08	57,610.00	53,973.67	10.34	14060	Upward Expansion	56	66
2023-12-01	59,000.00	53,811.67	15.00	20074	Upward Expansion	63	65
2023-11-24	59,890.00	53,511.67	15.33	71450	Deceleration	68	48
2023-11-17	57,970.00	53,120.67	16.47	383383	Deceleration	47	23
2023-11-10	53,200.00	52,772.33	7.96	85158	Deceleration	23	19
2023-11-03	51,800.00	52,559.00	6.01	189297	Upward Expansion	21	12
2023-10-27	52,190.00	52,307.00	11.77	85249	Upward Expansion	44	28
2023-10-20	55,870.00	52,000.33	14.65	78778	Upward Expansion	60	57

Price vs TrendBelow-6.8%

Trend directionFalling-2.2%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+29.7%

Fair Value directionMoving away-17.9%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-5.4%

Relative strength directionWeakening-6.0%

Price momentumNegative-6.2%

Volume balanceDemand-led1.24×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-62 / ±100

-87.4 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

44 /100

+10.6 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

SNFL Directional State ↗ SNFL Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance42

Rotation Up14

Upward Expansion8

Deceleration42

Rotation Down67

Downward Expansion75

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 19%Rotation Up 3%Upward Expansion 32%Deceleration 23%Rotation Down 6%Downward Expansion 18%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Balance	2026-10-02	2026-10-09	New	-8.8%
Rotation Down	2026-09-18	2026-09-25	New	+3.3%
Balance	2026-06-19	2026-09-11	Established	+10.2%
Deceleration	2026-03-27	2026-06-12	Developing	+1.0%
Upward Expansion	2026-01-02	2026-03-20	Developing	+9.5%
Deceleration	2025-11-14	2025-12-26	Developing	+1.4%
Upward Expansion	2025-08-22	2025-11-07	Developing	-0.6%
Rotation Up	2025-07-25	2025-08-15	New	+13.5%
Downward Expansion	2025-06-27	2025-07-18	New	+6.4%
Deceleration	2025-06-20	2025-06-20	New	+0.0%
Rotation Down	2025-05-30	2025-06-13	New	+5.1%
Deceleration	2025-04-18	2025-05-23	Developing	-6.3%
Upward Expansion	2025-03-14	2025-04-11	Developing	-6.5%
Deceleration	2025-02-21	2025-03-07	New	+3.1%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing31

Stage 2 · Advancing15

Stage 3 · Distribution62

Stage 4 · Declining85

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4A · Breakdown. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus TA35.TA

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 66/100
Current Relative Strength: -5.41
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: -6.2%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +2.4%
Utilities regime cohort: 100th percentile2 in cohort

Test SNFL trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.65×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.24×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution2 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+75.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore SNFL Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity ILA 97,092.00falling

Slow Activity ILA 100,794.28falling

Trend Reference ILA 100,933.67-6.8% close margin

Current Fair Value ILA 72,489.87+29.7% close margin

Structural low ILA 85,990.00shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Persistent fast/slow separation and fan expansion would end Balance; direction determines whether it becomes Rotation Up or Rotation Down.

Range context +7.2%

Annualized volatility +41.9%

From structural high -28.8%

From structural low +23.6%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs TA35.TA	Regime survived	Read
Near term	16	-2.5%-10.3% to +21.5%	+25.0%	+25.0%	-1.1%	+68.8%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	7	-5.5%-16.6% to +20.1%	+14.3%	+14.3%	-7.7%	+14.3%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	4	-11.2%-35.6% to +9.5%	+25.0%	+25.0%	-13.9%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	2	-21.8%-45.0% to +1.5%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-28.9%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

SNFL Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

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Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map