Weekly structural research · TAI · Industrials

1597 Stage Analysis

Chieftek Precision Co., Ltd.

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close TWD 142.50Tenure EstablishedBenchmark ^TWII

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Deceleration · Recompressing

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: compressed and contracting.

Direction 17−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 10/100directional strength

Maturity 45/100lifecycle context

Confidence 68/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation

Price acceptance +0.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +55.5%TWD 91.65 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	142.50	138.14	-1.37	4067702	Deceleration	17	10
2026-10-02	148.00	135.91	4.17	13805150	Deceleration	27	11
2026-09-25	133.50	133.45	-5.14	2732574	Deceleration	16	9
2026-09-18	138.50	131.61	-0.10	5174456	Deceleration	29	22
2026-09-11	147.00	129.57	8.13	15416900	Deceleration	36	27
2026-09-04	155.00	127.23	12.95	7013984	Deceleration	44	31
2026-08-28	152.00	124.73	11.08	6785109	Deceleration	37	25
2026-08-21	133.00	122.40	-0.62	1132352	Deceleration	6	8
2026-08-14	142.76	120.68	4.80	1165025	Deceleration	7	13
2026-08-07	140.27	118.35	6.31	5753381	Deceleration	4	18
2026-07-31	113.41	116.11	-12.11	964501	Deceleration	-9	23
2026-07-24	125.35	114.73	-4.65	1249406	Deceleration	6	14
2026-07-17	127.34	112.96	-1.33	986838	Deceleration	23	20
2026-07-10	138.50	111.13	0.63	0	Deceleration	34	21
2026-07-03	156.00	108.96	9.49	11165256	Deceleration	39	24
2026-06-26	139.50	106.22	2.49	6481379	Upward Expansion	43	30
2026-06-19	158.00	103.90	10.93	6538738	Upward Expansion	50	45
2026-06-12	150.50	101.07	10.80	12771534	Upward Expansion	64	59
2026-06-05	167.50	98.52	20.37	19101315	Upward Expansion	68	67
2026-05-29	180.00	95.46	30.03	34868267	Upward Expansion	73	86
2026-05-22	183.00	92.07	39.84	16323881	Upward Expansion	85	94
2026-05-15	179.50	88.54	40.98	7631185	Upward Expansion	94	97
2026-05-08	173.00	85.21	34.78	24478261	Upward Expansion	98	99
2026-05-01	143.50	82.07	19.49	27264791	Upward Expansion	97	98
2026-04-24	108.50	79.88	-9.61	24217756	Upward Expansion	78	89
2026-04-17	117.50	78.99	3.13	31842328	Upward Expansion	93	93
2026-04-10	99.10	77.79	-9.77	7363392	Upward Expansion	83	79
2026-04-03	85.70	77.27	-15.73	4399707	Balance	63	56
2026-03-27	85.40	77.33	-18.08	9815315	Balance	36	26
2026-03-20	80.30	77.32	-24.68	2156605	Balance	13	7
2026-03-13	75.60	77.63	-29.61	1471584	Balance	-29	16
2026-03-06	74.40	78.02	-31.98	2960639	Balance	-30	16
2026-02-27	78.30	78.38	-32.97	1702430	Balance	-5	9
2026-02-13	77.30	78.59	-31.26	1057822	Rotation Up	-3	18
2026-02-06	76.70	78.78	-28.86	2149590	Rotation Up	18	28
2026-01-30	80.00	78.89	-27.25	3735503	Downward Expansion	19	29
2026-01-23	82.00	78.95	-25.94	5354617	Downward Expansion	9	21
2026-01-16	81.50	79.04	-25.80	4847892	Downward Expansion	-11	11
2026-01-09	72.80	79.07	-32.01	1866755	Downward Expansion	-54	36
2026-01-02	73.00	79.52	-30.73	548110	Downward Expansion	-56	40
2025-12-26	72.10	80.00	-30.46	351132	Downward Expansion	-61	44
2025-12-19	72.20	80.51	-28.89	770994	Downward Expansion	-61	43
2025-12-12	72.40	81.06	-30.43	868914	Downward Expansion	-62	53
2025-12-05	73.40	81.66	-29.39	1918852	Downward Expansion	-61	61
2025-11-28	74.00	82.00	-28.39	692777	Downward Expansion	-64	71
2025-11-21	69.90	82.40	-29.77	1042233	Downward Expansion	-79	78
2025-11-14	72.90	82.46	-29.81	1754233	Downward Expansion	-70	65
2025-11-07	74.10	82.25	-29.80	1375373	Rotation Down	-70	61
2025-10-31	75.80	82.03	-30.18	1391508	Rotation Down	-39	45
2025-10-24	78.10	82.27	-26.86	1621518	Rotation Down	-32	43
2025-10-17	77.30	82.55	-27.52	1328087	Rotation Down	-38	52
2025-10-10	79.50	83.04	-25.83	855211	Downward Expansion	-30	48
2025-10-03	78.80	83.55	-25.42	1219581	Downward Expansion	-60	57
2025-09-26	77.80	84.20	-23.44	2204484	Balance	-56	45
2025-09-19	81.70	85.03	-20.10	1924858	Balance	-39	23
2025-09-12	81.50	86.01	-20.35	4740450	Balance	-30	16
2025-09-05	83.50	86.91	-15.61	3203396	Balance	-8	8
2025-08-29	87.60	87.55	-11.04	7202209	Balance	5	14
2025-08-22	85.00	87.98	-12.28	4938606	Balance	-9	13
2025-08-15	89.75	88.46	-10.07	14126078	Balance	0	11
2025-08-08	87.18	88.97	-12.21	5210932	Balance	-11	8
2025-08-01	85.29	90.10	-12.28	3640920	Downward Expansion	-34	19
2025-07-25	84.50	90.81	-13.05	4154424	Downward Expansion	-38	25
2025-07-18	83.11	91.27	-14.85	4654311	Downward Expansion	-39	31
2025-07-11	79.84	91.46	-16.11	2303689	Downward Expansion	-47	38
2025-07-04	81.82	91.78	-13.33	2996682	Balance	-40	24
2025-06-27	84.80	91.99	-10.14	5494930	Balance	-32	17
2025-06-20	82.32	92.17	-10.29	3028875	Balance	-30	15
2025-06-13	86.28	92.45	-5.74	5762723	Downward Expansion	-28	17
2025-06-06	87.57	92.74	-2.14	8991757	Downward Expansion	-27	22
2025-05-30	87.47	92.96	-0.38	11527779	Downward Expansion	-29	25
2025-05-23	88.66	93.48	0.09	30621697	Downward Expansion	-33	27
2025-05-16	90.45	93.88	1.70	29782670	Downward Expansion	-41	24
2025-05-09	83.31	93.80	-1.70	20332523	Downward Expansion	-60	46
2025-05-02	86.28	94.05	2.79	40710084	Downward Expansion	-65	73
2025-04-25	71.51	94.39	-10.49	4788482	Downward Expansion	-70	86
2025-04-18	66.65	95.21	-14.38	4218760	Downward Expansion	-86	91
2025-04-11	67.44	96.02	-13.96	4590267	Rotation Down	-89	85
2025-04-04	83.11	96.92	-2.81	2895268	Rotation Down	-36	54
2025-03-28	86.48	97.60	-0.13	3007838	Balance	-29	36
2025-03-21	91.94	97.92	3.44	3039579	Balance	-18	20
2025-03-14	94.91	98.44	8.35	5526282	Balance	18	10
2025-03-07	98.18	99.13	9.66	7559807	Upward Expansion	31	18
2025-02-28	102.65	99.05	12.78	8631592	Upward Expansion	49	28
2025-02-21	111.08	98.70	19.17	22232190	Upward Expansion	59	33
2025-02-14	108.60	98.33	20.19	41122933	Upward Expansion	47	23
2025-02-07	102.65	97.93	12.73	23754458	Upward Expansion	47	23
2025-01-24	100.66	97.41	10.83	7229332	Upward Expansion	54	51
2025-01-17	99.18	96.53	11.40	22292910	Upward Expansion	55	61
2025-01-10	105.13	95.46	19.25	41395280	Upward Expansion	55	59
2025-01-03	121.00	94.17	38.58	107312286	Balance	76	64
2024-12-27	106.61	92.39	21.22	78704116	Balance	49	27
2024-12-20	98.28	91.03	16.18	37723839	Balance	10	8
2024-12-13	89.06	89.87	3.35	9077080	Balance	-17	27
2024-12-06	89.26	89.07	2.95	3680708	Balance	2	20
2024-11-29	88.07	88.25	5.86	6145116	Balance	2	15
2024-11-22	90.35	87.52	5.65	4836189	Balance	9	10
2024-11-15	90.65	86.67	6.83	5959596	Balance	15	10
2024-11-08	95.01	85.76	8.34	14147854	Deceleration	34	22
2024-11-01	94.12	84.98	11.18	7538582	Deceleration	33	19
2024-10-25	103.14	84.24	19.14	61396822	Deceleration	43	22
2024-10-18	100.66	83.21	15.95	36016831	Deceleration	30	14
2024-10-11	88.17	82.32	4.40	5755408	Deceleration	25	14
2024-10-04	90.75	81.60	10.36	7683614	Deceleration	32	18
2024-09-27	96.40	80.69	14.72	10210855	Deceleration	34	19
2024-09-20	96.10	79.63	18.01	7393671	Deceleration	38	21
2024-09-13	90.85	78.57	13.87	8789585	Upward Expansion	41	24
2024-09-06	94.42	77.64	20.35	23987648	Upward Expansion	57	40
2024-08-30	103.64	76.56	27.58	32250081	Upward Expansion	63	53
2024-08-23	96.00	75.18	19.25	19024962	Upward Expansion	64	56
2024-08-16	107.74	74.09	33.05	65838603	Upward Expansion	72	65
2024-08-09	115.61	72.56	49.36	72198849	Upward Expansion	91	75
2024-08-02	95.73	70.78	23.72	35069695	Upward Expansion	70	87
2024-07-26	92.19	69.68	16.93	16243466	Upward Expansion	68	88
2024-07-19	99.87	68.71	22.75	80815776	Upward Expansion	92	97
2024-07-12	96.52	67.49	13.76	35593436	Upward Expansion	96	98
2024-07-05	87.27	66.39	4.53	15862721	Upward Expansion	92	86
2024-06-28	74.09	65.68	-9.44	5405882	Deceleration	73	58
2024-06-21	67.00	65.40	-19.30	997375	Deceleration	33	18
2024-06-14	66.41	65.37	-17.92	1008385	Deceleration	25	11
2024-06-07	67.69	65.20	-14.39	6761148	Deceleration	29	13
2024-05-31	65.73	64.99	-14.68	1849680	Deceleration	-10	13
2024-05-24	63.66	64.83	-19.33	1234572	Deceleration	-17	17
2024-05-17	65.13	64.77	-16.83	1096414	Deceleration	18	19
2024-05-10	64.54	64.70	-16.00	1311480	Deceleration	15	21
2024-05-03	66.22	64.67	-12.86	2939227	Deceleration	27	21
2024-04-26	64.64	64.57	-14.65	1459415	Upward Expansion	30	16
2024-04-19	63.56	64.52	-14.17	2791657	Upward Expansion	45	35
2024-04-12	71.43	64.52	-9.82	4158399	Upward Expansion	64	78
2024-04-05	72.02	64.31	-7.86	1522947	Upward Expansion	71	81
2024-03-29	72.32	64.00	-7.84	13306325	Upward Expansion	79	80
2024-03-22	73.79	63.74	-6.17	4728041	Upward Expansion	89	81
2024-03-15	66.71	63.37	-13.28	1334845	Balance	65	51
2024-03-08	63.36	63.27	-18.61	814091	Balance	14	14
2024-03-01	64.74	63.30	-13.84	494250	Balance	14	12
2024-02-23	64.35	63.29	-14.69	705313	Balance	-19	8
2024-02-16	62.77	63.33	-16.07	195504	Balance	-46	22
2024-02-09	61.99	63.43	-15.28	39000	Balance	-53	28
2024-02-02	62.38	63.59	-15.05	297974	Balance	-50	31
2024-01-26	63.07	63.79	-14.25	308054	Balance	-49	34
2024-01-19	61.99	64.04	-14.61	207713	Balance	-46	30
2024-01-12	62.28	64.37	-13.78	158523	Balance	-42	27
2024-01-05	62.77	64.66	-13.57	104510	Balance	-37	23
2023-12-29	62.87	64.91	-15.87	210373	Balance	-31	13
2023-12-22	63.36	65.16	-14.10	165182	Balance	-10	15
2023-12-15	63.66	65.38	-14.54	441002	Balance	-4	21
2023-12-08	65.73	65.65	-10.76	268899	Balance	1	19
2023-12-01	65.92	65.80	-11.23	365428	Downward Expansion	-12	12
2023-11-24	65.92	66.03	-10.92	622403	Downward Expansion	-25	21
2023-11-17	61.49	66.26	-16.97	316442	Downward Expansion	-60	54
2023-11-10	61.20	66.63	-15.37	123358	Downward Expansion	-67	57
2023-11-03	61.10	67.08	-15.34	160419	Downward Expansion	-72	52
2023-10-27	61.69	67.55	-13.20	102143	Downward Expansion	-70	48
2023-10-20	63.07	67.96	-13.43	238356	Downward Expansion	-60	42
2023-10-13	63.76	68.36	-14.74	80434	Downward Expansion	-58	42
2023-10-06	63.07	68.69	-14.75	99556	Downward Expansion	-62	43

Price vs TrendAbove+3.2%

Trend directionRising+19.0%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+55.5%

Fair Value directionMoving away-6.5%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-1.4%

Relative strength directionWeakening-2.0%

Price momentumPositive+43.8%

Volume balanceDemand-led1.09×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

17 / ±100

-18.5 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

10 /100

-17.3 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

1597 Directional State ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance64

Rotation Up32

Upward Expansion48

Deceleration78

Rotation Down25

Downward Expansion26

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 28%Rotation Up 1%Upward Expansion 24%Deceleration 21%Rotation Down 4%Downward Expansion 23%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Deceleration	2026-07-03	2026-10-09	Established	-8.7%
Upward Expansion	2026-04-10	2026-06-26	Developing	+40.8%
Balance	2026-02-27	2026-04-03	Developing	+9.5%
Rotation Up	2026-02-06	2026-02-13	New	+0.8%
Downward Expansion	2025-11-14	2026-01-30	Developing	+9.7%
Rotation Down	2025-10-17	2025-11-07	New	-4.1%
Downward Expansion	2025-10-03	2025-10-10	New	+0.9%
Balance	2025-08-08	2025-09-26	Developing	-10.8%
Downward Expansion	2025-07-11	2025-08-01	New	+6.8%
Balance	2025-06-20	2025-07-04	New	-0.6%
Downward Expansion	2025-04-18	2025-06-13	Developing	+29.5%
Rotation Down	2025-04-04	2025-04-11	New	-18.9%
Balance	2025-03-14	2025-03-28	New	-8.9%
Upward Expansion	2025-01-10	2025-03-07	Developing	-6.6%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing21

Stage 2 · Advancing83

Stage 3 · Distribution61

Stage 4 · Declining17

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2B · Advancing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^TWII

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 46/100
Current Relative Strength: -1.37
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: +43.8%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +4.6%
Industrials regime cohort: 11th percentile54 in cohort

Test 1597 trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.52×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.09×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+50.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+50.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore 1597 Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity TWD 141.93falling

Slow Activity TWD 143.13rising

Trend Reference TWD 138.14+3.2% close margin

Current Fair Value TWD 91.65+55.5% close margin

Structural low TWD 102.50shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Renewed positive order and expanding width produce re-acceleration; fast/slow failure with downside acceptance produces Rotation Down.

Range context +11.4%

Annualized volatility +79.0%

From structural high -35.5%

From structural low +111.1%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^TWII	Regime survived	Read
Near term	8	+2.0%-27.3% to +34.0%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-3.1%	+75.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	3	+2.3%-5.1% to +44.6%	+66.7%	+66.7%	+0.7%	+33.3%	Too little matched history
Extended	2	+15.3%-11.5% to +42.1%	+50.0%	+50.0%	+13.4%	+50.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	1	+25.8%+25.8% to +25.8%	+100.0%	+100.0%	+22.9%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

1597 Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map