Weekly structural research · JPX · Consumer Defensive

2874 Stage Analysis

Yokorei Co.,Ltd.

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close JPY 2,167.00Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^N225

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Upward Expansion · Re-accelerating

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: compressed and contracting.

Direction 53−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 35/100directional strength

Maturity 37/100lifecycle context

Confidence 77/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation

Price acceptance +50.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +81.4%JPY 1,194.63 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-09-25	2,167.00	1,959.49	14.86	463900	Upward Expansion	53	35
2026-09-18	2,164.00	1,934.55	17.55	696800	Upward Expansion	55	43
2026-09-11	2,211.00	1,909.31	22.41	759900	Upward Expansion	62	53
2026-09-04	2,162.00	1,884.98	18.44	645300	Upward Expansion	55	44
2026-08-28	2,224.00	1,857.30	19.76	603400	Upward Expansion	62	39
2026-08-21	2,102.00	1,825.03	14.37	188800	Upward Expansion	50	32
2026-08-14	2,110.00	1,795.48	10.71	617800	Upward Expansion	52	33
2026-08-07	2,117.00	1,765.06	16.81	139700	Upward Expansion	54	38
2026-07-31	2,134.00	1,734.84	20.51	180200	Upward Expansion	56	41
2026-07-24	2,152.00	1,705.41	21.66	348700	Upward Expansion	59	43
2026-07-17	2,210.00	1,677.42	26.60	305000	Deceleration	67	43
2026-07-10	2,065.00	1,647.61	11.39	179300	Deceleration	40	26
2026-07-03	2,045.00	1,624.41	8.71	151200	Deceleration	37	28
2026-06-26	1,996.00	1,600.63	7.27	208800	Upward Expansion	40	27
2026-06-19	1,877.00	1,579.37	-1.25	262200	Upward Expansion	60	49
2026-06-12	1,857.00	1,558.73	5.75	272500	Upward Expansion	66	65
2026-06-05	2,065.00	1,536.88	16.98	418200	Upward Expansion	67	87
2026-05-29	2,600.00	1,509.35	48.71	1412200	Upward Expansion	94	98
2026-05-22	2,519.00	1,463.23	52.73	2833800	Upward Expansion	96	96
2026-05-15	1,983.00	1,419.87	25.64	871000	Upward Expansion	92	73
2026-05-08	1,706.00	1,394.72	6.65	370100	Upward Expansion	70	59
2026-05-01	1,653.00	1,376.87	9.29	853200	Upward Expansion	64	58
2026-04-24	1,634.00	1,361.62	8.10	581700	Upward Expansion	66	66
2026-04-17	1,701.00	1,347.50	15.25	712200	Upward Expansion	80	88
2026-04-10	1,662.00	1,333.34	16.09	647900	Upward Expansion	82	87
2026-04-03	1,599.00	1,318.35	20.09	605500	Upward Expansion	77	77
2026-03-27	1,635.00	1,304.61	22.85	777900	Upward Expansion	89	83
2026-03-20	1,502.06	1,288.43	13.52	515900	Upward Expansion	76	75
2026-03-13	1,455.43	1,276.09	9.50	679500	Upward Expansion	68	74
2026-03-06	1,477.25	1,263.56	7.86	941300	Upward Expansion	77	84
2026-02-27	1,418.72	1,251.19	-1.84	459100	Upward Expansion	66	78
2026-02-20	1,406.81	1,239.37	0.96	839300	Upward Expansion	64	70
2026-02-13	1,481.22	1,226.86	6.32	894700	Deceleration	77	65
2026-02-06	1,331.41	1,211.19	0.67	917000	Deceleration	34	15
2026-01-30	1,256.01	1,201.75	-3.14	760700	Deceleration	6	18
2026-01-23	1,215.34	1,188.90	-7.02	651100	Deceleration	12	23
2026-01-16	1,197.48	1,176.45	-8.40	454900	Deceleration	10	18
2026-01-09	1,210.38	1,165.06	-3.74	738800	Upward Expansion	27	18
2026-01-02	1,251.05	1,154.32	2.88	298000	Upward Expansion	56	41
2025-12-26	1,312.56	1,141.73	7.42	503900	Upward Expansion	62	54
2025-12-19	1,315.54	1,126.63	10.84	500500	Upward Expansion	64	70
2025-12-12	1,369.11	1,110.19	12.87	469100	Upward Expansion	77	79
2025-12-05	1,331.41	1,092.49	11.08	614100	Upward Expansion	74	59
2025-11-28	1,358.20	1,076.11	14.45	737000	Upward Expansion	85	61
2025-11-21	1,258.00	1,058.41	10.17	674600	Upward Expansion	70	50
2025-11-14	1,201.45	1,044.60	2.00	850900	Upward Expansion	59	45
2025-11-07	1,239.15	1,032.75	5.70	457800	Upward Expansion	67	54
2025-10-31	1,216.33	1,019.15	-0.25	545100	Upward Expansion	61	49
2025-10-24	1,218.31	1,004.97	6.22	544300	Upward Expansion	54	48
2025-10-17	1,228.23	992.98	11.08	481100	Upward Expansion	68	56
2025-10-10	1,170.69	981.15	4.90	628500	Upward Expansion	63	60
2025-10-03	1,195.49	970.86	12.64	1135200	Upward Expansion	65	62
2025-09-26	1,210.38	959.54	15.24	1361300	Upward Expansion	67	66
2025-09-19	1,276.20	946.69	22.67	1243100	Upward Expansion	87	86
2025-09-12	1,212.34	932.46	17.67	855700	Upward Expansion	82	82
2025-09-05	1,186.80	919.90	20.06	908100	Upward Expansion	83	72
2025-08-29	1,149.46	908.19	17.27	1007900	Upward Expansion	80	71
2025-08-22	1,131.78	897.92	15.85	1333300	Upward Expansion	81	79
2025-08-15	1,079.71	887.57	8.75	1649900	Upward Expansion	72	86
2025-08-08	1,106.24	878.17	15.54	1296800	Upward Expansion	86	94
2025-08-01	1,063.99	868.15	13.96	745300	Upward Expansion	81	93
2025-07-25	1,031.57	860.24	8.70	650200	Upward Expansion	81	92
2025-07-18	1,010.94	853.39	10.76	1134000	Upward Expansion	84	87
2025-07-11	1,048.27	846.48	15.61	2090000	Upward Expansion	90	80
2025-07-04	870.45	838.55	-4.40	504800	Upward Expansion	54	32
2025-06-27	841.96	835.42	-8.47	466100	Upward Expansion	45	38
2025-06-20	855.71	833.04	-3.10	582300	Upward Expansion	51	51
2025-06-13	888.13	830.95	1.87	522700	Balance	65	56
2025-06-06	873.40	827.68	0.28	475600	Balance	56	39
2025-05-30	859.64	827.48	-2.05	389200	Balance	41	18
2025-05-23	822.31	828.23	-4.46	579900	Balance	11	8
2025-05-16	838.03	830.26	-4.40	444500	Balance	29	11
2025-05-09	839.99	833.77	-3.79	316300	Balance	-7	4
2025-05-02	827.22	836.72	-3.83	317700	Balance	-5	5
2025-04-25	843.92	840.65	0.90	493700	Balance	1	9
2025-04-18	845.89	843.61	3.75	489100	Balance	-16	14
2025-04-11	831.15	845.79	5.32	1449300	Balance	-18	11
2025-04-04	790.87	848.84	-0.36	1526000	Rotation Up	-44	20
2025-03-28	858.66	853.85	-1.68	642100	Rotation Up	23	43
2025-03-21	873.41	857.84	-1.58	409700	Balance	33	42
2025-03-14	861.78	860.86	-1.39	636000	Balance	8	18
2025-03-07	855.96	864.10	-1.83	702900	Balance	3	12
2025-02-28	824.94	865.85	-6.24	941300	Balance	-13	14
2025-02-21	849.18	870.07	-7.73	1702900	Downward Expansion	-6	17
2025-02-14	835.60	874.95	-10.37	767900	Downward Expansion	-21	21
2025-02-07	835.60	880.54	-9.91	900200	Downward Expansion	-36	21
2025-01-31	841.42	885.91	-11.52	744000	Downward Expansion	-42	32
2025-01-24	821.06	890.44	-15.00	887800	Downward Expansion	-46	38
2025-01-17	797.80	896.54	-14.77	657100	Downward Expansion	-52	41
2025-01-10	805.55	901.86	-16.07	1077800	Downward Expansion	-47	40
2025-01-03	826.88	907.72	-15.86	161200	Downward Expansion	-47	42
2024-12-27	825.91	912.60	-17.36	939300	Downward Expansion	-62	56
2024-12-20	803.61	917.18	-16.90	1092100	Downward Expansion	-66	65
2024-12-13	810.40	922.65	-18.39	1780300	Downward Expansion	-68	86
2024-12-06	776.47	928.53	-21.62	1727100	Downward Expansion	-76	91
2024-11-29	770.66	936.19	-21.14	3519600	Downward Expansion	-87	95
2024-11-22	792.95	943.72	-19.72	1740200	Downward Expansion	-86	94
2024-11-15	790.04	950.44	-21.35	2606800	Downward Expansion	-93	94
2024-11-08	867.59	955.63	-16.21	841800	Downward Expansion	-76	77
2024-11-01	882.13	959.32	-12.37	644300	Downward Expansion	-70	60
2024-10-25	883.10	962.37	-12.66	698200	Downward Expansion	-69	38
2024-10-18	943.20	965.99	-10.08	466000	Downward Expansion	-48	25
2024-10-11	928.66	968.31	-13.53	555500	Downward Expansion	-55	39
2024-10-04	945.14	970.83	-10.41	845700	Downward Expansion	-52	46
2024-09-27	932.54	972.93	-14.97	1581400	Downward Expansion	-54	53
2024-09-20	911.34	975.10	-13.02	737200	Downward Expansion	-63	45
2024-09-13	922.82	978.70	-9.95	618100	Downward Expansion	-61	32
2024-09-06	941.01	981.95	-8.48	496100	Downward Expansion	-54	26
2024-08-30	978.35	984.69	-11.20	416800	Downward Expansion	-46	40
2024-08-23	963.99	987.57	-12.63	350600	Downward Expansion	-51	48
2024-08-16	959.20	989.54	-13.14	504700	Downward Expansion	-49	49
2024-08-09	908.46	991.67	-11.39	742700	Balance	-69	52
2024-08-02	951.54	994.49	-10.17	572100	Balance	-43	16
2024-07-26	995.58	996.08	-10.95	420500	Balance	-11	14
2024-07-19	1,003.24	995.99	-16.07	309700	Balance	-5	12
2024-07-12	996.53	995.37	-19.41	499100	Downward Expansion	-23	12
2024-07-05	977.39	995.31	-20.91	327800	Downward Expansion	-35	15
2024-06-28	1,004.19	997.24	-16.55	516200	Downward Expansion	-26	13
2024-06-21	957.29	999.04	-18.81	484700	Downward Expansion	-62	44
2024-06-14	981.22	1,001.77	-17.70	413200	Downward Expansion	-51	37
2024-06-07	973.56	1,004.66	-18.43	287000	Downward Expansion	-52	40
2024-05-31	963.03	1,009.59	-19.35	507300	Downward Expansion	-58	31
2024-05-24	967.82	1,014.15	-19.70	337800	Downward Expansion	-46	21
2024-05-17	986.96	1,018.84	-18.80	670900	Downward Expansion	-34	19
2024-05-10	1,006.11	1,022.35	-16.41	274900	Downward Expansion	-36	21
2024-05-03	996.53	1,024.78	-17.70	200800	Downward Expansion	-53	33
2024-04-26	994.62	1,029.04	-17.67	974500	Downward Expansion	-56	47
2024-04-19	945.80	1,034.09	-20.33	713900	Downward Expansion	-74	64
2024-04-12	978.35	1,042.11	-23.11	638900	Downward Expansion	-61	43
2024-04-05	973.56	1,051.64	-22.88	592000	Downward Expansion	-66	40
2024-03-29	991.75	1,061.52	-24.50	623300	Downward Expansion	-59	35
2024-03-22	1,012.75	1,070.38	-24.22	354800	Downward Expansion	-53	34
2024-03-15	1,004.24	1,076.98	-20.96	489800	Downward Expansion	-56	37
2024-03-08	1,008.02	1,084.06	-22.89	556700	Downward Expansion	-54	35
2024-03-01	997.61	1,091.28	-24.45	425000	Downward Expansion	-61	36
2024-02-23	1,019.38	1,096.61	-21.60	347000	Downward Expansion	-38	20
2024-02-16	1,020.33	1,100.27	-20.63	972900	Downward Expansion	-36	21
2024-02-09	1,023.17	1,103.59	-17.32	441400	Downward Expansion	-36	24
2024-02-02	1,064.81	1,106.13	-12.59	424800	Downward Expansion	-41	28
2024-01-26	1,023.17	1,107.31	-15.35	482200	Downward Expansion	-49	43
2024-01-19	1,023.17	1,109.75	-16.22	383500	Downward Expansion	-62	54
2024-01-12	992.88	1,112.23	-18.22	451400	Downward Expansion	-67	80
2024-01-05	999.50	1,115.53	-12.73	212900	Downward Expansion	-67	83
2023-12-29	992.88	1,118.88	-13.89	525000	Downward Expansion	-72	84
2023-12-22	984.36	1,120.93	-14.27	439600	Downward Expansion	-79	84
2023-12-15	994.77	1,122.07	-13.21	393500	Rotation Down	-79	79
2023-12-08	1,035.47	1,122.90	-8.07	452400	Rotation Down	-43	60
2023-12-01	1,058.19	1,123.44	-9.31	307100	Rotation Down	-35	42
2023-11-24	1,039.26	1,122.59	-11.50	360700	Deceleration	-46	39
2023-11-17	1,067.65	1,122.06	-9.07	491800	Deceleration	-32	30
2023-11-10	1,121.60	1,119.15	-1.51	312000	Deceleration	-20	29
2023-11-03	1,099.83	1,114.15	-1.33	433000	Deceleration	-22	35
2023-10-27	1,108.35	1,108.36	2.72	370700	Deceleration	-22	37
2023-10-20	1,092.26	1,101.37	0.66	293800	Deceleration	-9	34
2023-10-13	1,079.01	1,094.13	-3.61	305100	Deceleration	-4	28
2023-10-06	1,124.44	1,087.15	4.88	529800	Upward Expansion	25	25

Price vs TrendAbove+10.6%

Trend directionRising+16.8%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+81.4%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+2.3%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+14.9%

Relative strength directionImproving+7.6%

Price momentumPositive+32.5%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.87×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

53 / ±100

-9.6 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

35 /100

-3.5 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

2874 Directional State ↗ 2874 Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance28

Rotation Up45

Upward Expansion75

Deceleration61

Rotation Down24

Downward Expansion4

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-09-25 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 12%Rotation Up 1%Upward Expansion 39%Deceleration 10%Rotation Down 2%Downward Expansion 37%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Upward Expansion	2026-07-24	2026-09-25	Developing	+0.7%
Deceleration	2026-07-03	2026-07-17	New	+8.1%
Upward Expansion	2026-02-20	2026-06-26	Established	+41.9%
Deceleration	2026-01-16	2026-02-13	Developing	+23.7%
Upward Expansion	2025-06-20	2026-01-09	Extended	+41.4%
Balance	2025-04-11	2025-06-13	Developing	+6.9%
Rotation Up	2025-03-28	2025-04-04	New	-7.9%
Balance	2025-02-28	2025-03-21	New	+5.9%
Downward Expansion	2024-08-16	2025-02-21	Extended	-11.5%
Balance	2024-07-19	2024-08-09	New	-9.4%
Downward Expansion	2023-12-22	2024-07-12	Extended	+1.2%
Rotation Down	2023-12-01	2023-12-15	New	-6.0%
Deceleration	2023-10-13	2023-11-24	Developing	-3.7%
Upward Expansion	2023-05-05	2023-10-06	Established	+8.9%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing21

Stage 2 · Advancing100

Stage 3 · Distribution50

Stage 4 · Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2B · Advancing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^N225

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 80/100
Current Relative Strength: 14.86
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +32.5%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +8.2%
Consumer Defensive regime cohort: 19th percentile97 in cohort

Test 2874 trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.80×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.87×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution2 / 3

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore 2874 Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity JPY 2,178.13rising

Slow Activity JPY 2,079.62rising

Trend Reference JPY 1,959.49+10.6% close margin

Current Fair Value JPY 1,194.63+81.4% close margin

Structural low JPY 1,526.00shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +5.9%

Annualized volatility +57.0%

From structural high -20.1%

From structural low +88.3%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^N225	Regime survived	Read
Near term	29	+2.9%-7.9% to +18.1%	+65.5%	+65.5%	+0.3%	+79.3%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	11	+10.8%-12.2% to +49.1%	+90.9%	+90.9%	+1.9%	+81.8%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	5	+13.5%+4.7% to +53.7%	+100.0%	+100.0%	-0.2%	+60.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	3	+30.7%-4.3% to +119.3%	+66.7%	+66.7%	+19.5%	+66.7%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

2874 Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map