Weekly structural research · JPX · Consumer Cyclical

7550 Stage Analysis

Zensho Holdings Co., Ltd.

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close JPY 11,065.00Tenure NewBenchmark ^N225

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Deceleration · Recompressing

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: wide and contracting.

Direction 45−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 34/100directional strength

Maturity 72/100lifecycle context

Confidence 71/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Widecontracting separation

Price acceptance +50.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +35.2%JPY 8,182.66 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-02	11,065.00	9,366.31	0.43	4019100	Deceleration	45	34
2026-09-25	10,395.32	9,323.81	-3.52	1322300	Upward Expansion	50	46
2026-09-18	10,410.27	9,306.89	-2.13	2901700	Upward Expansion	65	64
2026-09-11	11,192.28	9,287.24	6.17	2466500	Upward Expansion	68	88
2026-09-04	11,909.54	9,236.32	10.73	2542000	Upward Expansion	80	93
2026-08-28	11,954.37	9,138.45	8.43	494400	Upward Expansion	90	96
2026-08-21	11,480.00	9,018.04	4.30	424000	Upward Expansion	90	96
2026-08-14	11,350.00	8,919.02	-1.55	486000	Rotation Up	95	97
2026-08-07	10,475.00	8,825.50	-5.64	639600	Rotation Up	51	75
2026-07-31	9,974.00	8,766.72	-8.71	701500	Rotation Up	46	62
2026-07-24	9,127.00	8,732.17	-17.16	297100	Downward Expansion	25	34
2026-07-17	9,303.00	8,726.95	-15.41	936000	Downward Expansion	2	18
2026-07-10	8,793.00	8,721.51	-25.61	536600	Downward Expansion	-23	15
2026-07-03	8,232.00	8,738.35	-32.08	417100	Downward Expansion	-45	31
2026-06-26	7,931.00	8,769.14	-34.84	470500	Downward Expansion	-60	46
2026-06-19	7,621.00	8,817.00	-39.65	476100	Downward Expansion	-68	53
2026-06-12	7,927.00	8,855.94	-33.00	674200	Downward Expansion	-62	61
2026-06-05	7,536.00	8,889.46	-37.44	808400	Downward Expansion	-75	76
2026-05-29	8,052.00	8,947.63	-33.53	3741000	Downward Expansion	-62	61
2026-05-22	7,842.00	8,998.06	-32.81	4071300	Downward Expansion	-73	68
2026-05-15	7,750.00	9,065.72	-32.16	5788800	Downward Expansion	-81	74
2026-05-08	8,802.00	9,144.14	-25.26	1317000	Downward Expansion	-58	63
2026-05-01	8,680.00	9,186.01	-23.09	2649700	Downward Expansion	-58	63
2026-04-24	8,036.00	9,227.76	-29.67	2373700	Balance	-79	69
2026-04-17	8,509.00	9,294.32	-24.78	2240100	Balance	-48	33
2026-04-10	8,801.00	9,336.72	-20.91	3474900	Balance	-19	16
2026-04-03	9,537.00	9,360.69	-8.97	2056200	Balance	11	9
2026-03-27	9,560.00	9,351.15	-9.59	2679400	Rotation Up	17	17
2026-03-20	9,225.40	9,340.95	-13.13	1687900	Rotation Up	19	31
2026-03-13	9,519.17	9,357.62	-11.54	1899500	Rotation Up	25	53
2026-03-06	9,790.04	9,387.15	-12.36	1954000	Rotation Up	27	46
2026-02-27	9,887.63	9,322.54	-16.61	1496400	Rotation Up	34	42
2026-02-20	9,820.91	9,258.42	-14.50	2783100	Downward Expansion	19	25
2026-02-13	9,664.56	9,193.11	-16.22	3250600	Downward Expansion	-15	11
2026-02-06	8,973.45	9,129.67	-18.56	2318900	Rotation Down	-61	60
2026-01-30	8,342.10	9,093.97	-23.38	1859000	Rotation Down	-49	69
2026-01-23	8,509.40	9,088.81	-23.03	1846000	Rotation Down	-45	63
2026-01-16	8,544.25	9,079.69	-23.25	1732900	Rotation Down	-46	59
2026-01-09	8,711.55	9,064.84	-19.16	2060700	Deceleration	-32	39
2026-01-02	8,937.60	9,035.69	-14.81	495900	Deceleration	-4	13
2025-12-26	8,970.47	8,994.36	-15.54	1732100	Deceleration	-2	9
2025-12-19	9,139.76	8,956.64	-12.17	1605000	Deceleration	6	7
2025-12-12	9,298.10	8,918.51	-13.40	1425300	Deceleration	8	14
2025-12-05	9,155.69	8,882.44	-14.57	2043200	Deceleration	5	20
2025-11-28	9,366.81	8,872.18	-12.67	2128600	Deceleration	6	22
2025-11-21	8,789.22	8,847.75	-15.67	2966900	Deceleration	-6	23
2025-11-14	8,932.62	8,846.20	-17.71	2971300	Deceleration	19	21
2025-11-07	9,281.17	8,839.81	-14.57	1925200	Upward Expansion	40	24
2025-10-31	9,564.98	8,803.91	-15.64	3218000	Upward Expansion	57	39
2025-10-24	9,871.70	8,739.69	-7.54	1687500	Upward Expansion	62	49
2025-10-17	10,102.73	8,687.81	-1.91	1494400	Upward Expansion	68	61
2025-10-10	10,057.92	8,631.90	-3.26	2372900	Upward Expansion	69	62
2025-10-03	9,932.44	8,571.07	0.44	3689900	Upward Expansion	67	56
2025-09-26	10,033.02	8,498.34	2.49	3600000	Upward Expansion	75	58
2025-09-19	9,780.96	8,413.77	0.82	2629700	Upward Expansion	71	55
2025-09-12	9,519.96	8,340.95	-1.16	2749200	Upward Expansion	62	72
2025-09-05	9,251.02	8,279.80	-0.01	2364300	Upward Expansion	61	78
2025-08-29	9,254.00	8,259.77	0.83	3485400	Upward Expansion	59	77
2025-08-22	9,725.38	8,234.16	6.40	4018500	Upward Expansion	77	81
2025-08-15	10,405.17	8,195.42	12.31	9641000	Upward Expansion	79	70
2025-08-08	7,851.76	8,124.52	-11.59	2422700	Downward Expansion	-53	41
2025-08-01	7,963.90	8,145.00	-7.86	2069100	Downward Expansion	-50	41
2025-07-25	7,861.68	8,174.82	-10.16	2019200	Downward Expansion	-52	34
2025-07-18	7,761.45	8,215.03	-7.35	1911000	Downward Expansion	-48	23
2025-07-11	7,902.37	8,261.31	-4.69	2158700	Downward Expansion	-40	17
2025-07-04	8,187.18	8,311.60	-1.39	4515500	Downward Expansion	-33	15
2025-06-27	8,235.81	8,353.77	-1.17	2535200	Downward Expansion	-47	30
2025-06-20	8,098.86	8,376.40	2.11	2319800	Downward Expansion	-56	52
2025-06-13	7,836.87	8,412.59	0.87	2349500	Downward Expansion	-57	54
2025-06-06	7,697.94	8,421.61	-0.16	2007600	Balance	-63	44
2025-05-30	7,838.86	8,424.39	1.51	2450000	Balance	-45	26
2025-05-23	7,995.65	8,410.61	6.27	2104800	Balance	-34	15
2025-05-16	8,215.96	8,389.86	8.05	3529600	Balance	10	26
2025-05-09	8,848.11	8,374.35	17.71	1309000	Balance	33	42
2025-05-02	8,633.76	8,344.92	17.87	2285500	Balance	27	26
2025-04-25	8,742.92	8,322.17	24.08	2704200	Balance	30	20
2025-04-18	8,740.93	8,291.99	28.61	2298200	Balance	20	13
2025-04-11	8,204.05	8,258.83	25.99	3591200	Balance	-3	8
2025-04-04	7,638.39	8,240.05	17.71	5935800	Balance	-22	17
2025-03-28	8,315.20	8,232.29	17.41	7873900	Rotation Down	-4	12
2025-03-21	8,425.62	8,204.43	18.02	1455700	Rotation Down	0	12
2025-03-14	8,232.91	8,160.98	18.08	2210500	Rotation Down	-24	52
2025-03-07	7,750.66	8,111.07	12.42	2174500	Rotation Down	-28	65
2025-02-28	7,495.70	8,039.61	8.54	1513600	Deceleration	-41	66
2025-02-21	7,596.49	7,975.90	5.85	2680300	Deceleration	-22	34
2025-02-14	7,685.43	7,914.77	6.43	4375600	Deceleration	-13	19
2025-02-07	8,649.94	7,860.18	21.26	1425100	Deceleration	28	21
2025-01-31	8,485.90	7,776.17	16.96	1349300	Deceleration	28	26
2025-01-24	8,562.98	7,702.64	17.19	1474600	Deceleration	32	28
2025-01-17	8,278.37	7,618.90	17.89	1182500	Deceleration	38	27
2025-01-10	8,466.13	7,534.81	18.37	1679800	Upward Expansion	47	41
2025-01-03	8,858.46	7,449.01	21.84	382900	Upward Expansion	63	60
2024-12-27	9,067.96	7,358.02	23.62	1292400	Upward Expansion	66	66
2024-12-20	9,149.99	7,257.80	29.94	1582500	Upward Expansion	68	86
2024-12-13	9,410.88	7,158.99	31.40	1506900	Upward Expansion	80	92
2024-12-06	9,452.38	7,060.83	33.73	2107600	Upward Expansion	88	95
2024-11-29	8,914.79	6,943.44	29.33	2519300	Upward Expansion	82	92
2024-11-22	9,184.57	6,843.35	32.94	3905200	Deceleration	91	84
2024-11-15	8,107.41	6,738.72	16.08	5735400	Deceleration	75	49
2024-11-08	7,781.29	6,662.92	8.43	2325100	Deceleration	51	36
2024-11-01	7,425.53	6,602.58	6.88	2759300	Upward Expansion	48	40
2024-10-25	7,373.16	6,561.21	5.99	1445000	Upward Expansion	62	53
2024-10-18	7,750.66	6,524.91	7.84	1111100	Upward Expansion	66	64
2024-10-11	7,965.10	6,478.40	8.83	2697000	Upward Expansion	73	76
2024-10-04	7,951.27	6,414.90	11.22	2337000	Upward Expansion	77	88
2024-09-27	7,837.62	6,355.92	6.26	4318300	Upward Expansion	77	90
2024-09-20	7,745.97	6,308.44	10.85	2200200	Upward Expansion	79	92
2024-09-13	7,640.70	6,263.52	12.83	2249600	Upward Expansion	78	92
2024-09-06	7,405.56	6,224.79	10.07	2136100	Rotation Up	76	88
2024-08-30	7,479.35	6,215.65	4.67	3081000	Rotation Up	56	74
2024-08-23	7,122.20	6,202.52	0.29	2480900	Rotation Up	35	42
2024-08-16	6,735.54	6,197.93	-4.64	3810900	Downward Expansion	-9	9
2024-08-09	5,607.05	6,224.42	-13.97	3123700	Downward Expansion	-61	56
2024-08-02	5,584.42	6,277.36	-16.76	2553300	Balance	-65	46
2024-07-26	5,762.50	6,330.60	-18.55	1606800	Balance	-58	25
2024-07-19	6,047.82	6,379.89	-20.19	989500	Balance	-31	16
2024-07-12	6,129.48	6,411.86	-21.79	2683600	Balance	-23	13
2024-07-05	6,280.01	6,432.71	-19.75	2276300	Downward Expansion	-41	25
2024-06-28	6,050.77	6,461.19	-20.43	1798100	Downward Expansion	-52	35
2024-06-21	5,755.61	6,522.34	-22.65	2859900	Downward Expansion	-65	42
2024-06-14	5,892.37	6,616.06	-21.54	2178400	Downward Expansion	-61	34
2024-06-07	6,128.50	6,709.20	-18.38	1991200	Downward Expansion	-37	20
2024-05-31	6,061.60	6,769.03	-19.05	3721000	Downward Expansion	-41	24
2024-05-24	6,185.56	6,825.14	-17.96	2949000	Downward Expansion	-42	28
2024-05-17	6,465.96	6,867.42	-14.70	5278200	Downward Expansion	-47	36
2024-05-10	5,930.74	6,881.60	-20.69	1405100	Downward Expansion	-64	60
2024-05-03	5,912.05	6,914.86	-20.90	1553100	Downward Expansion	-66	65
2024-04-26	6,045.85	6,938.13	-18.39	1838400	Downward Expansion	-62	58
2024-04-19	5,833.34	6,948.87	-19.31	1721200	Downward Expansion	-76	61
2024-04-12	5,971.08	6,968.86	-22.44	2392400	Downward Expansion	-72	54
2024-04-05	6,184.58	6,989.47	-18.50	3095400	Downward Expansion	-65	54
2024-03-29	6,283.95	7,005.60	-19.88	3697500	Downward Expansion	-64	75
2024-03-22	6,355.30	7,019.85	-19.84	2840500	Downward Expansion	-66	81
2024-03-15	6,060.32	7,028.34	-19.16	2883000	Rotation Down	-79	88
2024-03-08	6,181.84	7,039.50	-19.48	3638900	Rotation Down	-52	75
2024-03-01	6,413.12	7,048.36	-16.82	2695500	Rotation Down	-46	65
2024-02-23	6,398.42	7,058.30	-15.09	2273800	Rotation Down	-37	55
2024-02-16	6,478.78	7,087.00	-12.41	8540200	Deceleration	-38	47
2024-02-09	7,131.46	7,096.12	0.96	3164600	Deceleration	9	9
2024-02-02	7,085.40	7,075.61	3.15	2003100	Deceleration	16	11
2024-01-26	6,984.46	7,052.11	3.68	3459800	Deceleration	12	8
2024-01-19	7,530.33	7,027.61	12.02	4116600	Deceleration	24	11
2024-01-12	7,195.16	6,978.84	9.19	2390300	Deceleration	10	15
2024-01-05	7,181.44	6,945.79	17.16	1236700	Deceleration	17	26
2023-12-29	7,241.22	6,901.32	19.00	2357800	Deceleration	19	30
2023-12-22	7,007.00	6,855.87	17.32	3861600	Deceleration	19	27
2023-12-15	6,755.14	6,804.55	14.85	9874700	Upward Expansion	24	18
2023-12-08	7,134.40	6,760.65	24.93	9581000	Upward Expansion	63	55
2023-12-01	7,885.08	6,668.15	34.93	5798700	Upward Expansion	68	87
2023-11-24	8,567.17	6,545.42	47.65	1716100	Upward Expansion	83	93
2023-11-17	8,686.73	6,400.28	52.09	7143200	Upward Expansion	94	97
2023-11-10	7,923.30	6,249.04	45.27	3604500	Upward Expansion	82	86
2023-11-03	7,744.94	6,119.18	46.96	6602000	Upward Expansion	81	79
2023-10-27	7,453.89	5,990.71	47.83	4501300	Upward Expansion	74	58
2023-10-20	6,891.36	5,869.98	37.28	2834900	Deceleration	56	34
2023-10-13	6,928.60	5,771.21	34.88	3504000	Deceleration	59	31

Price vs TrendAbove+18.1%

Trend directionRising+7.3%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+35.2%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+30.4%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+0.4%

Relative strength directionImproving+32.5%

Price momentumPositive+16.0%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.86×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

45 / ±100

-34.5 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

34 /100

-58.9 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

7550 Directional State ↗ 7550 Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance20

Rotation Up33

Upward Expansion70

Deceleration86

Rotation Down28

Downward Expansion20

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-13 to 2026-10-02 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 12%Rotation Up 7%Upward Expansion 27%Deceleration 20%Rotation Down 8%Downward Expansion 27%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Deceleration	2026-10-02	2026-10-02	New	+0.0%
Upward Expansion	2026-08-21	2026-09-25	Developing	-9.4%
Rotation Up	2026-07-31	2026-08-14	New	+13.8%
Downward Expansion	2026-05-01	2026-07-24	Established	+5.1%
Balance	2026-04-03	2026-04-24	New	-15.7%
Rotation Up	2026-02-27	2026-03-27	Developing	-3.3%
Downward Expansion	2026-02-13	2026-02-20	New	+1.6%
Rotation Down	2026-01-16	2026-02-06	New	+5.0%
Deceleration	2025-11-14	2026-01-09	Developing	-2.5%
Upward Expansion	2025-08-15	2025-11-07	Established	-10.8%
Downward Expansion	2025-06-13	2025-08-08	Developing	+0.2%
Balance	2025-04-04	2025-06-06	Developing	+0.8%
Rotation Down	2025-03-07	2025-03-28	New	+7.3%
Deceleration	2025-01-17	2025-02-28	Developing	-9.5%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing27

Stage 2 · Advancing94

Stage 3 · Distribution45

Stage 4 · Declining6

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2A · Early advance. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^N225

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 49/100
Current Relative Strength: 0.43
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +16.0%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -12.6%
Consumer Cyclical regime cohort: 41th percentile139 in cohort

Test 7550 trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume2.83×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.86×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 3

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+75.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore 7550 Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity JPY 10,828.75falling

Slow Activity JPY 9,838.49rising

Trend Reference JPY 9,366.31+18.1% close margin

Current Fair Value JPY 8,182.66+35.2% close margin

Structural low JPY 7,381.00shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Renewed positive order and expanding width produce re-acceleration; fast/slow failure with downside acceptance produces Rotation Down.

Range context +6.4%

Annualized volatility +41.0%

From structural high -8.0%

From structural low +49.9%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^N225	Regime survived	Read
Near term	12	-0.9%-14.0% to +21.5%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-1.2%	+50.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	6	+9.7%-9.3% to +19.9%	+83.3%	+83.3%	+9.3%	+16.7%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	4	+4.6%-13.2% to +88.0%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-3.8%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	3	+30.6%+3.2% to +104.7%	+100.0%	+100.0%	+13.9%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

7550 Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map