Weekly structural research · EBS · Consumer Cyclical

MOZN Stage Analysis

mobilezone holding ag

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close CHF 11.96Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^SSMI

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Downward Expansion · Early contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: wide and expanding.

Direction -81−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 87/100directional strength

Maturity 23/100lifecycle context

Confidence 85/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Downstructural direction

Activity structure Wideexpanding separation

Price acceptance -100.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +0.9%CHF 11.85 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	11.96	13.88	-12.42	550696	Downward Expansion	-81	87
2026-10-02	12.42	13.97	-8.28	492762	Downward Expansion	-70	85
2026-09-25	12.38	14.00	-10.34	469702	Downward Expansion	-76	89
2026-09-18	12.40	14.08	-9.12	613974	Downward Expansion	-81	91
2026-09-11	12.50	14.14	-8.19	596325	Downward Expansion	-83	88
2026-09-04	13.00	14.20	-8.55	98630	Downward Expansion	-75	81
2026-08-28	13.18	14.22	-7.17	63062	Balance	-72	76
2026-08-21	12.92	14.23	-9.23	102527	Balance	-53	63
2026-08-14	13.76	14.24	-2.78	120853	Balance	-22	18
2026-08-07	14.04	14.20	-1.55	87217	Balance	17	14
2026-07-31	14.30	14.16	1.86	68978	Balance	28	19
2026-07-24	14.70	14.10	5.03	37353	Balance	38	17
2026-07-17	14.82	14.02	5.98	112641	Balance	28	19
2026-07-10	14.20	13.93	2.62	54080	Balance	4	22
2026-07-03	13.70	13.84	-2.14	50661	Balance	-4	16
2026-06-26	13.84	13.76	0.70	56677	Upward Expansion	16	11
2026-06-19	13.92	13.69	4.40	143277	Upward Expansion	41	28
2026-06-12	15.20	13.59	14.84	109665	Upward Expansion	70	67
2026-06-05	14.72	13.46	14.44	84417	Upward Expansion	57	49
2026-05-29	14.94	13.35	15.27	476853	Upward Expansion	62	41
2026-05-22	14.86	13.23	15.47	764846	Upward Expansion	62	40
2026-05-15	14.48	13.12	15.34	300185	Upward Expansion	55	33
2026-05-08	14.20	13.01	14.54	802031	Upward Expansion	50	30
2026-05-01	14.54	12.91	17.36	753394	Upward Expansion	60	37
2026-04-24	14.10	12.78	14.05	475680	Upward Expansion	44	31
2026-04-17	14.12	12.66	12.47	1098685	Upward Expansion	47	34
2026-04-10	14.31	12.52	16.62	670691	Upward Expansion	59	43
2026-04-03	14.31	12.39	19.03	649740	Upward Expansion	61	47
2026-03-27	14.10	12.26	21.75	1142334	Upward Expansion	60	47
2026-03-20	14.42	12.13	27.69	804569	Upward Expansion	68	58
2026-03-13	14.61	11.99	24.93	1149196	Upward Expansion	77	64
2026-03-06	13.48	11.82	13.68	935727	Upward Expansion	67	66
2026-02-27	14.61	11.72	15.63	617738	Upward Expansion	84	91
2026-02-20	14.25	11.59	14.62	838401	Upward Expansion	80	88
2026-02-13	14.29	11.48	17.58	684363	Upward Expansion	90	94
2026-02-06	13.78	11.36	15.41	623149	Upward Expansion	87	90
2026-01-30	13.27	11.27	13.76	563100	Upward Expansion	79	89
2026-01-23	13.31	11.19	14.98	669404	Upward Expansion	88	93
2026-01-16	12.67	11.10	7.78	543128	Upward Expansion	74	88
2026-01-09	12.71	11.02	8.43	1074686	Upward Expansion	82	91
2026-01-02	12.50	10.95	8.36	235599	Upward Expansion	82	86
2025-12-26	12.24	10.90	6.60	196514	Upward Expansion	77	76
2025-12-19	12.14	10.86	6.67	555473	Upward Expansion	78	65
2025-12-12	11.62	10.83	4.66	386869	Upward Expansion	63	39
2025-12-05	11.41	10.83	2.43	300611	Upward Expansion	58	36
2025-11-28	11.46	10.81	3.39	582013	Upward Expansion	62	39
2025-11-21	11.13	10.79	1.62	385690	Upward Expansion	57	39
2025-11-14	11.39	10.77	3.64	292984	Upward Expansion	63	61
2025-11-07	11.28	10.71	5.08	312602	Upward Expansion	61	64
2025-10-31	11.31	10.65	5.71	292553	Upward Expansion	62	66
2025-10-24	11.52	10.61	4.64	660460	Balance	61	61
2025-10-17	11.16	10.60	0.62	528744	Balance	33	32
2025-10-10	11.31	10.60	3.11	991753	Balance	17	16
2025-10-03	10.65	10.60	-3.25	653311	Downward Expansion	-25	12
2025-09-26	10.32	10.60	-2.07	481162	Downward Expansion	-37	21
2025-09-19	10.05	10.61	-6.23	550998	Downward Expansion	-56	30
2025-09-12	10.47	10.64	-3.31	340265	Downward Expansion	-48	27
2025-09-05	10.26	10.64	-6.78	440722	Downward Expansion	-53	54
2025-08-29	10.24	10.63	-5.79	426529	Rotation Down	-53	56
2025-08-22	10.26	10.62	-6.38	635418	Rotation Down	-26	42
2025-08-15	9.64	10.61	-10.87	620162	Balance	-44	46
2025-08-08	10.30	10.60	-3.48	347960	Balance	2	5
2025-08-01	10.75	10.55	0.65	267339	Upward Expansion	43	21
2025-07-25	11.05	10.50	2.16	308798	Upward Expansion	51	26
2025-07-18	10.60	10.44	-2.46	315377	Upward Expansion	25	11
2025-07-11	11.01	10.38	1.51	244277	Upward Expansion	38	18
2025-07-04	10.82	10.36	-0.69	439007	Upward Expansion	26	18
2025-06-27	10.65	10.40	-2.52	278904	Upward Expansion	27	16
2025-06-20	10.43	10.45	-3.90	397957	Upward Expansion	26	14
2025-06-13	10.47	10.51	-6.00	463912	Upward Expansion	44	25
2025-06-06	11.20	10.57	-1.49	339816	Rotation Up	59	60
2025-05-30	10.98	10.60	-2.58	289014	Rotation Up	30	49
2025-05-23	11.24	10.63	-0.29	312511	Rotation Up	33	47
2025-05-16	11.41	10.66	-0.10	409773	Balance	39	33
2025-05-09	11.05	10.68	-1.40	316307	Balance	8	6
2025-05-02	10.79	10.71	-5.25	368444	Downward Expansion	-23	22
2025-04-25	10.47	10.74	-5.94	561534	Downward Expansion	-37	35
2025-04-18	9.56	10.79	-12.23	554982	Rotation Up	-52	39
2025-04-11	9.45	10.85	-10.39	1857927	Rotation Up	-49	26
2025-04-04	10.11	10.92	-7.88	893776	Rotation Up	-14	28
2025-03-28	11.22	10.96	-7.59	522143	Rotation Up	30	55
2025-03-21	11.31	10.97	-8.84	818813	Balance	34	46
2025-03-14	11.12	10.98	-9.57	877202	Balance	7	24
2025-03-07	10.80	11.01	-13.46	966315	Downward Expansion	-5	18
2025-02-28	10.60	11.06	-14.97	594051	Downward Expansion	-23	25
2025-02-21	10.87	11.11	-12.63	700644	Downward Expansion	-22	24
2025-02-14	10.46	11.17	-15.45	705606	Downward Expansion	-38	27
2025-02-07	10.11	11.23	-16.89	591146	Downward Expansion	-45	36
2025-01-31	9.92	11.30	-18.72	845382	Downward Expansion	-61	53
2025-01-24	9.85	11.37	-17.51	600350	Downward Expansion	-65	63
2025-01-17	9.33	11.44	-20.26	834076	Downward Expansion	-68	87
2025-01-10	8.88	11.53	-23.19	1073159	Downward Expansion	-76	91
2025-01-03	9.35	11.64	-18.39	431296	Downward Expansion	-71	90
2024-12-27	9.12	11.74	-20.41	345483	Downward Expansion	-85	94
2024-12-20	8.72	11.85	-22.85	2244982	Downward Expansion	-87	88
2024-12-13	10.39	11.96	-10.94	1342016	Downward Expansion	-71	45
2024-12-06	12.30	12.02	4.47	488198	Rotation Up	24	36
2024-11-29	12.10	12.00	3.15	478770	Rotation Up	18	34
2024-11-22	12.26	11.98	4.98	299693	Rotation Up	26	34
2024-11-15	12.16	11.96	5.01	378511	Balance	21	24
2024-11-08	12.16	11.94	3.47	339903	Balance	21	19
2024-11-01	11.86	11.93	-0.49	315413	Balance	-0	9
2024-10-25	12.02	11.93	-1.15	251591	Balance	3	12
2024-10-18	12.00	11.94	-2.61	302595	Balance	-16	17
2024-10-11	11.91	11.93	-2.14	236215	Rotation Down	-29	17
2024-10-04	11.77	11.93	-2.08	249656	Rotation Down	-37	20
2024-09-27	11.98	11.93	-2.32	440493	Rotation Down	-49	36
2024-09-20	11.48	11.90	-4.14	436946	Rotation Down	-33	56
2024-09-13	11.51	11.88	-4.76	291130	Rotation Down	-33	55
2024-09-06	11.24	11.86	-6.08	511306	Balance	-38	47
2024-08-30	11.51	11.84	-7.99	463327	Balance	-27	27
2024-08-23	11.69	11.81	-6.07	535400	Balance	8	10
2024-08-16	11.90	11.80	-3.27	612512	Upward Expansion	29	19
2024-08-09	12.28	11.78	2.57	294377	Upward Expansion	52	34
2024-08-02	12.31	11.75	2.78	227012	Upward Expansion	54	43
2024-07-26	12.61	11.71	2.09	308922	Upward Expansion	70	48
2024-07-19	12.09	11.66	-1.61	300509	Upward Expansion	39	23
2024-07-12	12.38	11.63	-0.86	408049	Upward Expansion	54	31
2024-07-05	12.09	11.58	-0.42	252900	Upward Expansion	39	22
2024-06-28	11.83	11.53	-2.46	366422	Upward Expansion	51	31
2024-06-21	12.16	11.50	0.10	326178	Upward Expansion	59	57
2024-06-14	12.07	11.45	-0.80	278420	Upward Expansion	62	66
2024-06-07	12.31	11.42	-0.41	383459	Upward Expansion	67	71
2024-05-31	12.40	11.38	2.54	440611	Upward Expansion	71	62
2024-05-24	12.09	11.35	0.81	324258	Deceleration	60	43
2024-05-17	12.03	11.32	-0.30	378822	Deceleration	49	26
2024-05-10	11.90	11.29	1.01	283710	Deceleration	42	22
2024-05-03	11.55	11.26	2.32	242053	Deceleration	35	20
2024-04-26	11.46	11.24	1.02	276856	Upward Expansion	40	24
2024-04-19	11.51	11.23	1.99	531870	Upward Expansion	56	38
2024-04-12	11.88	11.22	4.55	876261	Upward Expansion	61	61
2024-04-05	12.04	11.18	5.02	813590	Upward Expansion	66	72
2024-03-29	12.09	11.15	3.47	717722	Upward Expansion	71	74
2024-03-22	11.91	11.12	2.63	580555	Upward Expansion	66	65
2024-03-15	11.85	11.09	1.82	951182	Balance	65	52
2024-03-08	11.82	11.05	1.80	980257	Balance	62	31
2024-03-01	11.07	11.04	-3.52	583420	Balance	-42	34
2024-02-23	10.95	11.05	-4.99	471282	Balance	-48	35
2024-02-16	10.78	11.08	-5.41	465611	Balance	-47	34
2024-02-09	10.55	11.11	-5.95	510402	Balance	-55	27
2024-02-02	10.63	11.15	-6.83	827835	Balance	-29	15
2024-01-26	11.49	11.16	-0.92	472774	Balance	31	35
2024-01-19	11.28	11.15	-0.85	327722	Balance	13	16
2024-01-12	11.41	11.13	-0.57	354592	Balance	8	13
2024-01-05	11.05	11.11	-3.51	239850	Balance	-28	15
2023-12-29	11.17	11.09	-2.31	180458	Balance	-28	13
2023-12-22	11.04	11.06	-3.74	298063	Balance	-19	26
2023-12-15	10.92	11.04	-5.25	697938	Balance	-23	31
2023-12-08	10.69	11.04	-6.41	461945	Balance	-26	34
2023-12-01	10.76	11.06	-4.47	481652	Balance	-24	21
2023-11-24	10.74	11.08	-4.78	830312	Balance	-13	6
2023-11-17	11.33	11.09	1.46	328446	Balance	47	25
2023-11-10	10.99	11.08	-0.09	371853	Balance	24	13
2023-11-03	11.48	11.09	3.97	460880	Balance	42	22
2023-10-27	11.13	11.08	3.30	272467	Balance	27	12
2023-10-20	11.18	11.09	3.42	306099	Balance	9	7

Price vs TrendBelow-13.8%

Trend directionFalling-2.0%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+0.9%

Fair Value directionMoving away-20.7%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-12.4%

Relative strength directionWeakening-15.0%

Price momentumNegative-16.4%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.24×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-81 / ±100

+2.1 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

87 /100

-1.0 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

MOZN Directional State ↗ MOZN Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance5

Rotation Up12

Upward Expansion20

Deceleration38

Rotation Down81

Downward Expansion98

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 31%Rotation Up 6%Upward Expansion 39%Deceleration 3%Rotation Down 5%Downward Expansion 17%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Downward Expansion	2026-09-04	2026-10-09	Developing	-8.0%
Balance	2026-07-03	2026-08-28	Developing	-3.8%
Upward Expansion	2025-10-31	2026-06-26	Extended	+22.3%
Balance	2025-10-10	2025-10-24	New	+1.8%
Downward Expansion	2025-09-05	2025-10-03	Developing	+3.9%
Rotation Down	2025-08-22	2025-08-29	New	-0.2%
Balance	2025-08-08	2025-08-15	New	-6.4%
Upward Expansion	2025-06-13	2025-08-01	Developing	+2.7%
Rotation Up	2025-05-23	2025-06-06	New	-0.3%
Balance	2025-05-09	2025-05-16	New	+3.2%
Downward Expansion	2025-04-25	2025-05-02	New	+3.1%
Rotation Up	2025-03-28	2025-04-18	New	-14.8%
Balance	2025-03-14	2025-03-21	New	+1.7%
Downward Expansion	2024-12-13	2025-03-07	Established	+4.0%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing39

Stage 2 · Advancing0

Stage 3 · Distribution52

Stage 4 · Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4A · Breakdown. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^SSMI

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 96/100
Current Relative Strength: -12.42
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: -16.4%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -21.0%
Consumer Cyclical regime cohort: 100th percentile3 in cohort

Test MOZN trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume2.51×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.24×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 4

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore MOZN Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity CHF 12.26falling

Slow Activity CHF 13.52falling

Trend Reference CHF 13.88-13.8% close margin

Current Fair Value CHF 11.85+0.9% close margin

Structural low CHF 11.92shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +4.7%

Annualized volatility +21.4%

From structural high -21.9%

From structural low +11.3%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^SSMI	Regime survived	Read
Near term	12	+5.3%-14.5% to +13.9%	+66.7%	+33.3%	+3.8%	+58.3%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	5	+6.8%+5.6% to +11.2%	+100.0%	+0.0%	+5.5%	+0.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	4	+0.6%-3.0% to +31.4%	+75.0%	+25.0%	+3.5%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	2	+3.0%-5.8% to +11.8%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-4.8%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

MOZN Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map