Weekly structural research · VIE · Consumer Defensive

MNST Stage Analysis

Monster Beverage Corporation

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close EUR 38.90Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^ATX

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Deceleration · Recompressing

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: compressed and contracting.

Direction 0−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 15/100directional strength

Maturity 33/100lifecycle context

Confidence 82/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation

Price acceptance -66.7%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +35.2%EUR 28.77 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	38.90	37.86	-3.00	0	Deceleration	-0	15
2026-10-02	37.54	37.69	-8.95	100	Deceleration	-7	36
2026-09-25	37.36	37.53	-12.48	0	Deceleration	-12	30
2026-09-18	39.17	37.50	-6.43	0	Deceleration	3	22
2026-09-11	37.14	37.38	-12.43	102	Deceleration	-13	25
2026-09-04	37.83	37.29	-10.60	52	Deceleration	11	17
2026-08-28	40.13	37.19	-4.24	100	Deceleration	35	26
2026-08-21	40.84	36.97	-0.23	0	Deceleration	40	29
2026-08-14	40.38	36.77	-2.69	542	Deceleration	44	33
2026-08-07	39.42	36.55	-3.75	0	Upward Expansion	51	50
2026-07-31	41.99	36.34	5.64	0	Upward Expansion	65	63
2026-07-24	41.20	36.02	3.91	0	Upward Expansion	68	67
2026-07-17	43.22	35.75	10.82	132	Upward Expansion	79	87
2026-07-10	42.41	35.40	7.11	60	Upward Expansion	76	91
2026-07-03	42.56	35.03	6.48	102	Upward Expansion	86	94
2026-06-26	42.74	34.66	9.73	240	Upward Expansion	95	98
2026-06-19	39.94	34.32	0.87	100	Upward Expansion	83	93
2026-06-12	39.73	34.04	4.59	0	Upward Expansion	86	94
2026-06-05	38.76	33.74	4.98	0	Upward Expansion	82	93
2026-05-29	37.49	33.47	0.52	0	Upward Expansion	73	85
2026-05-22	37.42	33.18	3.02	60	Upward Expansion	77	82
2026-05-15	37.67	32.93	5.84	0	Deceleration	82	72
2026-05-08	36.88	32.68	3.26	322	Deceleration	64	41
2026-05-01	32.72	32.45	-6.98	0	Deceleration	21	13
2026-04-24	33.31	32.32	-4.85	322	Deceleration	9	13
2026-04-17	32.29	32.13	-11.08	0	Deceleration	-19	29
2026-04-10	32.33	31.96	-9.08	0	Deceleration	-20	33
2026-04-03	31.22	31.80	-6.83	0	Deceleration	-10	31
2026-03-27	31.38	31.64	-3.46	330	Deceleration	-8	26
2026-03-20	31.88	31.48	-0.65	0	Upward Expansion	18	17
2026-03-13	33.69	31.32	3.60	0	Upward Expansion	49	39
2026-03-06	32.73	31.12	-1.80	328	Upward Expansion	62	52
2026-02-27	36.47	30.95	3.75	304	Upward Expansion	87	85
2026-02-20	35.56	30.59	-0.68	80	Upward Expansion	81	70
2026-02-13	34.51	30.26	-0.50	0	Upward Expansion	69	66
2026-02-06	34.81	29.97	-0.27	0	Upward Expansion	79	78
2026-01-30	33.69	29.64	-2.37	0	Upward Expansion	67	68
2026-01-23	34.68	29.40	2.04	50	Upward Expansion	86	77
2026-01-16	33.80	29.12	0.43	124	Upward Expansion	80	79
2026-01-09	33.15	28.91	-0.33	0	Upward Expansion	76	76
2026-01-02	32.43	28.72	-1.73	0	Upward Expansion	66	63
2025-12-26	32.93	28.57	1.47	0	Upward Expansion	78	68
2025-12-19	32.67	28.41	0.70	30	Upward Expansion	79	72
2025-12-12	31.34	28.24	-1.10	0	Upward Expansion	67	73
2025-12-05	31.70	28.13	0.23	16	Upward Expansion	69	82
2025-11-28	32.33	27.98	3.45	0	Upward Expansion	86	91
2025-11-21	31.56	27.78	5.33	0	Upward Expansion	83	78
2025-11-14	30.66	27.58	0.72	44	Upward Expansion	76	73
2025-11-07	30.72	27.42	2.70	600	Upward Expansion	82	83
2025-10-31	28.86	27.24	-4.75	0	Upward Expansion	66	78
2025-10-24	30.02	27.16	1.83	10	Upward Expansion	75	86
2025-10-17	30.01	27.05	3.58	0	Upward Expansion	82	86
2025-10-10	29.98	26.94	1.43	2	Upward Expansion	85	82
2025-10-03	28.83	26.78	-4.35	16	Balance	74	64
2025-09-26	27.80	26.67	-5.82	0	Balance	60	34
2025-09-19	27.16	26.63	-7.63	4	Balance	48	22
2025-09-12	27.31	26.57	-7.62	4	Balance	52	25
2025-09-05	26.60	26.45	-9.16	2	Balance	33	22
2025-08-29	26.63	26.31	-9.47	0	Balance	39	32
2025-08-22	27.07	26.21	-11.27	0	Balance	37	30
2025-08-15	27.56	26.08	-10.77	0	Balance	45	27
2025-08-08	27.72	25.96	-7.90	0	Rotation Down	39	20
2025-08-01	25.63	25.86	-9.81	0	Rotation Down	-23	38
2025-07-25	25.75	25.85	-11.93	0	Deceleration	-21	35
2025-07-18	25.58	25.84	-10.99	0	Deceleration	-8	29
2025-07-11	24.94	25.81	-13.31	0	Deceleration	-7	22
2025-07-04	26.72	25.81	-5.23	0	Deceleration	32	22
2025-06-27	26.17	25.75	-7.91	0	Upward Expansion	35	25
2025-06-20	27.53	25.75	-1.43	0	Upward Expansion	59	50
2025-06-13	27.45	25.70	-2.19	0	Upward Expansion	62	67
2025-06-06	27.83	25.66	-2.95	4	Upward Expansion	65	78
2025-05-30	28.04	25.57	-1.86	0	Upward Expansion	72	81
2025-05-23	27.80	25.44	-1.72	40	Upward Expansion	70	74
2025-05-16	28.02	25.34	-2.23	0	Upward Expansion	74	64
2025-05-09	27.21	25.23	-2.34	474	Upward Expansion	67	37
2025-05-02	26.25	25.11	-1.63	0	Upward Expansion	43	19
2025-04-25	25.60	25.00	-2.87	92	Upward Expansion	39	20
2025-04-18	25.72	24.93	0.99	1450	Upward Expansion	52	32
2025-04-11	25.28	24.84	4.43	6082	Upward Expansion	57	40
2025-04-04	26.54	24.76	8.13	800	Upward Expansion	64	62
2025-03-28	26.85	24.60	-1.47	0	Upward Expansion	73	70
2025-03-21	26.55	24.41	-4.86	0	Upward Expansion	72	68
2025-03-14	25.28	24.22	-10.67	0	Upward Expansion	55	45
2025-03-07	25.62	24.08	-9.91	0	Balance	49	42
2025-02-28	26.40	23.93	-4.55	1254	Balance	55	32
2025-02-21	25.42	23.82	-6.27	0	Rotation Down	24	19
2025-02-14	23.64	23.75	-13.89	42	Rotation Down	-25	52
2025-02-07	22.62	23.74	-13.70	2	Deceleration	-38	54
2025-01-31	23.65	23.76	-9.92	52	Deceleration	-2	24
2025-01-24	23.07	23.73	-12.00	0	Deceleration	-11	20
2025-01-17	24.04	23.74	-7.10	0	Deceleration	23	15
2025-01-10	24.44	23.71	-2.61	0	Deceleration	36	21
2025-01-03	25.60	23.65	1.70	0	Deceleration	48	30
2024-12-27	25.18	23.60	0.39	0	Deceleration	40	25
2024-12-20	24.68	23.55	-0.65	0	Upward Expansion	46	34
2024-12-13	25.16	23.54	-0.51	0	Upward Expansion	61	49
2024-12-06	24.90	23.53	0.04	0	Upward Expansion	64	59
2024-11-29	26.27	23.56	6.69	0	Upward Expansion	76	85
2024-11-22	25.96	23.52	5.54	0	Rotation Up	75	80
2024-11-15	26.25	23.49	5.94	0	Rotation Up	60	77
2024-11-08	24.92	23.45	0.66	0	Rotation Up	46	71
2024-11-01	24.21	23.48	-1.89	0	Rotation Up	26	55
2024-10-25	24.74	23.53	-1.66	0	Rotation Up	37	56
2024-10-18	24.90	23.62	-2.48	2	Downward Expansion	41	41
2024-10-11	23.50	23.72	-7.91	2	Downward Expansion	1	21
2024-10-04	22.95	23.85	-10.07	0	Downward Expansion	-20	27
2024-09-27	23.65	24.00	-8.57	130	Downward Expansion	-12	23
2024-09-20	23.01	24.12	-10.61	0	Downward Expansion	-41	26
2024-09-13	22.75	24.20	-11.72	92	Downward Expansion	-61	50
2024-09-06	21.78	24.30	-15.42	84	Downward Expansion	-66	76
2024-08-30	21.15	24.43	-21.61	0	Downward Expansion	-69	86
2024-08-23	20.82	24.58	-22.54	130	Downward Expansion	-80	88
2024-08-16	21.27	24.74	-20.13	0	Downward Expansion	-79	72
2024-08-09	20.95	24.90	-20.39	3428	Downward Expansion	-86	62
2024-08-02	23.11	25.10	-11.92	426	Downward Expansion	-51	44
2024-07-26	23.40	25.21	-14.65	0	Downward Expansion	-59	52
2024-07-19	23.23	25.29	-15.65	100	Downward Expansion	-62	56
2024-07-12	23.35	25.37	-16.39	0	Downward Expansion	-65	64
2024-07-05	22.72	25.44	-19.05	100	Downward Expansion	-77	88
2024-06-28	23.37	25.52	-14.93	0	Downward Expansion	-67	82
2024-06-21	23.04	25.59	-16.08	40	Downward Expansion	-77	90
2024-06-14	22.69	25.66	-16.55	6	Downward Expansion	-88	92
2024-06-07	24.15	25.73	-14.64	90	Downward Expansion	-68	79
2024-05-31	23.56	25.78	-17.75	60	Downward Expansion	-85	78
2024-05-24	24.40	25.88	-16.65	36	Rotation Down	-74	53
2024-05-17	24.86	25.86	-15.61	0	Rotation Down	-41	47
2024-05-10	25.78	25.82	-11.43	0	Rotation Down	-23	41
2024-05-03	25.25	25.71	-11.27	0	Rotation Down	-24	40
2024-04-26	24.91	25.64	-11.70	0	Deceleration	-36	42
2024-04-19	25.18	25.65	-10.55	40	Deceleration	-2	21
2024-04-12	25.60	25.67	-9.60	18	Upward Expansion	20	13
2024-04-05	25.90	25.69	-8.89	0	Upward Expansion	50	42
2024-03-29	27.44	25.71	-2.69	310	Upward Expansion	65	80
2024-03-22	27.70	25.67	-0.71	18	Upward Expansion	75	85
2024-03-15	27.63	25.63	1.60	20	Upward Expansion	79	82
2024-03-08	27.29	25.58	1.37	22	Upward Expansion	76	70
2024-03-01	27.21	25.56	1.36	0	Deceleration	72	48
2024-02-23	25.54	25.50	-4.73	0	Deceleration	27	17
2024-02-16	25.71	25.52	-4.58	86	Deceleration	2	11
2024-02-09	25.80	25.54	-2.76	0	Rotation Up	6	10
2024-02-02	25.59	25.53	-5.68	6	Rotation Up	14	16
2024-01-26	25.46	25.53	-6.43	0	Rotation Up	26	35
2024-01-19	26.07	25.56	-0.94	0	Rotation Up	33	52
2024-01-12	26.95	25.59	0.98	2	Rotation Up	40	56
2024-01-05	26.36	25.59	-1.92	0	Balance	31	39
2023-12-29	25.90	25.59	-3.70	0	Balance	1	9
2023-12-22	25.56	25.66	-4.24	100	Balance	-6	8
2023-12-15	25.43	25.70	-3.69	0	Balance	-9	8
2023-12-08	25.15	25.77	-3.38	0	Balance	-23	13
2023-12-01	25.42	25.84	-2.18	40	Downward Expansion	-20	18
2023-11-24	25.23	25.88	-1.03	40	Downward Expansion	-21	28
2023-11-17	24.93	25.86	-2.77	0	Downward Expansion	-27	26
2023-11-10	25.62	25.83	2.12	32	Downward Expansion	-31	21
2023-11-03	26.54	25.78	6.58	396	Downward Expansion	-37	37
2023-10-27	23.66	25.70	0.30	126	Downward Expansion	-66	87
2023-10-20	23.79	25.73	0.35	50	Downward Expansion	-66	87

Price vs TrendAbove+2.7%

Trend directionRising+4.2%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+35.2%

Fair Value directionMoving away-18.4%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-3.0%

Relative strength directionWeakening-10.1%

Price momentumPositive+20.3%

Volume balanceDemand-led3.05×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-0 / ±100

+12.7 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

15 /100

-9.7 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

MNST Directional State ↗ MNST Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance51

Rotation Up18

Upward Expansion43

Deceleration79

Rotation Down39

Downward Expansion39

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 10%Rotation Up 6%Upward Expansion 40%Deceleration 21%Rotation Down 5%Downward Expansion 18%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Deceleration	2026-08-14	2026-10-09	Developing	-3.7%
Upward Expansion	2026-05-22	2026-08-07	Developing	+5.3%
Deceleration	2026-03-27	2026-05-15	Developing	+20.0%
Upward Expansion	2025-10-10	2026-03-20	Established	+6.3%
Balance	2025-08-15	2025-10-03	Developing	+4.6%
Rotation Down	2025-08-01	2025-08-08	New	+8.2%
Deceleration	2025-07-04	2025-07-25	New	-3.6%
Upward Expansion	2025-03-14	2025-06-27	Established	+3.6%
Balance	2025-02-28	2025-03-07	New	-3.0%
Rotation Down	2025-02-14	2025-02-21	New	+7.5%
Deceleration	2024-12-27	2025-02-07	Developing	-10.2%
Upward Expansion	2024-11-29	2024-12-20	New	-6.1%
Rotation Up	2024-10-25	2024-11-22	Developing	+4.9%
Downward Expansion	2024-05-31	2024-10-18	Established	+5.7%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing13

Stage 2 · Advancing82

Stage 3 · Distribution77

Stage 4 · Declining18

Legacy result: Stage 3 · Stage 3A · Churning. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^ATX

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 47/100
Current Relative Strength: -3.00
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: +20.3%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +7.8%
Consumer Defensive regime cohort: 33th percentile15 in cohort

Test MNST trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.00×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume3.05×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution3 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+50.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore MNST Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity EUR 38.15falling

Slow Activity EUR 39.14rising

Trend Reference EUR 37.86+2.7% close margin

Current Fair Value EUR 28.77+35.2% close margin

Structural low EUR 31.33shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Renewed positive order and expanding width produce re-acceleration; fast/slow failure with downside acceptance produces Rotation Down.

Range context +4.8%

Annualized volatility +28.1%

From structural high -12.2%

From structural low +36.4%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^ATX	Regime survived	Read
Near term	22	+0.4%-8.4% to +13.8%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-2.3%	+59.1%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	9	+6.1%-9.6% to +36.2%	+77.8%	+77.8%	-0.6%	+11.1%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	8	+5.5%-17.3% to +21.3%	+62.5%	+62.5%	-9.5%	+50.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	4	+14.2%-10.4% to +30.8%	+75.0%	+75.0%	-7.2%	+50.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

MNST Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map