Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.
The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: wide and expanding.
Direction
66โ100 bearish to +100 bullishEnergy
61/100directional strengthMaturity
36/100lifecycle contextConfidence
88/100evidence agreementTrend gate
Upstructural directionActivity structure
Wideexpanding separationPrice acceptance
+66.7%position within the Activity structureFair Value context
+13.2%USD 18.35 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context
Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value
Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.
CloseActivity LinesTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
View chart values ยท 87 observations
Week
Close
Trend
Relative Strength
Volume
Regime
Direction
Energy
2026-10-09
20.77
15.78
7.18
24120485
Upward Expansion
66
61
2026-10-02
20.43
15.61
4.93
27734274
Upward Expansion
65
46
2026-09-25
20.64
15.44
5.81
32429722
Upward Expansion
69
45
2026-09-18
19.83
15.22
4.31
30558310
Upward Expansion
68
46
2026-09-11
17.24
15.03
-9.18
23633641
Upward Expansion
59
44
2026-09-04
18.82
14.99
-2.33
14176420
Upward Expansion
63
69
2026-08-28
19.83
14.85
2.39
18963441
Upward Expansion
73
78
2026-08-21
18.64
14.71
-3.94
11379316
Upward Expansion
67
74
2026-08-14
19.53
โ
โ
18980147
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-08-07
18.66
โ
โ
14069311
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-07-31
16.77
โ
โ
16484486
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-07-24
14.95
โ
โ
15511431
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-07-17
15.68
โ
โ
22270078
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-07-10
13.71
โ
โ
26449426
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-07-03
15.27
โ
โ
17229330
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-06-26
13.18
โ
โ
24128974
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-06-19
13.33
โ
โ
25367438
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-06-12
14.62
โ
โ
34985785
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-06-05
18.24
โ
โ
31729254
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-05-29
18.83
โ
โ
14491657
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-05-22
15.75
โ
โ
18919476
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-05-15
13.50
โ
โ
18391031
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-05-08
12.23
โ
โ
15882290
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-05-01
12.07
โ
โ
11033189
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-04-24
11.95
โ
โ
10926594
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-04-17
11.57
โ
โ
16213717
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-04-10
10.49
โ
โ
19344320
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-04-03
12.99
โ
โ
13890278
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-03-27
11.77
โ
โ
15019643
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-03-20
12.25
โ
โ
28592418
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-03-13
15.45
โ
โ
11065306
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-03-06
15.39
โ
โ
12168596
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-02-27
14.10
โ
โ
17372318
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-02-20
14.19
โ
โ
12967664
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-02-13
15.92
โ
โ
11297900
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-02-06
14.71
โ
โ
20108055
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-01-30
15.69
โ
โ
15093910
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-01-23
17.80
โ
โ
10340666
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-01-16
18.27
โ
โ
9831485
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-01-09
19.67
โ
โ
9985914
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2026-01-02
18.95
โ
โ
7214116
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-12-26
21.15
โ
โ
3849185
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-12-19
21.02
โ
โ
10588022
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-12-12
21.03
โ
โ
19096679
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-12-05
20.24
โ
โ
9738453
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-11-28
18.42
โ
โ
3358654
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-11-21
18.62
โ
โ
9684433
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-11-14
19.92
โ
โ
6912988
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-11-07
19.79
โ
โ
7978959
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-10-31
21.68
โ
โ
8179227
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-10-24
22.35
โ
โ
5012796
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-10-17
21.90
โ
โ
8787106
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-10-10
21.73
โ
โ
15314429
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-10-03
23.52
โ
โ
12442146
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-09-26
21.92
โ
โ
9165068
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-09-19
22.74
โ
โ
13983751
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-09-12
21.61
โ
โ
25828467
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-09-05
21.98
โ
โ
10915227
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-08-29
20.64
โ
โ
7641759
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-08-22
20.50
โ
โ
8655571
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-08-15
20.47
โ
โ
16721999
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-08-08
19.19
โ
โ
10568653
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-08-01
20.62
โ
โ
21370736
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-07-25
20.24
โ
โ
6353009
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-07-18
21.32
โ
โ
8004288
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-07-11
20.18
โ
โ
6702202
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-07-04
22.16
โ
โ
7995377
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-06-27
22.77
โ
โ
13282191
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-06-20
22.60
โ
โ
9713046
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-06-13
22.61
โ
โ
18505334
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-06-06
19.07
โ
โ
5177687
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-05-30
17.62
โ
โ
4774072
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-05-23
17.09
โ
โ
9737108
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-05-16
18.63
โ
โ
6262321
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-05-09
18.62
โ
โ
11735006
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-05-02
18.70
โ
โ
4383454
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-04-25
17.12
โ
โ
4442488
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-04-18
17.08
โ
โ
3525832
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-04-11
17.56
โ
โ
9928065
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-04-04
15.96
โ
โ
13637762
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-03-28
19.54
โ
โ
10556481
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-03-21
20.25
โ
โ
8942501
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-03-14
18.70
โ
โ
10828700
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-03-07
22.05
โ
โ
9805722
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-02-28
24.00
โ
โ
6635916
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-02-21
23.56
โ
โ
15917699
Not yet classified
โ
โ
2025-02-14
24.55
โ
โ
54686832
Not yet classified
โ
โ
Price vs TrendAbove+31.6%Trend directionRising+7.5%Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+13.2%Fair Value directionClosing upward+38.3%Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+7.2%Relative strength directionImproving+41.0%Price momentumPositive+98.0%Volume balanceDemand-led1.92ร
Beyond the current label
Is the structure strengthening or losing force?
Direction and energy measure different things
Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.
Direction
66 / ยฑ100
+7.6 points since 2026-09-11
Energy
61 /100
+17.1 points since 2026-09-11
Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.
The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.
Time spent in each state
The context behind todayโs regime
2025-02-14 to 2026-10-09 ยท 8 classified observations out of 87 shown.
Legacy result: Stage 2 ยท Stage 2C ยท Late advance. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.
Leadership versus QQQ
Is relative performance confirming the geometry?
Confirmation, not classification
Relative Strength
The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.
Fast Activity
USD 20.29risingSlow Activity
USD 17.34risingTrend Reference
USD 15.78+31.6% close marginCurrent Fair Value
USD 18.35+13.2% close marginStructural low
USD 10.49shock / repair context
What changes the read?
Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.
Range context
+11.2%Annualized volatility
+68.6%From structural high
-13.1%From structural low
+101.7%
Point-in-time evidence
What followed this architecture in this market?
Descriptive history, never a forecast
Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.
Outcome horizon
Samples
Median move
Positive periods
Directional follow-through
Median excess vs QQQ
Regime survived
Read
Near term
1
+6.4%+6.4% to +6.4%
+100.0%
+100.0%
+5.3%
+100.0%
Too little matched history
Intermediate
0
โ
โ
โ
โ
โ
Too little matched history
Extended
0
โ
โ
โ
โ
โ
Too little matched history
Full cycle
0
โ
โ
โ
โ
โ
Too little matched history
Continue the research
Test the structure from another angle
Use complementary evidence to confirm or challenge the stage reading. Each app shows its own observation date and coverage.
What the analysis measures and where its limits lie
Trend Architecture
Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.
Evidence roles
Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.
Fair Value and RS
Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.
Known limitations
Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.
Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.
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