Weekly structural research · JKT · Basic Materials

UNIC Stage Analysis

PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close IDR 15,200.00Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^JKSE

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Upward Expansion · Re-accelerating

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: wide and contracting.

Direction 69−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 64/100directional strength

Maturity 83/100lifecycle context

Confidence 68/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Widecontracting separation

Price acceptance +50.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +75.9%IDR 8,638.85 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-09-25	15,200.00	12,662.39	52.30	48800	Upward Expansion	69	64
2026-09-18	15,000.00	12,517.36	48.27	147100	Upward Expansion	64	64
2026-09-11	15,050.00	12,389.82	48.97	136700	Upward Expansion	67	86
2026-09-04	15,000.00	12,315.61	48.77	161200	Upward Expansion	67	88
2026-08-28	15,050.00	12,133.92	54.46	64500	Upward Expansion	68	88
2026-08-21	15,125.00	11,955.55	57.72	6000	Upward Expansion	75	91
2026-08-14	15,025.00	11,774.69	62.47	11900	Upward Expansion	77	91
2026-08-07	15,075.00	11,587.16	65.81	5800	Upward Expansion	86	91
2026-07-31	15,300.00	11,388.80	76.12	160600	Upward Expansion	89	80
2026-07-24	12,700.00	11,176.27	50.07	9800	Deceleration	48	39
2026-07-17	12,600.00	11,052.91	51.60	2400	Deceleration	43	32
2026-07-10	12,525.00	10,932.05	59.34	3800	Deceleration	43	33
2026-07-03	12,700.00	10,813.69	65.36	700	Deceleration	48	35
2026-06-26	12,325.00	10,694.49	62.45	2700	Upward Expansion	54	38
2026-06-19	12,650.00	10,585.30	61.51	7200	Upward Expansion	59	47
2026-06-12	12,450.00	10,465.27	65.80	17300	Upward Expansion	63	69
2026-06-05	12,575.00	10,360.24	82.60	16300	Upward Expansion	64	75
2026-05-29	13,550.00	10,255.21	82.85	246100	Upward Expansion	81	83
2026-05-22	13,223.70	10,100.18	80.24	290800	Upward Expansion	82	77
2026-05-15	11,910.39	9,930.20	51.18	5100	Upward Expansion	68	63
2026-05-08	11,638.67	9,805.66	44.12	34800	Upward Expansion	60	44
2026-05-01	11,231.09	9,696.01	40.73	8900	Deceleration	57	30
2026-04-24	10,800.86	9,614.37	33.36	66400	Deceleration	49	22
2026-04-17	10,461.21	9,514.54	21.72	65600	Deceleration	46	24
2026-04-10	10,370.64	9,426.03	24.23	35800	Deceleration	34	17
2026-04-03	9,713.99	9,339.73	24.23	11100	Deceleration	29	16
2026-03-27	11,298.93	9,275.32	43.96	92700	Deceleration	51	25
2026-03-20	9,874.07	9,158.89	26.78	4500	Deceleration	34	21
2026-03-13	9,624.09	9,095.64	23.84	30200	Upward Expansion	41	27
2026-03-06	9,824.07	9,035.85	19.69	15000	Upward Expansion	62	54
2026-02-27	10,848.98	8,966.96	22.15	35500	Upward Expansion	65	75
2026-02-20	11,173.95	8,865.53	25.82	254000	Upward Expansion	72	86
2026-02-13	12,823.79	8,748.38	46.12	310400	Upward Expansion	97	97
2026-02-06	9,549.10	8,576.24	13.62	17500	Upward Expansion	64	78
2026-01-30	9,699.08	8,514.07	10.28	34300	Upward Expansion	72	75
2026-01-23	9,699.08	8,443.65	2.88	54600	Upward Expansion	74	65
2026-01-16	9,399.11	8,375.67	-1.58	31600	Deceleration	64	44
2026-01-09	9,124.14	8,317.69	-2.99	21800	Deceleration	44	29
2026-01-02	8,924.16	8,272.94	-3.10	6700	Deceleration	38	26
2025-12-26	8,999.15	8,242.99	0.08	6900	Deceleration	39	26
2025-12-19	8,974.15	8,239.06	-1.04	15700	Upward Expansion	42	29
2025-12-12	8,974.15	8,220.46	-1.57	19700	Upward Expansion	54	38
2025-12-05	9,124.14	8,179.39	0.45	23700	Upward Expansion	59	46
2025-11-28	9,049.15	8,119.37	1.09	26800	Upward Expansion	61	63
2025-11-21	9,049.15	8,051.78	2.29	27500	Upward Expansion	62	70
2025-11-14	9,299.12	7,970.24	5.73	254200	Upward Expansion	73	69
2025-11-07	9,424.11	7,881.13	7.02	212500	Upward Expansion	82	63
2025-10-31	8,899.16	7,787.09	4.15	122300	Upward Expansion	75	51
2025-10-24	8,124.23	7,712.10	-5.97	27100	Upward Expansion	56	57
2025-10-17	8,174.23	7,665.26	-1.10	36700	Upward Expansion	57	61
2025-10-10	8,349.21	7,615.20	-3.11	68200	Upward Expansion	63	61
2025-10-03	8,781.76	7,556.22	3.70	245900	Deceleration	81	57
2025-09-26	7,806.01	7,495.99	-7.45	13900	Deceleration	33	18
2025-09-19	7,806.01	7,476.81	-6.86	13800	Upward Expansion	36	22
2025-09-12	7,781.61	7,458.40	-4.80	5600	Upward Expansion	50	41
2025-09-05	7,781.61	7,439.26	-4.89	19100	Upward Expansion	54	52
2025-08-29	7,806.01	7,424.76	-4.05	138200	Upward Expansion	53	48
2025-08-22	7,976.76	7,410.23	-2.27	12100	Upward Expansion	62	51
2025-08-15	7,830.40	7,390.78	-4.43	9300	Deceleration	41	23
2025-08-08	7,757.22	7,375.44	-0.69	8500	Deceleration	45	22
2025-08-01	7,806.01	7,364.86	-0.03	22000	Deceleration	37	18
2025-07-25	7,659.64	7,348.78	-1.93	16300	Deceleration	31	16
2025-07-18	7,659.64	7,340.68	1.23	14000	Deceleration	32	19
2025-07-11	7,684.04	7,333.35	5.46	9900	Deceleration	32	21
2025-07-04	7,586.46	7,325.21	7.09	12000	Deceleration	35	22
2025-06-27	7,659.64	7,320.32	7.77	12500	Upward Expansion	40	23
2025-06-20	7,659.64	7,311.44	7.77	31700	Upward Expansion	57	42
2025-06-13	7,781.61	7,305.66	5.66	37800	Upward Expansion	62	69
2025-06-06	8,025.55	7,294.27	9.87	105300	Rotation Up	62	72
2025-05-30	8,881.28	7,277.07	20.79	225800	Rotation Up	54	70
2025-05-23	8,416.29	7,232.12	14.37	435000	Rotation Up	39	39
2025-05-16	7,742.06	7,201.12	7.24	24600	Downward Expansion	25	25
2025-05-09	7,323.57	7,192.60	5.73	87900	Downward Expansion	-21	14
2025-05-02	7,021.33	7,196.47	1.80	22400	Downward Expansion	-45	28
2025-04-25	6,602.84	7,216.62	-2.23	6200	Downward Expansion	-61	42
2025-04-18	6,626.09	7,240.65	1.77	1800	Downward Expansion	-62	44
2025-04-11	6,602.84	7,267.77	4.41	4700	Downward Expansion	-65	48
2025-03-28	6,649.34	7,293.35	1.26	4200	Downward Expansion	-66	68
2025-03-21	6,719.09	7,311.17	6.54	13700	Downward Expansion	-66	71
2025-03-14	6,672.59	7,332.10	1.82	9600	Downward Expansion	-76	77
2025-03-07	6,579.59	7,345.27	-1.26	23600	Downward Expansion	-86	77
2025-02-28	6,974.83	7,360.00	10.76	11000	Downward Expansion	-73	62
2025-02-21	7,230.57	7,366.19	6.12	2500	Downward Expansion	-29	36
2025-02-14	7,253.82	7,370.84	9.30	9900	Downward Expansion	-28	32
2025-02-07	7,207.32	7,368.52	7.11	9300	Balance	-30	26
2025-01-31	7,346.82	7,372.39	3.71	700	Balance	-11	10
2025-01-24	7,370.07	7,366.19	3.28	2100	Balance	12	7
2025-01-17	7,393.32	7,363.09	3.84	2400	Balance	14	9
2025-01-10	7,370.07	7,353.65	4.53	3600	Balance	12	8
2025-01-03	7,439.82	7,341.98	4.49	9700	Balance	17	9
2024-12-27	7,323.57	7,333.22	4.78	2100	Balance	9	6
2024-12-20	7,416.57	7,324.61	6.99	9300	Balance	30	12
2024-12-13	7,439.82	7,318.12	2.52	4800	Balance	30	13
2024-12-06	7,439.82	7,301.89	1.73	10700	Upward Expansion	32	13
2024-11-29	7,439.82	7,284.91	5.54	900	Upward Expansion	34	14
2024-11-22	7,393.32	7,269.42	3.73	4600	Upward Expansion	36	16
2024-11-15	7,486.32	7,255.49	5.54	22900	Upward Expansion	40	21
2024-11-08	7,439.82	7,240.69	3.04	12700	Upward Expansion	49	25
2024-11-01	7,509.57	7,224.46	0.91	11700	Upward Expansion	52	28
2024-10-25	7,532.82	7,214.13	-1.40	9900	Upward Expansion	52	29
2024-10-18	7,486.32	7,203.02	-2.97	19400	Upward Expansion	52	36
2024-10-11	7,486.32	7,190.47	-0.02	3100	Upward Expansion	52	38
2024-10-04	7,439.82	7,172.69	-0.42	41400	Upward Expansion	50	41
2024-09-27	7,625.81	7,166.92	-0.71	24000	Upward Expansion	62	50
2024-09-20	7,323.57	7,148.98	-5.36	22000	Balance	46	34
2024-09-13	7,439.82	7,141.10	-5.01	96200	Balance	50	37
2024-09-06	7,370.07	7,135.34	-5.04	34000	Balance	49	28
2024-08-30	7,184.07	7,128.16	-7.02	32200	Balance	28	12
2024-08-23	7,346.82	7,126.43	-3.61	24000	Balance	37	16
2024-08-16	7,067.83	7,120.78	-6.11	34500	Balance	23	11
2024-08-09	7,021.33	7,128.90	-4.75	43100	Balance	24	10
2024-08-02	7,160.82	7,139.33	-3.82	45200	Balance	19	18
2024-07-26	7,370.07	7,145.86	-1.00	36600	Balance	27	27
2024-07-19	7,184.07	7,142.41	-3.83	27300	Balance	18	21
2024-07-12	7,323.57	7,134.71	-2.66	26700	Balance	15	19
2024-07-05	7,160.82	7,130.57	-4.11	22800	Balance	6	7
2024-06-28	7,277.07	7,132.61	-0.23	93700	Balance	13	9
2024-06-21	7,109.84	7,130.03	-0.14	14300	Balance	-15	7
2024-06-14	7,020.13	7,132.27	0.55	22600	Balance	-29	14
2024-06-07	7,177.13	7,139.00	0.21	44700	Balance	-23	12
2024-05-31	7,064.99	7,139.75	-2.56	13100	Balance	-33	13
2024-05-24	7,221.98	7,144.98	-4.06	12000	Balance	-29	14
2024-05-17	6,952.84	7,143.49	-8.99	19900	Balance	-52	33
2024-05-10	6,930.41	7,150.96	-6.65	25300	Balance	-52	34
2024-05-03	6,975.27	7,161.43	-6.85	6900	Balance	-48	36
2024-04-26	6,975.27	7,171.89	-5.81	14400	Balance	-47	27
2024-04-19	7,042.56	7,190.59	-5.88	22800	Balance	-44	20
2024-04-05	6,952.84	7,214.51	-9.89	29100	Balance	-49	22
2024-03-29	7,199.56	7,232.45	-7.03	17000	Balance	-28	15
2024-03-22	7,199.56	7,241.42	-8.10	2400	Balance	-41	20
2024-03-15	7,109.84	7,252.64	-9.35	2500	Balance	-45	27
2024-03-08	6,952.84	7,268.34	-12.43	4800	Balance	-59	37
2024-03-01	7,266.84	7,290.02	-8.05	2300	Balance	-38	17
2024-02-23	7,087.41	7,304.22	-10.44	10500	Balance	-52	32
2024-02-16	7,087.41	7,325.90	-11.29	4700	Balance	-53	31
2024-02-09	7,266.84	7,352.07	-8.15	1400	Balance	-32	19
2024-02-02	7,154.70	7,367.02	-9.91	6700	Balance	-37	22
2024-01-26	7,132.27	7,385.71	-9.24	5400	Balance	-38	17
2024-01-19	7,177.13	7,402.16	-10.10	10700	Balance	-22	14
2024-01-12	7,311.70	7,416.37	-8.94	11700	Balance	-15	14
2024-01-05	7,334.13	7,424.38	-10.40	2000	Downward Expansion	-28	13
2023-12-29	7,356.56	7,431.65	-9.60	1800	Downward Expansion	-32	18
2023-12-22	7,266.84	7,438.17	-10.64	1200	Downward Expansion	-50	29
2023-12-15	6,952.84	7,445.53	-14.32	3000	Downward Expansion	-66	39
2023-12-08	7,199.56	7,459.05	-11.37	3100	Downward Expansion	-41	26
2023-12-01	7,221.98	7,469.37	-10.29	2000	Downward Expansion	-50	30
2023-11-24	7,199.56	7,476.08	-10.28	4300	Downward Expansion	-53	34
2023-11-17	7,177.13	7,497.15	-10.57	3200	Downward Expansion	-57	37
2023-11-10	7,221.98	7,521.85	-8.14	6200	Downward Expansion	-57	40
2023-11-03	7,199.56	7,542.90	-8.50	5500	Downward Expansion	-61	57
2023-10-27	7,221.98	7,561.10	-8.27	3400	Downward Expansion	-61	64
2023-10-20	7,177.13	7,584.30	-10.49	3800	Downward Expansion	-66	70
2023-10-13	7,177.13	7,619.04	-11.93	8700	Downward Expansion	-71	68
2023-10-06	7,244.41	7,655.93	-11.07	19300	Balance	-69	49
2023-09-29	7,289.27	7,688.42	-11.65	3500	Balance	-69	36
2023-09-22	7,535.98	7,718.70	-10.08	6800	Balance	-51	25

Price vs TrendAbove+20.0%

Trend directionRising+14.6%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+75.9%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+23.4%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+52.3%

Relative strength directionWeakening-10.1%

Price momentumPositive+34.5%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.93×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

69 / ±100

+0.4 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

64 /100

-24.3 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

UNIC Directional State ↗ UNIC Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance11

Rotation Up52

Upward Expansion78

Deceleration71

Rotation Down29

Downward Expansion16

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-09-22 to 2026-09-25 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 31%Rotation Up 2%Upward Expansion 35%Deceleration 15%Downward Expansion 17%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Upward Expansion	2026-07-31	2026-09-25	Developing	-0.7%
Deceleration	2026-07-03	2026-07-24	New	+0.0%
Upward Expansion	2026-05-08	2026-06-26	Developing	+5.9%
Deceleration	2026-03-20	2026-05-01	Developing	+13.7%
Upward Expansion	2026-01-23	2026-03-13	Developing	-0.8%
Deceleration	2025-12-26	2026-01-16	New	+4.4%
Upward Expansion	2025-10-10	2025-12-19	Developing	+7.5%
Deceleration	2025-09-26	2025-10-03	New	+12.5%
Upward Expansion	2025-08-22	2025-09-19	Developing	-2.1%
Deceleration	2025-07-04	2025-08-15	Developing	+3.2%
Upward Expansion	2025-06-13	2025-06-27	New	-1.6%
Rotation Up	2025-05-23	2025-06-06	New	-4.6%
Downward Expansion	2025-02-14	2025-05-16	Established	+6.7%
Balance	2024-12-13	2025-02-07	Developing	-3.1%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing9

Stage 2 · Advancing100

Stage 3 · Distribution61

Stage 4 · Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2B · Advancing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^JKSE

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 83/100
Current Relative Strength: 52.30
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: +34.5%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +46.6%
Basic Materials regime cohort: 35th percentile20 in cohort

Test UNIC trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.73×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.93×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution2 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore UNIC Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity IDR 15,080.00falling

Slow Activity IDR 13,652.44rising

Trend Reference IDR 12,662.39+20.0% close margin

Current Fair Value IDR 8,638.85+75.9% close margin

Structural low IDR 9,419.62shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +3.7%

Annualized volatility +40.7%

From structural high -3.2%

From structural low +97.2%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^JKSE	Regime survived	Read
Near term	26	+0.7%-15.3% to +32.3%	+53.8%	+53.8%	+0.8%	+73.1%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	10	+5.9%-17.8% to +61.5%	+60.0%	+60.0%	+4.8%	+70.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	6	+2.6%-21.0% to +68.8%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-1.5%	+66.7%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	3	+15.2%-26.8% to +51.8%	+66.7%	+66.7%	+9.7%	+33.3%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

UNIC Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

RMI Reversal Map