Weekly structural research ยท SHH ยท Communication Services

600986 Stage Analysis

Zhewen Interactive Group Co., Ltd.

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close CNY 6.89Tenure EstablishedBenchmark 000001.SS
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Downward Expansion ยท Established contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: moderate and contracting.
Direction -64โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 47/100directional strength
Maturity 55/100lifecycle context
Confidence 92/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Moderatecontracting separation
Price acceptance -83.3%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -4.0%CNY 7.18 ยท weakening
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-026.898.46-20.1796556983Downward Expansion-6447
2026-09-256.888.59-21.48213188224Downward Expansion-6747
2026-09-187.108.77-19.79132542999Downward Expansion-6244
2026-09-117.268.95-17.78234905517Downward Expansion-5945
2026-09-047.569.18-15.57407779714Downward Expansion-4538
2026-08-287.159.36-20.9749020641Downward Expansion-5138
2026-08-217.069.52-21.5237599371Downward Expansion-5134
2026-08-147.879.62-13.61110449106Downward Expansion-4535
2026-08-078.069.69-12.09116373378Downward Expansion-5250
2026-07-317.829.68-12.61147139672Downward Expansion-6671
2026-07-246.519.67-27.1457429222Downward Expansion-7286
2026-07-176.409.70-27.8496374413Downward Expansion-7886
2026-07-107.009.76-26.13142900601Downward Expansion-7183
2026-07-036.849.82-28.9861156702Downward Expansion-7886
2026-06-267.079.91-26.6962225935Rotation Down-8084
2026-06-198.029.98-18.46196614082Rotation Down-4269
2026-06-127.7710.01-20.1251541901Rotation Down-4869
2026-06-058.2110.06-15.9273573015Rotation Down-4658
2026-05-298.8410.07-10.74372725157Deceleration-2738
2026-05-229.4310.08-6.03446523403Deceleration-18
2026-05-1510.5110.034.05692785803Deceleration3421
2026-05-0811.019.947.89476835860Deceleration3523
2026-05-019.999.85-0.35840634286Deceleration2317
2026-04-2412.309.7923.881266515674Deceleration4722
2026-04-1710.789.6710.03925061370Deceleration1314
2026-04-1010.349.607.54606116772Deceleration717
2026-04-039.119.54-2.59298966784Deceleration721
2026-03-279.719.552.73333655598Deceleration1623
2026-03-209.939.563.43398990394Deceleration2923
2026-03-1310.339.553.76474960818Upward Expansion4127
2026-03-0610.929.508.60613457746Upward Expansion6048
2026-02-2712.189.4220.08732272917Upward Expansion6475
2026-02-1312.569.3126.251799948595Upward Expansion6782
2026-02-0614.009.1841.762464993416Upward Expansion8590
2026-01-3013.119.0032.322402191417Upward Expansion8686
2026-01-2312.058.8322.231760169503Balance8166
2026-01-1610.048.703.54732018970Balance3321
2026-01-099.768.620.74629186287Balance-2524
2026-01-027.828.56-15.74140972501Balance-5862
2025-12-267.528.58-18.70167717246Balance-4145
2025-12-197.368.62-18.90317468711Balance-4126
2025-12-128.428.65-7.41219737414Balance2212
2025-12-058.708.64-4.73328354189Balance4839
2025-11-289.618.635.80510794874Balance6958
2025-11-218.968.570.56246824751Balance4132
2025-11-149.088.52-1.67340672434Balance4433
2025-11-079.118.46-1.12272644136Balance4223
2025-10-318.728.41-3.87243583241Balance2213
2025-10-248.938.40-0.96306069174Rotation Down-315
2025-10-177.958.39-8.71196523599Rotation Down-2542
2025-10-107.878.47-10.5196579930Balance-3036
2025-10-038.248.52-5.4872802455Balance-719
2025-09-268.268.57-3.40246480605Balance1220
2025-09-198.648.581.84246227673Upward Expansion3319
2025-09-128.698.621.76324196253Upward Expansion4127
2025-09-058.568.632.45355511712Upward Expansion2844
2025-08-299.608.5914.33497998857Upward Expansion6774
2025-08-229.798.4918.68435694597Upward Expansion7876
2025-08-159.798.3724.14559166974Upward Expansion8170
2025-08-088.678.2413.05308501148Upward Expansion4549
2025-08-018.758.1317.55327647297Balance4948
2025-07-258.748.0217.44314305714Balance4637
2025-07-188.527.9417.56365185143Balance3821
2025-07-118.747.9022.68452062813Balance4317
2025-07-048.007.8614.77192223782Balance1313
2025-06-278.087.8218.61219317508Balance1510
2025-06-207.637.7615.22190036635Balance55
2025-06-138.067.7022.14292640873Deceleration3220
2025-06-068.537.6330.15266447983Deceleration3930
2025-05-308.577.5433.75529688406Deceleration3823
2025-05-238.267.4430.34481535978Deceleration2817
2025-05-168.187.3329.69257729038Deceleration148
2025-05-098.307.2133.85562284376Deceleration1413
2025-05-028.027.0933.10197142699Deceleration1720
2025-04-257.286.9921.31304078335Deceleration1421
2025-04-187.286.9022.82275026628Deceleration2122
2025-04-117.546.8029.72443756580Upward Expansion3823
2025-04-048.396.6840.67276795748Upward Expansion4839
2025-03-288.716.5447.05661203433Upward Expansion6252
2025-03-2110.296.3874.75925789511Upward Expansion7665
2025-03-149.406.1758.93872842596Upward Expansion6674
2025-03-079.795.9969.95836921910Upward Expansion7684
2025-02-288.505.8052.10895226533Upward Expansion6580
2025-02-219.995.6577.522177521994Upward Expansion8888
2025-02-148.915.4562.321439783238Upward Expansion8275
2025-02-077.395.2938.20618989654Deceleration7043
2025-01-316.565.1725.74136046400Deceleration4021
2025-01-246.165.0918.49275279328Deceleration2724
2025-01-175.815.0212.39354983776Deceleration2927
2025-01-105.394.976.75256538347Upward Expansion3622
2025-01-035.504.937.40273979821Upward Expansion6045
2024-12-276.334.8916.59511122149Upward Expansion6660
2024-12-207.324.8335.841150503869Upward Expansion7670
2024-12-137.644.7340.57558003949Upward Expansion9287
2024-12-066.894.6426.38790645177Upward Expansion8888
2024-11-296.054.5713.18327446784Upward Expansion7284
2024-11-226.064.5414.88460873254Upward Expansion7988
2024-11-155.954.4910.14392913195Upward Expansion8390
2024-11-085.874.454.68427970114Rotation Up8987
2024-11-015.324.430.01478641166Rotation Up5463
2024-10-254.994.42-6.98211128551Rotation Up4668
2024-10-184.824.43-9.40188074990Rotation Up3056
2024-10-114.574.47-13.12261520036Rotation Up2141
2024-10-045.084.48-7.0989483721Rotation Up4854
2024-09-274.624.48-9.09138439611Downward Expansion1015
2024-09-204.104.49-9.2140923340Downward Expansion-4027
2024-09-134.004.52-10.6957382862Deceleration-5538
2024-09-064.064.53-11.8670325012Deceleration-4333
2024-08-304.064.53-14.5964930424Downward Expansion-4535
2024-08-233.904.56-18.6191200410Downward Expansion-6645
2024-08-164.094.59-15.8973126202Downward Expansion-4839
2024-08-094.034.62-17.0171914747Downward Expansion-6150
2024-08-024.134.66-16.61103577920Downward Expansion-6468
2024-07-263.954.70-20.2462326766Downward Expansion-6980
2024-07-193.944.77-23.3582656171Downward Expansion-7181
2024-07-123.974.86-22.9894403914Downward Expansion-7276
2024-07-054.034.95-21.8257836794Downward Expansion-6966
2024-06-284.175.04-20.26102010323Downward Expansion-6667
2024-06-214.165.13-21.9665828788Downward Expansion-6764
2024-06-144.405.22-19.1279101080Downward Expansion-5755
2024-06-074.215.27-23.64124032365Downward Expansion-6658
2024-05-314.465.31-20.5790541699Balance-6048
2024-05-244.485.33-20.74136921876Balance-6040
2024-05-174.775.34-18.10151449996Balance-4936
2024-05-104.915.36-16.29244074463Balance-3732
2024-05-034.975.38-14.45121916508Balance-3623
2024-04-264.835.40-16.67221592130Balance-3824
2024-04-194.605.42-20.40479059633Balance-4523
2024-04-125.415.46-5.27469154947Balance-1013
2024-04-054.955.48-15.04182695990Balance-3121
2024-03-295.155.50-11.07493690882Balance-2420
2024-03-226.095.524.59578007597Downward Expansion-515
2024-03-154.985.51-14.52259781100Downward Expansion-4124
2024-03-084.855.55-16.61221969256Downward Expansion-4735
2024-03-015.005.58-13.41329444321Downward Expansion-6249
2024-02-234.955.62-13.87395560221Downward Expansion-6565
2024-02-094.415.66-19.57253543111Downward Expansion-7279
2024-02-024.175.71-20.27201152845Downward Expansion-8586
2024-01-264.885.79-12.62203560490Downward Expansion-7077
2024-01-194.825.85-11.25141716567Downward Expansion-7674
2024-01-125.015.93-9.11135754718Rotation Up-5449
2024-01-055.146.00-8.14194279501Rotation Up-3133
2023-12-295.426.06-4.52228921823Rotation Up-1513
2023-12-225.916.096.49199707504Rotation Up2530
2023-12-156.656.1119.33273902991Rotation Up3767
2023-12-086.736.1420.38231452998Rotation Up3066
2023-12-016.836.1620.44232067137Rotation Up3750
2023-11-246.726.1718.83572808593Rotation Up3744
2023-11-176.866.1521.44635548686Rotation Up520
2023-11-105.826.154.23276653120Downward Expansion-4837
2023-11-035.566.170.28244892434Downward Expansion-6460
2023-10-275.046.20-8.37106774519Downward Expansion-7386
2023-10-204.896.26-10.1381753948Downward Expansion-8790
2023-10-135.236.30-6.8779469378Downward Expansion-7881
2023-09-295.426.32-4.0576810799Downward Expansion-7370
2023-09-225.566.34-2.0684672397Downward Expansion-6646
Price vs TrendBelow-18.5%
Trend directionFalling-12.5%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-4.0%
Fair Value directionMoving away-0.7%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-20.2%
Relative strength directionImproving+8.8%
Price momentumNegative-24.4%
Volume balanceDemand-led1.23ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-64 / ยฑ100

-18.6 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

47 /100

+9.4 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance16
Rotation Up23
Upward Expansion6
Deceleration55
Rotation Down57
Downward Expansion82

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-09-22 to 2026-10-02 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 21%Rotation Up 10%Upward Expansion 20%Deceleration 17%Rotation Down 4%Downward Expansion 29%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Downward Expansion2026-07-032026-10-02Established+0.7%
Rotation Down2026-06-052026-06-26New-13.9%
Deceleration2026-03-202026-05-29Developing-11.0%
Upward Expansion2026-01-302026-03-13Developing-21.2%
Balance2025-10-312026-01-23Established+38.2%
Rotation Down2025-10-172025-10-24New+12.3%
Balance2025-09-262025-10-10New-4.7%
Upward Expansion2025-08-082025-09-19Developing-0.3%
Balance2025-06-202025-08-01Developing+14.7%
Deceleration2025-04-182025-06-13Developing+10.7%
Upward Expansion2025-02-142025-04-11Developing-15.4%
Deceleration2025-01-172025-02-07New+27.2%
Upward Expansion2024-11-152025-01-10Developing-9.4%
Rotation Up2024-10-042024-11-08Developing+15.4%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing58
Stage 2 ยท Advancing0
Stage 3 ยท Distribution12
Stage 4 ยท Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4B ยท Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus 000001.SS

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
80/100
Current Relative Strength
-20.17
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
-24.4%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-23.4%
Communication Services regime cohort
79th percentile14 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume0.62ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.23ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity CNY 7.02falling
Slow Activity CNY 7.75falling
Trend Reference CNY 8.46-18.5% close margin
Current Fair Value CNY 7.18-4.0% close margin
Structural low CNY 6.37shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +9.6%
Annualized volatility +61.9%
From structural high -58.2%
From structural low +8.2%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs 000001.SS Regime survived Read
Near term18+1.4%-24.5% to +23.1%+55.6%+44.4%-0.2%+72.2%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate7+0.7%-14.7% to +78.5%+71.4%+28.6%+5.7%+14.3%Usable descriptive sample
Extended4-6.0%-32.6% to +150.9%+50.0%+50.0%-3.1%+50.0%Too little matched history
Full cycle3+13.2%-28.5% to +110.7%+66.7%+33.3%+15.9%+33.3%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context