Weekly structural research ยท CPH ยท Consumer Defensive

UIE Stage Analysis

UIE Plc

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close DKK 396.50Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^OMXC25
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Upward Expansion ยท Early expansion

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

  • The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: moderate and contracting.
Direction 60โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 50/100directional strength
Maturity 48/100lifecycle context
Confidence 65/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Upstructural direction
Activity structure Moderatecontracting separation
Price acceptance +50.0%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context +33.4%DKK 297.26 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-09396.50378.415.1360729Upward Expansion6050
2026-10-02398.00377.366.2863345Upward Expansion6564
2026-09-25412.00376.099.4273479Upward Expansion6887
2026-09-18428.00374.2612.09126063Upward Expansion9397
2026-09-11412.00371.828.7887328Upward Expansion8794
2026-09-04399.50370.043.3815788Upward Expansion7986
2026-08-28395.00369.291.9830689Upward Expansion7777
2026-08-21397.00368.623.7619915Balance7057
2026-08-14373.50367.99-1.6512722Balance1512
2026-08-07367.50368.60-0.236063Balance714
2026-07-31365.00369.60-0.3912484Balance-116
2026-07-24369.50370.551.614280Balance-1923
2026-07-17379.00371.110.7111328Balance-613
2026-07-10372.00371.410.784360Downward Expansion-2920
2026-07-03360.00371.66-3.4410961Downward Expansion-5541
2026-06-26354.00372.770.116693Downward Expansion-5960
2026-06-19349.00373.652.122139Downward Expansion-6967
2026-06-12358.50373.713.5012604Downward Expansion-5963
2026-06-05352.00372.532.8137159Balance-6761
2026-05-29363.00371.314.66103476Balance-1623
2026-05-22354.00369.662.26111930Balance-2420
2026-05-15371.98368.308.7747415Upward Expansion3115
2026-05-08370.98365.6610.2148519Upward Expansion4627
2026-05-01384.45363.2614.0222458Upward Expansion5853
2026-04-24383.95360.3615.5132342Upward Expansion5851
2026-04-17381.45357.3111.6241928Upward Expansion4538
2026-04-10387.94354.1615.7039428Deceleration5438
2026-04-03383.45350.6317.6327212Deceleration4729
2026-03-27365.50347.3017.2829044Deceleration2214
2026-03-20367.49344.5119.3298443Deceleration1112
2026-03-13365.00342.0915.8150247Deceleration718
2026-03-06360.01339.5412.8938215Deceleration623
2026-02-27357.02337.129.9393114Deceleration1023
2026-02-20355.03334.864.6636750Deceleration2628
2026-02-13358.52332.776.4346805Deceleration3728
2026-02-06376.97330.459.7750885Upward Expansion4640
2026-01-30374.97327.586.4051562Upward Expansion5252
2026-01-23377.96325.166.7150802Upward Expansion6563
2026-01-16391.93322.689.6198301Upward Expansion6766
2026-01-09397.41319.9713.5681093Upward Expansion7770
2026-01-02393.42316.9217.6725299Upward Expansion7670
2025-12-26386.44313.9716.5125708Upward Expansion7087
2025-12-19387.94311.5518.7279781Upward Expansion7691
2025-12-12379.46309.1116.22292037Upward Expansion7591
2025-12-05393.40307.1123.85281134Upward Expansion9799
2025-11-28380.47304.5222.07226734Rotation Up9899
2025-11-21350.62302.6016.4767392Rotation Up6785
2025-11-14323.27301.336.3954258Rotation Up5272
2025-11-07315.31300.916.4440793Rotation Up3862
2025-10-31313.32300.595.91162631Rotation Up3852
2025-10-24313.32300.465.2781691Balance3835
2025-10-17292.93301.00-0.9250972Balance-1217
2025-10-10298.90302.181.3178593Downward Expansion-1818
2025-10-03297.41303.301.61103906Downward Expansion-3319
2025-09-26292.44303.974.20104892Downward Expansion-5436
2025-09-19286.97304.310.44135887Downward Expansion-6053
2025-09-12281.99304.86-0.4049052Downward Expansion-6753
2025-09-05283.48305.580.1076029Downward Expansion-6747
2025-08-29281.99306.35-0.0244621Downward Expansion-7147
2025-08-22294.92307.272.1073449Downward Expansion-5942
2025-08-15288.46307.564.0732114Downward Expansion-6458
2025-08-08287.46308.133.1634635Downward Expansion-6870
2025-08-01288.95309.036.4759977Downward Expansion-6973
2025-07-25292.44310.08-0.8844032Downward Expansion-6469
2025-07-18288.95310.151.5446827Balance-7269
2025-07-11290.94310.442.87146825Balance-4551
2025-07-04302.38310.707.9844432Balance-2730
2025-06-27303.38310.759.3025784Balance-1624
2025-06-20310.84310.9211.4361668Balance-713
2025-06-13305.86310.986.1029607Balance-1112
2025-06-06304.87310.456.82117168Balance96
2025-05-30313.82309.8813.9145934Balance3214
2025-05-23314.82308.5915.7757362Upward Expansion4321
2025-05-16319.47307.4018.5160858Upward Expansion4523
2025-05-09315.50305.9822.8157569Upward Expansion3115
2025-05-02322.99304.6325.1453384Upward Expansion3818
2025-04-25312.52302.7730.7256998Upward Expansion2718
2025-04-18310.49301.3233.0317378Upward Expansion3216
2025-04-11305.88300.1137.81138237Upward Expansion4525
2025-04-04309.55298.9840.6658791Upward Expansion5961
2025-03-28329.39297.4035.0240900Upward Expansion6773
2025-03-21328.40294.9732.45581954Upward Expansion6866
2025-03-14332.37292.5934.22107273Upward Expansion7454
2025-03-07317.48290.1926.57114752Deceleration6132
2025-02-28302.60287.5919.2444565Deceleration3419
2025-02-21303.59285.2522.0744153Deceleration3723
2025-02-14303.59283.1425.9035313Deceleration3925
2025-02-07306.57280.9728.0947959Upward Expansion5232
2025-01-31309.55278.5031.7633017Upward Expansion5740
2025-01-24303.59275.8730.7252344Upward Expansion5746
2025-01-17305.58273.3334.7445697Upward Expansion5848
2025-01-10314.51270.6036.9829149Upward Expansion6853
2025-01-03320.46267.4138.7442159Upward Expansion7854
2024-12-27294.67264.0129.6012342Upward Expansion5745
2024-12-20297.64261.6436.4770588Upward Expansion6256
2024-12-13298.63259.0531.2937092Upward Expansion6679
2024-12-06303.73256.4033.2041659Upward Expansion6686
2024-11-29308.68253.5736.8642850Upward Expansion8292
2024-11-22312.64250.5540.6666152Upward Expansion9292
2024-11-15289.88247.3933.5744942Upward Expansion7774
2024-11-08287.90244.9630.9766223Upward Expansion7660
2024-11-01275.04242.6622.5734465Upward Expansion6152
2024-10-25279.00240.7624.5334758Upward Expansion6956
2024-10-18277.02238.6323.2443313Upward Expansion6956
2024-10-11275.04236.3022.6049442Upward Expansion6958
2024-10-04267.13234.0621.4537934Upward Expansion6458
2024-09-27269.11232.0620.3271725Upward Expansion6673
2024-09-20274.05229.9621.6464450Upward Expansion7983
2024-09-13272.07227.6318.3669670Upward Expansion8283
2024-09-06262.18225.4019.61396878Upward Expansion7480
2024-08-30256.24223.5715.54476010Upward Expansion7170
2024-08-23257.23222.2317.54112800Upward Expansion7963
2024-08-16260.20220.5619.4467888Upward Expansion8965
2024-08-09239.43218.9512.1327996Upward Expansion6954
2024-08-02232.50218.079.2037170Upward Expansion6569
2024-07-26240.41216.8612.2427079Upward Expansion8085
2024-07-19238.44215.0313.2482258Upward Expansion8285
2024-07-12232.50213.207.7211080Upward Expansion7576
2024-07-05230.52211.598.1844455Upward Expansion7456
2024-06-28227.55210.098.4923169Upward Expansion7146
2024-06-21223.60208.625.9937028Upward Expansion6542
2024-06-14218.65207.144.1177978Upward Expansion5639
2024-06-07218.65205.801.9332268Upward Expansion6044
2024-05-31223.60204.486.1359538Upward Expansion7556
2024-05-24219.93203.035.1738435Upward Expansion6752
2024-05-17218.95201.644.42104999Upward Expansion6755
2024-05-10218.95200.237.3634781Upward Expansion6860
2024-05-03217.96198.919.5952408Upward Expansion6671
2024-04-26217.96197.439.0028066Upward Expansion6677
2024-04-19216.98195.959.7740608Upward Expansion6576
2024-04-12218.95194.499.9049138Upward Expansion7376
2024-04-05217.96193.098.8381660Upward Expansion7157
2024-03-29215.00191.746.3622336Deceleration6644
2024-03-22207.11190.492.1815202Deceleration4232
2024-03-15208.10189.403.99283513Deceleration4433
2024-03-08207.11188.501.76135778Deceleration4332
2024-03-01206.13187.493.2068765Upward Expansion4534
2024-02-23204.15186.603.8025084Upward Expansion5947
2024-02-16205.14185.703.8517714Upward Expansion6354
2024-02-09207.11184.755.9322307Upward Expansion6569
2024-02-02215.99183.7612.2817812Upward Expansion7887
2024-01-26207.11182.509.0141647Upward Expansion6883
2024-01-19212.04181.4713.1113028Upward Expansion8386
2024-01-12213.03180.3110.4426580Upward Expansion8880
2024-01-05196.26179.113.4811908Upward Expansion7659
2023-12-29185.42178.67-0.7110607Upward Expansion5745
2023-12-22183.44178.41-0.8216403Upward Expansion5346
2023-12-15184.43178.142.0113969Balance5747
2023-12-08185.35178.414.06451143Balance3433
2023-12-01183.38178.583.325616Balance3125
2023-11-24179.45178.662.2111477Balance1112
2023-11-17178.46178.761.76139767Balance1010
2023-11-10178.95178.915.902132Balance-911
2023-11-03179.94178.896.885722Balance-711
2023-10-27178.46179.018.547329Downward Expansion-2512
2023-10-20176.50179.226.197977Downward Expansion-3517
Price vs TrendAbove+4.8%
Trend directionRising+2.4%
Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+33.4%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+0.2%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+5.1%
Relative strength directionImproving+4.4%
Price momentumPositive+2.2%
Volume balanceDemand-led1.14ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

60 / ยฑ100

-27.0 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

50 /100

-43.9 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance19
Rotation Up54
Upward Expansion78
Deceleration71
Rotation Down21
Downward Expansion7

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 17%Rotation Up 3%Upward Expansion 57%Deceleration 11%Downward Expansion 12%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Upward Expansion2026-08-282026-10-09Developing+0.4%
Balance2026-07-172026-08-21Developing+4.7%
Downward Expansion2026-06-122026-07-10Developing+3.8%
Balance2026-05-222026-06-05New-0.6%
Upward Expansion2026-04-172026-05-15Developing-2.5%
Deceleration2026-02-132026-04-10Developing+8.2%
Upward Expansion2025-12-052026-02-06Developing-4.2%
Rotation Up2025-10-312025-11-28Developing+21.4%
Balance2025-10-172025-10-24New+7.0%
Downward Expansion2025-07-252025-10-10Developing+2.2%
Balance2025-05-302025-07-18Developing-7.9%
Upward Expansion2025-03-142025-05-23Developing-5.3%
Deceleration2025-02-142025-03-07New+4.6%
Upward Expansion2024-04-052025-02-07Extended+40.7%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing33
Stage 2 ยท Advancing84
Stage 3 ยท Distribution62
Stage 4 ยท Declining16

Legacy result: Stage 2 ยท Stage 2A ยท Early advance. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^OMXC25

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation
73/100
Current Relative Strength
5.13
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
+2.2%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-1.7%
Consumer Defensive regime cohort
50th percentile2 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume1.73ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.14ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution2 / 3

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity DKK 405.23rising
Slow Activity DKK 384.16rising
Trend Reference DKK 378.41+4.8% close margin
Current Fair Value DKK 297.26+33.4% close margin
Structural low DKK 340.50shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +4.0%
Annualized volatility +19.3%
From structural high -8.9%
From structural low +37.2%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs ^OMXC25 Regime survived Read
Near term34+1.3%-8.0% to +15.6%+55.9%+55.9%+3.0%+76.5%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate12+1.8%-8.5% to +20.0%+58.3%+58.3%+3.8%+50.0%Usable descriptive sample
Extended6+8.6%-10.5% to +33.1%+66.7%+66.7%+8.4%+50.0%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle3+30.3%+10.2% to +62.3%+100.0%+100.0%+27.3%+66.7%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context