Weekly structural research · JPX · Consumer Defensive

2207 Stage Analysis

Meito Co., Ltd.

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close JPY 3,475.00Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^N225

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Upward Expansion · Re-accelerating

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: moderate and contracting.

Direction 53−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 41/100directional strength

Maturity 73/100lifecycle context

Confidence 61/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Moderatecontracting separation

Price acceptance +50.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +60.4%JPY 2,167.13 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-09-25	3,475.00	3,174.69	8.34	208200	Upward Expansion	53	41
2026-09-18	3,450.00	3,149.03	9.93	169800	Upward Expansion	60	47
2026-09-11	3,390.00	3,119.07	9.90	267400	Upward Expansion	63	57
2026-09-04	3,450.00	3,090.65	10.23	308500	Upward Expansion	67	87
2026-08-28	3,430.00	3,061.24	7.44	261900	Upward Expansion	68	88
2026-08-21	3,625.00	3,031.35	14.35	43500	Upward Expansion	93	97
2026-08-14	3,625.00	2,993.38	10.08	59700	Upward Expansion	94	91
2026-08-07	3,245.00	2,954.92	3.34	45600	Upward Expansion	69	53
2026-07-31	3,195.00	2,929.75	3.67	43000	Upward Expansion	63	49
2026-07-24	3,155.00	2,902.69	1.91	29400	Upward Expansion	57	56
2026-07-17	3,130.00	2,875.24	1.79	29900	Upward Expansion	45	51
2026-07-10	3,110.00	2,848.34	-5.48	36900	Deceleration	43	37
2026-07-03	3,195.00	2,822.17	-4.76	38300	Deceleration	56	37
2026-06-26	3,160.00	2,791.65	-5.45	38600	Deceleration	48	22
2026-06-19	3,015.00	2,764.11	-12.32	79400	Deceleration	27	23
2026-06-12	2,946.00	2,736.00	-7.86	28900	Deceleration	30	28
2026-06-05	2,943.00	2,710.22	-9.00	32700	Deceleration	36	28
2026-05-29	3,000.00	2,683.55	-7.18	176200	Upward Expansion	45	34
2026-05-22	3,015.00	2,653.77	-2.57	549000	Upward Expansion	52	47
2026-05-15	3,090.00	2,623.42	2.77	350500	Upward Expansion	66	63
2026-05-08	3,275.00	2,590.27	6.57	120300	Upward Expansion	74	70
2026-05-01	3,280.00	2,550.34	12.37	268100	Upward Expansion	79	72
2026-04-24	3,205.00	2,511.52	9.45	339800	Upward Expansion	77	71
2026-04-17	3,260.00	2,479.11	13.50	386200	Upward Expansion	91	76
2026-04-10	3,070.00	2,443.93	9.73	338500	Upward Expansion	83	77
2026-04-03	3,095.00	2,416.55	18.31	519600	Upward Expansion	93	83
2026-03-27	2,890.00	2,384.82	10.06	649300	Upward Expansion	78	90
2026-03-20	2,871.23	2,358.05	9.39	328100	Upward Expansion	84	94
2026-03-13	2,834.67	2,333.05	7.14	541900	Upward Expansion	88	93
2026-03-06	2,815.90	2,310.29	2.96	560000	Upward Expansion	95	88
2026-02-27	2,705.24	2,287.04	-6.62	339900	Upward Expansion	91	77
2026-02-20	2,551.10	2,266.59	-9.03	340800	Upward Expansion	70	66
2026-02-13	2,537.27	2,250.93	-9.88	501800	Upward Expansion	70	75
2026-02-06	2,567.90	2,234.58	-4.47	568000	Upward Expansion	82	90
2026-01-30	2,533.32	2,216.07	-4.18	293500	Upward Expansion	81	90
2026-01-23	2,485.89	2,198.48	-6.91	194900	Upward Expansion	77	89
2026-01-16	2,471.07	2,181.70	-7.63	275200	Upward Expansion	80	88
2026-01-09	2,489.85	2,164.68	-3.43	448400	Upward Expansion	90	87
2026-01-02	2,383.14	2,147.24	-4.64	156100	Upward Expansion	80	82
2025-12-26	2,331.76	2,133.78	-7.47	213700	Upward Expansion	70	77
2025-12-19	2,322.87	2,121.70	-5.57	284000	Upward Expansion	72	82
2025-12-12	2,324.84	2,110.15	-8.02	395000	Upward Expansion	78	83
2025-12-05	2,279.39	2,098.44	-9.31	599900	Upward Expansion	71	75
2025-11-28	2,333.74	2,090.69	-6.84	743800	Deceleration	84	73
2025-11-21	2,171.70	2,079.98	-10.50	527700	Deceleration	46	29
2025-11-14	2,172.69	2,076.44	-13.72	814900	Deceleration	45	23
2025-11-07	2,143.05	2,070.49	-14.88	535400	Deceleration	32	18
2025-10-31	2,106.49	2,065.03	-19.82	1124400	Deceleration	23	23
2025-10-24	2,104.51	2,057.56	-15.05	284700	Deceleration	26	27
2025-10-17	2,095.62	2,053.29	-12.48	173200	Deceleration	35	23
2025-10-10	2,076.85	2,049.83	-14.27	153200	Upward Expansion	41	32
2025-10-03	2,115.38	2,046.22	-8.32	315700	Upward Expansion	64	58
2025-09-26	2,232.96	2,041.61	-2.35	408400	Upward Expansion	78	83
2025-09-19	2,204.56	2,032.18	-2.76	160600	Upward Expansion	76	68
2025-09-12	2,248.63	2,022.86	-0.15	280500	Upward Expansion	92	73
2025-09-05	2,142.86	2,013.01	-0.95	334000	Upward Expansion	76	65
2025-08-29	2,087.03	2,005.06	-2.84	282200	Upward Expansion	66	80
2025-08-22	2,121.31	1,999.10	-1.01	121100	Upward Expansion	68	88
2025-08-15	2,151.67	1,990.26	-1.30	114200	Upward Expansion	90	96
2025-08-08	2,118.37	1,980.01	0.79	86100	Upward Expansion	85	91
2025-08-01	2,091.93	1,972.11	1.95	68900	Upward Expansion	82	84
2025-07-25	2,081.16	1,966.28	-0.17	84000	Upward Expansion	79	76
2025-07-18	2,046.88	1,960.87	2.18	84000	Balance	65	55
2025-07-11	2,012.60	1,955.35	1.21	96000	Balance	44	26
2025-07-04	2,005.74	1,952.17	0.44	85300	Balance	38	16
2025-06-27	1,982.24	1,949.24	-1.41	54700	Balance	17	10
2025-06-20	1,960.69	1,945.52	1.97	67500	Balance	22	14
2025-06-13	1,966.57	1,942.90	3.94	70100	Balance	28	16
2025-06-06	1,979.30	1,938.79	5.09	73800	Upward Expansion	31	18
2025-05-30	1,969.51	1,932.61	4.22	77300	Upward Expansion	36	18
2025-05-23	1,976.36	1,926.24	7.11	63100	Upward Expansion	51	29
2025-05-16	1,973.42	1,918.92	5.61	136100	Upward Expansion	58	46
2025-05-09	2,046.88	1,913.74	10.63	107700	Upward Expansion	63	60
2025-05-02	2,012.60	1,905.24	11.19	100800	Upward Expansion	57	49
2025-04-25	2,065.49	1,897.82	18.16	188600	Upward Expansion	72	41
2025-04-18	1,993.99	1,888.25	17.89	75200	Upward Expansion	60	31
2025-04-11	1,979.30	1,881.83	21.63	187300	Upward Expansion	49	28
2025-04-04	1,882.34	1,876.03	15.72	206800	Upward Expansion	32	25
2025-03-28	1,976.36	1,873.34	11.11	464200	Upward Expansion	63	62
2025-03-21	1,991.83	1,869.43	10.81	218800	Upward Expansion	74	72
2025-03-14	1,968.54	1,865.94	11.82	272100	Upward Expansion	68	68
2025-03-07	1,977.27	1,863.32	13.16	207900	Upward Expansion	76	75
2025-02-28	1,950.09	1,858.84	11.19	124100	Upward Expansion	68	66
2025-02-21	1,924.86	1,854.81	5.52	100500	Upward Expansion	59	58
2025-02-14	1,953.01	1,854.84	6.23	236000	Deceleration	71	49
2025-02-07	1,904.47	1,854.82	4.76	66300	Deceleration	45	22
2025-01-31	1,908.35	1,854.53	3.06	65900	Deceleration	46	26
2025-01-24	1,855.94	1,853.59	-0.57	45200	Rotation Up	34	20
2025-01-17	1,844.29	1,856.20	2.64	64700	Rotation Up	9	15
2025-01-10	1,881.18	1,856.60	2.84	76900	Rotation Up	31	30
2025-01-03	1,917.09	1,853.98	3.06	12700	Rotation Up	40	51
2024-12-27	1,919.03	1,849.23	2.15	78900	Rotation Up	44	62
2024-12-20	1,881.18	1,843.61	4.20	64900	Rotation Up	36	61
2024-12-13	1,917.09	1,838.80	4.16	91500	Rotation Up	47	68
2024-12-06	1,918.06	1,831.74	5.26	104600	Rotation Up	49	59
2024-11-29	1,870.50	1,824.78	5.05	77400	Deceleration	31	32
2024-11-22	1,882.15	1,819.53	5.60	78300	Deceleration	25	21
2024-11-15	1,843.32	1,813.15	2.59	204800	Deceleration	1	9
2024-11-08	1,793.81	1,806.79	-2.26	85900	Deceleration	-26	28
2024-11-01	1,778.28	1,803.87	0.49	138900	Deceleration	-29	23
2024-10-25	1,756.93	1,801.12	-0.41	81800	Deceleration	-27	22
2024-10-18	1,818.08	1,799.75	0.09	109500	Rotation Down	-16	23
2024-10-11	1,791.87	1,797.17	-2.99	125600	Rotation Down	-18	33
2024-10-04	1,789.93	1,796.38	-0.75	154800	Deceleration	-19	30
2024-09-27	1,778.28	1,796.08	-4.48	580800	Deceleration	-2	18
2024-09-20	1,801.47	1,795.78	2.01	180500	Deceleration	6	14
2024-09-13	1,805.32	1,794.74	5.39	134000	Deceleration	11	11
2024-09-06	1,801.47	1,792.58	5.83	410600	Deceleration	26	13
2024-08-30	1,859.18	1,788.04	2.92	238700	Deceleration	39	22
2024-08-23	1,887.07	1,781.01	5.27	92300	Deceleration	42	22
2024-08-16	1,889.96	1,772.82	6.26	69700	Upward Expansion	45	27
2024-08-09	1,842.83	1,763.87	12.62	153100	Upward Expansion	47	35
2024-08-02	1,829.37	1,756.18	9.24	129800	Upward Expansion	63	51
2024-07-26	1,925.55	1,749.28	9.73	111400	Upward Expansion	70	66
2024-07-19	1,952.48	1,739.01	4.76	332600	Upward Expansion	84	85
2024-07-12	1,895.73	1,726.71	-1.03	118100	Upward Expansion	73	89
2024-07-05	1,880.34	1,715.85	-1.22	148800	Upward Expansion	73	90
2024-06-28	1,934.20	1,705.37	4.95	270200	Upward Expansion	97	98
2024-06-21	1,856.30	1,692.66	3.39	101400	Upward Expansion	91	93
2024-06-14	1,802.44	1,682.48	-0.13	87900	Upward Expansion	83	84
2024-06-07	1,774.54	1,673.84	-1.30	79300	Upward Expansion	76	71
2024-05-31	1,750.50	1,666.16	-2.21	64000	Deceleration	56	48
2024-05-24	1,737.03	1,659.29	-3.49	61500	Deceleration	49	32
2024-05-17	1,705.29	1,652.67	-5.78	62300	Deceleration	30	19
2024-05-10	1,709.14	1,646.79	-4.41	52300	Deceleration	18	15
2024-05-03	1,712.99	1,640.81	-4.66	33100	Deceleration	20	19
2024-04-26	1,690.87	1,634.96	-5.57	37300	Deceleration	24	26
2024-04-19	1,652.39	1,629.82	-6.03	73200	Deceleration	16	26
2024-04-12	1,706.25	1,627.08	-9.43	59400	Deceleration	39	29
2024-04-05	1,695.67	1,622.57	-9.23	97200	Upward Expansion	47	42
2024-03-29	1,715.87	1,617.75	-11.75	357400	Upward Expansion	63	62
2024-03-22	1,740.68	1,612.29	-12.08	197600	Upward Expansion	67	67
2024-03-15	1,768.34	1,606.13	-6.21	133400	Upward Expansion	68	83
2024-03-08	1,780.74	1,598.86	-8.32	133800	Upward Expansion	82	93
2024-03-01	1,769.29	1,591.65	-9.84	137200	Upward Expansion	88	95
2024-02-23	1,770.25	1,584.60	-8.38	76500	Upward Expansion	97	98
2024-02-16	1,740.68	1,577.58	-8.92	176300	Upward Expansion	98	98
2024-02-09	1,665.33	1,571.10	-9.54	100100	Upward Expansion	87	93
2024-02-02	1,648.16	1,566.70	-9.07	78300	Upward Expansion	84	91
2024-01-26	1,641.48	1,563.11	-8.80	78100	Upward Expansion	85	93
2024-01-19	1,621.45	1,560.20	-10.83	66500	Upward Expansion	75	90
2024-01-12	1,611.92	1,557.48	-10.85	96300	Upward Expansion	72	87
2024-01-05	1,622.41	1,554.82	-4.85	40700	Upward Expansion	88	91
2023-12-29	1,617.64	1,551.97	-5.74	128900	Upward Expansion	89	83
2023-12-22	1,583.30	1,549.09	-7.28	79100	Upward Expansion	70	62
2023-12-15	1,569.95	1,547.58	-7.87	103200	Balance	60	46
2023-12-08	1,566.13	1,546.07	-6.47	119700	Balance	56	29
2023-12-01	1,552.78	1,548.85	-10.58	76100	Balance	-19	12
2023-11-24	1,550.87	1,551.41	-11.44	66400	Balance	-24	12
2023-11-17	1,543.24	1,554.29	-12.05	56700	Downward Expansion	-33	14
2023-11-10	1,544.20	1,556.57	-9.53	88200	Downward Expansion	-46	23
2023-11-03	1,544.20	1,558.29	-7.94	90500	Downward Expansion	-51	38
2023-10-27	1,538.47	1,558.83	-5.66	106800	Downward Expansion	-52	49
2023-10-20	1,528.94	1,559.64	-7.20	94600	Balance	-57	49
2023-10-13	1,529.89	1,561.33	-10.44	110000	Balance	-58	40
2023-10-06	1,537.52	1,562.86	-6.46	304400	Balance	-43	19

Price vs TrendAbove+9.5%

Trend directionRising+10.4%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+60.4%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+3.7%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+8.3%

Relative strength directionImproving+13.8%

Price momentumPositive+20.2%

Volume balanceDemand-led1.65×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

53 / ±100

-14.6 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

41 /100

-47.0 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

2207 Directional State ↗ 2207 Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance23

Rotation Up44

Upward Expansion67

Deceleration65

Rotation Down25

Downward Expansion17

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-09-25 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 8%Rotation Up 5%Upward Expansion 59%Deceleration 24%Rotation Down 1%Downward Expansion 3%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Upward Expansion	2026-07-17	2026-09-25	Developing	+11.0%
Deceleration	2026-06-05	2026-07-10	Developing	+5.7%
Upward Expansion	2025-12-05	2026-05-29	Established	+31.6%
Deceleration	2025-10-17	2025-11-28	Developing	+11.4%
Upward Expansion	2025-07-25	2025-10-10	Developing	-0.2%
Balance	2025-06-13	2025-07-18	Developing	+4.1%
Upward Expansion	2025-02-21	2025-06-06	Established	+2.8%
Deceleration	2025-01-31	2025-02-14	New	+2.3%
Rotation Up	2024-12-06	2025-01-24	Developing	-3.2%
Deceleration	2024-10-25	2024-11-29	Developing	+6.5%
Rotation Down	2024-10-11	2024-10-18	New	+1.5%
Deceleration	2024-08-23	2024-10-04	Developing	-5.1%
Upward Expansion	2024-06-07	2024-08-16	Developing	+6.5%
Deceleration	2024-04-12	2024-05-31	Developing	+2.6%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing18

Stage 2 · Advancing100

Stage 3 · Distribution55

Stage 4 · Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2B · Advancing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^N225

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 86/100
Current Relative Strength: 8.34
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +20.2%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -4.1%
Consumer Defensive regime cohort: 6th percentile97 in cohort

Test 2207 trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume1.49×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.65×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution3 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+75.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore 2207 Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity JPY 3,445.00falling

Slow Activity JPY 3,267.44rising

Trend Reference JPY 3,174.69+9.5% close margin

Current Fair Value JPY 2,167.13+60.4% close margin

Structural low JPY 2,831.00shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +4.2%

Annualized volatility +25.4%

From structural high -5.2%

From structural low +70.1%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^N225	Regime survived	Read
Near term	34	+1.6%-6.5% to +15.8%	+58.8%	+58.8%	-0.2%	+73.5%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	13	+2.7%-3.7% to +23.5%	+69.2%	+69.2%	-1.1%	+53.8%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	8	+8.2%-1.7% to +42.1%	+87.5%	+87.5%	+1.0%	+50.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	4	+12.8%+1.1% to +32.5%	+100.0%	+100.0%	-5.5%	+25.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

2207 Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map