Weekly structural research ยท KSC ยท Consumer Defensive

004415 Stage Analysis

Seoul Food Industrial.Co.,Ltd

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close KRW 4,320.00Tenure ExtendedBenchmark ^KS11
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Downward Expansion ยท Established contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: wide and contracting.
Direction -73โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 64/100directional strength
Maturity 90/100lifecycle context
Confidence 91/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Widecontracting separation
Price acceptance -83.3%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -67.3%KRW 13,195.99 ยท weakening
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-09-254,320.008,399.17-68.674860Downward Expansion-7364
2026-09-184,365.008,680.17-68.3013173Downward Expansion-7663
2026-09-114,860.008,952.67-65.7548898Downward Expansion-7260
2026-09-045,480.009,198.33-61.1721099Downward Expansion-6357
2026-08-285,470.009,422.00-62.8310546Downward Expansion-6260
2026-08-215,420.009,646.33-64.816197Downward Expansion-6663
2026-08-145,730.009,868.67-64.1234801Downward Expansion-6362
2026-08-075,350.0010,096.00-63.5939714Downward Expansion-6967
2026-07-314,675.0010,356.00-70.5511987Downward Expansion-8573
2026-07-246,600.0010,646.83-60.0562435Downward Expansion-6767
2026-07-174,935.0010,868.50-71.3645767Downward Expansion-9477
2026-07-107,160.0011,141.00-63.01577Downward Expansion-6887
2026-07-037,020.0011,310.33-67.21161Downward Expansion-7691
2026-06-267,000.0011,478.00-69.27172Downward Expansion-8595
2026-06-197,380.0011,645.33-70.581848Downward Expansion-8795
2026-06-127,400.0011,802.33-67.88513Downward Expansion-9498
2026-06-058,170.0011,955.67-65.48318Downward Expansion-9193
2026-05-2910,070.0012,083.67-59.9324899Downward Expansion-7675
2026-05-2210,020.0012,163.00-57.895410Downward Expansion-7763
2026-05-1511,930.0012,232.67-48.620Downward Expansion-3115
2026-05-0811,930.0012,298.33-49.620Downward Expansion-3215
2026-05-0111,930.0012,310.67-43.860Downward Expansion-3316
2026-04-2411,930.0012,336.00-43.884864Downward Expansion-3518
2026-04-1712,000.0012,299.00-41.991182Downward Expansion-4723
2026-04-1011,900.0012,309.33-40.482637Downward Expansion-5034
2026-04-0311,770.0012,324.67-36.853527Downward Expansion-5039
2026-03-2711,970.0012,340.33-37.435621Downward Expansion-4742
2026-03-2011,650.0012,358.00-43.484634Deceleration-5134
2026-03-1311,970.0012,385.33-39.6430012Deceleration-1812
2026-03-0611,570.0012,405.00-43.426803Deceleration-1912
2026-02-2712,750.0012,439.00-44.9843525Deceleration229
2026-02-2012,540.0012,426.67-42.6375078Deceleration-610
2026-02-1312,230.0012,431.00-41.693088Deceleration-520
2026-02-0612,190.0012,446.33-37.873444Balance-620
2026-01-3012,200.0012,457.67-40.247495Balance-311
2026-01-2312,090.0012,463.33-38.735388Upward Expansion2215
2026-01-1612,550.0012,482.00-35.213969Upward Expansion5454
2026-01-0913,150.0012,483.67-29.125846Upward Expansion5660
2026-01-0213,400.0012,454.00-23.854366Balance6458
2025-12-2613,250.0012,420.00-22.0410258Balance2824
2025-12-1913,110.0012,397.67-21.4310109Balance149
2025-12-1212,240.0012,371.33-29.816588Balance-4624
2025-12-0512,050.0012,371.67-30.342173Balance-4836
2025-11-2812,020.0012,385.00-28.043091Balance-5132
2025-11-2112,090.0012,416.00-26.843914Balance-4629
2025-11-1412,000.0012,425.33-30.853980Balance-4925
2025-11-0712,010.0012,495.33-30.385936Balance-3417
2025-10-3112,450.0012,483.67-31.138528Balance612
2025-10-2412,110.0012,468.33-30.858786Balance-1216
2025-10-1713,900.0012,464.33-17.2615240Balance5529
2025-10-1012,300.0012,402.00-24.423620Downward Expansion-4937
2025-10-0312,690.0012,391.67-21.2355614Downward Expansion-4041
2025-09-2610,820.0012,366.33-30.062114Downward Expansion-9079
2025-09-1912,310.0012,404.33-22.40956Balance-2019
2025-09-1212,360.0012,394.67-21.461608Balance-79
2025-09-0512,240.0012,383.33-18.13675Balance66
2025-08-2912,500.0012,406.33-16.411311Balance2911
2025-08-2212,470.0012,390.67-16.552891Balance3012
2025-08-1512,560.0012,386.33-17.79443Balance4418
2025-08-0812,590.0012,377.67-17.551454Balance4424
2025-08-0112,380.0012,363.00-17.013876Balance4022
2025-07-2512,670.0012,339.67-17.551741Balance4829
2025-07-1812,690.0012,319.00-17.655511Balance4623
2025-07-1112,530.0012,302.67-18.774826Balance4017
2025-07-0412,370.0012,277.67-16.986360Balance3915
2025-06-2712,650.0012,248.67-15.6517406Balance4317
2025-06-2012,600.0012,227.00-15.619703Balance3213
2025-06-1312,260.0012,228.00-14.933693Balance2511
2025-06-0612,380.0012,218.67-12.272669Balance2914
2025-05-3012,580.0012,232.00-7.761822Balance3114
2025-05-2312,320.0012,254.00-6.653424Balance3113
2025-05-1612,250.0012,279.67-8.998945Balance4018
2025-05-0912,450.0012,309.67-6.314454Balance1822
2025-05-0212,950.0012,333.00-2.4315592Balance1926
2025-04-2512,370.0012,341.00-6.7835886Balance1315
2025-04-1814,100.0012,373.678.30101188Balance2822
2025-04-1111,660.0012,347.00-8.886853Downward Expansion-5426
2025-04-0411,990.0012,405.00-8.095311Downward Expansion-4621
2025-03-2811,990.0012,457.33-11.883054Downward Expansion-4623
2025-03-2112,030.0012,509.00-14.943038Downward Expansion-4727
2025-03-1411,990.0012,560.00-13.279965Downward Expansion-4631
2025-03-0711,930.0012,607.33-14.202073Downward Expansion-4228
2025-02-2811,960.0012,661.33-13.605886Downward Expansion-3917
2025-02-2112,020.0012,736.00-17.802385Downward Expansion-2813
2025-02-1412,020.0012,818.00-16.514977Downward Expansion-3415
2025-02-0712,930.0012,902.67-8.511707Downward Expansion-1812
2025-01-3112,030.0012,950.67-15.30325Downward Expansion-3517
2025-01-2412,340.0013,081.33-14.533355Downward Expansion-3519
2025-01-1712,300.0013,216.67-15.162168Downward Expansion-3823
2025-01-1012,150.0013,377.00-16.73658Downward Expansion-4227
2025-01-0311,680.0013,550.33-18.282576Downward Expansion-6039
2024-12-2712,050.0013,736.67-15.141395Downward Expansion-5641
2024-12-2012,200.0013,908.33-14.703036Downward Expansion-5945
2024-12-1311,780.0014,080.67-21.205158Downward Expansion-6450
2024-12-0611,500.0014,263.33-21.817633Downward Expansion-7254
2024-11-2912,000.0014,455.33-20.2318875Downward Expansion-6850
2024-11-2212,630.0014,629.00-18.5628583Downward Expansion-5945
2024-11-1511,980.0014,782.33-20.674238Downward Expansion-8260
2024-11-0812,780.0014,952.33-20.638914Downward Expansion-7052
2024-11-0113,240.0015,100.00-17.691079Downward Expansion-6252
2024-10-2513,090.0015,228.00-20.391093Downward Expansion-6757
2024-10-1813,150.0015,371.00-20.922154Downward Expansion-6861
2024-10-1113,150.0015,522.33-21.55432Downward Expansion-6964
2024-10-0413,190.0015,672.33-21.0280Downward Expansion-6961
2024-09-2713,350.0015,839.00-22.99832Downward Expansion-6762
2024-09-2013,300.0016,007.33-22.11454Downward Expansion-7065
2024-09-1313,400.0016,190.33-21.451971Downward Expansion-7065
2024-09-0613,560.0016,370.33-19.952271Downward Expansion-6867
2024-08-3013,540.0016,539.33-24.332500Downward Expansion-7169
2024-08-2313,560.0016,728.33-25.402294Downward Expansion-7470
2024-08-1613,410.0016,909.67-26.531678Downward Expansion-8675
2024-08-0913,550.0017,098.67-23.042706Downward Expansion-9095
2024-08-0214,200.0017,287.00-22.471710Downward Expansion-8394
2024-07-2614,480.0017,453.67-23.191293Downward Expansion-8695
2024-07-1914,560.0017,620.00-24.951632Downward Expansion-9398
2024-07-1214,370.0017,770.00-28.124463Downward Expansion-9799
2024-07-0515,950.0017,981.00-21.072051Downward Expansion-9396
2024-06-2816,400.0018,146.00-17.723081Downward Expansion-8673
2024-06-2117,110.0018,332.67-14.473843Downward Expansion-6243
2024-06-1417,350.0018,388.00-13.204174Downward Expansion-4233
2024-06-0717,270.0018,384.67-13.171629Downward Expansion-4437
2024-05-3117,200.0018,378.00-11.363390Downward Expansion-4738
2024-05-2417,370.0018,371.33-12.813195Downward Expansion-4539
2024-05-1717,260.0018,363.00-15.187823Downward Expansion-5848
2024-05-1017,260.0018,368.33-15.932491Downward Expansion-6154
2024-05-0317,210.0018,398.00-15.241245Downward Expansion-6460
2024-04-2617,230.0018,415.33-15.10860Downward Expansion-6673
2024-04-1917,080.0018,436.67-14.322020Downward Expansion-7380
2024-04-1217,210.0018,468.33-17.12910Rotation Down-7283
2024-04-0517,080.0018,498.33-19.201590Rotation Down-5477
2024-03-2917,380.0018,525.67-19.271788Rotation Down-5374
2024-03-2217,690.0018,546.67-18.401551Rotation Down-4269
2024-03-1517,650.0018,549.67-16.801585Rotation Down-4562
2024-03-0818,190.0018,526.33-15.451553Balance-3147
2024-03-0118,400.0018,561.00-14.19189Balance-624
2024-02-2318,790.0018,662.67-14.106018Balance910
2024-02-1618,800.0018,674.00-14.362762Balance1211
2024-02-0918,630.0018,762.33-15.091883Balance2114
2024-02-0219,210.0018,868.00-13.122542Balance27
2024-01-2619,000.0018,977.67-10.061551Deceleration310
2024-01-1919,080.0019,116.00-10.15559Deceleration511
2024-01-1219,200.0019,280.00-12.211961Rotation Up812
2024-01-0519,200.0019,455.00-14.74683Rotation Up1414
2023-12-2919,470.0019,626.67-16.86535Rotation Up2129
2023-12-2219,060.0019,781.00-17.734749Rotation Up2541
2023-12-1520,700.0019,944.00-10.282049Rotation Up2948
2023-12-0820,900.0020,045.67-8.549273Rotation Up1738
2023-12-0122,000.0020,125.67-3.9223540Rotation Up1928
2023-11-2418,770.0020,162.33-18.256202Downward Expansion-5044
2023-11-1717,250.0020,298.33-24.71902Downward Expansion-6584
2023-11-1017,070.0020,511.67-24.39875Downward Expansion-6982
2023-11-0317,000.0020,692.67-24.122573Downward Expansion-7269
2023-10-2717,120.0020,866.00-22.231522Downward Expansion-7056
2023-10-2017,420.0021,028.67-24.121621Downward Expansion-6550
2023-10-1318,150.0021,248.00-24.45467Downward Expansion-4944
2023-10-0617,730.0021,469.67-25.70421Downward Expansion-6353
Price vs TrendBelow-48.6%
Trend directionFalling-22.7%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-67.3%
Fair Value directionMoving away-16.1%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-68.7%
Relative strength directionImproving+0.6%
Price momentumNegative-63.9%
Volume balanceDemand-led1.29ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-73 / ยฑ100

-10.9 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

64 /100

+3.6 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance6
Rotation Up26
Upward Expansion11
Deceleration54
Rotation Down60
Downward Expansion87

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-09-25 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 28%Rotation Up 5%Upward Expansion 2%Deceleration 5%Rotation Down 3%Downward Expansion 58%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Downward Expansion2026-03-272026-09-25Extended-63.9%
Deceleration2026-02-132026-03-20Developing-4.7%
Balance2026-01-302026-02-06New-0.1%
Upward Expansion2026-01-092026-01-23New-8.1%
Balance2025-10-172026-01-02Developing-3.6%
Downward Expansion2025-09-262025-10-10New+13.7%
Balance2025-04-182025-09-19Established-12.7%
Downward Expansion2024-04-192025-04-11Extended-31.7%
Rotation Down2024-03-152024-04-12Developing-2.5%
Balance2024-02-022024-03-08Developing-5.3%
Deceleration2024-01-192024-01-26New-0.4%
Rotation Up2023-12-012024-01-12Developing-12.7%
Downward Expansion2023-07-142023-11-24Established-13.9%
Balance2023-06-232023-07-07New-6.2%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing59
Stage 2 ยท Advancing0
Stage 3 ยท Distribution11
Stage 4 ยท Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4B ยท Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^KS11

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
80/100
Current Relative Strength
-68.67
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
-63.9%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-94.1%
Consumer Defensive regime cohort
52th percentile42 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume0.29ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.29ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution4 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity KRW 4,671.33falling
Slow Activity KRW 6,840.01falling
Trend Reference KRW 8,399.17-48.6% close margin
Current Fair Value KRW 13,195.99-67.3% close margin
Structural low KRW 4,150.00shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +24.7%
Annualized volatility +94.0%
From structural high -71.9%
From structural low +4.1%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs ^KS11 Regime survived Read
Near term47-2.1%-33.1% to +29.4%+40.4%+59.6%-2.4%+89.4%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate16-8.6%-41.5% to +22.5%+18.8%+81.2%-6.5%+81.2%Usable descriptive sample
Extended9-18.9%-63.9% to +10.6%+22.2%+77.8%-18.0%+77.8%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle5-38.6%-60.1% to -7.8%+0.0%+100.0%-39.6%+80.0%Usable descriptive sample
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context