Weekly structural research ยท KSC ยท Consumer Defensive

000145 Stage Analysis

Hitejinro Holdings Co., Ltd.

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close KRW 9,130.00Tenure EstablishedBenchmark ^KS11
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Downward Expansion ยท Established contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: wide and expanding.
Direction -75โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 77/100directional strength
Maturity 59/100lifecycle context
Confidence 96/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Wideexpanding separation
Price acceptance -83.3%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -17.5%KRW 11,072.47 ยท weakening
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-09-259,130.0010,330.67-37.30793Downward Expansion-7577
2026-09-189,200.0010,417.33-36.2481Downward Expansion-7278
2026-09-119,250.0010,513.67-37.141197Downward Expansion-7382
2026-09-049,280.0010,611.33-36.02838Downward Expansion-7465
2026-08-289,190.0010,703.67-38.787005Downward Expansion-8578
2026-08-219,680.0010,796.67-37.9421Downward Expansion-5356
2026-08-149,600.0010,883.67-40.2165Downward Expansion-6361
2026-08-079,490.0010,973.00-35.3623Downward Expansion-6663
2026-07-319,500.0011,071.33-39.7412Downward Expansion-6562
2026-07-249,390.0011,177.67-42.43336Downward Expansion-7365
2026-07-179,650.0011,281.33-43.09290Downward Expansion-6463
2026-07-109,690.0011,385.05-48.905Downward Expansion-6670
2026-07-039,620.0011,465.80-54.099Downward Expansion-6886
2026-06-269,670.0011,545.33-56.5859Downward Expansion-6888
2026-06-199,490.0011,631.26-61.24249Downward Expansion-8193
2026-06-129,520.0011,724.17-57.66543Downward Expansion-8895
2026-06-0510,090.0011,797.34-56.36394Downward Expansion-7891
2026-05-299,880.0011,842.14-59.603505Downward Expansion-8788
2026-05-2210,520.0011,908.48-54.381698Downward Expansion-7870
2026-05-1511,300.0011,960.27-49.521319Balance-5829
2026-05-0811,400.0011,954.73-49.912944Balance-4320
2026-05-0112,000.0011,958.45-41.05608Balance-1916
2026-04-2412,170.0011,943.78-39.94775Balance-1514
2026-04-1711,820.0011,898.90-39.771407Rotation Down-88
2026-04-1011,700.0011,876.35-37.79714Rotation Down-2217
2026-04-0311,680.0011,869.75-33.15739Rotation Down-2735
2026-03-2711,680.0011,863.49-34.61605Rotation Down-2844
2026-03-2011,580.0011,866.60-39.621917Rotation Down-2046
2026-03-1311,200.0011,874.66-39.082278Balance-3346
2026-03-0611,550.0011,898.61-38.912586Balance-2224
2026-02-2711,730.0011,924.79-45.074070Balance19
2026-02-2012,090.0011,939.79-39.83951Balance2416
2026-02-1312,180.0011,954.75-36.652723Balance2516
2026-02-0612,050.0011,976.72-32.772017Balance2717
2026-01-3011,980.0012,009.81-35.432338Upward Expansion3016
2026-01-2312,290.0012,035.22-31.362838Upward Expansion4124
2026-01-1612,280.0012,045.45-29.95584Rotation Up2723
2026-01-0912,440.0012,068.93-25.761050Rotation Up3039
2026-01-0212,690.0012,096.13-20.06986Rotation Up3745
2025-12-2612,500.0012,044.57-18.471470Rotation Up2536
2025-12-1912,761.6311,981.27-15.141847Rotation Up3443
2025-12-1212,112.4011,892.12-22.81762Rotation Up1531
2025-12-0512,005.8111,837.53-22.752185Rotation Up2230
2025-11-2812,248.0611,788.44-18.27633Balance3029
2025-11-2112,277.1311,733.53-16.991236Balance3021
2025-11-1411,715.1211,659.56-24.323115Balance110
2025-11-0711,434.1111,603.36-25.602568Balance-59
2025-10-3111,870.1611,549.10-26.102477Balance410
2025-10-2412,073.6411,481.59-22.154914Rotation Down1411
2025-10-1711,133.7211,408.59-24.914448Rotation Down-2524
2025-10-1011,511.6311,365.63-19.82220Rotation Down-2032
2025-10-0311,560.0811,310.72-18.427327Rotation Down-2143
2025-09-2610,823.6411,255.81-20.303170Deceleration-3551
2025-09-1911,143.4111,226.42-19.674649Deceleration-924
2025-09-1211,501.9411,187.34-16.221869Deceleration317
2025-09-0511,492.2511,131.78-11.63967Deceleration815
2025-08-2911,773.2611,078.17-9.22807Deceleration2820
2025-08-2211,821.7111,037.79-8.533910Deceleration3222
2025-08-1511,918.6010,997.42-9.58529Deceleration3824
2025-08-0812,335.2710,955.43-6.141002Upward Expansion4534
2025-08-0112,180.2310,902.45-4.731707Upward Expansion5044
2025-07-2512,538.7610,858.20-4.414771Upward Expansion6357
2025-07-1812,839.1510,799.42-1.962634Upward Expansion6664
2025-07-1113,042.6410,729.60-0.083964Upward Expansion7484
2025-07-0412,742.2510,645.841.556501Upward Expansion7189
2025-06-2712,596.9010,566.490.4210482Upward Expansion7189
2025-06-2012,984.5010,495.414.7010021Upward Expansion9196
2025-06-1313,255.8110,417.6311.58101105Rotation Up9592
2025-06-0611,143.4110,328.33-3.222460Rotation Up5258
2025-05-3010,600.7810,307.56-4.103397Rotation Up3653
2025-05-2310,087.2110,306.75-5.161407Rotation Up1734
2025-05-1610,474.8110,325.56-2.92341Rotation Up2850
2025-05-0910,532.9510,328.32-0.55498Rotation Up3542
2025-05-0210,600.7810,326.350.753708Rotation Up116
2025-04-2510,058.1410,333.33-3.94667Downward Expansion-4431
2025-04-1810,029.0710,351.54-1.912650Downward Expansion-4836
2025-04-119,806.2010,372.91-2.352020Downward Expansion-6550
2025-04-049,844.9610,400.77-3.33117Downward Expansion-6450
2025-03-289,883.7210,433.56-6.50143Downward Expansion-6353
2025-03-219,844.9610,471.60-9.94271Downward Expansion-6862
2025-03-149,864.3410,516.23-7.21952Downward Expansion-6867
2025-03-079,912.7910,554.30-6.811226Downward Expansion-6776
2025-02-289,941.8610,576.74-5.58430Downward Expansion-6878
2025-02-219,970.9310,619.07-9.894250Downward Expansion-6875
2025-02-149,835.2710,661.68-9.212109Downward Expansion-7975
2025-02-079,883.7210,720.03-6.604142Balance-7455
2025-01-3110,562.0210,773.33-0.26359Balance-3315
2025-01-2410,610.4610,802.47-0.71889Balance-159
2025-01-1710,658.9210,828.430.10346Balance-912
2025-01-1010,746.1210,872.401.05293Balance-914
2025-01-0310,852.7110,890.425.01264Balance-610
2024-12-2710,775.1910,902.395.90800Downward Expansion-2612
2024-12-2010,744.7210,913.525.64639Downward Expansion-3319
2024-12-1310,529.8310,924.73-0.23791Downward Expansion-4826
2024-12-0610,361.6510,944.350.721213Downward Expansion-5630
2024-11-2910,464.4210,974.870.31422Downward Expansion-5227
2024-11-2210,651.2911,002.590.162994Downward Expansion-4825
2024-11-1510,576.5411,020.972.881352Downward Expansion-5028
2024-11-0810,520.4811,066.13-3.451328Downward Expansion-5330
2024-11-0110,576.5411,088.55-2.354948Downward Expansion-5332
2024-10-2510,651.2911,106.30-3.32948Downward Expansion-5230
2024-10-1810,557.8611,119.70-4.71791Downward Expansion-5532
2024-10-1110,473.7711,141.18-5.76465Downward Expansion-5938
2024-10-0410,810.1211,165.79-1.85411Downward Expansion-5337
2024-09-2710,604.5711,188.52-6.722087Downward Expansion-5847
2024-09-2010,669.9711,230.57-4.24721Downward Expansion-5740
2024-09-1310,641.9411,267.63-3.922460Balance-6033
2024-09-0610,828.8111,316.53-1.052382Balance-5529
2024-08-3011,025.0211,346.42-4.17816Balance-5143
2024-08-2311,183.8511,371.34-3.831009Balance-5044
2024-08-1611,006.3311,374.77-5.16881Balance-5139
2024-08-0910,585.8811,387.22-4.934115Balance-6742
2024-08-0211,211.8811,416.81-2.52570Balance-3616
2024-07-2611,249.2511,420.55-4.132177Balance-126
2024-07-1911,585.6111,439.55-3.41628Balance1315
2024-07-1211,482.8311,443.47-6.281812Balance1016
2024-07-0511,436.1211,445.77-6.901234Balance816
2024-06-2811,389.4011,471.30-5.293733Balance514
2024-06-2111,978.0311,463.06-0.042309Balance2720
2024-06-1411,286.6311,428.08-5.005160Downward Expansion-5034
2024-06-0711,211.8811,415.54-4.53560Downward Expansion-5548
2024-05-3111,109.1111,395.41-2.41650Downward Expansion-5850
2024-05-2411,081.0811,373.06-4.591037Balance-3037
2024-05-1711,118.4511,347.19-5.72704Balance-3028
2024-05-1011,277.2811,332.24-4.6494Balance-89
2024-05-0311,295.9711,312.30-2.9060Balance2012
2024-04-2611,202.5411,292.04-3.09931Balance137
2024-04-1911,931.3111,274.885.62716Rotation Down3918
2024-04-1211,193.2011,238.19-4.17541Rotation Down-2039
2024-04-0511,109.1111,226.69-6.19468Balance-2238
2024-03-2911,053.0511,220.08-8.05870Balance-722
2024-03-2211,202.5411,215.92-7.17860Balance411
2024-03-1511,211.8811,180.96-4.57750Upward Expansion2212
2024-03-0811,492.1811,143.90-3.03964Upward Expansion5031
2024-03-0111,865.9111,098.091.13269Upward Expansion5341
2024-02-2311,781.8211,052.89-0.81265Upward Expansion5342
2024-02-1612,108.8310,998.312.35625Deceleration6442
2024-02-0911,725.7610,945.01-0.05295Deceleration5328
2024-02-0211,772.4810,921.110.31736Deceleration4624
2024-01-2611,286.6310,893.571.28189Deceleration3618
2024-01-1911,380.0610,889.942.22904Upward Expansion4125
2024-01-1211,473.4910,894.480.75899Upward Expansion5534
2024-01-0511,324.0010,897.69-2.881087Upward Expansion5941
2023-12-2911,819.1910,903.21-1.951178Upward Expansion6771
2023-12-2211,703.3210,891.63-1.16940Rotation Up6772
2023-12-1511,551.9110,884.50-1.295455Rotation Up3659
2023-12-0812,202.0910,875.895.9916452Rotation Up5968
2023-12-0111,142.2010,855.11-2.701458Balance2425
2023-11-2410,928.4410,860.75-4.31724Balance-67
2023-11-1710,910.6310,877.08-3.46964Balance-1210
2023-11-1010,607.8010,890.44-3.86249Balance-3831
2023-11-0310,438.5810,927.25-3.80427Balance-4235
2023-10-2710,304.9810,978.62-2.471224Balance-4930
2023-10-2010,670.1511,026.41-2.2965Balance-3017
2023-10-1310,679.0611,061.45-5.58641Balance-2112
2023-10-0610,687.9611,108.95-3.89601Balance-2816
Price vs TrendBelow-11.6%
Trend directionFalling-8.4%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-17.5%
Fair Value directionMoving away-4.1%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-37.3%
Relative strength directionImproving+19.3%
Price momentumNegative-21.8%
Volume balanceSupply-led0.10ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-75 / ยฑ100

+10.1 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

77 /100

-0.5 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance11
Rotation Up27
Upward Expansion16
Deceleration43
Rotation Down63
Downward Expansion92

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-09-25 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 33%Rotation Up 11%Upward Expansion 12%Deceleration 7%Rotation Down 7%Downward Expansion 31%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Downward Expansion2026-05-222026-09-25Established-13.2%
Balance2026-04-242026-05-15New-7.1%
Rotation Down2026-03-202026-04-17Developing+2.1%
Balance2026-02-062026-03-13Developing-7.1%
Upward Expansion2026-01-232026-01-30New-2.5%
Rotation Up2025-12-052026-01-16Developing+2.3%
Balance2025-10-312025-11-28Developing+3.2%
Rotation Down2025-10-032025-10-24New+4.4%
Deceleration2025-08-152025-09-26Developing-9.2%
Upward Expansion2025-06-202025-08-08Developing-5.0%
Rotation Up2025-05-022025-06-13Developing+25.0%
Downward Expansion2025-02-142025-04-25Developing+2.3%
Balance2025-01-032025-02-07Developing-8.9%
Downward Expansion2024-09-202024-12-27Established+1.0%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing64
Stage 2 ยท Advancing0
Stage 3 ยท Distribution7
Stage 4 ยท Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4B ยท Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^KS11

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
100/100
Current Relative Strength
-37.30
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
-21.8%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-52.0%
Consumer Defensive regime cohort
98th percentile42 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume0.86ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.10ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution0 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity KRW 9,196.67falling
Slow Activity KRW 9,810.13falling
Trend Reference KRW 10,330.67-11.6% close margin
Current Fair Value KRW 11,072.47-17.5% close margin
Structural low KRW 9,000.00shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +2.5%
Annualized volatility +19.4%
From structural high -31.4%
From structural low +1.4%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs ^KS11 Regime survived Read
Near term27-0.4%-9.8% to +13.0%+44.4%+55.6%-1.1%+77.8%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate11-0.8%-12.4% to +31.9%+45.5%+54.5%+3.9%+54.5%Usable descriptive sample
Extended5-0.2%-5.8% to +4.8%+40.0%+60.0%+1.0%+20.0%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle3-4.6%-25.7% to -0.5%+0.0%+100.0%-6.9%+33.3%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context