Weekly structural research · KSC · Consumer Defensive

248170 Stage Analysis

Sempio Foods Company

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close KRW 22,200.00Tenure NewBenchmark ^KS11

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Balance · Balance after decline

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base.

The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: compressed and contracting.

Direction -40−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 18/100directional strength

Maturity 26/100lifecycle context

Confidence 55/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Downstructural direction

Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation

Price acceptance -33.3%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -17.8%KRW 27,022.08 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-09-25	22,200.00	24,740.00	-35.85	81362	Balance	-40	18
2026-09-18	22,600.00	24,996.67	-34.10	590625	Balance	-25	12
2026-09-11	25,700.00	25,215.00	-26.51	4108613	Downward Expansion	-1	6
2026-09-04	23,200.00	25,326.67	-32.52	22673	Downward Expansion	-24	14
2026-08-28	23,450.00	25,535.00	-33.97	31166	Downward Expansion	-32	18
2026-08-21	23,100.00	25,751.67	-37.19	7145	Downward Expansion	-36	21
2026-08-14	24,050.00	25,980.00	-36.33	15039	Downward Expansion	-37	23
2026-08-07	23,600.00	26,160.00	-31.50	12272	Downward Expansion	-39	26
2026-07-31	22,400.00	26,338.33	-39.26	5218	Downward Expansion	-47	35
2026-07-24	22,900.00	26,540.00	-39.81	13560	Downward Expansion	-47	39
2026-07-17	23,900.00	26,711.67	-39.39	485189	Downward Expansion	-61	54
2026-07-10	22,300.00	26,876.48	-49.25	7753	Downward Expansion	-67	74
2026-07-03	22,100.00	27,092.97	-54.36	6438	Downward Expansion	-68	86
2026-06-26	20,550.00	27,324.40	-59.96	13464	Downward Expansion	-91	96
2026-06-19	21,950.00	27,610.81	-61.00	20745	Downward Expansion	-87	94
2026-06-12	23,400.00	27,872.06	-54.58	8254	Downward Expansion	-76	90
2026-06-05	22,800.00	28,048.57	-56.76	15690	Downward Expansion	-89	94
2026-05-29	23,800.00	28,162.34	-57.40	69454	Downward Expansion	-85	83
2026-05-22	25,500.00	28,249.40	-51.68	60385	Downward Expansion	-69	66
2026-05-15	25,550.00	28,314.54	-50.26	104593	Downward Expansion	-73	64
2026-05-08	26,700.00	28,386.29	-49.00	68432	Downward Expansion	-62	48
2026-05-01	27,250.00	28,373.37	-41.95	40552	Rotation Down	-29	31
2026-04-24	27,200.00	28,340.46	-41.92	82736	Rotation Down	-30	37
2026-04-17	27,850.00	28,300.94	-38.80	51008	Rotation Down	-25	32
2026-04-10	27,700.00	28,262.93	-36.71	65238	Balance	-18	26
2026-04-03	27,150.00	28,236.53	-33.45	57905	Balance	-22	22
2026-03-27	28,300.00	28,200.34	-32.35	48196	Balance	8	11
2026-03-20	28,800.00	28,115.88	-35.99	61272	Balance	15	10
2026-03-13	28,400.00	28,019.72	-34.28	106084	Balance	22	12
2026-03-06	27,800.00	27,953.45	-37.55	119049	Upward Expansion	20	11
2026-02-27	29,900.00	27,913.79	-40.71	413835	Upward Expansion	54	27
2026-02-20	29,150.00	27,784.27	-38.69	48530	Upward Expansion	49	28
2026-02-13	29,050.00	27,704.58	-36.29	173487	Upward Expansion	53	36
2026-02-06	29,450.00	27,636.49	-30.85	123517	Upward Expansion	55	50
2026-01-30	29,950.00	27,569.97	-32.17	85200	Upward Expansion	61	55
2026-01-23	29,950.00	27,461.95	-29.57	115949	Deceleration	62	45
2026-01-16	29,450.00	27,325.81	-29.15	160278	Deceleration	57	30
2026-01-09	28,950.00	27,241.08	-27.10	86469	Deceleration	40	21
2026-01-02	28,450.00	27,154.81	-24.40	26197	Upward Expansion	38	21
2025-12-26	28,050.00	27,096.80	-22.85	47335	Upward Expansion	51	29
2025-12-19	28,844.34	27,042.19	-19.11	100896	Upward Expansion	56	40
2025-12-12	28,794.69	26,946.20	-22.60	56931	Upward Expansion	58	62
2025-12-05	29,042.92	26,860.15	-21.19	59218	Upward Expansion	59	67
2025-11-28	29,142.21	26,785.68	-17.91	99082	Upward Expansion	63	64
2025-11-21	29,787.61	26,693.01	-15.02	275925	Upward Expansion	73	59
2025-11-14	28,695.40	26,577.17	-21.78	251342	Balance	64	42
2025-11-07	26,213.10	26,510.97	-27.99	76681	Balance	34	18
2025-10-31	26,411.68	26,514.28	-30.81	121008	Balance	39	28
2025-10-24	27,454.25	26,494.42	-25.80	206606	Balance	52	38
2025-10-17	27,702.48	26,428.23	-21.90	1904632	Balance	57	29
2025-10-10	26,312.39	26,365.34	-23.52	8272	Balance	-2	2
2025-10-03	26,262.74	26,357.07	-22.88	19356	Balance	-2	5
2025-09-26	26,014.51	26,376.93	-20.48	17642	Balance	0	3
2025-09-19	26,709.56	26,391.82	-20.24	30338	Balance	13	6
2025-09-12	26,908.14	26,380.24	-18.94	52291	Balance	4	7
2025-09-05	26,064.16	26,335.56	-17.27	29985	Balance	-13	20
2025-08-29	25,766.28	26,317.35	-18.12	29260	Balance	-19	21
2025-08-22	25,915.22	26,246.19	-17.58	53209	Balance	3	9
2025-08-15	26,411.68	26,175.04	-17.85	42511	Upward Expansion	25	13
2025-08-08	26,610.27	26,125.39	-17.24	22654	Upward Expansion	32	13
2025-08-01	26,014.51	26,084.02	-17.24	38238	Upward Expansion	34	20
2025-07-25	26,759.20	26,057.54	-17.39	44224	Upward Expansion	50	41
2025-07-18	27,007.43	25,984.73	-16.82	93375	Upward Expansion	52	36
2025-07-11	27,454.25	25,900.64	-15.53	100005	Balance	63	42
2025-07-04	26,709.56	25,821.38	-14.99	80782	Balance	49	22
2025-06-27	25,865.57	25,729.16	-18.10	65533	Balance	38	19
2025-06-20	26,908.14	25,711.06	-14.52	78250	Balance	53	32
2025-06-13	26,362.04	25,668.06	-13.36	86590	Balance	36	18
2025-06-06	26,709.56	25,625.19	-10.29	42619	Balance	50	22
2025-05-30	26,411.68	25,687.34	-7.79	56628	Balance	37	18
2025-05-23	25,964.87	25,759.42	-5.94	50821	Balance	36	17
2025-05-16	26,213.10	25,828.33	-6.49	45598	Balance	48	30
2025-05-09	26,808.85	25,898.82	-2.73	43607	Balance	27	30
2025-05-02	26,362.04	25,934.67	-3.75	39138	Balance	19	19
2025-04-25	26,312.39	25,982.13	-3.47	71751	Balance	19	14
2025-04-18	26,709.56	26,055.87	0.47	115991	Balance	23	13
2025-04-11	26,312.39	26,085.18	1.09	477559	Balance	-19	9
2025-04-04	25,815.93	26,129.36	-1.97	39460	Balance	-23	12
2025-03-28	25,468.41	26,167.11	-6.68	48599	Balance	-10	9
2025-03-21	25,815.93	26,252.57	-8.44	48213	Balance	-5	17
2025-03-14	26,064.16	26,336.29	-4.84	114040	Balance	15	23
2025-03-07	26,858.50	26,431.45	-1.82	384411	Balance	2	18
2025-02-28	26,461.33	26,524.76	-2.01	86648	Balance	-5	15
2025-02-21	26,362.04	26,655.95	-6.83	61869	Downward Expansion	-23	14
2025-02-14	25,567.70	26,772.38	-7.50	86935	Downward Expansion	-41	27
2025-02-07	25,518.05	26,951.42	-5.30	454551	Downward Expansion	-53	34
2025-01-31	23,631.50	27,186.30	-12.25	5524	Downward Expansion	-66	46
2025-01-24	23,780.44	27,464.36	-12.64	56982	Downward Expansion	-67	40
2025-01-17	24,922.30	27,865.55	-8.30	35107	Deceleration	-44	31
2025-01-10	25,369.12	28,317.35	-6.70	28741	Downward Expansion	-45	33
2025-01-03	25,220.18	28,670.51	-4.70	18688	Downward Expansion	-57	41
2024-12-27	24,574.78	28,836.50	-5.71	143545	Downward Expansion	-62	48
2024-12-20	24,485.00	29,022.36	-6.03	27154	Downward Expansion	-66	61
2024-12-13	25,076.18	29,206.28	-7.26	77341	Downward Expansion	-62	70
2024-12-06	23,943.08	29,382.00	-9.06	84374	Downward Expansion	-78	82
2024-11-29	25,322.51	29,557.71	-5.01	51758	Downward Expansion	-69	72
2024-11-22	25,618.11	29,656.24	-5.69	53022	Downward Expansion	-68	62
2024-11-15	25,076.18	29,713.72	-4.51	126775	Downward Expansion	-75	47
2024-11-08	28,574.04	29,782.69	2.65	112133	Downward Expansion	-36	20
2024-11-01	28,574.04	29,715.36	3.47	71193	Downward Expansion	-38	23
2024-10-25	28,032.12	29,654.60	-0.10	279812	Downward Expansion	-41	26
2024-10-18	28,327.71	29,620.11	0.50	117041	Downward Expansion	-43	27
2024-10-11	27,884.32	29,597.12	-1.16	270802	Downward Expansion	-20	28
2024-10-04	27,785.79	29,564.28	-0.57	29206	Downward Expansion	-30	37
2024-09-27	28,524.78	29,531.44	-1.13	55915	Rotation Down	-30	41
2024-09-20	27,588.73	29,487.10	-2.45	15717	Rotation Down	-33	46
2024-09-13	27,638.00	29,488.74	-1.77	47169	Rotation Down	-23	39
2024-09-06	26,948.28	29,516.66	-3.24	47820	Rotation Down	-27	38
2024-08-30	28,032.12	29,562.64	-4.50	44390	Deceleration	-23	29
2024-08-23	28,327.71	29,597.12	-4.71	66754	Deceleration	-20	20
2024-08-16	28,918.90	29,593.84	-3.28	76389	Deceleration	2	13
2024-08-09	29,657.88	29,606.98	3.36	169018	Deceleration	15	17
2024-08-02	30,396.87	29,595.48	2.59	70718	Deceleration	23	19
2024-07-26	29,854.95	29,475.60	-1.13	100302	Deceleration	26	20
2024-07-19	30,938.79	29,383.64	0.20	164457	Upward Expansion	40	22
2024-07-12	32,564.55	29,242.35	3.23	654981	Upward Expansion	58	42
2024-07-05	31,973.37	29,030.57	1.22	218121	Upward Expansion	64	61
2024-06-28	35,816.09	28,845.01	15.93	609044	Upward Expansion	69	76
2024-06-21	38,476.43	28,531.37	25.24	6053213	Upward Expansion	90	84
2024-06-14	35,963.88	28,125.79	18.17	1854455	Upward Expansion	91	81
2024-06-07	30,199.80	27,795.80	0.13	96438	Upward Expansion	64	66
2024-05-31	30,150.54	27,659.59	3.28	417625	Upward Expansion	65	70
2024-05-24	30,002.74	27,542.94	0.94	768282	Upward Expansion	66	67
2024-05-17	30,347.60	27,393.73	0.75	383090	Balance	72	63
2024-05-10	29,214.49	27,231.40	-3.10	379066	Balance	52	32
2024-05-03	28,278.45	27,183.45	-4.55	98609	Balance	37	17
2024-04-26	27,342.40	27,166.70	-7.14	775791	Balance	-9	10
2024-04-19	27,145.34	27,213.75	-5.71	81457	Balance	-13	23
2024-04-12	26,554.15	27,280.41	-11.01	30243	Balance	-20	23
2024-04-05	26,751.21	27,422.20	-11.61	41399	Balance	-24	17
2024-03-29	26,997.54	27,563.95	-12.08	57958	Balance	-22	17
2024-03-22	27,638.00	27,682.80	-10.28	58280	Balance	-37	23
2024-03-15	26,899.01	27,995.48	-10.22	49079	Balance	-33	24
2024-03-08	26,800.48	27,995.37	-11.25	47500	Balance	-32	21
2024-03-01	27,194.61	28,029.52	-9.01	75757	Balance	-6	7
2024-02-23	27,638.00	28,026.08	-8.70	95152	Rotation Up	-0	7
2024-02-16	28,475.51	28,022.52	-5.62	54465	Rotation Up	16	18
2024-02-09	28,327.71	28,013.88	-5.40	67914	Rotation Up	18	38
2024-02-02	29,066.70	28,044.39	-3.14	167307	Rotation Up	25	39
2024-01-26	28,229.18	28,047.00	-1.11	262202	Rotation Up	17	27
2024-01-19	29,313.03	28,160.67	2.58	984041	Downward Expansion	28	30
2024-01-12	29,313.03	28,363.72	0.14	1557386	Downward Expansion	7	14
2024-01-05	26,800.48	28,728.15	-10.66	56985	Downward Expansion	-36	21
2023-12-29	27,096.07	28,791.63	-12.84	30676	Downward Expansion	-38	24
2023-12-22	26,700.13	28,820.82	-12.99	66563	Downward Expansion	-42	38
2023-12-15	26,211.12	28,866.46	-13.99	56039	Downward Expansion	-45	43
2023-12-08	26,406.72	28,923.51	-12.26	50609	Downward Expansion	-43	39
2023-12-01	26,406.72	28,990.34	-12.24	73873	Downward Expansion	-53	39
2023-11-24	26,308.92	29,065.32	-12.65	63129	Downward Expansion	-54	33
2023-11-17	26,064.41	29,143.56	-12.87	69336	Downward Expansion	-55	38
2023-11-10	26,113.31	29,246.26	-10.85	68705	Downward Expansion	-56	49
2023-11-03	26,651.23	29,334.28	-7.68	80020	Downward Expansion	-56	52
2023-10-27	25,526.50	29,388.07	-9.31	136436	Downward Expansion	-63	58
2023-10-20	25,477.59	29,469.57	-12.53	208875	Balance	-64	52
2023-10-13	27,775.96	29,541.29	-8.13	180629	Balance	-26	24
2023-10-06	27,775.96	29,554.34	-6.59	186820	Balance	-16	14

Price vs TrendBelow-10.3%

Trend directionFalling-7.4%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-17.8%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+7.6%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-35.8%

Relative strength directionImproving+24.1%

Price momentumNegative-21.6%

Volume balanceDemand-led6.48×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-40 / ±100

-8.1 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

18 /100

+0.0 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

248170 Directional State ↗ 248170 Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance45

Rotation Up22

Upward Expansion14

Deceleration62

Rotation Down40

Downward Expansion62

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-09-25 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 35%Rotation Up 3%Upward Expansion 17%Deceleration 6%Rotation Down 5%Downward Expansion 33%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Balance	2026-09-18	2026-09-25	New	-1.8%
Downward Expansion	2026-05-08	2026-09-11	Established	-3.7%
Rotation Down	2026-04-17	2026-05-01	New	-2.2%
Balance	2026-03-13	2026-04-10	Developing	-2.5%
Upward Expansion	2026-01-30	2026-03-06	Developing	-7.2%
Deceleration	2026-01-09	2026-01-23	New	+3.5%
Upward Expansion	2025-11-21	2026-01-02	Developing	-4.5%
Balance	2025-08-22	2025-11-14	Established	+10.7%
Upward Expansion	2025-07-18	2025-08-15	Developing	-2.2%
Balance	2025-02-28	2025-07-11	Established	+3.8%
Downward Expansion	2025-01-24	2025-02-21	Developing	+10.9%
Deceleration	2025-01-17	2025-01-17	New	+0.0%
Downward Expansion	2024-10-04	2025-01-10	Established	-8.7%
Rotation Down	2024-09-06	2024-09-27	New	+5.9%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing70

Stage 2 · Advancing0

Stage 3 · Distribution2

Stage 4 · Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4B · Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^KS11

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 70/100
Current Relative Strength: -35.85
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: -21.6%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -51.7%
Consumer Defensive regime cohort: 33th percentile18 in cohort

Test 248170 trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.29×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume6.48×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution2 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+25.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore 248170 Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity KRW 23,223.33falling

Slow Activity KRW 23,711.72falling

Trend Reference KRW 24,740.00-10.3% close margin

Current Fair Value KRW 27,022.08-17.8% close margin

Structural low KRW 20,450.00shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Persistent fast/slow separation and fan expansion would end Balance; direction determines whether it becomes Rotation Up or Rotation Down.

Range context +11.9%

Annualized volatility +35.6%

From structural high -38.7%

From structural low +8.6%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^KS11	Regime survived	Read
Near term	26	-0.2%-12.5% to +14.5%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-4.2%	+73.1%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	10	-2.9%-17.6% to +15.1%	+30.0%	+30.0%	-5.9%	+40.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	7	+3.1%-14.0% to +24.7%	+57.1%	+57.1%	-6.7%	+14.3%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	4	-6.1%-28.4% to +13.0%	+25.0%	+25.0%	-19.2%	+50.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

248170 Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map