The evidence is balanced enough to avoid a defensive call, but not aligned enough for aggressive positioning.
49
technical evidence
out of 100
out of 100
Week Ending: 28 August 2026
China CN Consumer Cyclical Industry
Packaging & Containers
For the week ending 28 August 2026, Packaging & Containers advanced 2.16% with 43 advancing, 12 declining, and 0 unchanged constituents. The index is equal weighted and the constituent tape shows uncapped security returns.
Current architecture
Unresolved
The Activity Lines, Trend Line and price acceptance remain genuinely mixed.
49
technical evidence
Index1387.04
1 week2.16%
Breadth78%
Members55
Country
🇨🇳 China · CN
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Universe
country-listed
Price basis
Adjusted weekly close
Trend architecture
Index, activity fan and structural anchors
Rolling 156-week evidence. Trend Signal points mark weeks when price, trend and the activity fan confirmed together.
Index Value
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity Lines
Constructive architecture
Transitional architecture
Defensive architecture
Current architecture
Unresolved
2 completed weeks in this state
Trend acceptance
-4.4%
Index versus Trend Line
Persistence
50%
Positive regime, shorter trend weakening
Participation
78%
43 advancing, 12 declining
Investor positioning lens
Is the evidence ready for capital?
A rules-based technical classification using trend, breadth, persistence, relative strength and path quality.
Evidence balance
Wait
Five-pillar map
Trend
39
Breadth
61
Persistence
26
Relative
58
Risk quality
80
What supports the view
- Participation is broad enough to support the index move.
- Medium-term relative returns and peer standing remain constructive.
What restrains conviction
- Index trend architecture has not delivered a durable upward expansion.
- Constituent persistence remains divided or predominantly negative.
- The current 13-week parent-relative trend is weakening.
- Stage 4 declining constituents exceed Stage 2 advancing constituents by 65 percentage points.
- The index is extended well above current Fair Value, increasing chase risk.
This is a weekly research classification, not personal investment advice. Sentiment is reported as an independent confirmation layer and does not alter the technical score.
Trend state and durability
Architecture, persistence and constituent regimes
The index path is tested against the underlying security-level trend evidence.
The Activity Lines, Trend Line and price acceptance remain genuinely mixed.
State age2 weeks
Trend gateDown
Fan width5.37%
Fast versus slow change5.49 pts
Above 0%
Below 17%
Six completed weeks of price acceptance relative to the full Activity Line fan.
Index persistence
50% agreement
Positive regime, shorter trend weakening
The long trend remains positive, but the 13-week horizon has turned against it.
13-week
-7.0%
26-week
-10.9%
39-week
7.5%
52-week
6.6%
Constituent trend persistence
100% coverage
Is the index move broadly durable?
36%positive
Coherent positive4%
Coherent negative40%
Average horizon agreement79%
Positive horizon share27%
Weakening positives16
Repairing negatives7
55 constituents measured as of 28 Aug 2026. Median trend age is 14 weeks.
Custom stage map
98% coverage
Where constituents sit in the cycle
78%Stage 4
Stage 1 · Basing2%1 securities
Stage 2 · Advancing13%7 securities
Stage 3 · Distribution7%4 securities
Stage 4 · Declining78%42 securities
Re-acceleration watch0
Transition watch8
Relative strength leaders9%
Fair Value repairs1
Measured as of 28 Aug 2026. Stages summarize price, Activity Line architecture, Fair Value position and relative evidence.
Architecture breadth
73/100 mean confidence
How market energy is distributed
Architecture breadth shows the distribution of expanding, rotating, balancing and contracting securities. It is diagnostic context and is not added as a second vote in the positioning score.
Capital rotation
Performance relative to Consumer Cyclical
Relative index
13-week relative trend
Starting level
A rising relative line means this group is compounding faster than Consumer Cyclical. A falling line means capital has done better in the parent benchmark.
Relative index105.0
13-week trend106.7
4-week trend change0.06%
Weekly peer rank10 of 16
1 week
-0.1 pts
relative
4 weeks
1.0 pts
relative
13 weeks
-1.1 pts
relative
26 weeks
6.0 pts
relative
52 weeks
13.9 pts
relative
Market internals
Participation, dispersion and path risk
Equal-weight index evidence with constituent-level breadth and dispersion.
Breadth
Broad
Participation quality
78%
advanced
- Advancing
- 43
- Declining
- 12
- Unchanged
- 0
Risk and persistence
52-week lens
Path quality
Annualised weekly volatility22.6%
Drawdown from 52-week high-13.3%
Positive weeks, last 1354%
Current directional run1 week
Turnover versus 13-week norm120%
Breadth impulse36.2 pts
Cross-section
55 measured
Return distribution
Q1 0.9%
Median 2.4%
Q3 3.6%
Average winner3.5%
Average loser-2.8%
Dispersion3.5 pts
Top-five upside share29%
Top-five capital share36%
Capital data coverage100%
Dispersion describes how far constituent outcomes are spreading apart. Capital concentration is contextual only; the index itself is equal weighted.
Momentum cycle
30-week persistence
Positive readings show expansion. Negative readings show contraction.
Breadth cycle
Net participation
Advancers less decliners as a percentage of measured constituents.
News and narrative
Does company news confirm the market tape?
Sentiment evidence is still developing
Qualified company-level news coverage is not yet broad enough to influence the group view.
0 qualified records across 55 measured constituents.Leadership tape
Leaders, laggards and contribution shape
Latest completed week, ranked on uncapped constituent returns.
Constituent ledger
Industry constituents
All 55 measured constituents, ranked by latest weekly return.
Rank
Ticker
Company
Exchange
Market cap
Close
Index contribution
Return
The index uses capped equal-weight weekly constituent returns. The ledger shows uncapped security returns so outliers remain visible for research.