BFG NZE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Burger Fuel Group Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

Latest close 0.32 NZD
-8.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 33.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.6%, after a -3.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100.

Setup score 47 out of 100
Latest Close 0.32 NZD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -8.6% latest completed week
4W Return -3.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 1.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 26.9% 14 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 33.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.6%, after a -3.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3112-week average 0.18

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.31Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -3.0% over four weeks, 1.6% over 12 weeks, and 3.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-8.6%
4W-3.0%
12W1.6%
26W-4.5%
52W3.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year14
Trend breadth26.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.86Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change486.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-6.56Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-81.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 13 relevant articles.

1 positive · 12 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-11.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher8 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.5%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-8.6%Week of 7 Aug.
Latest week-8.6%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains5
Flat weeks8
Modest losses7
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/18Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.5% / -3.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryNZ Restaurants
4-week rank2 / 3
Group average-1.1%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD33.3%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20260.32 NZD-8.6%0.33 NZD0.31 NZD0.86-6.568.7KOff
31 Jul 20260.35 NZD0.0%0.33 NZD0.32 NZD0.993.058.4KOff
24 Jul 20260.35 NZD0.0%0.33 NZD0.32 NZD0.752.4815.9KOff
17 Jul 20260.35 NZD6.1%0.33 NZD0.32 NZD0.453.0011.1KOff
10 Jul 20260.33 NZD1.5%0.33 NZD0.32 NZD0.15-3.618.2KOff
3 Jul 20260.33 NZD-1.5%0.33 NZD0.32 NZD-0.17-4.090Off
26 Jun 20260.33 NZD0.0%0.33 NZD0.32 NZD-0.37-1.9443Off
19 Jun 20260.33 NZD1.5%0.33 NZD0.32 NZD-0.69-2.016.0KOff
12 Jun 20260.33 NZD0.0%0.33 NZD0.32 NZD-0.96-2.72106Off
5 Jun 20260.33 NZD4.8%0.33 NZD0.32 NZD-1.07-1.135.0KOff
29 May 20260.31 NZD0.0%0.33 NZD0.32 NZD-1.19-6.285.2KOff
22 May 20260.31 NZD-1.6%0.33 NZD0.32 NZD-0.97-4.8615.1KOff
15 May 20260.32 NZD-1.6%0.33 NZD0.32 NZD-0.88-3.4812.2KOff
8 May 20260.32 NZD-4.5%0.33 NZD0.32 NZD-0.69-3.742.4KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context