Composite setup radar
38
Risk-first tape
Latest Close
45,068 ZAC
12 Jun 2026
1W Return
-5.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
-7.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
0.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
46.2%
24 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
Company Brief
What the company does
Nampak Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of packaging products in South Africa and rest of Africa. The company offers beverage, food, and aerosol cans; and other metal packaging products. It also provides date/batch, small character ink jet, and large character ink jet coding; laser coding technologies; thermal transfer overprinting; thermal inkjet printing; marking, addressing, barcoding, and labelling solutions; metal detection; X-ray inspection; package integrity inspection/pressure or vacuum loss detection; and fume extraction systems. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Sandton, South Africa.
Snapshot
What the weekly tape is saying
NPK closed the latest completed week at 45,068 ZAC. The 4-week return is -7.1% and the 12-week return is 0.2%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is 0.27. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 38/100 composite read.
Trend Signal
Inactive
Market Dynamics
No fresh buy
Price vs Trend
-9.8%
Volume
0.9x
Setup Cockpit
A compressed read of the whole setup
The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.
Scoreboard
Trend
25
Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum
34
Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics
74
Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength
13
Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume
38
Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control
45
Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.
16-week signal tape
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
Weekly return bar
Trend Signal dot
Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action
Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value
Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.
52-week price path
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
Price map
- Trend Line
- 49,962 ZAC
- Vs Trend Line
- -9.8%
- Fair Value
- 36,283 ZAC
- Vs Fair Value
- 24.2%
- 52W High
- 57,000 ZAC
- 52W Low
- 42,000 ZAC
- Drawdown
- -20.9%
- Range Position
- 20.5%
Momentum
Returns and trend persistence
Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.
Return windows
Trend read
- Active Streak
- 0 weeks
- 52W Active Weeks
- 24
- 52W Active Breadth
- 46.2%
- Sector Scope
- ZA Consumer Cyclical
- Sector Rank
- 34 of 35
- Sector Percentile
- 2.9%
Peer Context
Sector and industry pulse
Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.
ZA Consumer Cyclical
- Tracked Peers
- 35
- 4W Rank
- 32 of 35
- Avg 1W
- 0.3%
- Avg 4W
- 277.1%
- Trend Breadth
- 22.9%
- Positive MD
- 54.3%
ZA Packaging & Containers
- Tracked Peers
- 4
- 4W Rank
- 4 of 4
- Avg 1W
- -2.7%
- Avg 4W
- -1.3%
- Trend Breadth
- 0.0%
- Positive RS
- 25.0%
Market Dynamics
Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation
Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.
Dynamics path
Market Dynamics
Relative Strength
Signal state
- Market Dynamics
- 0.27
- 4W MD Change
- 242.3%
- Relative Strength
- -10.85
- 4W RS Change
- -53.5%
- Expectation
- Undecided
- Probability
- 51.06%
Volume
Participation and confirmation
Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.
52-week volume profile
Volume map
- Latest Volume
- 18.8K
- 13W Average
- 20.7K
- 52W Average
- 29.4K
- Vs 13W
- 0.9x
- Vs 52W
- 0.6x
Risk Anatomy
Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape
A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.
26-week return distribution
Risk map
- 13W Volatility
- 2.2%
- 52W Volatility
- 2.9%
- Upside Weeks
- 24
- Downside Weeks
- 28
- Downside Breadth
- 53.8%
- Avg Gain / Loss
- 2.0% / -2.1%
Context
Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points
Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.
Classification
- Exchange
- JNB
- Country
- ZA
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Packaging & Containers
- Currency
- ZAC
- Market Cap
- 4.0B
Opportunity signals
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Market Dynamics is positive on the latest completed week.
Risk signals
- Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- The latest week was a sharp negative move.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
Watch next
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape
Recent completed weeks
The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend | Fair Value | MD | RS | Volume | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2026 | 45,068 ZAC | -5.1% | 49,962 ZAC | 36,283 ZAC | 0.27 | -10.85 | 18.8K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 47,500 ZAC | -1.9% | 50,128 ZAC | 36,079 ZAC | 0.32 | -5.36 | 84.0K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 48,400 ZAC | 1.0% | 50,204 ZAC | 35,861 ZAC | 0.18 | -6.78 | 37.8K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 47,900 ZAC | -1.2% | 50,194 ZAC | 35,630 ZAC | -0.02 | -6.96 | 19.6K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 48,500 ZAC | -2.0% | 50,125 ZAC | 35,416 ZAC | -0.19 | -7.07 | 14.7K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 49,465 ZAC | 0.2% | 50,018 ZAC | 35,180 ZAC | -0.41 | -8.09 | 12.6K | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 49,350 ZAC | 0.6% | 49,886 ZAC | 34,952 ZAC | -0.65 | -6.27 | 14.7K | Off |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 49,035 ZAC | 2.6% | 49,769 ZAC | 34,733 ZAC | -0.90 | -8.08 | 11.7K | Off |
| 17 Apr 2026 | 47,800 ZAC | 1.3% | 49,625 ZAC | 34,523 ZAC | -1.12 | -14.00 | 4.4K | Off |
| 10 Apr 2026 | 47,200 ZAC | 1.5% | 49,598 ZAC | 34,324 ZAC | -1.23 | -13.73 | 7.5K | Off |
| 3 Apr 2026 | 46,500 ZAC | 3.6% | 49,563 ZAC | 34,130 ZAC | -1.31 | -13.10 | 6.1K | Off |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 44,900 ZAC | -0.2% | 49,560 ZAC | 33,946 ZAC | -1.31 | -13.07 | 14.5K | Off |
| 20 Mar 2026 | 45,000 ZAC | -2.3% | 49,653 ZAC | 33,767 ZAC | -1.24 | -11.74 | 22.7K | Off |
| 13 Mar 2026 | 46,050 ZAC | -6.0% | 49,770 ZAC | 33,589 ZAC | -1.13 | -13.74 | 9.3K | Off |