3708 JPX Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Tokushu Tokai Paper Co., Ltd. · Basic Materials · Paper & Paper Products

Latest close 2,050 JPY
-1.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive trend

The weekly trend is active. Price is 17.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 83.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.7%, after a 5.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100.

Setup score 73 out of 100
Latest Close 2,050 JPY 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -1.7% latest completed week
4W Return 5.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 19.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 67-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 17.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 83.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.7%, after a 5.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9912-week average 0.83

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.99Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 5.0% over four weeks, 19.6% over 12 weeks, and 50.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 67 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.7%
4W5.0%
12W19.6%
26W27.4%
52W50.3%
Active trend streak67 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.57Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change37.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership5.19Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change232.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 11 relevant articles.

3 positive · 8 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-6.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.5%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-4.3%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-1.7%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains10
Flat weeks1
Modest losses10
Sharp losses1
Recent vol2.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.6% / -1.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20262,050 JPY-1.7%1,742 JPY1,313 JPY1.575.19356.2KOn
31 Jul 20262,086 JPY-1.9%1,728 JPY1,306 JPY1.599.01413.2KOn
24 Jul 20262,126 JPY3.7%1,710 JPY1,299 JPY1.4510.75287.3KOn
17 Jul 20262,050 JPY5.0%1,691 JPY1,292 JPY1.297.74342.6KOn
10 Jul 20261,953 JPY-0.3%1,674 JPY1,285 JPY1.15-3.93312.7KOn
3 Jul 20261,958 JPY5.5%1,659 JPY1,279 JPY1.02-5.5183.9KOn
26 Jun 20261,856 JPY0.9%1,642 JPY1,272 JPY0.89-10.1248.3KOn
19 Jun 20261,839 JPY1.4%1,630 JPY1,267 JPY0.91-13.5576.1KOn
12 Jun 20261,814 JPY2.4%1,617 JPY1,261 JPY0.86-8.3375.8KOn
5 Jun 20261,772 JPY-1.2%1,606 JPY1,256 JPY0.76-11.4333.7KOn
29 May 20261,794 JPY4.0%1,596 JPY1,251 JPY0.44-10.28309.2KOn
22 May 20261,725 JPY0.6%1,584 JPY1,246 JPY-0.05-9.87505.0KOn
15 May 20261,714 JPY4.8%1,578 JPY1,241 JPY-0.54-7.85419.9KOn
8 May 20261,636 JPY2.2%1,570 JPY1,235 JPY-0.95-14.05110.6KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context