- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
3878
JPX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Tomoegawa Corporation · Basic Materials · Paper & Paper Products
Latest close
858.0 JPY
3.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.0%, after a 11.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
47
out of 100
Latest Close
858.0 JPY
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
3.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
11.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-6.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
80.8%
42 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.7x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
3.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 11.7%.
Indicator stack
44/46
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.0%, after a 11.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3712-week average 0.57
12-week confirmation
Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.37Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 11.7% over four weeks, -6.3% over 12 weeks, and 24.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year42
Trend breadth80.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.49Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change57.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-11.21Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change56.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.5%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-6.0%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+3.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses4
Recent vol4.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.0% / -2.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorJP Basic Materials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average5.2%
Trend breadth48.0%
Trend48.0%active weekly trend signals
MD55.0%positive activity pressure
RS37.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryJP Paper & Paper Products
4-week rank2 / 19
Group average4.7%
Trend breadth36.8%
Trend36.8%active weekly trend signals
MD57.9%positive activity pressure
RS26.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape43/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 43/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis27/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.37; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 858.0 JPY | 3.0% | 832.2 JPY | 770.2 JPY | -0.49 | -11.21 | 191.0K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 833.0 JPY | -1.2% | 829.7 JPY | 768.7 JPY | -0.71 | -12.51 | 361.2K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 843.0 JPY | 13.5% | 827.2 JPY | 767.5 JPY | -0.89 | -12.25 | 1.5M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 743.0 JPY | -3.3% | 824.7 JPY | 766.5 JPY | -1.16 | -22.47 | 122.2K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 768.0 JPY | -2.4% | 825.7 JPY | 766.0 JPY | -1.15 | -25.54 | 142.3K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 787.0 JPY | -1.0% | 825.6 JPY | 765.3 JPY | -1.21 | -25.64 | 19.0K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 795.0 JPY | -2.3% | 824.7 JPY | 764.7 JPY | -1.18 | -25.09 | 15.4K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 814.0 JPY | 2.5% | 824.2 JPY | 763.8 JPY | -0.94 | -25.77 | 38.7K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 794.0 JPY | -4.3% | 821.7 JPY | 762.7 JPY | -0.62 | -22.42 | 13.5K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 830.0 JPY | -5.7% | 819.8 JPY | 761.6 JPY | -0.02 | -20.14 | 28.4K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 880.0 JPY | 1.9% | 816.9 JPY | 760.3 JPY | 0.37 | -15.54 | 220.1K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 864.0 JPY | -5.7% | 813.8 JPY | 758.7 JPY | 0.49 | -13.71 | 372.3K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 916.0 JPY | 1.0% | 811.6 JPY | 757.1 JPY | 0.54 | -6.09 | 794.4K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 907.0 JPY | 3.4% | 805.3 JPY | 755.3 JPY | 0.42 | -9.01 | 126.3K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.