- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
3861
JPX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Oji Holdings Corporation · Basic Materials · Paper & Paper Products
Latest close
885.9 JPY
0.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.7%, after a 8.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
56
out of 100
Latest Close
885.9 JPY
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
8.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
3.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
69.2%
36 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.6x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move 8.6%.
Indicator stack
38/77
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 58.74%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
1 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.7%, after a 8.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2112-week average 0.19
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.21Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 8.6% over four weeks, 3.4% over 12 weeks, and 19.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year36
Trend breadth69.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.71Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change182.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-11.76Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change50.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
0 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-8.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.1%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-9.3%Week of 22 May.
Latest week+0.7%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains1
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses2
Recent vol3.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.2% / -1.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorJP Basic Materials
4-week rank32 / 100
Group average5.2%
Trend breadth48.0%
Trend48.0%active weekly trend signals
MD55.0%positive activity pressure
RS37.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryJP Paper & Paper Products
4-week rank4 / 19
Group average4.7%
Trend breadth36.8%
Trend36.8%active weekly trend signals
MD57.9%positive activity pressure
RS26.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape53/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 53/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis16/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.21; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.74%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.74% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
Oji Holdings (TSE:3861) Looks Fairly Valued Following Its Return To Profit Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 885.9 JPY | 0.7% | 855.6 JPY | 658.5 JPY | 0.71 | -11.76 | 23.3M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 879.8 JPY | 2.2% | 855.2 JPY | 656.1 JPY | 0.37 | -11.15 | 23.6M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 860.9 JPY | 2.8% | 854.0 JPY | 653.7 JPY | -0.08 | -13.80 | 13.3M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 837.3 JPY | 2.6% | 853.4 JPY | 651.4 JPY | -0.52 | -15.98 | 14.6M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 816.1 JPY | 0.2% | 853.3 JPY | 649.1 JPY | -0.86 | -23.82 | 14.7M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 814.2 JPY | 3.1% | 853.1 JPY | 646.9 JPY | -1.17 | -25.87 | 4.2M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 789.4 JPY | -1.9% | 852.3 JPY | 644.7 JPY | -1.37 | -28.27 | 4.3M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 804.7 JPY | 1.7% | 852.8 JPY | 642.7 JPY | -1.37 | -29.30 | 11.5M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 791.0 JPY | 1.6% | 852.2 JPY | 640.8 JPY | -1.31 | -25.60 | 3.9M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 778.9 JPY | -0.4% | 851.9 JPY | 638.9 JPY | -1.01 | -27.83 | 4.0M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 782.2 JPY | 0.7% | 851.1 JPY | 637.1 JPY | -0.93 | -27.75 | 22.8M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 777.1 JPY | -9.3% | 850.4 JPY | 635.2 JPY | -0.95 | -25.32 | 29.3M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 857.0 JPY | 3.4% | 851.2 JPY | 633.3 JPY | -1.01 | -15.58 | 25.3M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 829.2 JPY | 0.5% | 848.4 JPY | 631.0 JPY | -1.16 | -20.28 | 9.5M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.