JPX Equity Snapshot

3861 Weekly Equity Report

Oji Holdings Corporation

Latest Close 791.0 JPY 12 Jun 2026
1W Return 1.6% latest completed week
4W Return -7.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return -7.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 84.6% 44 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Oji Holdings Corporation manufactures and sells pulp and paper products in Japan, China, rest of Asia, North and South America, Europe, Oceania, and internationally. The Household and Industrial Materials segment offers corrugated containers, containerboard, special paperboard, boxboards, packaging paper, liquid paper cartons, filters, folding cartons, kraft heavy-duty sacks, insulation, paper bags, paper cores, and plastic trays. This segment also provides facial tissues, toilet rolls, kitchen and hand towels, wet disinfecting wipes, masks, towels, incontinence aid products, nursing care products/disposable diapers, skincare products, products for professional use, and other nursing care products. Its Functional Materials segment …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

3861 closed the latest completed week at 791.0 JPY. The 4-week return is -7.7% and the 12-week return is -7.7%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -1.21. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 31/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Inactive
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend -7.2%
Volume 0.9x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 47 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 25 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 27 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 0 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 40 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 48 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
852.2 JPY
Vs Trend Line
-7.2%
Fair Value
640.8 JPY
Vs Fair Value
23.4%
52W High
970.2 JPY
52W Low
659.3 JPY
Drawdown
-18.5%
Range Position
42.4%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W 1.6%
4W -7.7%
12W -7.7%
26W -2.1%
52W 19.8%

Trend read

Active Streak
0 weeks
52W Active Weeks
44
52W Active Breadth
84.6%
Sector Scope
JP Basic Materials
Sector Rank
43 of 264
Sector Percentile
84.0%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-1.21
4W MD Change
-19.5%
Relative Strength
-25.60
4W RS Change
-64.3%
Expectation
Positive
Probability
57.58%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
19.7M
13W Average
20.9M
52W Average
20.6M
Vs 13W
0.9x
Vs 52W
1.0x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
2.9%
52W Volatility
2.8%
Upside Weeks
27
Downside Weeks
25
Downside Breadth
48.1%
Avg Gain / Loss
2.5% / -1.8%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
JPX
Country
JP
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Paper & Paper Products
Currency
JPY
Market Cap
672.7B

Opportunity signals

  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.

Risk signals

  • Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 791.0 JPY 1.6% 852.2 JPY 640.8 JPY -1.21 -25.60 19.7M Off
5 Jun 2026 778.9 JPY -0.4% 851.9 JPY 638.9 JPY -0.96 -27.83 20.1M Off
29 May 2026 782.2 JPY 0.7% 851.1 JPY 637.1 JPY -0.93 -27.75 22.8M Off
22 May 2026 777.1 JPY -9.3% 850.4 JPY 635.2 JPY -0.95 -25.32 29.3M Off
15 May 2026 857.0 JPY 3.4% 851.2 JPY 633.3 JPY -1.01 -15.58 25.3M Off
8 May 2026 829.2 JPY 0.5% 848.4 JPY 631.0 JPY -1.16 -20.28 9.5M Off
1 May 2026 824.7 JPY 0.3% 846.2 JPY 628.7 JPY -1.08 -16.80 15.3M Off
24 Apr 2026 822.2 JPY -2.4% 844.8 JPY 626.5 JPY -0.93 -17.65 19.7M Off
17 Apr 2026 842.1 JPY -0.8% 844.1 JPY 624.3 JPY -0.78 -14.28 20.8M On
10 Apr 2026 849.0 JPY -0.4% 842.3 JPY 621.9 JPY -0.71 -11.49 20.1M On
3 Apr 2026 852.5 JPY -0.1% 840.5 JPY 619.5 JPY -0.43 -4.99 24.1M On
27 Mar 2026 853.2 JPY -0.5% 838.9 JPY 617.1 JPY -0.08 -5.49 27.4M On
20 Mar 2026 857.2 JPY -3.6% 836.4 JPY 614.6 JPY 0.37 -5.10 17.3M On
13 Mar 2026 889.4 JPY -1.9% 833.6 JPY 612.1 JPY 0.87 -2.37 22.7M On