ARMT34 SAO Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

ArcelorMittal S.A. · Basic Materials · Steel

Latest close 185.6 BRL
3.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive trend

The weekly trend is active. Price is 18.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.9%, after a 10.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 42/100.

Setup score 83 out of 100
Latest Close 185.6 BRL 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 3.9% latest completed week
4W Return 10.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 21.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 4.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 94-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 18.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.9%, after a 10.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 4.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9112-week average 0.74

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.91Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 10.1% over four weeks, 21.4% over 12 weeks, and 111.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 94 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.9%
4W10.1%
12W21.4%
26W17.5%
52W111.7%
Active trend streak94 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.58Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change160.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership34.39Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change52.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment42/100

Weighted news tone is negative across 6 relevant articles.

1 positive · 4 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-8.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.6%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-15.2%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+3.9%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses2
Sharp losses7
Recent vol4.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split37/15Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.9% / -4.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026185.6 BRL3.9%156.4 BRL91.22 BRL0.5834.395.4KOn
31 Jul 2026178.6 BRL5.1%154.4 BRL90.44 BRL0.3626.632.9KOn
24 Jul 2026169.9 BRL0.1%152.6 BRL89.70 BRL0.2024.281.1KOn
17 Jul 2026169.7 BRL0.6%151.2 BRL89.02 BRL0.1425.28405On
10 Jul 2026168.7 BRL0.5%149.7 BRL88.34 BRL0.2222.531.4KOn
3 Jul 2026167.8 BRL8.5%148.2 BRL87.67 BRL0.3225.22116On
26 Jun 2026154.7 BRL-6.6%146.4 BRL86.99 BRL0.3417.13111On
19 Jun 2026165.6 BRL-7.1%145.1 BRL86.40 BRL0.4329.785On
12 Jun 2026178.4 BRL3.2%143.1 BRL85.73 BRL0.2939.0254On
5 Jun 2026172.8 BRL-2.7%140.6 BRL85.00 BRL-0.0637.92208On
29 May 2026177.5 BRL6.9%138.3 BRL84.30 BRL-0.3039.282.0KOn
22 May 2026166.0 BRL8.6%135.8 BRL83.57 BRL-0.5929.78857On
15 May 2026152.9 BRL1.8%133.7 BRL82.90 BRL-0.7019.88869On
8 May 2026150.2 BRL6.4%132.1 BRL82.33 BRL-0.6114.15810On
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context