- The trend backdrop is active with a 7-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
SIO
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Simonds Group Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
Latest close
0.14 AUD
-6.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 5.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 60.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.5%, after a 7.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100.
Setup score
54
out of 100
Latest Close
0.14 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-6.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
7.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
3.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
15.4%
8 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
3.2x
vs 13-week average
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 36.27% based on similar historical setup states.
- The latest week was a sharp negative move.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-6.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move 7.4%.
Indicator stack
33/75
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 36.27%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
54/100
14 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 5.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 60.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.5%, after a 7.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 3.2x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.5312-week average 0.37
12-week confirmation
Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.53Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 7.4% over four weeks, 3.6% over 12 weeks, and 3.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 7 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak7 weeks
Active weeks in one year8
Trend breadth15.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.16Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change46.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-2.32Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change46.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025
Field coverage 24%
Model confidence 12%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength18/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Value29/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Quality28/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
Momentum29/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Growth29/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- - Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- - Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- - Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- - Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- - Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 0/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- - Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment54/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.
3 positive · 11 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-17.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher10 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.8%Week of 20 Feb.
Worst week-18.2%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week-6.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains2
Flat weeks7
Modest losses2
Sharp losses7
Recent vol6.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/16Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.5% / -8.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank30 / 91
Group average3.9%
Trend breadth19.8%
Trend19.8%active weekly trend signals
MD71.4%positive activity pressure
RS25.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Residential Construction
4-week rank2 / 2
Group average7.7%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape50/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 50/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis64/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 5/12.
Activity pressure 0.53; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 36.27%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 36.27% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors25/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 45; Small Cap Core rank 69 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment54/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.
Enterprise value to revenue forward of Simonds Group Ltd. – ASX:SIO Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.14 AUD | -6.5% | 0.14 AUD | 0.16 AUD | 1.16 | -2.32 | 272.5K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.15 AUD | 10.7% | 0.14 AUD | 0.16 AUD | 0.95 | 7.72 | 87.1K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.14 AUD | -6.7% | 0.14 AUD | 0.16 AUD | 0.70 | -0.37 | 186.1K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.15 AUD | 11.1% | 0.14 AUD | 0.16 AUD | 0.87 | 6.27 | 145.2K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.14 AUD | 0.0% | 0.14 AUD | 0.16 AUD | 0.79 | -4.33 | 0 | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.14 AUD | -10.0% | 0.14 AUD | 0.16 AUD | 1.02 | -4.86 | 0 | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 0.15 AUD | 7.1% | 0.14 AUD | 0.16 AUD | 1.17 | 6.55 | 80.8K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 0.14 AUD | -3.4% | 0.14 AUD | 0.16 AUD | 0.75 | -1.34 | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 0.14 AUD | 3.6% | 0.13 AUD | 0.16 AUD | 0.56 | 2.33 | 0 | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 0.14 AUD | 7.7% | 0.13 AUD | 0.16 AUD | 0.30 | 0.79 | 300.7K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 0.13 AUD | -7.1% | 0.14 AUD | 0.16 AUD | 0.05 | -7.64 | 5.0K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 0.14 AUD | 0.0% | 0.14 AUD | 0.16 AUD | 0.12 | -0.03 | 7.1K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 0.14 AUD | 0.0% | 0.14 AUD | 0.16 AUD | -0.03 | -0.07 | 23.0K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 0.14 AUD | 3.7% | 0.14 AUD | 0.16 AUD | -0.08 | -1.65 | 27.1K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.