- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
1117
HKG
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd. · Consumer Defensive · Farm Products
Latest close
1.48 HKD
-0.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 11.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 68.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.3%, after a 43.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 57/100.
Setup score
63
out of 100
Latest Close
1.48 HKD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-0.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
43.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
18.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
69.2%
36 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
3.4x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 41.01% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-0.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move 43.2%.
Indicator stack
38/74
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 41.01%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
57/100
14 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 11.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 68.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.3%, after a 43.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 3.4x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0912-week average 0.12
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.09Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 43.2% over four weeks, 18.0% over 12 weeks, and 29.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year36
Trend breadth69.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.67Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change145.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership11.78Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change171.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment57/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.
6 positive · 8 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher10 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.5%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-8.8%Week of 22 May.
Latest week-0.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains5
Flat weeks2
Modest losses7
Sharp losses7
Recent vol7.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.6% / -3.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorHK Consumer Defensive
4-week rank2 / 100
Group average2.8%
Trend breadth8.0%
Trend8.0%active weekly trend signals
MD36.0%positive activity pressure
RS18.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryHK Farm Products
4-week rank1 / 15
Group average4.9%
Trend breadth20.0%
Trend20.0%active weekly trend signals
MD40.0%positive activity pressure
RS40.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape56/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 56/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis15/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 2/12.
Activity pressure 0.09; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 41.01%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.01% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment57/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.
China Modern Dairy Says Director Unaffected by Redco Disciplinary Action Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 1.48 HKD | -0.3% | 1.32 HKD | 0.99 HKD | 0.67 | 11.78 | 325.5M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1.48 HKD | 16.5% | 1.33 HKD | 0.99 HKD | -0.05 | 11.71 | 190.6M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1.27 HKD | 11.4% | 1.33 HKD | 0.98 HKD | -0.78 | -0.25 | 97.0M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 1.14 HKD | 10.7% | 1.34 HKD | 0.98 HKD | -1.28 | -8.95 | 56.6M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1.03 HKD | 2.0% | 1.35 HKD | 0.98 HKD | -1.47 | -16.50 | 66.2M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 1.01 HKD | 1.0% | 1.36 HKD | 0.98 HKD | -1.52 | -15.42 | 17.9M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 1.00 HKD | 0.0% | 1.38 HKD | 0.98 HKD | -1.55 | -13.74 | 24.7M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 1.00 HKD | -8.3% | 1.39 HKD | 0.98 HKD | -1.51 | -18.19 | 77.8M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 1.09 HKD | -0.9% | 1.39 HKD | 0.97 HKD | -1.44 | -13.78 | 4.8M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 1.10 HKD | -3.5% | 1.40 HKD | 0.97 HKD | -1.31 | -13.91 | 5.7M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 1.14 HKD | 0.0% | 1.40 HKD | 0.97 HKD | -1.19 | -11.74 | 78.2M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 1.14 HKD | -8.8% | 1.41 HKD | 0.97 HKD | -1.20 | -13.22 | 163.3M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 1.25 HKD | -8.1% | 1.41 HKD | 0.97 HKD | -1.22 | -6.10 | 137.7M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 1.36 HKD | 3.8% | 1.41 HKD | 0.97 HKD | -1.23 | 0.68 | 40.4M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.