RAIL3 SAO Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Rumo S.A. · Industrials · Railroads

Latest close 13.59 BRL
-5.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 27.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.9%, after a -5.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 35 out of 100
Latest Close 13.59 BRL 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -5.9% latest completed week
4W Return -5.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -9.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 23.1% 12 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 27.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.9%, after a -5.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0612-week average 0.20

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.06Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -5.4% over four weeks, -9.2% over 12 weeks, and -10.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-5.9%
4W-5.4%
12W-9.2%
26W-10.3%
52W-10.8%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year12
Trend breadth23.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.33Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change68.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-13.29Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change6.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.

0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-21.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.0%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-11.6%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-5.9%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses7
Recent vol5.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.9% / -3.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202613.59 BRL-5.9%14.88 BRL18.01 BRL-0.33-13.2963.0MOff
31 Jul 202614.44 BRL6.4%14.91 BRL18.06 BRL-0.40-11.3354.4MOff
24 Jul 202613.57 BRL-0.9%14.92 BRL18.11 BRL-0.69-15.5151.7MOff
17 Jul 202613.70 BRL-4.6%14.96 BRL18.16 BRL-0.85-15.3528.5MOff
10 Jul 202614.36 BRL5.4%14.98 BRL18.22 BRL-1.04-14.1453.8MOff
3 Jul 202613.63 BRL-0.4%15.02 BRL18.26 BRL-1.28-17.564.2MOff
26 Jun 202613.69 BRL10.0%15.10 BRL18.31 BRL-1.34-17.619.4MOff
19 Jun 202612.45 BRL-6.8%15.20 BRL18.36 BRL-1.36-23.7616.1MOff
12 Jun 202613.36 BRL-4.2%15.30 BRL18.41 BRL-1.21-20.305.6MOff
5 Jun 202613.94 BRL1.6%15.40 BRL18.46 BRL-0.91-16.696.5MOff
29 May 202613.72 BRL-3.4%15.45 BRL18.51 BRL-0.21-21.0456.3MOff
22 May 202614.21 BRL-5.1%15.52 BRL18.56 BRL0.16-20.1374.2MOff
15 May 202614.97 BRL-11.6%15.56 BRL18.59 BRL0.57-17.0784.1MOn
8 May 202616.93 BRL7.6%15.57 BRL18.63 BRL0.96-10.3777.3MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context