SAO Equity Snapshot

RAIL3 Weekly Equity Report

Rumo S.A.

Latest Close 13.36 BRL 12 Jun 2026
1W Return -4.2% latest completed week
4W Return -10.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return -16.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 32.7% 17 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Rumo S.A., through its subsidiaries, engages in the rail logistics operation. The company operates through North Operations, South Operations, and Container Operations segments. The North Operations segment is involved in the railway, highway, and transshipment operations. The South Operations segment comprises of rail and transhipment operations in the area of Rumo Malha Sul and Rumo Malha Oeste concessions. The Container Operations segment engages in the rail and road transport, and container logistics and operations. It offers logistics services primarily for exporting commodities, including integrated solution for transportation, movement, storage, and shipment from the production centers …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

RAIL3 closed the latest completed week at 13.36 BRL. The 4-week return is -10.8% and the 12-week return is -16.5%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -1.11. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 17/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Inactive
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend -12.7%
Volume 1.2x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 18 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 10 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 6 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 0 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 50 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 18 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
15.30 BRL
Vs Trend Line
-12.7%
Fair Value
18.41 BRL
Vs Fair Value
-27.4%
52W High
18.82 BRL
52W Low
13.13 BRL
Drawdown
-29.0%
Range Position
4.0%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W -4.2%
4W -10.8%
12W -16.5%
26W -14.8%
52W -26.6%

Trend read

Active Streak
0 weeks
52W Active Weeks
17
52W Active Breadth
32.7%
Sector Scope
BR Industrials
Sector Rank
105 of 115
Sector Percentile
8.8%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-1.11
4W MD Change
-294.8%
Relative Strength
-20.30
4W RS Change
-18.9%
Expectation
Undecided
Probability
49.12%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
74.2M
13W Average
62.9M
52W Average
65.0M
Vs 13W
1.2x
Vs 52W
1.1x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
4.5%
52W Volatility
4.5%
Upside Weeks
24
Downside Weeks
28
Downside Breadth
53.8%
Avg Gain / Loss
3.3% / -3.8%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
SAO
Country
BR
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Railroads
Currency
BRL
Market Cap
26.0B

Opportunity signals

  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and Market Dynamics.

Risk signals

  • Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 13.36 BRL -4.2% 15.30 BRL 18.41 BRL -1.11 -20.30 74.2M Off
5 Jun 2026 13.94 BRL 1.6% 15.40 BRL 18.46 BRL -0.90 -16.69 37.9M Off
29 May 2026 13.72 BRL -3.4% 15.45 BRL 18.51 BRL -0.21 -21.04 56.3M Off
22 May 2026 14.21 BRL -5.1% 15.52 BRL 18.56 BRL 0.16 -20.13 74.2M Off
15 May 2026 14.97 BRL -11.6% 15.56 BRL 18.59 BRL 0.57 -17.07 84.1M On
8 May 2026 16.93 BRL 7.6% 15.57 BRL 18.63 BRL 0.96 -10.37 77.3M On
1 May 2026 15.73 BRL 0.1% 15.52 BRL 18.64 BRL 0.92 -18.64 31.5M On
24 Apr 2026 15.71 BRL -4.4% 15.52 BRL 18.67 BRL 1.10 -20.97 56.6M On
17 Apr 2026 16.43 BRL 0.7% 15.50 BRL 18.69 BRL 1.14 -20.26 115.1M On
10 Apr 2026 16.32 BRL 2.0% 15.44 BRL 18.70 BRL 1.00 -22.25 71.4M On
3 Apr 2026 15.99 BRL 2.4% 15.38 BRL 18.71 BRL 0.88 -20.77 44.7M On
27 Mar 2026 15.62 BRL -2.4% 15.34 BRL 18.73 BRL 0.67 -20.43 49.1M On
20 Mar 2026 16.01 BRL -0.9% 15.30 BRL 18.74 BRL 0.60 -16.53 45.0M On
13 Mar 2026 16.15 BRL 5.0% 15.26 BRL 18.75 BRL 0.47 -17.03 64.3M On