- The trend backdrop is active with a 23-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
CPRL34
SAO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited · Industrials · Railroads
Latest close
115.3 BRL
2.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 91.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.8%, after a 1.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 59/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
63
out of 100
Latest Close
115.3 BRL
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
2.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
1.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
9.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
44.2%
23 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 40.69% based on similar historical setup states.
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
2.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move 1.2%.
Indicator stack
69/68
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 40.69%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
59/100
18 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 91.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.8%, after a 1.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9512-week average 0.67
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.95Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 1.2% over four weeks, 9.7% over 12 weeks, and 10.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 23 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak23 weeks
Active weeks in one year23
Trend breadth44.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.05Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-11.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership6.65Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change1213.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment59/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 18 relevant articles.
6 positive · 11 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 267 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.5%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-4.7%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week+2.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains9
Flat weeks7
Modest losses4
Sharp losses3
Recent vol2.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/16Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.7% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorBR Industrials
4-week rank37 / 100
Group average-0.9%
Trend breadth32.0%
Trend32.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS45.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryBR Railroads
4-week rank2 / 3
Group average-0.6%
Trend breadth66.7%
Trend66.7%active weekly trend signals
MD66.7%positive activity pressure
RS66.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape64/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 64/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis82/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 10/12.
Activity pressure 0.95; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 40.69%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 40.69% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment59/100Weighted news tone is positive across 18 relevant articles.
Will Canadian Pacific Kansas City stock extend gains as immediate support reinforces the floor? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 115.3 BRL | 2.8% | 107.2 BRL | 104.7 BRL | 1.05 | 6.65 | 11 | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 112.2 BRL | -4.1% | 106.7 BRL | 104.6 BRL | 1.17 | 0.26 | 99 | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 117.0 BRL | 1.5% | 106.4 BRL | 104.5 BRL | 1.27 | 6.36 | 20 | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 115.3 BRL | 1.2% | 105.9 BRL | 104.4 BRL | 1.25 | 4.64 | 2 | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 114.0 BRL | 1.2% | 105.4 BRL | 104.2 BRL | 1.19 | 0.51 | 1 | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 112.7 BRL | 0.1% | 105.0 BRL | 104.1 BRL | 0.97 | 0.89 | 18 | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 112.5 BRL | 0.2% | 104.3 BRL | 104.0 BRL | 0.79 | 0.91 | 0 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 112.3 BRL | -0.8% | 103.6 BRL | 103.9 BRL | 0.60 | 3.18 | 0 | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 113.2 BRL | 0.0% | 103.0 BRL | 103.7 BRL | 0.34 | 2.02 | 0 | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 113.2 BRL | 0.0% | 102.3 BRL | 103.6 BRL | 0.21 | 2.83 | 0 | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 113.2 BRL | 4.0% | 101.7 BRL | 103.5 BRL | 0.08 | -0.51 | 14 | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 108.8 BRL | 3.6% | 101.2 BRL | 103.4 BRL | -0.07 | -6.19 | 25 | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 105.1 BRL | 0.0% | 100.9 BRL | 103.3 BRL | 0.03 | -10.34 | 0 | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 105.1 BRL | 3.2% | 100.9 BRL | 103.3 BRL | 0.05 | -14.05 | 35 | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.