GFSA3 SAO Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Gafisa S.A. · Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction

Latest close 0.23 BRL
-14.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -86.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -14.8%, after a -63.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 27 out of 100
Latest Close 0.23 BRL 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -14.8% latest completed week
4W Return -63.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return -81.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 31.21% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -86.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -14.8%, after a -63.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0112-week average 0.01

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.01Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -63.5% over four weeks, -81.3% over 12 weeks, and -98.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-14.8%
4W-63.5%
12W-81.3%
26W-93.7%
52W-98.5%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.75Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-31.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-95.30Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-5.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.

0 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-98.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility15.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher5 of 2621 weeks finished lower.
Best week+17.5%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-37.0%Week of 10 Jul.
Latest week-14.8%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses18
Recent vol15.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split11/41Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.8% / -10.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryBR Residential Construction
4-week rank2 / 2
Group average-34.8%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20260.23 BRL-14.8%1.70 BRL47.44 BRL0.75-95.3038.5MOff
31 Jul 20260.27 BRL-22.9%1.86 BRL48.04 BRL0.86-95.0320.9MOff
24 Jul 20260.35 BRL-14.6%2.01 BRL48.69 BRL0.98-93.8542.7MOff
17 Jul 20260.41 BRL-34.9%2.17 BRL49.31 BRL1.04-93.2635.6MOff
10 Jul 20260.63 BRL-37.0%2.33 BRL49.91 BRL1.09-90.5724.6MOff
3 Jul 20261.00 BRL-20.6%2.49 BRL50.53 BRL0.96-85.763.2MOff
26 Jun 20261.26 BRL4.1%2.62 BRL51.22 BRL0.76-83.002.1MOff
19 Jun 20261.21 BRL17.5%2.74 BRL51.97 BRL0.58-84.233.8MOff
12 Jun 20261.03 BRL2.0%2.88 BRL52.78 BRL0.33-87.65992.9KOff
5 Jun 20261.01 BRL-10.6%3.03 BRL53.56 BRL0.20-88.52824.6KOff
29 May 20261.13 BRL-1.7%3.20 BRL54.31 BRL0.18-88.272.1MOff
22 May 20261.15 BRL-6.5%3.38 BRL54.87 BRL0.13-88.893.3MOff
15 May 20261.23 BRL-1.6%3.58 BRL55.46 BRL0.07-88.824.2MOff
8 May 20261.25 BRL-10.1%3.74 BRL56.06 BRL0.09-89.648.6MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context