- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.73% based on similar historical setup states.
BKNG34
SAO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Booking Holdings Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services
Latest close
6.20 BRL
11.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 18.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 65.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 11.9%, after a 19.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
54
out of 100
Latest Close
6.20 BRL
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
11.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
19.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
39.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
15.4%
8 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
11.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 19.2%.
Indicator stack
8/69
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.73%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
56/100
6 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 18.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 65.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 11.9%, after a 19.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2312-week average 0.12
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.23Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 19.2% over four weeks, 39.0% over 12 weeks, and -6.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year8
Trend breadth15.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.00Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change13.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership2.07Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change110.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment56/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.
5 positive · 0 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-13.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.7%Week of 6 Mar.
Worst week-8.7%Week of 1 May.
Latest week+11.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains9
Modest gains3
Flat weeks1
Modest losses7
Sharp losses6
Recent vol5.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.7% / -3.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorBR Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank3 / 100
Group average0.4%
Trend breadth23.0%
Trend23.0%active weekly trend signals
MD56.0%positive activity pressure
RS29.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryBR Travel Services
4-week rank2 / 9
Group average9.6%
Trend breadth22.2%
Trend22.2%active weekly trend signals
MD88.9%positive activity pressure
RS44.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape46/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 46/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis33/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 1/12.
Activity pressure 0.23; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.73%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.73% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment56/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.
Agoda Reveals Highest Growth in Taiwan Travel Interest from Filipino Travelers in 2026 Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 6.20 BRL | 11.9% | 5.21 BRL | 5.34 BRL | 1.00 | 2.07 | 381.9K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 5.54 BRL | 7.4% | 5.23 BRL | 5.33 BRL | 0.82 | -12.23 | 353.8K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 5.16 BRL | -3.0% | 5.26 BRL | 5.31 BRL | 0.81 | -17.29 | 283.5K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 5.32 BRL | 2.3% | 5.32 BRL | 5.30 BRL | 1.02 | -15.64 | 220.6K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 5.20 BRL | -7.1% | 5.37 BRL | 5.29 BRL | 0.88 | -20.47 | 363.8K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 5.60 BRL | 4.3% | 5.42 BRL | 5.27 BRL | 0.62 | -13.66 | 9.4K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 5.37 BRL | 5.3% | 5.45 BRL | 5.26 BRL | 0.39 | -17.45 | 1.7M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 5.10 BRL | 6.7% | 5.47 BRL | 5.24 BRL | 0.13 | -20.26 | 3.8K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4.78 BRL | -2.6% | 5.49 BRL | 5.22 BRL | 0.11 | -27.06 | 49.7K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 4.91 BRL | -0.6% | 5.54 BRL | 5.21 BRL | 0.10 | -24.88 | 143.2K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 4.94 BRL | 5.8% | 5.58 BRL | 5.20 BRL | 0.04 | -27.32 | 481.1K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 4.67 BRL | 4.7% | 5.62 BRL | 5.19 BRL | -0.14 | -33.02 | 1.1M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 4.46 BRL | -3.7% | 5.67 BRL | 5.18 BRL | -0.30 | -37.14 | 537.8K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 4.63 BRL | -1.3% | 5.74 BRL | 5.17 BRL | -0.28 | -37.86 | 1.6M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.