- The trend backdrop is active with a 1-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
EXGR34
SAO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Expedia Group, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services
Latest close
791.3 BRL
5.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 23.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 90.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.7%, after a 13.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
68
out of 100
Latest Close
791.3 BRL
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
5.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
13.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
43.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
48.1%
25 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.9x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.06% based on similar historical setup states.
- 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
5.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move 13.8%.
Indicator stack
30/80
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 42.06%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
51/100
18 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 23.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 90.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.7%, after a 13.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.9x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.5712-week average 0.23
12-week confirmation
Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership7/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.57Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 13.8% over four weeks, 43.1% over 12 weeks, and 50.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 1 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak1 weeks
Active weeks in one year25
Trend breadth48.1%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.40Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change65.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership17.75Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change1631.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment51/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 18 relevant articles.
4 positive · 11 neutral · 3 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.3%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-7.5%Week of 8 May.
Latest week+5.7%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains6
Flat weeks3
Modest losses5
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/18Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.6% / -3.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorBR Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank10 / 100
Group average0.4%
Trend breadth23.0%
Trend23.0%active weekly trend signals
MD56.0%positive activity pressure
RS29.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryBR Travel Services
4-week rank4 / 9
Group average9.6%
Trend breadth22.2%
Trend22.2%active weekly trend signals
MD88.9%positive activity pressure
RS44.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape60/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 60/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis42/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 7/12.
Activity pressure 0.57; 1 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.06%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.06% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment51/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 18 relevant articles.
Expedia Group Inc (EXPE) Shares Surge 4.7% -- What GF Score of 8 Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 791.3 BRL | 5.7% | 642.8 BRL | 482.1 BRL | 1.40 | 17.75 | 313 | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 748.9 BRL | 10.1% | 642.0 BRL | 478.9 BRL | 1.29 | 8.38 | 223 | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 680.0 BRL | -0.4% | 642.6 BRL | 475.9 BRL | 1.05 | 0.91 | 2 | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 682.5 BRL | -1.8% | 645.4 BRL | 473.3 BRL | 1.16 | 1.48 | 200 | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 695.1 BRL | 0.9% | 648.2 BRL | 470.7 BRL | 0.84 | 1.03 | 245 | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 689.0 BRL | 1.6% | 650.1 BRL | 468.0 BRL | 0.39 | 2.31 | 0 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 678.1 BRL | 7.7% | 650.7 BRL | 465.3 BRL | 0.08 | 1.60 | 135 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 629.4 BRL | 6.8% | 651.7 BRL | 462.4 BRL | -0.24 | -2.79 | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 589.3 BRL | 0.0% | 654.3 BRL | 459.9 BRL | -0.49 | -10.15 | 0 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 589.3 BRL | 2.3% | 658.2 BRL | 457.6 BRL | -0.54 | -9.03 | 3 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 576.0 BRL | 6.5% | 661.5 BRL | 455.3 BRL | -0.62 | -13.57 | 154 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 541.0 BRL | -2.2% | 661.9 BRL | 453.1 BRL | -0.69 | -19.98 | 31 | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 553.0 BRL | -3.2% | 663.5 BRL | 451.2 BRL | -0.58 | -18.79 | 94 | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 571.4 BRL | -7.5% | 665.0 BRL | 449.1 BRL | -0.56 | -19.30 | 45 | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.