5864 TWO Week ended 14 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Concord International Securities Co., Ltd · Financial Services · Capital Markets

Latest close 34.20 TWD
18.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 18.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 63.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 18.8%, after a 3.0% four-week move. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 53 out of 100
Latest Close 34.20 TWD 14 Aug 2026
1W Return 18.8% latest completed week
4W Return 3.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 15.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 90.4% 47 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 47-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 18.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 63.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 18.8%, after a 3.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug 14 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7912-week average 0.93

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.79Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 3.0% over four weeks, 15.7% over 12 weeks, and 202.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 47 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W18.8%
4W3.0%
12W15.7%
26W69.3%
52W202.6%
Active trend streak47 weeks
Active weeks in one year47
Trend breadth90.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.97Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-295.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership19.56Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-31.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment-

No current sentiment snapshot is stored.

Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-28.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility14.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+29.7%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-16.3%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week+18.8%Week of 14 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses2
Sharp losses10
Recent vol14.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.3% / -6.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
14 Aug 202634.20 TWD18.8%28.85 TWD15.79 TWD-0.9719.5620.5MOn
7 Aug 202628.80 TWD-5.6%28.23 TWD15.69 TWD-0.845.1921.7MOn
31 Jul 202630.50 TWD-7.0%27.72 TWD15.63 TWD-0.4514.7817.1MOn
24 Jul 202632.80 TWD-1.2%27.14 TWD15.55 TWD0.0822.8714.6MOn
17 Jul 202633.20 TWD-16.3%26.47 TWD15.45 TWD0.5028.4021.5MOn
10 Jul 202639.65 TWD-9.9%25.79 TWD15.37 TWD1.0145.7728.1MOn
3 Jul 202644.00 TWD11.3%24.92 TWD15.23 TWD1.3658.8635.8MOn
26 Jun 202639.52 TWD-9.5%23.90 TWD15.05 TWD1.6452.0740.1MOn
19 Jun 202643.66 TWD3.9%23.03 TWD14.91 TWD1.9463.3435.2MOn
12 Jun 202642.01 TWD-11.9%22.05 TWD14.73 TWD1.7867.8961.6MOn
5 Jun 202647.71 TWD24.5%21.13 TWD14.56 TWD1.4889.7874.5MOn
29 May 202638.32 TWD29.7%20.01 TWD14.33 TWD1.2756.6466.6MOn
22 May 202629.55 TWD9.9%19.19 TWD14.17 TWD0.8429.4824.8MOn
15 May 202626.88 TWD-13.5%18.63 TWD14.05 TWD0.6621.8342.2MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context