MS1 GER Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Marley Spoon Group SE · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Latest close 0.04 EUR
41.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -74.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 3.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 41.1%, after a 107.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 28 out of 100
Latest Close 0.04 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 41.1% latest completed week
4W Return 107.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return -83.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -74.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 3.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 41.1%, after a 107.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0312-week average 0.18

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.03Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 107.9% over four weeks, -83.4% over 12 weeks, and -90.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W41.1%
4W107.9%
12W-83.4%
26W-81.0%
52W-90.9%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.68Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change35.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-83.94Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change9.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 70% Model confidence 56%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength56/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 45; rank 1 is best.
Value51/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 50; rank 1 is best.
Quality50/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 51; rank 1 is best.
Momentum52/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 49; rank 1 is best.
Growth51/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 50; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
-
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
51.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-3.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-2.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-23.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-22.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
9.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 4 relevant articles.

1 positive · 3 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-92.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility45.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+115.8%Week of 17 Jul.
Worst week-71.5%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week+41.1%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains11
Modest gains1
Flat weeks0
Modest losses2
Sharp losses12
Recent vol45.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol26.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew18.3% / -15.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20260.04 EUR41.1%0.16 EUR1.52 EUR-0.68-83.9475.8KOff
31 Jul 20260.03 EUR-33.3%0.16 EUR1.58 EUR-0.70-88.69151.3KOff
24 Jul 20260.04 EUR2.4%0.17 EUR1.63 EUR-0.77-83.14141.6KOff
17 Jul 20260.04 EUR115.8%0.18 EUR1.68 EUR-0.86-83.77673.3KOff
10 Jul 20260.02 EUR-48.6%0.18 EUR1.74 EUR-1.05-92.7297.2KOff
3 Jul 20260.04 EUR5.7%0.19 EUR1.80 EUR-1.07-86.540Off
26 Jun 20260.04 EUR-9.1%0.20 EUR1.86 EUR-0.88-86.9927.4KOff
19 Jun 20260.04 EUR5.5%0.21 EUR1.92 EUR-0.39-86.1354.0KOff
12 Jun 20260.04 EUR-39.7%0.22 EUR1.99 EUR0.01-86.95125.6KOff
5 Jun 20260.06 EUR-71.5%0.23 EUR2.05 EUR0.48-78.97298.2KOff
29 May 20260.21 EUR21.1%0.23 EUR2.11 EUR0.92-28.9028.5KOff
22 May 20260.17 EUR-26.5%0.24 EUR2.18 EUR1.15-41.7017.7KOff
15 May 20260.24 EUR-12.5%0.24 EUR2.24 EUR1.50-19.4714.9KOff
8 May 20260.27 EUR7.1%0.24 EUR2.30 EUR1.68-11.2318.2KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context