Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data · Independent research
CRYPTO · Crypto · United States
Bitcoin USD
CryptoCryptocurrency
Bitcoin (BTC) is a cryptocurrency launched in 2010. Users are able to generate BTC through the process of mining. Bitcoin has a current supply of 20,051,543. The last known price of Bitcoin is 62,001.7351928 USD and is up 0.19 over the last 24 hours. It is currently trading on 12665 active market(s) with $29,592,084,195.96 traded over the last 24 hours. More information can be found at https://bitcoin.org/.
Last updated
21 Aug 2026
Exchange
Crypto · CRYPTO
Sector
Crypto
Industry
Cryptocurrency
Currency
USD
Market capitalisation
1,252,157,947,904
Fair value reference
75426.26
Next-week expectancy
Undecided · 53.42%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, Bitcoin USD rose 28.58%, moving from 60,922.67 to 78,335.19. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 0 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is 11.00 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 0.11 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is undecided at 53.42% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
78,335.19
12-Week Change
28.58%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Undecided 53.42%
Signal Weeks
0 of 12
Weekly Price
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity Lines
Chart Panels
Choose up to 5 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Price Action
Completed weekly market tape
Price Action
A deep view of how price is behaving against its own completed history, trend, structural levels and participation.
Current weekly interpretationFresh upside break with constructive close
The latest close finished above the recent completed price structure. Price is above its completed-week trend reference, while the reference is falling.
Full context · Unstable
Current structureFresh upside break
The latest close finished above the recent completed price structure.
Trend relationshipAbove trend
Price is above its completed-week trend reference, while the reference is falling.
Support and resistanceSupport 65182.41 · Resistance 79173.50
Nearest completed structural references around the latest close.
The positive weekly move attracted clearly elevated participation.
Price, structure and participation
Where price advanced, failed, reclaimed or lost important ground
Candles preserve the completed weekly tape. Selected annotations identify meaningful finished events and point directly to the week concerned.
Up weekDown weekTrend referenceCompleted supportCompleted resistanceVolumeTypical volumePublished event
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move+24.39%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterConstructive close
Price advanced and finished in the upper part of the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedNear the weekly high
The close finished at 93% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityUnstable
Frequent recent changes in direction reduce confidence in the current price path.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
The latest close finished above the recent completed price structure.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is above trend; participation is strong positive participation, and path quality is unstable.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history62% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-35.9%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+1308.0%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical6.6× typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Trend reclaimed
The weekly close moved back above the completed trend reference.
Latest week
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
11 weeks ago
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
15 weeks ago
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
41 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateAbove the trend range
52-week position
29.5%
Low to high
Accepted price
115159.62
Latest versus accepted: -31.98%
Fitted direction
Falling
-1.80% per week
Range pressure
84/100
Upper pressure
Range condition
Contracting
0.68× normal range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure · 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Support65940.88
From price
-15.8%
Evidence
56/100
Touches
2
Support75988.40
From price
-3.0%
Evidence
54/100
Touches
3
Resistance82044.26
From price
4.7%
Evidence
70/100
Touches
3
Resistance111866.67
From price
42.8%
Evidence
91/100
Touches
4
Resistance115716.46
From price
47.7%
Evidence
100/100
Touches
4
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionAbove the trend range
Price is at 29.5% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionFalling
The fitted centre line is moving -1.80% per week.
Range pressureUpper pressure
The current pressure reading is 84/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level75988.40
Support is 3.0% from the latest close with 54/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure · volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Current Smart Money readSmart Money evidence is mixed
Some visible evidence is supportive, but the combined picture does not yet justify a strong conclusion.
Momentum 0.31 · Holding steady
Trend qualityConstructive
The current trend state has persisted for 42 completed weeks; visible confirmation is constructive.
Momentum pathSoft · Holding steady
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsNormal
No recent reversal warning is present in the completed-week record.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
The current trend relationship and completed-week context are broadly aligned.
What would improve it
Continued alignment without a new warning would reinforce the current constructive position.
What could weaken it
There is no fresh positive event marker, so the current reading depends on continued confirmation rather than a new signal.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
No published Smart Money event marker appears in the completed history currently shown.
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Current Price Cycle readMarket pressure is rebuilding from a balanced position
Price pressure is close to its central market position. Positive pressure is becoming more forceful across the recent completed path.
+3.86% · Balanced · Strengthening
Market positionBalanced
Price pressure is close to its central market position.
Pressure directionStrengthening
Positive pressure is becoming more forceful across the recent completed path.
Trend qualityUnstable
The recent path has changed direction frequently, reducing confidence in persistence.
Risks and warningsTransition risk
Frequent recent changes around balance make the current direction less dependable.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
There is limited positive pressure; the reading needs improvement before it offers dependable support.
What would improve it
Continued positive pressure with an orderly completed path would strengthen confirmation.
What could weaken it
Frequent recent changes around balance make the current direction less dependable.
What to watch next
The latest path is strengthening with unstable trend quality. Comparable history is constructive follow-through.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionLower 29% of history
The latest reading is weaker than 71% of completed observations.
State persistence1 completed week
The current balanced state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historyConstructive follow-through
Across 9 comparable completed observations, later closes were higher 78% of the time; the typical move was +9.9%. This is context, not a forecast.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Positive pressure established
The completed reading moved from weakness into positive pressure.
Latest week
Recovery began
Negative pressure remained, but the completed path began to repair.
4 weeks ago
Weakness established
The completed reading moved below balance into negative pressure.
11 weeks ago
Deep weakness
Negative pressure entered an historically weak position.
17 weeks ago
Positive pressure established
The completed reading moved from weakness into positive pressure.
19 weeks ago
Weakness established
The completed reading moved below balance into negative pressure.
21 weeks ago
VWAP Control
Completed-week volume-weighted structure
VWAP Control
Shows price against its completed-week volume-weighted references, changes in control and the levels that would confirm or weaken the current reading.
Current controlControl is contested
Price is above the core VWAP, which is falling. 82% of recent weighted activity has been accepted below it.
54/100 pressure
ControlControl is contested
Pressure 54/100 and +43.6 points over four weeks.
VWAP stack4 of 6 below price
2 references converge near 67,741.79: Swing low, 13-week VWAP.
Acceptance82% below
Share of recent completed weighted activity accepted on the prevailing side of the core VWAP.
Core direction-0.4% / week
Four-week direction; change in pace +3.2 pts.
Stretch1.4 normal ranges above
Price is +10.1% from the core VWAP.
Persistence1 completed week
Price has remained above the core VWAP.
Price, VWAP structure and control transfers
Where control changed
156 completed weeks · Reported weekly volume
Weekly close13-week VWAP26-week VWAP52-week VWAPHigh-activity anchorNormal VWAP rangePositive transferNegative transfer
Control backgroundBuyer controlContestedSeller control
Seller control50 · contestedBuyer control
Current VWAP signals
Control, agreement and concentration
Control transfer beginning
Control transfer beginning
Price has completed its first move back above the core VWAP; acceptance and the next retest now matter.
Price and VWAP pressure broadly agree
No material six-week disagreement is present between price direction and VWAP control.
VWAP cluster present
2 references converge near 67,741.79: Swing low, 13-week VWAP.
Confirmation and failure levels
Levels that change the current reading
Confirmation83,860.80
A completed close above High-activity anchor with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area74,500.43
Year VWAP at 74,500.43, 4.9% below the latest close.
Weakening level74,500.43
A completed close below Year VWAP with acceptance moving under 50% would weaken the present structure.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
Year VWAP74500.43
-4.90% from close
High-activity anchor83860.80
+7.05% from close
26-week VWAP71151.39
-9.17% from close
Swing low68324.53
-12.78% from close
52-week VWAP89492.00
+14.24% from close
13-week VWAP67159.04
-14.27% from close
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 36%Above price 64%
8%near price
A notable share of recent weighted activity remains above price and may act as overhead supply.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark · COINBroadly aligned with reference
Broadly aligned with reference; control-score gap -0.9 points.
Control is contested · 54/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible history—not a forecast.
Weekly reclaim100% favourable
Events
4
Median 4w
+7.28%
Median 13w
+33.66%
Typical best
+38.63%
Typical worst
-4.13%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss20% favourable
Events
5
Median 4w
-0.02%
Median 13w
+13.14%
Typical best
+13.14%
Typical worst
-10.56%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states0 matched weeks
The visible history does not contain enough closely comparable completed states.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
VWAP structure turned lower
The fast VWAP crossed below the core VWAP.
VWAP structure turned higher
The fast VWAP crossed above the core VWAP.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
VWAP structure turned lower
The fast VWAP crossed below the core VWAP.
Seller pressure established
The completed control reading moved into negative territory.
VWAP reclaim rejected
Price tested above the core VWAP but completed the week back below it.
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Current SMI readUnderlying support remains weak and requires repair
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.07 · Weak
Current stateWeak · 0.07
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionHolding steady
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceEstablished
9 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipMixed relationship
Price and SMI are not presenting a decisive combined message.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.07 · Weak
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have carried a cautious historical bias
Across 25 comparable completed observations, 20.0% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was -12.1%.
Comparable observations
25
Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
20.0%
After 13 completed weeks
Median move
-12.1%
Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
-36.4 pts
Difference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
21 Aug 2026
Latest Close
78,335.19
12-Week Change
28.58%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Undecided 53.42%
Signal Weeks
0 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Above
Vs Fair Value
Above
Relative Strength
11.00
Market Dynamics
0.11
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-08-21, Bitcoin USD rose 28.58%, moving from 60,922.67 to 78,335.19. The latest weekly close is above the Trend Line and above Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 0 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is 11.00 and has improved across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is 0.11 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is undecided at 53.42% based on similar historical setup states.
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