- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
TCO
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Transmetro Corporation Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Lodging
Latest close
2.63 AUD
0.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 41.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a 1.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
36
out of 100
Latest Close
2.63 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
1.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-3.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
80.8%
42 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
-
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 27.78% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
Price follow-through
0.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 1.2%.
Indicator stack
44/40
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 27.78%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
9 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 41.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a 1.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is - the 13-week average. Participation data is incomplete.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2612-week average 0.53
12-week confirmation
Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.26Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 1.2% over four weeks, -3.2% over 12 weeks, and 34.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year42
Trend breadth80.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.69Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change27.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership0.28Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-95.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025
Field coverage 27%
Model confidence 14%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength10/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Value24/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Quality22/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
Momentum23/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Growth24/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- - Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- - Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- - Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- - Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- - Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 0/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 2.3% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 2.3% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- - Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.
0 positive · 9 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-26.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher10 of 265 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.7%Week of 20 Mar.
Worst week-14.5%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+0.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains6
Flat weeks11
Modest losses2
Sharp losses3
Recent vol4.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split18/5Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.7% / -6.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank56 / 91
Group average3.9%
Trend breadth19.8%
Trend19.8%active weekly trend signals
MD71.4%positive activity pressure
RS25.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Lodging
4-week rank1 / 1
Group average1.2%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape36/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 36/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis40/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.26; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 27.78%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 27.78% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors18/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 48; Small Cap Core rank 73 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.
Transmetro Corp. Ltd. Revenue Breakdown – ASX:TCO Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 2.63 AUD | 0.0% | 2.79 AUD | 1.98 AUD | -0.69 | 0.28 | 0 | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 2.63 AUD | 0.0% | 2.78 AUD | 1.98 AUD | -0.71 | 3.92 | 4.8K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 2.63 AUD | 1.2% | 2.77 AUD | 1.97 AUD | -0.81 | 6.83 | 11.9K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 2.60 AUD | 0.0% | 2.76 AUD | 1.96 AUD | -0.95 | 5.90 | 0 | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 2.60 AUD | 0.0% | 2.74 AUD | 1.96 AUD | -0.95 | 6.44 | 0 | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 2.60 AUD | -0.4% | 2.73 AUD | 1.95 AUD | -0.97 | 6.59 | 0 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 2.61 AUD | -0.4% | 2.71 AUD | 1.94 AUD | -0.97 | 8.61 | 0 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 2.62 AUD | 2.7% | 2.69 AUD | 1.94 AUD | -0.97 | 8.87 | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 2.55 AUD | 0.4% | 2.68 AUD | 1.93 AUD | -0.86 | 6.76 | 0 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 2.54 AUD | 0.0% | 2.66 AUD | 1.92 AUD | -0.51 | 9.03 | 801 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 2.54 AUD | -6.8% | 2.65 AUD | 1.92 AUD | 0.10 | 8.25 | 294 | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 2.73 AUD | 0.4% | 2.63 AUD | 1.91 AUD | 0.75 | 17.71 | 1 | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 2.72 AUD | -14.5% | 2.61 AUD | 1.90 AUD | 1.30 | 18.38 | 8.4K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 3.18 AUD | -11.0% | 2.59 AUD | 1.90 AUD | 1.59 | 37.46 | 700 | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.