CBSH NASDAQ Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Commerce Bancshares Inc · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

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Latest close 59.08 USD
-0.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 87.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.3%, after a 1.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 30/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 63d.

Setup score 54 out of 100
Latest Close 59.08 USD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -0.3% latest completed week
4W Return 1.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 16.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 13.5% 7 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 7-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • No major top-level risk cluster is currently dominant.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -0.3% Latest completed week; four-week move 1.2%. Indicator stack 32/75 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 30/100 conviction; expected move 5.4%. News sentiment 54/100 56 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 63d Next report is scheduled for 15 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 87.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.3%, after a 1.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8112-week average 0.42

12-week confirmation

Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.81Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 1.2% over four weeks, 16.6% over 12 weeks, and 4.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 7 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.3%
4W1.2%
12W16.6%
26W8.2%
52W4.7%
Active trend streak7 weeks
Active weeks in one year7
Trend breadth13.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.39Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-3.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-3.07Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change49.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength83/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Value81/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
Quality87/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
Momentum20/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Growth22/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework53/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
14.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
12.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
19.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
80.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
35.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
93.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
9.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
2.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
4.6%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
240.3%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.8%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
4.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
5.8%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

CBSH shows mixed options pressure with a 30/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 5.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction30/100
Expected move5.4%
Put/call volume
Pressure10
Speculation0
Volatility44
Trend agreement81
Open options detail
Insider activity4 / 16

4 acquisitions and 16 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 56 relevant articles.

18 positive · 32 neutral · 6 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings63dNext report is scheduled for 15 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.6%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-5.6%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week-0.3%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.0% / -1.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape51/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 51/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis62/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 7/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 2/12.

Activity pressure 0.81; No reversal markers Factors69/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 14; Small Cap Core rank 27 SVQF53/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 336.5 of 718 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options53/100

CBSH shows mixed options pressure with a 30/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 5.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 5.4% Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 56 relevant articles.

Commerce Bancshares Insider Sold Shares Worth $301,000, According to a Recent SEC Filing Insiders4 / 16

4 acquisitions and 16 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings63d

Next report is scheduled for 15 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202659.08 USD-0.3%53.21 USD52.01 USD1.39-3.074.3MOn
31 Jul 202659.27 USD0.3%53.01 USD51.90 USD1.481.816.2MOn
24 Jul 202659.09 USD-0.1%52.76 USD51.80 USD1.451.705.9MOn
17 Jul 202659.14 USD1.3%52.54 USD51.70 USD1.51-0.206.9MOn
10 Jul 202658.37 USD0.6%52.31 USD51.60 USD1.44-6.085.7MOn
3 Jul 202658.03 USD0.4%52.14 USD51.48 USD1.49-5.575.3MOn
26 Jun 202657.79 USD5.6%51.92 USD51.36 USD1.45-5.736.9MOn
19 Jun 202654.73 USD-2.0%51.68 USD51.24 USD1.13-15.196.7MOff
12 Jun 202655.82 USD5.2%51.56 USD51.13 USD0.89-11.857.3MOff
5 Jun 202653.05 USD2.1%51.37 USD51.03 USD0.48-14.866.2MOff
29 May 202651.95 USD-0.3%51.29 USD50.96 USD0.21-21.024.0MOff
22 May 202652.10 USD2.8%51.20 USD50.89 USD0.13-19.245.4MOff
15 May 202650.69 USD-1.8%51.13 USD50.81 USD-0.00-21.195.9MOff
8 May 202651.62 USD-0.3%51.12 USD50.74 USD-0.03-20.775.5MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context