- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
HMC
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
HMC Capital Limited · Real Estate · Reit - Diversified
Latest close
3.08 AUD
6.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 5.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 39.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.9%, after a 4.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100.
Setup score
36
out of 100
Latest Close
3.08 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
6.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
4.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
6.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
7.7%
4 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.1x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
6.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 4.4%.
Indicator stack
4/58
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
54/100
11 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 5.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 39.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.9%, after a 4.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1712-week average 0.13
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.17Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 4.4% over four weeks, 6.6% over 12 weeks, and -10.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year4
Trend breadth7.7%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.47Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-3.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-7.35Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change10.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025
Field coverage 85%
Model confidence 43%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength77/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Value91/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Quality85/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Momentum13/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Growth99/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework32/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 8.6x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 5.4x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 5.0x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -1.1% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 100.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 30.1% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -6.8% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 3.2% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 188.8% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 101.7% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -162.4% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 3.9% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -23.6% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -19.7% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.1x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment54/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 11 relevant articles.
4 positive · 6 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-31.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+19.6%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-20.7%Week of 13 Feb.
Latest week+6.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains2
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses9
Recent vol5.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.6% / -5.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Real Estate
4-week rank22 / 53
Group average4.1%
Trend breadth35.8%
Trend35.8%active weekly trend signals
MD75.5%positive activity pressure
RS18.9%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Reit - Diversified
4-week rank5 / 10
Group average0.8%
Trend breadth20.0%
Trend20.0%active weekly trend signals
MD60.0%positive activity pressure
RS20.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape31/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 31/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis31/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.17; No reversal markers Factors67/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 91; Small Cap Core rank 20 SVQF32/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 175.0 of 257 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment54/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 11 relevant articles.
HMC Capital (ASX:HMC) Shares Climb: What's Behind the Asset Manager's Steady Gain? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 3.08 AUD | 6.9% | 2.93 AUD | 5.44 AUD | 0.47 | -7.35 | 4.0M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 2.88 AUD | 4.0% | 2.97 AUD | 5.45 AUD | 0.42 | -10.87 | 4.1M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 2.77 AUD | -4.2% | 3.00 AUD | 5.46 AUD | 0.42 | -12.61 | 3.5M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 2.89 AUD | -2.0% | 3.04 AUD | 5.47 AUD | 0.47 | -9.54 | 3.5M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 2.95 AUD | -3.6% | 3.07 AUD | 5.49 AUD | 0.49 | -8.22 | 5.6M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 3.06 AUD | 4.1% | 3.09 AUD | 5.50 AUD | 0.43 | -5.64 | 1.2M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 2.94 AUD | -3.6% | 3.11 AUD | 5.51 AUD | 0.45 | -9.19 | 2.2M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 3.05 AUD | 5.9% | 3.14 AUD | 5.52 AUD | 0.48 | -7.62 | 2.0M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 2.88 AUD | -1.4% | 3.14 AUD | 5.53 AUD | 0.42 | -13.40 | 1.3M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 2.92 AUD | -4.6% | 3.14 AUD | 5.54 AUD | 0.35 | -11.27 | 5.1M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 3.06 AUD | 10.5% | 3.14 AUD | 5.54 AUD | 0.22 | -9.10 | 2.2M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 2.77 AUD | -4.2% | 3.14 AUD | 5.55 AUD | -0.10 | -17.93 | 5.1M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 2.89 AUD | -3.3% | 3.15 AUD | 5.56 AUD | -0.41 | -15.31 | 8.1M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 2.99 AUD | 19.6% | 3.17 AUD | 5.56 AUD | -0.66 | -14.87 | 8.7M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.