GAW LSE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Games Workshop Group PLC · Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

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Latest close 18,880 GBP
-1.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is -0.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 61.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.3%, after a -5.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 60 out of 100
Latest Close 18,880 GBP 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -1.3% latest completed week
4W Return -5.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return -2.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 80.8% 42 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 3.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 37-week active streak.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.46% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -1.3% Latest completed week; four-week move -5.9%. Indicator stack 89/30 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 58.46% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 50/100 26 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is -0.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 61.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.3%, after a -5.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 3.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7912-week average 0.82

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.79Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -5.9% over four weeks, -2.6% over 12 weeks, and 21.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 37 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.3%
4W-5.9%
12W-2.6%
26W11.0%
52W21.3%
Active trend streak37 weeks
Active weeks in one year42
Trend breadth80.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.33Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-171.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-2.75Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-136.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 May 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 91%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength46/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 55; rank 1 is best.
Value2/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Quality100/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Momentum88/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Growth17/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
30.3x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
9.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
18.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
72.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
41.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
33.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
99.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
6.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
4.8%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
5.7%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.6%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 26 relevant articles.

4 positive · 22 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-14.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.8%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-5.1%Week of 10 Jul.
Latest week-1.3%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses4
Recent vol4.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.4% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape64/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 64/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis77/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 10/12.

Activity pressure 0.79; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.46%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.46% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors58/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 87 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 26 relevant articles.

Games Workshop Group PLC Revenue Breakdown – LSE:GAW Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202618,880 GBP-1.3%18,923 GBP13,927 GBP-0.33-2.751.0MOn
31 Jul 202619,120 GBP-4.1%18,919 GBP13,879 GBP-0.13-1.19402.3KOn
24 Jul 202619,940 GBP-1.6%18,896 GBP13,828 GBP0.194.26712.3KOn
17 Jul 202620,260 GBP1.0%18,861 GBP13,775 GBP0.407.47317.6KOn
10 Jul 202620,060 GBP-5.1%18,834 GBP13,718 GBP0.477.57333.2KOn
3 Jul 202621,140 GBP-3.2%18,814 GBP13,661 GBP0.4411.5751.6KOn
26 Jun 202621,848 GBP7.8%18,768 GBP13,595 GBP0.2617.4262.7KOn
19 Jun 202620,275 GBP2.9%18,686 GBP13,525 GBP0.2410.78151.7KOn
12 Jun 202619,707 GBP4.3%18,636 GBP13,462 GBP0.386.68112.4KOn
5 Jun 202618,901 GBP-4.8%18,515 GBP13,404 GBP0.473.3527.1KOn
29 May 202619,859 GBP-3.4%18,395 GBP13,342 GBP0.658.16458.7KOn
22 May 202620,559 GBP6.0%18,264 GBP13,276 GBP0.6411.56404.1KOn
15 May 202619,389 GBP-0.8%18,089 GBP13,205 GBP0.668.24356.7KOn
8 May 202619,539 GBP-2.6%17,932 GBP13,143 GBP0.708.82374.3KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context