MUL LSE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Mulberry Group plc · Consumer Cyclical · Footwear & Accessories

Latest close 175.0 GBP
11.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 49.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 94.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 11.1%, after a 28.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.

Setup score 80 out of 100
Latest Close 175.0 GBP 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 11.1% latest completed week
4W Return 28.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 45.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 75.0% 39 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 15-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 36.26% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 49.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 94.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 11.1%, after a 28.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.9x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9512-week average 0.81

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.95Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 28.7% over four weeks, 45.8% over 12 weeks, and 89.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 15 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W11.1%
4W28.7%
12W45.8%
26W62.8%
52W89.2%
Active trend streak15 weeks
Active weeks in one year39
Trend breadth75.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.42Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change33.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership48.72Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change108.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 73% Model confidence 68%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength40/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 61; rank 1 is best.
Value44/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 57; rank 1 is best.
Quality46/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 55; rank 1 is best.
Momentum46/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 55; rank 1 is best.
Growth46/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 55; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
17.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
1.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
71.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-5.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
1.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-11.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
4.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-59.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-0.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
5.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.

0 positive · 3 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-2.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 265 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.0%Week of 24 Apr.
Worst week-7.1%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+11.1%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains7
Flat weeks7
Modest losses3
Sharp losses2
Recent vol4.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/10Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.7% / -4.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryGB Footwear & Accessories
4-week rank1 / 2
Group average22.8%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026175.0 GBP11.1%117.1 GBP121.8 GBP1.4248.7265.7KOn
31 Jul 2026157.5 GBP8.6%114.7 GBP122.2 GBP1.3235.6936.4KOn
24 Jul 2026145.0 GBP5.8%113.0 GBP122.8 GBP1.1927.4245.2KOn
17 Jul 2026137.0 GBP0.7%111.5 GBP123.5 GBP1.0722.637.3KOn
10 Jul 2026136.0 GBP0.0%110.2 GBP124.2 GBP1.0723.3520.3KOn
3 Jul 2026136.0 GBP0.0%108.9 GBP125.0 GBP1.0021.61370On
26 Jun 2026136.0 GBP3.4%107.5 GBP125.8 GBP0.9823.8987On
19 Jun 2026131.5 GBP4.4%106.0 GBP126.5 GBP0.8621.586.9KOn
12 Jun 2026126.0 GBP2.9%104.6 GBP127.3 GBP0.8115.405.2KOn
5 Jun 2026122.5 GBP8.9%103.6 GBP128.1 GBP0.8013.214.5KOn
22 May 2026112.5 GBP0.9%102.7 GBP128.9 GBP0.703.5019.7KOn
15 May 2026111.5 GBP-7.1%102.1 GBP129.7 GBP0.765.5552.0KOn
8 May 2026120.0 GBP4.3%101.5 GBP130.5 GBP0.3513.4530.2KOn
1 May 2026115.0 GBP0.0%100.8 GBP131.3 GBP-0.157.7818.0KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context