- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
BABA34
SAO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Alibaba Group Holding Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail
Latest close
23.38 BRL
6.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 32.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.3%, after a 14.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 58/100.
Setup score
40
out of 100
Latest Close
23.38 BRL
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
6.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
14.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-1.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
42.3%
22 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.7x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
6.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move 14.7%.
Indicator stack
23/70
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
58/100
15 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 32.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.3%, after a 14.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0412-week average 0.02
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.04Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 14.7% over four weeks, -1.8% over 12 weeks, and -0.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year22
Trend breadth42.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.46Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change151.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-16.14Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change47.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment58/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 15 relevant articles.
7 positive · 6 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-36.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher9 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.2%Week of 10 Jul.
Worst week-11.4%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+6.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses6
Recent vol6.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.4% / -4.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorBR Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank9 / 100
Group average0.4%
Trend breadth23.0%
Trend23.0%active weekly trend signals
MD56.0%positive activity pressure
RS29.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryBR Internet Retail
4-week rank2 / 13
Group average6.7%
Trend breadth23.1%
Trend23.1%active weekly trend signals
MD84.6%positive activity pressure
RS30.8%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape34/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 34/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis13/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.04; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment58/100Weighted news tone is positive across 15 relevant articles.
China Earnings to Test Rotation From AI to Internet Stocks Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 23.38 BRL | 6.3% | 24.05 BRL | 20.53 BRL | 0.46 | -16.14 | 1.5M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 21.99 BRL | 8.3% | 24.23 BRL | 20.49 BRL | 0.18 | -23.89 | 822.9K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 20.30 BRL | -3.7% | 24.49 BRL | 20.45 BRL | -0.25 | -28.57 | 1.5M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 21.08 BRL | 3.4% | 24.83 BRL | 20.42 BRL | -0.55 | -26.22 | 1.4M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 20.38 BRL | 14.2% | 25.12 BRL | 20.38 BRL | -0.90 | -30.80 | 1.5M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 17.85 BRL | 2.1% | 25.44 BRL | 20.35 BRL | -1.11 | -38.42 | 35.6K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 17.49 BRL | -11.4% | 25.87 BRL | 20.33 BRL | -0.93 | -39.65 | 327.8K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 19.73 BRL | -3.2% | 26.28 BRL | 20.31 BRL | -0.82 | -30.52 | 42.7K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 20.38 BRL | -7.5% | 26.60 BRL | 20.27 BRL | -0.73 | -29.67 | 181.1K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 22.03 BRL | -0.5% | 26.89 BRL | 20.24 BRL | -0.66 | -23.39 | 197.5K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 22.14 BRL | -3.6% | 27.21 BRL | 20.19 BRL | -0.80 | -25.46 | 782.6K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 22.98 BRL | -3.5% | 27.57 BRL | 20.13 BRL | -0.93 | -24.06 | 1.1M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 23.82 BRL | -1.7% | 27.92 BRL | 20.07 BRL | -1.09 | -22.13 | 2.3M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 24.23 BRL | 4.5% | 28.20 BRL | 20.01 BRL | -1.19 | -24.10 | 1.3M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.