- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
KAYSE
IST
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi Anonim Sirketi · Consumer Defensive · Confectioners
Latest close
3.87 TRY
-1.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -17.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 2.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.0%, after a -7.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
22
out of 100
Latest Close
3.87 TRY
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-1.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
-7.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-19.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
40.4%
21 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-1.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move -7.0%.
Indicator stack
22/14
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
1 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -17.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 2.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.0%, after a -7.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0412-week average 0.23
12-week confirmation
Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.04Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -7.0% over four weeks, -19.0% over 12 weeks, and -22.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year21
Trend breadth40.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.90Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-25.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-23.16Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-0.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
0 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-39.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher9 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+21.6%Week of 20 Feb.
Worst week-15.3%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week-1.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses8
Recent vol2.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.5% / -3.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorTR Consumer Defensive
4-week rank48 / 66
Group average0.0%
Trend breadth34.8%
Trend34.8%active weekly trend signals
MD21.2%positive activity pressure
RS31.8%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryTR Confectioners
4-week rank3 / 7
Group average-4.3%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD14.3%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape22/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 22/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis13/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.04; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
Kayseri Seker Fabrikasi AS Revenue Breakdown – BIST:KAYSE Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 3.87 TRY | -1.0% | 4.68 TRY | 5.81 TRY | -1.90 | -23.16 | 27.2M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 3.91 TRY | -4.2% | 4.70 TRY | 5.83 TRY | -1.86 | -21.22 | 22.8M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 4.08 TRY | 0.2% | 4.73 TRY | 5.85 TRY | -1.74 | -21.35 | 39.2M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 4.07 TRY | -2.2% | 4.74 TRY | 5.87 TRY | -1.67 | -22.34 | 40.4M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 4.16 TRY | -4.8% | 4.75 TRY | 5.88 TRY | -1.51 | -23.13 | 37.0M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4.37 TRY | 0.7% | 4.75 TRY | 5.90 TRY | -1.39 | -20.34 | 9.7M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 4.34 TRY | -2.9% | 4.74 TRY | 5.90 TRY | -1.27 | -20.62 | 5.0M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 4.47 TRY | -0.4% | 4.73 TRY | 5.90 TRY | -1.10 | -21.34 | 7.0M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4.49 TRY | -3.0% | 4.72 TRY | 5.89 TRY | -0.95 | -17.10 | 9.6M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 4.63 TRY | -1.5% | 4.71 TRY | 5.89 TRY | -0.75 | -13.59 | 14.6M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 4.70 TRY | 2.8% | 4.69 TRY | 5.88 TRY | -0.56 | -12.82 | 14.8M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 4.57 TRY | -4.4% | 4.68 TRY | 5.88 TRY | -0.48 | -16.84 | 79.4M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 4.78 TRY | -3.2% | 4.67 TRY | 5.87 TRY | -0.42 | -17.04 | 113.8M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 4.94 TRY | 4.4% | 4.65 TRY | 5.87 TRY | -0.34 | -18.75 | 176.1M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.