- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 62.45% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
TELIA1
HEL
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Telia Company AB (publ) · Communication Services · Telecom Services
Latest close
3.97 EUR
-1.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 71.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.2%, after a -2.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
55
out of 100
Latest Close
3.97 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-1.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
-2.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-11.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
98.1%
51 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-1.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move -2.7%.
Indicator stack
54/34
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 62.45%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
1 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 71.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.2%, after a -2.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6412-week average 0.89
12-week confirmation
Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.64Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -2.7% over four weeks, -11.7% over 12 weeks, and 93.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year51
Trend breadth98.1%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.90Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change1.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership11.31Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-42.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
0 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-16.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.8%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-6.7%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week-1.2%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.4% / -1.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorFI Communication Services
4-week rank5 / 6
Group average0.2%
Trend breadth66.7%
Trend66.7%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryFI Telecom Services
4-week rank2 / 2
Group average-1.9%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape58/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 58/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis67/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 11/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.64; 1 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 62.45%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 62.45% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
TELIA Stock Price and Chart — OMXSTO:TELIA Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 3.97 EUR | -1.2% | 4.03 EUR | 1.72 EUR | -0.90 | 11.31 | 638.0K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 4.02 EUR | -0.3% | 3.99 EUR | 1.70 EUR | -0.93 | 13.80 | 1.0M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 4.03 EUR | -2.5% | 3.95 EUR | 1.67 EUR | -1.02 | 15.35 | 788.1K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 4.14 EUR | 1.3% | 3.91 EUR | 1.65 EUR | -1.06 | 20.02 | 724.2K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 4.08 EUR | -0.3% | 3.87 EUR | 1.62 EUR | -0.92 | 19.70 | 633.7K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4.10 EUR | -5.6% | 3.82 EUR | 1.60 EUR | -0.69 | 19.66 | 156.9K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 4.34 EUR | -1.8% | 3.77 EUR | 1.57 EUR | -0.53 | 30.64 | 93.1K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 4.42 EUR | -6.7% | 3.72 EUR | 1.55 EUR | -0.08 | 32.63 | 1.5M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4.73 EUR | 6.6% | 3.66 EUR | 1.52 EUR | 0.19 | 41.61 | 391.9K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 4.44 EUR | -3.4% | 3.59 EUR | 1.49 EUR | 0.36 | 31.89 | 255.0K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 4.59 EUR | -1.2% | 3.53 EUR | 1.46 EUR | 0.77 | 38.03 | 1.8M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 4.65 EUR | 3.3% | 3.46 EUR | 1.44 EUR | 0.80 | 40.84 | 1.1M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 4.50 EUR | 0.6% | 3.38 EUR | 1.41 EUR | 0.92 | 42.79 | 718.9K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 4.47 EUR | 1.5% | 3.31 EUR | 1.38 EUR | 0.97 | 44.47 | 1.5M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.